AI x Industrious Labor / Investor / Engineered autonomy @AFResearchLab @Apple / Tweets on physical AI & positive-sum globalism / 〽️

San Francisco, CA
Replying to @ashwinl
@thomaszurbuchen
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Replying to @dwarkesh_sp
𝘪𝘵'𝘴 𝘶𝘯𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘤𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘣𝘭𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘸𝘦 𝘱𝘶𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘬𝘪𝘥𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘩𝘪𝘨𝘩 𝘴𝘬𝘪𝘭𝘭𝘦𝘥 𝘪𝘮𝘮𝘪𝘨𝘳𝘢𝘯𝘵𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘳𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩 𝘢𝘭𝘭 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘹𝘪𝘦𝘵𝘺 This! Does not get enough airtime. Generational impacts
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A #multipolar world does not pose a threat. -Olaf Scholz @wef
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A reminder that the @beondeck team accomplished the following in 18 months… + Supported the founding of 650 startups who collectively raised over $800m from top tier investors… + With customer love! beondeck.com/wall-of-love
Today is a sad day. We let go of 72 great people who helped build On Deck into what it is today. Our focus in the next few days will be supporting our team – particularly those departing the company. If you’re looking to hire incredibly talented people, DM or email me.
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Had my dear friend and @beondeck cofounder @david__booth visit the magic of @southpkcommons yesterday for community lunch. In a room of ~50 founders, he recognized or was recognized by about 8. Oh, and someone came up to thank David for signing off on an O-1 visa yrs earlier allowing the founder to stay in the US. Long San Francisco IRL!
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Holiday party @southpkcommons last night. Why? When SPC started 10 yrs ago, they didn’t have $$ so decided to do party in Jan. Tradition continues! Best experienced founder community! A+ team: @finn_meeks @adityaag @rsanghvi @JPBrebner @AgrawalArian @evantana @danh_trang @ditzikow @gopalkraman Lydia and team.
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If you’re optimistic about building or exploring in SF BUT feeling “dark, dead and depressing” like OP claims DMs open. Can show you some SF 💙
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Sony a9III的高光时刻
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Jony Ive on what Steve Jobs taught him about focus:
Not a fan of inspirational videos on social media. But as Jony explains (and I experienced on multiple occasions), one of the secrets to Apple’s success is actually simple: focus.
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San Francisco 2025: Take Waymo to meet new friend IRL @Abhindas1 @OrangewoodLabs While chatting, @gregisenberg +video crew unexpectedly stop by for demo+ interview Old friend @robonafisi posts viral X’eet also @fdotinc Well done creating such a dynamic community @hthieblot 👏
You were there today!
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The statesman has entered the room! Microsoft going to turn 50 on April 4th, 2025 and Satya has been there for 33yrs (!) “Longevity is not the goal; Relevance is”
To say we're pretty excited about tomorrow's guest might be an understatement... @Microsoft CEO @satyanadella will join @adityaag & @rsanghvi on the SPC stage–we can't wait for this one!
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Replying to @paulg
Social media and Adolescent Mental Health. Pre-pandemic. Shorter time span. Arguably, more consequential. 𝘈𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘱𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘵, 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘪𝘴 𝘰𝘯𝘭𝘺 𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘰𝘳𝘺 𝘸𝘦 𝘬𝘯𝘰𝘸 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘤𝘢𝘯 𝘦𝘹𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘪𝘯 𝘸𝘩𝘺 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘢𝘮𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘩𝘢𝘱𝘱𝘦𝘯𝘦𝘥 𝘵𝘰 𝘨𝘪𝘳𝘭𝘴 𝘪𝘯 𝘴𝘰 𝘮𝘢𝘯𝘺 𝘤𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘵𝘳𝘪𝘦𝘴 𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘢𝘮𝘦 𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘦: 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘳𝘢𝘱𝘪𝘥 𝘨𝘭𝘰𝘣𝘢𝘭 𝘮𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘧𝘳𝘰𝘮 𝘧𝘭𝘪𝘱 𝘱𝘩𝘰𝘯𝘦𝘴 (𝘸𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘺𝘰𝘶 𝘤𝘢𝘯’𝘵 𝘥𝘰 𝘴𝘰𝘤𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘮𝘦𝘥𝘪𝘢) 𝘵𝘰 𝘴𝘮𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘱𝘩𝘰𝘯𝘦𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘱𝘩𝘰𝘯𝘦-𝘣𝘢𝘴𝘦𝘥 𝘤𝘩𝘪𝘭𝘥𝘩𝘰𝘰𝘥. 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘧𝘪𝘳𝘴𝘵 𝘴𝘮𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘱𝘩𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘢 𝘧𝘳𝘰𝘯𝘵-𝘧𝘢𝘤𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘤𝘢𝘮𝘦𝘳𝘢 (𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘪𝘗𝘩𝘰𝘯𝘦 4) 𝘤𝘢𝘮𝘦 𝘰𝘶𝘵 𝘪𝘯 2010, 𝘫𝘶𝘴𝘵 𝘢𝘴 𝘵𝘦𝘦𝘯𝘴 𝘸𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘪𝘳 𝘧𝘭𝘪𝘱 𝘱𝘩𝘰𝘯𝘦𝘴 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘴𝘮𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘱𝘩𝘰𝘯𝘦𝘴 𝘪𝘯 𝘭𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘦 𝘯𝘶𝘮𝘣𝘦𝘳𝘴. (𝘍𝘦𝘸 𝘵𝘦𝘦𝘯𝘴 𝘰𝘸𝘯𝘦𝘥 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘗𝘩𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘪𝘯 𝘪𝘵𝘴 𝘧𝘪𝘳𝘴𝘵 𝘧𝘦𝘸 𝘺𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘴). 𝘍𝘢𝘤𝘦𝘣𝘰𝘰𝘬 𝘣𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘐𝘯𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘨𝘳𝘢𝘮 𝘪𝘯 2012, 𝘸𝘩𝘪𝘤𝘩 𝘨𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮 𝘢 𝘩𝘶𝘨𝘦 𝘣𝘰𝘰𝘴𝘵 𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘶𝘣𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘶𝘴𝘦𝘳𝘴. 𝘚𝘰 2012 𝘸𝘢𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘧𝘪𝘳𝘴𝘵 𝘺𝘦𝘢𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘺 𝘭𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘦 𝘯𝘶𝘮𝘣𝘦𝘳𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘨𝘪𝘳𝘭𝘴 𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘥𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘭𝘰𝘱𝘦𝘥 𝘸𝘰𝘳𝘭𝘥 𝘸𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘴𝘱𝘦𝘯𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘩𝘰𝘶𝘳𝘴 𝘦𝘢𝘤𝘩 𝘥𝘢𝘺 𝘱𝘰𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘱𝘩𝘰𝘵𝘰𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘮𝘴𝘦𝘭𝘷𝘦𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘴𝘤𝘳𝘰𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘳𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩 𝘩𝘶𝘯𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘥𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘤𝘢𝘳𝘦𝘧𝘶𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘦𝘥𝘪𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘱𝘩𝘰𝘵𝘰𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘰𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘳 𝘨𝘪𝘳𝘭𝘴.
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+1 The unwritten story is how @Waymo and robotaxis are going to transform PARENTING: Imagine having kids picked up at school and chauffeured to football and ballet class and back home?
If you are in SF and need an inspiration boost may I recommend a Waymo ride. It was 🤯🤯🤯🤯. I would pay s premium to ride in this vs a Uber/lyft.
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ASK: Any friends in my {space/GIS/data infra/computer vision} startup network can help? Have an enterprise multi-national ($30B+ market cap) decision maker (buyer with $$$ budget) looking to geolocate buildings using imagery (satellite, plane, balloon etc.) in large cities. Current market offerings are not scalable. Any startups you know of? DM for more detail. "Getting images is easy. Being able to store and process is challenging at scale. Cloud providers are curiously not that ready" cc: @karkum84 @AstroLawyer @karantalati @migtissera @llcrabbie @bradneuberg @vikasreddy @abemurray @naywilliams @jaimalik @reneeshah123 @AdamPorterPrice @JeffCrusey @Sam__Cash
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It's for real! The marketing doesn't do @MightyApp justice. Ability to search through GDrive and other productivity hacks are already saving me time. Just realized that MightyApp is a hardware+software business: tightly integrating both for customer delight. Keep it up🚀
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As predicted, kid transport is the killer app for self-driving!
It seems @Priyasideas was already on the story about kids and self-driving! @Waymo @SuzKP and team: when do we get a higher capacity vehicle? 𝘈𝘴𝘩𝘸𝘪𝘯 𝘓𝘢𝘭𝘦𝘯𝘥𝘳𝘢𝘯, 𝘢 15-𝘺𝘦𝘢𝘳 𝘷𝘦𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘯 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘢𝘶𝘵𝘰𝘯𝘰𝘮𝘰𝘶𝘴 𝘷𝘦𝘩𝘪𝘤𝘭𝘦 𝘪𝘯𝘥𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘺, 𝘴𝘢𝘪𝘥 𝘪𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘱𝘢𝘯𝘺 𝘸𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘵𝘰 𝘭𝘢𝘶𝘯𝘤𝘩 𝘢 𝘬𝘪𝘥-𝘧𝘰𝘤𝘶𝘴𝘦𝘥 𝘳𝘪𝘥𝘦 𝘰𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘨, 𝘩𝘦 𝘸𝘰𝘶𝘭𝘥 𝘴𝘪𝘨𝘯 𝘶𝘱 𝘪𝘯 𝘢 𝘩𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘣𝘦𝘢𝘵. 𝘏𝘦 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘸𝘪𝘧𝘦 𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘯 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘥 𝘣𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘨𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘪𝘳 𝘯𝘦𝘸𝘣𝘰𝘳𝘯 𝘩𝘰𝘮𝘦 𝘧𝘳𝘰𝘮 𝘜𝘊𝘚𝘍 𝘩𝘰𝘴𝘱𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘭 𝘪𝘯 𝘢 𝘞𝘢𝘺𝘮𝘰 𝘣𝘶𝘵 𝘸𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘴𝘵𝘺𝘮𝘪𝘦𝘥 𝘣𝘺 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘦𝘯𝘨𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘧𝘪𝘵𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘸𝘩𝘰𝘭𝘦 𝘧𝘢𝘮𝘪𝘭𝘺 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘰 𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘷𝘦𝘩𝘪𝘤𝘭𝘦. “𝘞𝘩𝘦𝘯 𝘥𝘰 𝘸𝘦 𝘨𝘦𝘵 𝘢 𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘷𝘢𝘯 𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴?” 𝘓𝘢𝘭𝘦𝘯𝘥𝘳𝘢𝘯 𝘴𝘢𝘪𝘥. “𝘛𝘩𝘢𝘵’𝘴 𝘩𝘰𝘸 𝘮𝘶𝘤𝘩 𝘸𝘦 𝘵𝘳𝘶𝘴𝘵 𝘪𝘵.”
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Replying to @nikitabier @X
More investment in Lists! Lists are such a hidden value add for anyone to curate their own custom feed around ANY topic Imagine if Lists were like Spotify playlists which you can share (and charge for) too. Media : New Media Newspaper : X Lists
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🐐 in the house!
🤯 @rsanghvi In 2015 when you had everyone sitting around your kitchen table, did you imagine this scene outside of @southpkcommons someday? @kanjun @soleio @nikil @klinse @anuraggoel
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Re-visiting sama's 10yr-old prediction: @Flipkart: e-commerce @BYJUS: global ed-tech * @Paytm: digital payments @oyorooms: affordable hotel booking * @PhonePe: digital payments @Swiggy: hyperlocal food delivery service @0xPolygon: blockchain scaling via $MATIC * (*) scaled beyond India
Sam Altman: "I think there will be multiple $10 billion-plus companies started in India in the next few years." goo.gl/gp8TSt
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Replying to @SawyerMerritt
HUGE get for @skyryse !
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The @PeterJ_Walker of Ramp: @arakharazian Must follow. Glad Ramp is doing this. Great heartbeat on our economy from their credit card data.
Everyone says we need more American factories. Ramp data says they may need our help. Ramp economist @arakharazian digs into the slowdown and how America can continue to lead in tech and industry.
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🇺🇸🇩🇪 The German-American relationship is critical to security and prosperity. Honored to engage directly w Chancellor Merz and his coalition govt in Berlin this week. One striking fact: Germany will remove limits on defense spending, sending a clear signal to both Russian aggression and European allies. Cc: @ACG_USA
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Overwhelming belief among investors who have not built or invested in robotics before: 𝘊𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘵 𝘰𝘯 𝘳𝘰𝘣𝘰𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘴 𝘩𝘢𝘴 𝘣𝘦𝘦𝘯 𝘰𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘨𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵’𝘴 𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘯𝘨𝘦𝘥 𝘯𝘰𝘸 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘈𝘐 Result is higher valuations. Founders: Great bc they’re gulping too strong on the AI koolaid. Take the money (at reasonable valuations). But remember economics is still KING 👑
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Replying to @Scott_Wiener
Scott, I understand you have ambitions for higher political office, and you are a prolific legislator. But this is a big miss on your part! I am a District 8 SF voter and you lost me as a future Scott Wiener voter. Not just because of SB 1047, but a history of legislation where you do not fully consider 2nd order implications. For example your SB 423 has created a back door for the exact thing you attempted to prevent: McMansions. I expect the same to be with SB 1047: unintended consequences because you didn’t listen to experts. Eg from from Caltech Researchers drive.google.com/file/d/1OQV… Soon someone will write up a piece on how your ambitions got ahead of you!
Replying to @snowmaker
1/ YES to YIMBY 2/ But also worth calling out in practice one way YIMBY is being hacked in SF by developers is the following: — Buy and tear down an old house — Design a 2 unit “house” — Claim it is for affordability — Get fast-tracked bc of “new unit” — Combine the 2 units into McMansion Attached from actual documentation of active case today: 1400 sq ft home being torn down to build 5700 sq ft “2 unit” which is obviously not 2 units. But SF Planning Dept hands’ are tied. 3/ We need YIMBY with more iterative guidelines to prevent hacks like this. Otherwise we end up back at square one. Intent is there, but policy gets bastardized.
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.@Joi explicitly referring to this Tweet at #ScalingBitcoin joi's talk needs to be distributed widely. #ICOs are attracting the wrong people
Here’s 1 big difference btwn traditional startup funding and ICO’s. Founders of failed startups shouldn’t come away financially enriched.
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Masonic Temple was a vibe for @ycombinator Fall Demo Day: a homage to mid-century modern design w classical principles As a new VC jumping over from the builder side, a couple observations after DD:
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Replying to @MoMonuments @pmarca
YES! Mo, so admire your passion around the topic. Keep at it!
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Electronic warfare at scale. Topic to track: GPS jamming out of Kallingrad, Russia nitter.app/auonsson/status/177521… GPS jamming 12,000 km south of Kallingrad in Cyprus in Mediterranean nitter.app/rhatr/status/177575250… GPS jamming near the Persian Gulf nitter.app/warintel4u/status/1775… Impacting commercial flts over Baltics nitter.app/newscientist/status/17… Ukrainian drones using optical navigation nitter.app/david_hambling/status/…
Replying to @ashwinl
BUT, I am learning from folks on the ground in Ukraine — including an amazing startup founder — that at the unit level, situation is far from rosy. Especially relating to: 1. Internal corruption (Ukraine), and 2. Electronic warfare (Russian)
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Honored to be invited to DC this week. A few reflections the tech world ought to align with: A/ Labor, families and communities are central to any serious AI or techno-optimism B/ @AmerCompass’ principles should be shared by every American regardless of political stripe: Deliberation And Engagement. Say no to cancelling! C/ “The #1 foreign policy priority of the United States needs to the United States. That’s not isolationism, that’s common sense. In order to do that we have to engage in the world. But we have to engage in the world that prioritizes our national interest above all else. Every single nation state we interact with prioritizes their national interest.” - Sec Rubio ht/ @johnnyburtka @oren_cass
Vice President JD Vance Attends the American Compass Fifth Anniversary Gala nitter.app/i/broadcasts/1gqxvjXzk…
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Replying to @andreasklinger
Go get it Andreas! Love the transition to deep tech. Can send you many companies
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Replying to @balajis
There is unfortunately something wrong when leaders in other countries respect Elon’s genius (even Putin). And yet in the US, our elected leaders relentlessly harass him: thehill.com/opinion/white-ho… Sure, don’t give Elon a free pass, but the harassment by this administration is unbecoming.
JUST IN - Putin to Tucker Carlson on @elonmusk: "There's no stopping Elon Musk" .. "I think he's a smart person"
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Replying to @pmarca
Software is the value CREATOR Hardware is the value ENABLER It’s a power struggle between both types. The orgs that release tightly coupled products acknowledge you should stop treating it independent of each other. Show me the org structure and the quality of the output becomes apparent.
Replying to @ashwinl
4/ Non-HW-first founders spend most of their time on Hardware. See: Purple / Lavender
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Love this thread @amaldorai What tips do folks have for gradually getting kids on to YouTube? How do you implement some rails?
YouTube is one of the best things about growing up in today's age. Kids can see how soy sauce is made, how dishwashers work, or tour Lake Baikal. But these are rare gems in an ocean of garbage. Here are some great YouTube channels for creative and curious children: 🧵
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A new VC thesis on hardware published. welcome! Founders, worth reading. This is Eric Schmidt’s firm. 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘪𝘯𝘥𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘭𝘢𝘯𝘥𝘴𝘤𝘢𝘱𝘦 𝘪𝘴 𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘥 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘢 𝘨𝘳𝘢𝘷𝘦𝘺𝘢𝘳𝘥 𝘰𝘧 𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘶𝘱𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘧𝘢𝘪𝘭𝘦𝘥 𝘵𝘰 𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘤𝘩 𝘴𝘤𝘢𝘭𝘦. 𝘕𝘰𝘯𝘦𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴, 𝘪𝘵 𝘪𝘴 𝘢 𝘭𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘦 𝘮𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵, 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘳 1,000,000 𝘩𝘢𝘳𝘥𝘸𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘦𝘯𝘨𝘪𝘯𝘦𝘦𝘳𝘴 𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘜.𝘚. 𝘢𝘭𝘰𝘯𝘦 (𝘉𝘓𝘚). Ask investors when pitching which operators they rely on to scale to mitigate this 👆. Different skills needed from software SaaS and most VC fund portfolio companies are still in early innings (Series A).
The pace at which we develop and build #hardware drives how fast we can deploy new tech. Several factors will accelerate progress toward this future incl: - Generative AI - Agile robotics - A changing macro environment More here: bit.ly/4cBkTu0
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Wow, looking at the quote tweets on your post and so much hate coming your way .. from other founders?! As a mechanical engineer, I say ignore them. Take screenshots and let it fuel you. 2007 called and wants its cynicism back.
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This is the leadership we need in the world today. Authentic. Resolute. #Zelenksy
Zelensky posts a video with top aides + his prime minister, apparently from above ground in Kyiv. “We are all here, our soldiers are here … we are defending our independence”
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$1B purchase for a startup that raised just ~$37M 👏 Staff* (44): - Execs (3) - Engineering (19) - Sales and Marketing (11) - Solutions Architects (4) - Developer Relations (2) - Product (1) - Design (2) - G&A (2) No in-house legal and HR (*) based on LinkedIn
Databricks outbids Snowflake and Confluent on Tabular, the open-core company behind Apache Iceberg that we covered before. The competition in the modern data stack is still red hot. Quite a surprise to see Tabular exiting so quickly, previously I thought they are of great potential, albeit with monetization challenges. This is a super aggressive move from Databricks because clearly $SNOW and $CFLT are better buyers with clearer synergies. This is more of a defensive strategy for Databricks because it already owns Delta Lake. But as we've analyzed last Feb, it is not going well vs. Iceberg who is destined to become the industry standard, and Delta Universal Format doesn't help that much. The listed goal is to bring in better interoperability between Iceberg and Delta Lake. This is weird because if everything goes well, they should centralize on Delta Lake only, and if it is SNOW or CFLT buying it, they can further supercharge the Iceberg capabilities rather than maintaining two routes. $1bn+ price tag is quite expensive for this purpose. So it seems like Databricks is seeing a huge threat and pressure from Iceberg because it is a true open and flexible standard vs. Delta Lake. Also, this doesn't look like a sound capital allocation strategy, also MosaicML at the benefit of the hindsight isn't of that high ROI. This makes me worry about Databricks' operating efficiency and capital allocation strategy, especially for future public stockholders. But I do think Databricks is better off by buying Tabular, it is just that this is quite expensive as a defensive move. Would be interesting to track what's their next move. Maybe part of the reason why SNOW didn't chase Tabular deal that aggressively is because they have already announced Polaris Catalog and making it open-source. That is killing Tabular's open-core business, and also threatening Databricks' Unity Catalog that is not open-source, and was leveraged as a hook to keep Delta Lake open in surface but close for enterprise usage. For this round 2 of open-source play, it looks like SNOW has played it better and targeting Databricks' pain point. But it is continuously evolving so Databricks will possibly fight back too.
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“FOUNDER PSYCHOLOGY” @Gena_I_Gorlin is the real deal! If you’re an early-stage founder and in SF next month, join @Alicebentinck and me as we explore this topic IRL w Gena. Link in OP
Excited to announce I’ll be doing a fireside + Q&A on “founder psychology” with 2 of my favorite founders, @Alicebentinck and @ashwinl, in SF on April 17 (1 month from today)! For founders, funders, and the friends and family who put up with them. :D Claim your spot below:
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It seems @Priyasideas was already on the story about kids and self-driving! @Waymo @SuzKP and team: when do we get a higher capacity vehicle? 𝘈𝘴𝘩𝘸𝘪𝘯 𝘓𝘢𝘭𝘦𝘯𝘥𝘳𝘢𝘯, 𝘢 15-𝘺𝘦𝘢𝘳 𝘷𝘦𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘯 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘢𝘶𝘵𝘰𝘯𝘰𝘮𝘰𝘶𝘴 𝘷𝘦𝘩𝘪𝘤𝘭𝘦 𝘪𝘯𝘥𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘺, 𝘴𝘢𝘪𝘥 𝘪𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘱𝘢𝘯𝘺 𝘸𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘵𝘰 𝘭𝘢𝘶𝘯𝘤𝘩 𝘢 𝘬𝘪𝘥-𝘧𝘰𝘤𝘶𝘴𝘦𝘥 𝘳𝘪𝘥𝘦 𝘰𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘨, 𝘩𝘦 𝘸𝘰𝘶𝘭𝘥 𝘴𝘪𝘨𝘯 𝘶𝘱 𝘪𝘯 𝘢 𝘩𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘣𝘦𝘢𝘵. 𝘏𝘦 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘸𝘪𝘧𝘦 𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘯 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘥 𝘣𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘨𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘪𝘳 𝘯𝘦𝘸𝘣𝘰𝘳𝘯 𝘩𝘰𝘮𝘦 𝘧𝘳𝘰𝘮 𝘜𝘊𝘚𝘍 𝘩𝘰𝘴𝘱𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘭 𝘪𝘯 𝘢 𝘞𝘢𝘺𝘮𝘰 𝘣𝘶𝘵 𝘸𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘴𝘵𝘺𝘮𝘪𝘦𝘥 𝘣𝘺 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘦𝘯𝘨𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘧𝘪𝘵𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘸𝘩𝘰𝘭𝘦 𝘧𝘢𝘮𝘪𝘭𝘺 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘰 𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘷𝘦𝘩𝘪𝘤𝘭𝘦. “𝘞𝘩𝘦𝘯 𝘥𝘰 𝘸𝘦 𝘨𝘦𝘵 𝘢 𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘷𝘢𝘯 𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴?” 𝘓𝘢𝘭𝘦𝘯𝘥𝘳𝘢𝘯 𝘴𝘢𝘪𝘥. “𝘛𝘩𝘢𝘵’𝘴 𝘩𝘰𝘸 𝘮𝘶𝘤𝘩 𝘸𝘦 𝘵𝘳𝘶𝘴𝘵 𝘪𝘵.”
+1 The unwritten story is how @Waymo and robotaxis are going to transform PARENTING: Imagine having kids picked up at school and chauffeured to football and ballet class and back home?
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Replying to @brickywhat
Sorry to hear about your experiences Erika. I have kids in sf and a tribe of parents. The latter helps! Happy to help you connect to a tribe if SF is still in the cards for you. Any weekend day at Tunnel Top Park or Golden Gate Tennis Courts is evidence of the 100s of parents in SF. Also this on same topic… partiful.com/e/tOWJTF1xRO83t…
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Replying to @chr1sa
Agree. But I think this changes as soon Tesla introduces lidar. d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net…
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Replying to @NiohBerg
Bezos-level vision and execution?
MBS: I believe the Middle East will be the new Europe. In 5 years, Saudi Arabia will be a completely different country.
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This is a great bet on @DistSpectrum ! Couple takeaways: 1/ Defense tech is now mainstream 2/ ELECTRONIC WARFARE is more than just on the battlefield 3/ Thesis driven investing is not a bad thing 4/ There is 12 months worth of alpha in some trends. Still. OP: nitter.app/saranormous/status/190…
Electronic warfare at scale. Topic to track: GPS jamming out of Kallingrad, Russia nitter.app/auonsson/status/177521… GPS jamming 12,000 km south of Kallingrad in Cyprus in Mediterranean nitter.app/rhatr/status/177575250… GPS jamming near the Persian Gulf nitter.app/warintel4u/status/1775… Impacting commercial flts over Baltics nitter.app/newscientist/status/17… Ukrainian drones using optical navigation nitter.app/david_hambling/status/…
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“Promote the shit out of European startups” 💪 European founders need to know investors that actually deploy capital and support founders at EARLIEST STAGE in a style similar to in Silicon Valley. Who are they? Tag them or DM me Best ones I know of @pmoe @nathanbenaich @Sam__Cash @andreasklinger @JeffCrusey @jenslapinski
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🇺🇸 govt is making a mistake IF it restricts the use of RISC-V by non-US actors (incl China). Tech genie is out of the bottle. Let RISC-V ecosystem compete and catchup to Arm! Improved security, speed of progress, fewer CPU chip shortages and less of a monopoly. All benefits US govt desires (and needs). Quick context on tech and market: Top Ten Fallacies About RISC-V (3/2023) riscv.org/blog/2023/03/top-t… How Arm conquered the chip market without making a single chip, with CEO Rene Haas (9/2022) theverge.com/23373371/arm-ch… Why RISC-V support is a big deal for Qualcomm and Android (1/2024) androidpolice.com/risc-v-big…
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May all of us in Silicon Valley, DC and beyond bring this selfless service to our work. No politics. No tribes. No jingoism. “Live up the standard” of those before us. Watch til the end.
During the first rescue mission of his career, Rescue Swimmer Scott Ruskan directly saved 165 individuals. The Department of Homeland Security applauds the 65 Aircrew members for their heroism and bravery, including Lt. Ian Hopper, Lt. Blair Ogujiofor, and Flight Mechanic Seth Reeves. The men and women of the @USCG are American heroes.
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German Chancellor, Olaf Scholz: We are experiencing what it means to live in a #multipolar world.
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Replying to @dwarkesh_sp
Whatever one may think of Blair, this should be plastered around polling stations the world over! Contextualizes the pandering in this consequential election year: 𝘈𝘮𝘣𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘴 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘺 𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘺 𝘵𝘰 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦, 𝘣𝘦𝘤𝘢𝘶𝘴𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺'𝘳𝘦 𝘫𝘶𝘴𝘵 𝘨𝘦𝘯𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘭 𝘦𝘹𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘨𝘰𝘰𝘥 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯. 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘣𝘭𝘦𝘮 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘴 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘦𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘥 𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘦𝘯𝘨𝘦. 𝘛𝘩𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩 𝘱𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘴 𝘢𝘵 𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘭𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘭 𝘪𝘴 𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘺 𝘤𝘳𝘶𝘥𝘦 — 𝘺𝘰𝘶'𝘳𝘦 𝘴𝘩𝘢𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘩𝘢𝘯𝘥𝘴, 𝘬𝘪𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘣𝘢𝘣𝘪𝘦𝘴, 𝘮𝘢𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘴𝘱𝘦𝘦𝘤𝘩𝘦𝘴, 𝘥𝘦𝘷𝘪𝘴𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘴𝘭𝘰𝘨𝘢𝘯𝘴, 𝘢𝘵𝘵𝘢𝘤𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘺𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘰𝘱𝘱𝘰𝘯𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘴 — 𝘸𝘩𝘦𝘯 𝘪𝘵 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘴 𝘵𝘰 𝘱𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘺 𝘪𝘵'𝘴 𝘢 𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘭𝘭𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘶𝘢𝘭 𝘣𝘶𝘴𝘪𝘯𝘦𝘴𝘴. 𝘐𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺'𝘷𝘦 𝘰𝘯𝘭𝘺 𝘨𝘰𝘵 𝘢𝘮𝘣𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴, 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦𝘯'𝘵 𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘶𝘯𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘵𝘢𝘬𝘦𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘭𝘭𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘶𝘢𝘭 𝘦𝘹𝘦𝘳𝘤𝘪𝘴𝘦 𝘵𝘰 𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘰𝘴𝘦 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘰 𝘱𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘪𝘦𝘴. 𝘗𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘪𝘦𝘴 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘩𝘢𝘳𝘥. 𝘐𝘵'𝘴 𝘩𝘢𝘳𝘥 𝘵𝘰 𝘸𝘰𝘳𝘬 𝘰𝘶𝘵 𝘸𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘳𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘱𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘺 𝘪𝘴.
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Replying to @thatguybg
This “super app” phenomenon is a function of China’s political centralization and economic regional decentralization. Under such a regime: 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘭 𝘨𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘯𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘴𝘦𝘵𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘶𝘭𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘰𝘣𝘫𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘷𝘦𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘨𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘯𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵, 𝘸𝘩𝘪𝘤𝘩 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘯 𝘨𝘶𝘪𝘥𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘥𝘪𝘳𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘱𝘦𝘵𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯.
Huawei is literally becoming the Apple, Nvidia, AWS, Android, HP, IBM, and Cisco of China. I guess why not have multiple national champions be the same company?
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Replying to @bchesky
Ability for families with a current living setup to switch homes for extended stays (30 days+) with other *trusted* families anywhere in the world. Imagine the cosmopolitan and empathetic perspective our next generation would grow up with. See Teddy Roosevelt upbringing.
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If you are a deep tech founder, this thread is an incredible breakdown into a business one aspires to build (@BillionToOneInc) 𝘛𝘰 𝘴𝘶𝘮 𝘪𝘵 𝘢𝘭𝘭 𝘶𝘱: 𝘙𝘢𝘥𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘣𝘦𝘵𝘵𝘦𝘳 𝘵𝘦𝘤𝘩 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘭𝘦𝘢𝘥𝘴 𝘵𝘰 𝘢 10𝘹 𝘣𝘦𝘵𝘵𝘦𝘳 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘥𝘶𝘤𝘵 + 𝘭𝘢𝘶𝘯𝘤𝘩 𝘵𝘰 $100𝘮 𝘢𝘯𝘯𝘶𝘢𝘭 𝘳𝘶𝘯 𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘪𝘯 4 𝘺𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘴 + 50% 𝘨𝘳𝘰𝘴𝘴 𝘮𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘪𝘯𝘴 𝘩𝘦𝘢𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘨 70% + 𝘢 𝘮𝘢𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘧𝘶𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘰𝘱𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘶𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘪𝘯 𝘰𝘯𝘤𝘰𝘭𝘰𝘨𝘺 𝘨𝘳𝘰𝘸𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘯 𝘧𝘢𝘴𝘵𝘦𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘪𝘳 𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘥𝘶𝘤𝘵𝘴 = 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘥𝘪𝘣𝘭𝘺 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘱𝘦𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘱𝘢𝘯𝘺. Case study: The best deeptech businesses don’t go to the market with a deeptech label nitter.app/ashwinl/status/1429646…
Replying to @sethbannon
BillionToOne has grown from zero to a $100m annual run rate in only 4 years since product launch 🚀 Don't ever say deep tech startups can't grow fast!
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Been saying this for many years: Arctic is the forgotten next physical frontier of warfare. Whatever your politics and whether you agree or not, Bannon’s explain is worth listening to. Hemispheric defense. ht/ @ryangerritsen
Replying to @Brad_Setser
0. US is vulnerable via Arctic 1. Canadian Arctic policy to date* has been weak 2. US has leverage to negotiate w Canada 3. DJT starts negotiating with the outlandish (*) submarines and icebreaker commitments by Canadian govt is inadequate
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This is something startups are slowly starting to recognize and prioritize: On shoring manufacturing. Not because it’s patriotic but because it’s time and cost efficient.
Replying to @_benlove @garrytan
Supply chain efficiency & resilience. It’s generally much better for things to be produced closer to the point of consumption. There are also about 200,000 factories in the US that only operate at 50%-60% capacity because of a lack of access to labor.
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The number of IIT founders coming through EF in this cohort was mind-blowing! Whatever you’re doing @Alicebentinck and @join_ef , keep it going!
.@AliceBentinck kicks off @join_ef demo day in San Francisco with the legendary @vkhosla
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I am old enough to remember that loud voices on 𝕏 rarely speak for the majority. Remember the ‘San Francisco is over’ chorus pre- “AI” (2020)? This is not a political 𝕏’eet. @KatieS just stating facts.
Ben Horowitz Bill Ackman Cameron Winklevoss Doug Leone Elon Musk Eoghan McCabe Ken Howery Kyle Samani Marc Andreessen Jacob Helberg Joe Lonsdale Palmer Luckey Peter Thiel Shaun Maguire Trevor Traina Tushar Jain Tyler Winklevoss Come on in, the water’s warm.
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Replying to @collision
The future of SF Bay Area is about to become (even) brighter: Transportation via @flyarcher in the air and @navierboat on the water! Imagine the impact on real estate and families if people can live in Novato to the north or in Morgan Hill to the south -- and still work in SF and Silicon Valley (!) Average home prices are ~30% more affordable: -- Novato: $1.1M -- Morgan Hill: $1.4M -- Redwood City: $1.8M (todays default)
Excited to work with @navierboat! Gets people around much faster + reduces car commuting/congestion/emissions/etc. (Yes, they had us at "electric flying boat".) bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Replying to @mattturck
𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘦 𝘴𝘱𝘦𝘤𝘪𝘢𝘭𝘪𝘻𝘦𝘥 𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘱𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘦 𝘢𝘱𝘱𝘴, 𝘤𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘳𝘴 𝘧𝘦𝘦𝘭 𝘭𝘪𝘬𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘤𝘢𝘯/𝘴𝘩𝘰𝘶𝘭𝘥 “𝘣𝘶𝘪𝘭𝘥” 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘯 “𝘣𝘶𝘺” It seems (a) enterprise urgency to integrate ai into production with inferior infra and (b) lack of internal expertise is impeding progress. Results in (usage-based) opportunities available for sustainable AI-native infra.
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Replying to @MichaelAArouet
Birth rate def declining, but something to consider: ‘Have no children’ ≠ ‘Number of times women have given birth in their lifetime’ (chart title) Surrogacy market is ~$4B with apparent double digit growth
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Hardware / software founders: I’m seeing this consistently in market now. Most sw only SaaS VCs do not fully grok (yet): 1. How long hardware takes to mature 2. Once traction rips, company is 🚀 If you have product in market in a growing market and raised during ZIRP, DMs open
Best year ever in startup world for...down rounds. This used to be something no one really spoke about and now down makes up 20% of all the rounds. Good = that company is still alive. Bad = sucks to go through, lots of stress. But hey, FB took a down round once.
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All of these things can be true simultaneously
Every smart person I know is getting into hardware right now
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Torn: 1. Need more defense market education 2. Every VC cycle has a top. Is this it? Respect to Chamath for giving the masses what it wants — at just the right time. Look at the engagement on this post. There’s clearly demand. Don’t forget this though: "𝘐𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘤𝘪𝘭𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘨𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘯𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵, 𝘸𝘦 𝘮𝘶𝘴𝘵 𝘨𝘶𝘢𝘳𝘥 𝘢𝘨𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘴𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘢𝘤𝘲𝘶𝘪𝘴𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘰𝘧 𝘶𝘯𝘸𝘢𝘳𝘳𝘢𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘪𝘯𝘧𝘭𝘶𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘦, 𝘸𝘩𝘦𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘳 𝘴𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘰𝘳 𝘶𝘯𝘴𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩𝘵, 𝘣𝘺 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘮𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘳𝘺-𝘪𝘯𝘥𝘶𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘱𝘭𝘦𝘹. 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘱𝘰𝘵𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘥𝘪𝘴𝘢𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘰𝘶𝘴 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘮𝘪𝘴𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘤𝘦𝘥 𝘱𝘰𝘸𝘦𝘳 𝘦𝘹𝘪𝘴𝘵𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘴𝘪𝘴𝘵." - President Dwight D. Eisenhower (1961)
We will be publishing our deep dive on the U.S. defense industry at the end of this month, covering everything from what the Department of Defense spends money on to how warfare is conducted on the battlefield today. Like our previous deep dives, we will build from the ground up, assuming no prior knowledge about the U.S. defense industry. Here's what we'll cover: How is the Department of Defense organized? How many military bases do we have worldwide? What is the history of warfare since the Industrial Revolution?
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Congrats to you! And also kudos to the Astranis leadership team: 1. On hiring you given the film bg 2. On enabling your strengths to flourish. 3. On supporting you after. Among leaders, Each of these are rare let alone all 3 together 👏
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Replying to @eriktorenberg
Nice! Each of these bullets are incredibly powerful independent flywheels: - talent for ventures to hire from; - staff to support nascent ventures; - strong pipeline of new ventures; - making venture creation accessible; - market-recognized value creation
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The #AppleMaps journey from October 29, 2012 to today is proof that Apple has an incredibly committed product development machine. … and very few (if any) product managers! Summarized this journey in 2018:
I am sorry to report this: But Apple Maps is now in many cases superior to Google Maps. Cleaner design, more details, better navigation (path and UI), less wtf. Sorry. 😔
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Herman Hauser founded Acorn in 1978. @ARM (market cap: $130B) spun out of Acorn in 1990. Mr Hauser is impressive! But @andreasklinger doing gods work pointing out very early stage European startups need immediate attention!
As a US-based VC investing in industrials, my take (admittedly controversial) from @daveclark85 data: TLDR: Redomicile European startups to US until Europe gets their act together. Better for Founders and investors. Ecosystem will benefit upon exit. Founders today can't wait for EU. 1/ Private company value for identical startup in Europe < US -- across stages, no disagreement 2/ Founders in Europe are equally good technically (if not better in certain sectors) 3/ Find "undervalued" European startups and frame as a US-based one (incorporation, HQ, etc.) 4/ Leave R&D in Europe with high quality, low churn talent 5/ Growth capital from US and outside Europe 6/ Exit options to either US or European conglomerates or stock exchanges -- US startups have reduced network for exit options
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If you care about reindustrialization and national security, you have to care where the American Worker lives. Housing is infrastructure. Real estate fees are friction. The system is built to extract (not enable) first-time buyers. @zownhomes is flipping that. Michelle Boyd is chief strategy officer for the Terner Center at the University of California, Berkeley, and studies housing startups and fintech innovations. She says the Zown model makes sense for first-time buyers and those doing more straightforward deals. (But those buying older homes or fixer-uppers would perhaps benefit from an experienced agent’s help.) “I think there is a real opportunity to take some of that value that real estate agent is providing and give that back to the home, or that person who’s trying to purchase it,” she said. “It’s maybe not going to totally change someone’s ability to buy a home, but it’s not nothing.”
🏘️ The home buying process is broken and archaic. @zownhomes makes it easier, especially for the working class and first-time buyers. fastcompany.com/91343034/thi…
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Topic to track: PUBLIC AFFAIRS Over 15 years ago, I saw how the U.S. government procures technology and services. It boggled my mind. What happens behind the scenes of this $40B+ market?
Saw 1st hand today how inferior technology can gradually become standard if a General advocates for it based on incomplete data
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Replying to @kyleichan
Farley is a rare anomaly. Many in the automotive industry (incl within Ford) have similar sentiments to Barra.
Replying to @ashwinl
8b/ “If they start coming in, they won’t be any more competent than Korean and Japanese cars,” Lutz said. “They would probably take share from other Asian brands because the vehicles will be more Asian in character. They’re not going to get much market share.”
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👏Great to hear from @reindsummit co-founder: "We’re not going to onshore everything" “We need good trading partners” “We want our allies to be healthy” For those that have designed and built industrial systems (at scale), the secret to sustained reindustralization: collaboration NOT confrontation with Allies.
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End of an era at @Apple: “Project Titan” aka “SPG” is ending Apple’s self-driving effort. Having contributed to one of many iterations around 2016, my take away was that every corporation has a DNA etched into it. While possible, it is very difficult to reprogram that DNA. Even if you’re Apple. Thread: Apple is fundamentally a consumer electronics and design company. Despite the macro trends and unique advantages, Apple is Not an automotive company. And money can only buy so much. Think about Elon's approach in contrast: multiple (seemingly) disparate interests but crystallized under different corporate entities (at least not at the start— looking at Tesla/Solar City). Collaboration between each still exists (see material sciences shared between SpaceX and Tesla; ad spend on 𝕏 by Elon companies). The other lesson is that it will be a race to become AI-first companies. >> The two executives told staffers that the project will begin winding down and that many employees on the team working on the car — known as the Special Projects Group, or SPG — will be shifted to the artificial intelligence division under executive John Giannandrea. Those employees will focus on generative AI projects, an increasingly key priority for the company. Finally, this is also why Elon is so important to American and global innovation. For all his quirks, we need to enable this man. Other excerpts: >> The tech giant started working on a car around 2014, setting its sights on a fully autonomous electric vehicle with a limousine-like interior and voice-guided navigation. >> The company’s board was also concerned about continuing to spend hundreds of millions of dollars a year on a project that may never see the light of day. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Reminder: Customers don’t care about “Robots”. They care about outcomes. From @viamrobotics press release: “𝘚𝘰𝘮𝘦 𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘦 𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘶𝘮𝘮𝘦𝘳, 𝘸𝘦 𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘭𝘪𝘻𝘦𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘸𝘩𝘦𝘯 𝘸𝘦 𝘸𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘦𝘮𝘢𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘰𝘳 𝘵𝘢𝘭𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘰 𝘱𝘦𝘰𝘱𝘭𝘦, 𝘸𝘩𝘦𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘴𝘢𝘸 𝘳𝘰𝘣𝘰𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘴 𝘰𝘯 𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘩𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘱𝘢𝘨𝘦, 𝘪𝘵 𝘣𝘢𝘴𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘴𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘮 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘰 𝘢 𝘵𝘪𝘻𝘻𝘺. 𝘛𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘸𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘭𝘪𝘬𝘦, ‘𝘸𝘦’𝘳𝘦 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘢 𝘳𝘰𝘣𝘰𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘴 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘱𝘢𝘯𝘺 — 𝘸𝘦 𝘥𝘰 𝘧𝘰𝘰𝘥 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘤𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘯𝘨, 𝘸𝘦 𝘥𝘰 𝘗𝘓𝘊 𝘢𝘶𝘵𝘰𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯, 𝘸𝘦 𝘥𝘰 𝘣𝘰𝘢𝘵𝘴, 𝘸𝘦’𝘳𝘦 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘳𝘰𝘣𝘰𝘵𝘴.’” 💪
Replying to @ashwinl
The best #deeptech businesses don’t go to the market with a #deeptech label
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1/ The speed and conviction of most American automotive corporations (unfortunately) do not match those in China. We’re seeing a multi-decade vision gradually unfold. And it’s led by someone we should all get familiar with: Thread...
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Mark Carney got closer to becoming Canadian prime minister. It’s time for technocrats around the world! Another reminder of tech’s revolving door w politics: Carney was on Stripe’s board from 2021 until he resigned in Jan 2025.
Replying to @ashwinl
One person I’d like to have a drink with: Mark Carney . The OG. Skilled public servant. 🇬🇧 🇨🇦 In SV, we sometimes forget the critical role of ppl like Carney. Aside from his long list of accomplishments, he had this to say:
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As a US-based VC investing in industrials, my take (admittedly controversial) from @daveclark85 data: TLDR: Redomicile European startups to US until Europe gets their act together. Better for Founders and investors. Ecosystem will benefit upon exit. Founders today can't wait for EU. 1/ Private company value for identical startup in Europe < US -- across stages, no disagreement 2/ Founders in Europe are equally good technically (if not better in certain sectors) 3/ Find "undervalued" European startups and frame as a US-based one (incorporation, HQ, etc.) 4/ Leave R&D in Europe with high quality, low churn talent 5/ Growth capital from US and outside Europe 6/ Exit options to either US or European conglomerates or stock exchanges -- US startups have reduced network for exit options
“Anybody just focusing on investing in Europe is missing out on 80%+ of the value created. VC is hard at the best of times. Ruling yourself out of a high proportion of the best companies isn't going to make it any easier.” linkedin.com/posts/david-cla…
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If you didn’t believe it before: Now is the best time to recap hardware businesses that raised during ZIRP. Eric Schmidt is doing it with @relativityspace This is not a failure in founder ability. This is failure in VC expectations. Ignore the vertical SaaS heuristics
Hardware / software founders: I’m seeing this consistently in market now. Most sw only SaaS VCs do not fully grok (yet): 1. How long hardware takes to mature 2. Once traction rips, company is 🚀 If you have product in market in a growing market and raised during ZIRP, DMs open
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Founders actively building in robotics, listen to @prateekj's interview w @BradPorter_. Love the optimisim and earned pragmatism! I particularly felt the pain of these 2 lessons last couple years: 1/ Use of imitation learning is good for demos, but does not generalize yet. 2/ Deploying robots at scale is difficult. Slower than SaaS PLG.
The topic on Infinite ML pod today is Collaborative Robots. We have @BradPorter_ on the show to talk about it. He's the founder and CEO of Collaborative Robotics where they are building robots that will seamlessly blend into our surroundings. They've raised over $140M in funding from @sequoia, @khoslaventures, @generalcatalyst, @Lux_Capital, and others. He was previously the CTO of @scale_AI. Prior to that, he was the VP of Robotics at @amazon. We cover a range of topics including: - Building Blocks in Robotics - Architecture of a Cobot - Safety in Industrial Settings - Sensors in Cobots - Power Consumption and Optimization - Zonal Compute Architecture - AI Models for Task Planning - Reasoning and Human Interaction - Simulation to Real-World Deployment - Multi-Robot Coordination - Technological Breakthroughs in Robotics
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How can we allow different centers of power to interact reliably in the interest of everyone? ... in contrast with self-sufficiency, isolationism, etc.
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Replying to @CNBCFastMoney
Replying to @WhalePanda
Paul loves to talk about Bitcoin, BCash and cars. His wife works for CNBC and as marketing manager has control over certain Twitter accounts. So what happens when Someone who is executive director of the Bitcoin Cash fund, takes over control of @CNBCFastMoney twitter account?
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Yes! Let's invest in all: moon + Mars + oceans. In the near term, greater investment in the oceans can help various areas of society: * aquaculture (food supply), * carbon emissions (trade), * flooding (coastal communities), * offshore renewables (energy)
The earth has experienced 5 mass extinctions where life was sustained under the oceans. Isn’t that a better bet than the moon or Mars if we one day need to take refuge?
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Replying to @HumanVsMachine
for those interested in more info: "Unsupervised Image-to-Image Translation Networks" presented at NIPS 2017. paper: arxiv.org/pdf/1703.00848.pdf summary: piped.video/watch?v=dqxqbvyO…
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Replying to @cameron62s
Well done sticking to you guns despite hearing something different from investor class. It’s difficult to do. YC is part of that same investor class though even if they’re saying something we want to hear. Keep it up w rangeview
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A decade old, but this tweet aged well.
Why are there no tech Laureates? I'd vote for Elon.
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VCs YOLO’ing into deep tech with “SpaceX for X” and full-stack vertical integration theses. Especially shaky when it’s coming from seed-stage investors. Founders: vertical integration ≠ focus. And at seed, focus is everything. Deeply technical net new efforts in under-resourced environments demands ruthless prioritization.
Jony Ive on what Steve Jobs taught him about focus:
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Scream it from the rooftops @thomasehendrix “If your small FPV drone you envion is AI enabled, obstacle avoiding, etc., you’ve likely missed the moment. It’s likely not ready for prime time.” “Just don’t confuse tomorrow’s vision for the possible with today’s low-cost affordable mass” ht/ @abhijeetpatra88 for fwd’ing
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👏 Looks Amazing @SkyfiApp ht/ @karantalati
Replying to @ashwinl @ryanfalor
Building Detection is one click away. We designed GIS solutions to be like an e-commerce experience: app.skyfi.com/analytics/buil…
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True. But, watch this evolve over time… Hardtech founders have the best moat when it comes to data: they CONTROL the data-gathering devices. None of these shenanigans in software-only land👇
Hardtech founders be like “i’m living the dream, so blessed” and then proceed to post “product” pics that are indistinguishable from high school level hobby engineering
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Additive/3D printing friends, check out the @USSOCOM pre-release. Art of the possible feasibility study: Ruggedized Additive Mobile Manufacturing Unit (RAMMU) 𝘛𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘈𝘥𝘥𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘔𝘢𝘯𝘶𝘧𝘢𝘤𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘨 (𝘈𝘔) 𝘴𝘩𝘢𝘭𝘭 𝘣𝘦 𝘢𝘣𝘭𝘦 𝘵𝘰 𝘱𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘵 𝘥𝘪𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘵𝘺𝘱𝘦𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘢𝘭𝘴, 𝘣𝘦𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘮𝘦𝘵𝘢𝘭, 𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘴, 𝘱𝘰𝘭𝘺𝘴, 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘴𝘵𝘦𝘦𝘭, 𝘢𝘭𝘭 𝘸𝘩𝘪𝘭𝘦 𝘬𝘦𝘦𝘱𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘦𝘳 𝘣𝘦𝘭𝘰𝘸 𝘢 10𝘒𝘭𝘣𝘴. 𝘛𝘩𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘩𝘰𝘭𝘥. 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘶𝘯𝘪𝘵 𝘮𝘶𝘴𝘵 𝘣𝘦 𝘢 𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘯𝘥𝘢𝘭𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘶𝘯𝘪𝘵 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘢 𝘱𝘳𝘪𝘰𝘳𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘭𝘪𝘮𝘪𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘏𝘦𝘢𝘷𝘺 𝘖𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘌𝘲𝘶𝘪𝘱𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘢𝘵 𝘤𝘦𝘳𝘵𝘢𝘪𝘯 𝘭𝘰𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴. 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘢𝘣𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘵𝘰 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘯𝘦𝘤𝘵 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘰 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘸𝘢𝘳𝘥 𝘰𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘣𝘢𝘴𝘦𝘴 𝘱𝘰𝘸𝘦𝘳 𝘪𝘴 𝘢 𝘮𝘶𝘴𝘵. 𝘖𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘮𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘯𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘦𝘲𝘶𝘪𝘱𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘤𝘢𝘯 𝘕𝘖𝘛 𝘳𝘦𝘭𝘺 𝘰𝘯 𝘞𝘐𝘍𝘐, 𝘉𝘭𝘶𝘦𝘵𝘰𝘰𝘵𝘩 𝘰𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘯𝘦𝘵 𝘵𝘰 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘷𝘪𝘥𝘦 𝘶𝘱𝘥𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴 𝘰𝘳 𝘴𝘦𝘳𝘷𝘪𝘤𝘦𝘴. cc: @divalbanerjee @rndeep @paddock_rob @h_thoreson @thecurlydev
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Memorial Day '13 at Golden Gate National Cemetery, 161 acres
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This is true. BUT what goes unsaid is the West knowingly or unknowingly got itself into this MESS. Self-inflicted wound. Thread👆
Marco Rubio: "If we stay on the road we are on right now - in less than 10 years, virtually everything that matters to us in life will depend on whether China allows us to have it or not." "Everything from blood pressure medicine to what movies we get to watch, and everything in between. They dominate the critical mineral industry. Even those who want more EVs - those batteries depend on China." "If we don't change course - we will live in a world where much of what matters on a daily basis, from our security to our health - will be dependent on whether the Chinese allow us to have it or not."🌎
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Spot on point from @kalinowski007 : Hardware product development is very much an apprentice field. That also means it’s specific to the org as well (and the maturity of the org). At Apple, we relied on an ecosystem of experts in: - supply chain - program managers - release cycles - QA - etc Not to mention nuances w consumer and industrial hardware. Given these multiple-dimensions, best training is OJT.
I tried to write about it, tricky because it’s very much an apprentice field. I have suspicions that that’s intentional actually. While not the technical paper I’d write (the field changes a lot even yearly), I did publish a few principles about how to “ship” HW. A live database of tech capabilities would be AMAZING for new people in the field but I fear there’s very little incentive alignment in industry because time to ship is so competitive and sometimes existential to whether you sell a lot of product. FWIW: review.firstround.com/six-st…
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𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘩𝘰𝘤𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘨𝘭𝘺 𝘱𝘰𝘰𝘳 𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝘧𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘦-𝘰𝘧-𝘵𝘩𝘦-𝘢𝘳𝘵 𝘝𝘓𝘔𝘴 𝘴𝘶𝘨𝘨𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘪𝘳 𝘷𝘪𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘪𝘴, 𝘢𝘵 𝘣𝘦𝘴𝘵, 𝘭𝘪𝘬𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘰𝘧 𝘢 𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘴𝘰𝘯 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘮𝘺𝘰𝘱𝘪𝘢 𝘴𝘦𝘦𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘧𝘪𝘯𝘦 𝘥𝘦𝘵𝘢𝘪𝘭𝘴 𝘢𝘴 𝘣𝘭𝘶𝘳𝘳𝘺, 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘢𝘵 𝘸𝘰𝘳𝘴𝘵, 𝘭𝘪𝘬𝘦 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘨𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘱𝘦𝘳𝘴𝘰𝘯 𝘸𝘩𝘰 𝘪𝘴 𝘣𝘭𝘪𝘯𝘥 𝘮𝘢𝘬𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘦𝘥𝘶𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘨𝘶𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘦𝘴. My thoughts: 1/ New generation of computer vision is upon us 2/ But, promises by SOTA are not being delivered 3/ Why? Solutions for vision are incorrectly inheriting LLM paradigms 4/ Also, diffusion model demos are sucking the air from other valuable vision problems 5/ If the promise is AI agents are to be realized, solving these (and other related vision problems) is important 6/ Couple startups I know are building here 💪
Replying to @simonw
Yeah, unfortunately vision prompting has been a tough nut to crack. We've found it's very challenging to improve Claude's actual "vision" through just text prompts, but we can of course improve its reasoning and thought process once it extracts info from an image. In general, I think vision is still in its early days, although 3.5 Sonnet is noticeably better than older models.
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For the record, this was the most diverse (gender, race, experience, skill, etc) event I’ve seen in the valley. nitter.app/cgallello/status/97830… Well done gents.
Back from a 4 day retreat in the mountains. I was a bit nervous that it would be very "Silicon Valley", but it was a really wonderful trip. Some things that surprised me:
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Never seen product market fit up close before! Read about what we’re working on at Phantom Auto
InfraBridge Pours Millions Into Remote Forklift, Yard Truck Tech Company Phantom Auto forbes.com/sites/edgarsten/2… via @forbes @PhantomAuto_ @WeAreConGlobal #technology #logistics
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America Is Missing The New Labor Economy - Robotics Part 1 Semi Analysis and their analyst team of mostly recent grads (stating non-pejoratively) recently published this long report. It’s a good 101 for beginners about robotics. Mostly new to me was data on critical minerals. Otherwise nothing new, except a good URL to share with those exploring robotics and nat sec anew. semianalysis.com/2025/03/11/… “In America there are many companies attempting to build their own hardware, but in-house hardware development means the company designing and assembling it in-house, and everyone closes their eyes when the materials and base components roll in from China.”
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Look at that? 90+ days later; secret meetings bw automation advocates and unions. Results are in… A 6 yr agreement with with a ❌ to full automation: According to a source familiar with the talks who requested anonymity because the details had not been made public, the agreement would give the ports more leeway to introduce modernizing technology. But in a concession to the union, they would have to hire new workers when they do, and full automation is off the table.
"Oh we don't want much, just a 77% pay increase and a contractual ban on all automation, forever, at all US ports." The Longshormen's Union is a vampire squid on our economy, and their pending strike will absolutely increase the cost of everything from cars to asparagus: "150,000 pounds of asparagus will fly in from Peru that would usually arrive by ocean, to avoid the risk of the vegetables getting stuck at sea and rotting. Air freight is 4X more expensive, and will add about 50 cents a pound to the cost of asparagus." US ports are already about HALF as efficient as leading international ports, because the Longshoremen have been blocking efforts to implement automation for years. The cost of that inefficiency is passed along to consumers every day. And the union is now striking to make it even worse. This is rent seeking of the worst kind, a regressive tax on low income consumers (who spend the highest portion of their earnings on goods impacted by these costs), and we should absolutely not tolerate it.
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This puts American industrial policy at a disadvantage: Each admin wants to rewind opposing Party’s prior effort. And re-packages with a new launch. This is why China has an upper hand: they plan and execute over decade+ time horizons. Case in point 👇 Ds did similar.
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For reference (abbreviated via Grok): 1. Lithium*: Ukraine has about a third of all European lithium deposits. 2. Graphite*: Ukraine accounts for ~20% of world’s graphite resources (19M tonnes of proven reserves). 3. Iron Ore: Ukraine has one of leading reserves and extraction capacities for iron ore in the world, a key resource for steel production and industrial applications. 4. Manganese: Ukraine is a major global producer of manganese, another critical mineral used in steel production and various industrial processes. 5. Coal: Ukraine has world’s 7th largest and Europe’s 2nd largest coal reserves. 6. Titanium: The country holds substantial deposits of titanium, which is vital for aerospace, defense, and other high-tech industries. 7. Other: Natural gas, Uranium, and significant reserves of mercury, potash salt, gold, building materials, ornamental stones, peat, pig iron, kaolin, bromine, and magnesium metal, positioning it among the top global producers for several of these. (*) batteries for EVs
I’ve seen the drafts of the deal before it went public It has shifted from a cash grab - “pay us $500 billion for past and 200% repayment on future aid” - to joint investment and co-ownership But no security guarantees Ukraine should sign, but It is getting screwed 1/
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I'm unaffiliated with and uncompensated by Mighty. But it definitely exists (I'm typing this using Mighty). The sheer silence of my MacBook Pro fans w/ Mighty is a constant reminder :) fwiw --I don't have the best internet connection atm. Give them time. They're a small team.
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Replying to @AravSrinivas
Finding baby names across different cultures is still troublesome. Sample prompt: “We are parents of a soon to be newborn based in New York City. We are looking for boys names that have a root in Sanskrit and Old Norse or Sanskrit and Germanic. Can you provide a list of 20 names ranked by ease of pronunciation in Indian and European cultures?”
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Wait until @GM PHYSICALLY CRUSHES all the @Cruise vehicles. In the same way it did w the EV1 ~2001. $1B invested in EV1 $10B invested in Cruise 10x crush needed!
I am shocked that the company that invented the EV, but quit when it got hard and missed out on hundreds of billions of revenue and market cap, also gave up on self-driving cars.
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