Transatlanticist | Deeptech investor @wilbe_science @MultipleCapital @QAIventures | Would much rather be listening to jazz

Paris...or hopefully on a boat
Satellite data implies China's GDP is about $7 trillion smaller than what the CCP says. It's a given that they lie extensively about their data, but a $7 trillion difference would be quite the whopper. economist.com/graphic-detail…
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Just gotta embrace it for the icebreaker and conversation starter that is. Plus it helps people to remember you more easily (good or bad). :)
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During coffee with a European founder raising a Series A after working in the US for years - Founder: Wanna see the deck? Me: Sure. Founder: Which version? Me: ? Founder: The one for US investors or European investors? Me: Big difference? Founder: One's realistic.
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Universal Music received $107k worth of Uber shares in the seed round in exchange for the domain name it owned from a previous investment. They sold their shares in the Series A round the following year for $863k. Those shares were worth $532M at IPO. on.wsj.com/2JBgtZQ
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"A16Z is doing the same thing to the venture capital industry. It is not just acting strategically in order to gain an advantage. It is imposing a whole new cost structure on its competitors." drorpoleg.com/pulling-a-bezo…
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If Europeans spent as much time focused on growing their economies as they do on climate virtue signaling, they’d have a lot more money and influence to actually combat climate change.
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Replying to @mr_james_c
One degrowther just commented to me that degrowth is only meant for the developed world and not the developing world. If they truly believe that it shows they don’t understand how economies work in the 21st century.
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Surreal that some Brits are more upset at Elon for tweeting about this tragedy than they are at their politicians, bureaucrats, police, academics, judiciary, past and present Prime Ministers, etc. who covered it up. People of the UK, you should be enraged at your government.
State-sponsored evil
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Heard from yet another first-time VC who is going into debt to meet their GP commitment. LPs need to realize that such scenarios aren’t healthy.
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The rise of Ireland as a tax haven, visualised. gabriel-zucman.eu/exorbitant…
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“The Forbes 30 Under 30 have collectively raised $5.3B in funding. The Forbes 30 Under 30 have also been arrested for frauds and scams worth over $18.5B.” theguardian.com/business/202…
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A lot of Europeans are in deep denial as to just how undynamic Europe is economically. Then they come up with weird copes as a defense mechanism. ft.com/content/22089f01-8468…
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Some Europeans are upset at the VP for telling them hard truths. To all the Europeans claiming the US is “no longer an ally”, only a real ally would tell you that you’re not carrying your weight…and Europe hasn’t been carrying its weight for a long time. It’s failed as an ally.
JD Vance’s speech at Munich is worth watching in full. It’s a much more nuanced and broadly reasonable argument than I think Europeans are used to hearing from the American right.
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Just got sent this article from someone in the European ecosystem saying "wow, 75 millionaires from Klarna!" 😳 A company valued at $45.6B should produce a hell of a lot more than 75 millionaires. sifted.eu/articles/klarna-em…
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“When you build something ambitious, you realize geography isn’t neutral. It either multiplies your luck or quietly kills your momentum.”
Personal update: I broke up with France and just moved to San Francisco 🇫🇷💔🇺🇸 After 2.5 years building Gigi from Paris, it was about time. We did what we could there, built the foundations, proved the vision, and recently raised a new round with Khosla after a full product pivot. But at some point, you outgrow the place that raised you. France is that charming ex who says they love your fire… but keeps asking you to lower your voice at dinner. And I can’t. I tried. When you build something ambitious, you realize geography isn’t neutral. It either multiplies your luck or quietly kills your momentum. I chose to go where luck compounds. - Where working until 2 am with your team isn’t seen as toxic, it’s just called building. - Where being outspoken, weird or “too much” is celebrated. - Where telling a story about something that doesn’t exist yet doesn’t make you sound stupid, it makes them text 3 friends saying “you need to meet her.” - And where the density of talent and energy dares you to raise your own f****** bar every single day. So here I am. Surrounded by creepy AI billboards. New city. New chapter. Same mission: building an AI that turns everything you’ve done, and everyone you know, into the opportunities you were always meant to have. I don’t usually make a wishlist, but this move feels like a big one. Here's what I’m looking for as I settle in: 1) A founding CTO who’s built before and wants to go all in with me. 2) Founder friends who wanna hang out, b**** about their investors, compare retention curves, and become early Gigi testers. 3) A flat to share with my favorite human, @HugoAmsellem 4) Share this tweet. Much love 💛 SF, I’m here. I’m a pain in the ass, but a fun one to be around I promise. Hit me up!
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Equity per round in US venture deals, via @cartainc.
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Pretty much every competition slide in a pitch deck.
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Big, poorly performing funds make more money for the partnership than small, good performing funds. @tmrohan lays out the truth as to why so many VCs grow their fund size. trohan.com/2023/08/20/raise-…
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I will never not love a SoftBank presentation. 😍 group.softbank/system/files/…
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Degrowthers are naive zealots who would turn back global progress if they could. The fact the EU hosted an event for them is appalling. ft.com/content/e2f96618-081f…
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“Notaries can actively contribute to the objectives of significantly reducing bureaucracy and cutting red tape for companies” is not something that anyone who’s ever dealt with European notaries has ever said or thought.
@andreasklinger @euacchq IT BEGINS! Austrian Notary association is clearly in denial that they repel investment and are the main cause of painful bureaucracy
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"I have an investor relations group of two people...the group that manages $230 billion in cash is a group of seven". - Luca Maestri, Apple CFO.
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Was amazed to be in parts of central London this week with poor - or even no - phone service. Embarrassing for a place that wants to be a global tech hub. economist.com/britain/2024/1…
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Some people don’t realize just how big LVMH is.
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Been seeing a lot of profiles on LinkedIn with "award winning entrepreneur" in the title. While nowhere near as bad as the GOAT bullshit LinkedIn self-descriptor of "visionary", of all the ways to qualify success as an entrepreneur I wouldn't put winning an award high up the list
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LinkedIn isn’t a serious platform. I’m blocked out of my account there because people (all Europeans) were upset with my version of this post there. Again, the irony that some people are more upset about a post than the tragedy is telling.
Surreal that some Brits are more upset at Elon for tweeting about this tragedy than they are at their politicians, bureaucrats, police, academics, judiciary, past and present Prime Ministers, etc. who covered it up. People of the UK, you should be enraged at your government.
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Met a friend from one of Europe’s biggest family offices for breakfast. I asked which current investments do they think have real growth potential in Europe. Answer was a chain of hearing aid stores, and a portfolio of retirement homes. Old Europe is full of old Europeans. 👴🏻👵🏻
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"Let's be real, these people sit on cozy tax paid positions, with no other task than producing useless papers that no one understands, and therefore no one dares criticise." Sabine on the death of physics.
In which I get very depressed that nothing has changed in 20 years. piped.video/watch?v=cBIvSGLk…
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Some VCs seem to think there’s a larger problem with the economy because many of their B2B SaaS portfolio companies are struggling, when in reality they just invested in bad and mediocre software companies at too high of valuations.
Folks in the tech industry are tempted to think that the U.S. economy is doing bad because software had a big bust over the last two years. But the broader U.S. economy seems to basically ignore what happens in Silicon Valley. noahpinion.blog/p/the-us-eco…
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Web3 investors pivoting hard to being GPT3 investors. 😉
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A European VC just seriously told me that if we invested everything into climatetech and solved the climate crisis we wouldn’t have to worry about security and defense. 🤦🏻‍♂️ Apparently there were no conflicts prior to the industrial revolution. 🤷🏻‍♂️ A lot of VCs are just dumb.

ALT Facepalm GIF

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Friend in spacetech shared a recent conversation. Europeans increasingly seen as impediments to progress.
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Any net zero plan that doesn’t have China and India as the centerpieces really doesn’t matter.
China 🇨🇳 emits more carbon than the U.S. 🇺🇸 and Europe 🇪🇺 combined. India 🇮🇳 is rapidly catching up 📈
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This. It’s always quite empty. Lots of corporate “innovation” spaces and incubators that are just marketing spend.
Station F after 6 pm or on weekends is a ghost town. A handful of motivated entrepreneurs show up, but the rest? Subsidized startups and a PR facade. @Xavier75 has dropped by several times at night to check on the 42 crew and startups, he’s been disappointed to see so few people in @joinstationf . Culture matters
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"Already EU bureaucrats have reported difficulties with staffing AI offices with real experts at the European level. Now imagine if we need an expert AI team for the Market Surveillance Authority of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern." The EU AI Act is a clusterfuck. siliconcontinent.com/p/the-s…
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"The EU's regulatory stance towards tech companies hampers innovation...GDPR is estimated to have reduced the profits for small tech companies by more than 15%. We are killing our small companies. We are self-defeating."
Mario Draghi calls on the EU to deregulate in order to foster innovation and help tech companies thrive. 🇪🇺🫡
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Europe needs a lot more VC money going into deeptech.
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“Building an entry-level factory that produces 50k wafers per month costs about $15B...they become obsolete in 5 years or less...the brutal economics of the industry mean fewer companies can afford to keep up.” bloomberg.com/graphics/2021-…
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The EU, where regulating is cheered more than actually innovating.
Historic! The EU becomes the very first continent to set clear rules for the use of AI 🇪🇺 The #AIAct is much more than a rulebook — it's a launchpad for EU startups and researchers to lead the global AI race. The best is yet to come! 👍
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The German Greens have got to be a foreign funded psyop. They’ve spent decades weakening Germany.
The title says it all. Germany is willing to PAY $16 billion in order to use new (imported, polluting, CO2-emitting) gas generation, in place of clean domestic nuclear generation (i.e., simply restarting existing nuclear plants). Article link in reply. The article goes onto say that, whereas Germany was starting to consider restarting nuclear plants as an alternative to *coal*, it reaffirmed its plan to keep nuclear closed because they were able to secure gas supplies. Germany and other nations will now shift from coal to gas. That's arguably good news, although the indefensible closing of existing nuclear remains very bad news. The article also goes on to describe how this all shows that solar and wind generation require significant amounts of fossil (gas) capacity as backup. The rest of the article seems to be a little bit to pro-gas. It seems to suggest that German public/political support for keeping nuclear plants running was only because they would be replaced with coal, instead of gas, and that if gas supplies can be assured, politicans and the public would support keeping the nuclear plants closed. Or that's what the German government thought, at least. The article then appears to suggest that gas is not viewed as a "dirty, carbon heavy fuel". Only coal is. Basically that it's clean and not even a "fossil fuel." That view is mostly at odds with the facts, and is probably an inaccurate characterization of public views.
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Impressive stat: Indian Americans are 1.3% of US population but have founded 23% of US unicorns.
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“France is a paradise inhabited by people who think they're in hell.”
The great contemporary mystery playing out in France👇 ⁦@TheEconomist
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Europe has a much bigger far-left problem than it does a far-right problem.
🇫🇷 Far-left French politician Louis Boyard slyly takes off his Rolex worth approx. $50,000 before giving an interview ‘denouncing the ultra-rich’ Communists are the worst hypocrites.
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“You win a war against America when we stop believing that technology is a force for good, but rather black magic to be scared of, feared, controlled, and ultimately extinguished by people who write white papers for a living.” Banger of a speech here by @KTmBoyle. 👏🏻
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European venture has a serious exit problem. Was at a dinner this week with some LPs in European VC and all have older funds in their portfolio with major unrealized gains. 10+ year old funds with 7x-10x TVPIs but DPIs under 1.5x. They want liquidity before new commitments.
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Only one of Europe’s top ten universities is in the EU.
This is a truly impressive example of Great Britain.
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US pension funds are 15% of LP base in German venture, whereas German pension funds are less than 1% of LP base in German venture. US pensions have €4.7B in German unicorns. German pensions have €94M. 😳 via @RedstoneVC redstone.vc/us-pensioners-be…
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Every SaaS company trying to pass themselves off as an AI company these days. 🐴
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The Greens need a new playbook.
Sex is good but have you tried having your country shutting down its last nuclear power plants in 30 mn?
Community note
Only 6% of the electricity produced by the nuclear plants going offline will be from renewable energy. The rest will be coal & gas. cnn.com/2023/04/15/eur…. Coal power produces ~100 times more radioactive waste than nuclear power. Therefore, Europe is about to become more - not less - radioactive. sciencefocus.com/science/do-coa…
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"Only three companies in the world — Intel, Samsung and TSMC — are capable of mass producing chips powerful and small enough for today’s advanced mobile technologies." Nice primer - with loads of visuals - from the FT on computer chip manufacturing. ig.ft.com/microchips/
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This is what it looks like when a whole continent opts out of the longest bull market in history.
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“Europe’s smaller but most tech-oriented members rarely feel heard in the halls of Brussels, even as they often disagree with the Commission’s agenda.” The EU should let the Nordics and Baltics lead on tech…instead they have Germany and France instead. politico.eu/article/on-tech-…
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Euro VC: We’re a different kind of VC and want to go outside the box to hire an associate. Know anyone? Me: Sure. *makes some intros* A few months later. Me: Who’d you hire? Euro VC: A b-school grad who spent 2 years in consulting. Me: 🤦🏻‍♂️ Europe never changes its spots.
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Ah European VC, where SaaS is considered “deeptech”.
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“If Europe cannot become more productive...we will not be able to finance our social model. We will have to scale back some, if not all, of our ambitions.” ft.com/content/47d28f39-6f9d…
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Europe when it finds something new to regulate.

ALT Weekend Party GIF

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VC Funding Per Capita By European Country: 🥇 🇪🇪 Estonia (€1967) 🥈 🇸🇪 Sweden (€1769) 🥉 🇨🇭 Switzerland (€1414) Part of a good report by @dealroomco on Central and Eastern European startups. dealroom.co/blog/central-and…
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A European deep tech founder waiting (and waiting...and waiting...) for the EIC fund money to come. 💀
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“European start-ups can thrive by developing applications that are built on top of AI platforms run by US-based companies such as OpenAI or Google”. Europe’s definition of ‘winning’ is apparently a participation trophy. ft.com/content/89d32399-f773…
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Not sure why this is rubbing some in Europe the wrong way. It’s damn tough to find partner level profiles in Europe. Few have scaled companies or have track record as investors. Not an insult to Europe, just where the ecosystem’s at in its development. cnbc.com/2021/12/28/top-us-v…
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Nice chart from the folks at @dealroomco. Europe is a MUCH healthier place for startups than when I first came over in 2007. Still a long way to go, but steady improvement across the board. bit.ly/2OhT7ZT
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VCs are on track to close 2023 with 73% less capital committed than 2022. 📉 "Exits dropped off a cliff in mid-2022 and have failed to pick back up, leaving gobs of LP capital tied up in late-stage unicorns." pitchbook.com/news/articles/…
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"Regulatory Superpower". 🤦🏻‍♂️
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Philips has helped birth some of the biggest and most important tech companies on the planet.
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Anyone who thinks the future of venture would be better by skipping the VCs and dealing directly with the LPs clearly hasn't dealt with many LPs.
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When a generalist VC thinks they've got themself a real live deep tech deal. 😉 TGIF!
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A friend of mine is Paris is an automotive exec. He has direct reports under him in Detroit that make 2x what he does. The cost of living in Detroit is significantly lower than Paris. Middle of nowhere US salaries are beating those in major European capitals.
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Average age a founder started a future European unicorn is 33. Top three schools for European unicorn founders are Oxford, LSE, and Cambridge. 15% don't have a university degree. 🦄 linkedin.com/posts/activity-…
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“Junior people here ask me ‘Hey at this other firm young people are going on boards, can I be on a board?’, I say you haven’t earned the right...just because you got an MBA and joined a venture firm doesn’t mean you’re qualified to advise an entrepreneur.”
Man, @vkhosla is brutal. I've never raised VC. Curious to know what founders who have think about this. Do 70% of investors add negative value?
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"Europe’s exceptional talent is too spread out; founders, cities, and regulators need to pursue dense talent clusters to improve rates of success." Yup. 💯 waldencatalyst.com/blog/euro…
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"One thing that Europe is not lacking is capital. What is absent is intent....total AUM in the region amounted to a colossal €28.4T in the third quarter of 2022. The trouble is only a tiny fraction of that total is allocated to growth capital." ft.com/content/a493868f-75f2…
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Europe does seem to still love copycats. 👏🏻
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Instead Germany is using lignite, demolishing nuclear plants, halting aid to Ukraine over budget concerns, etc. This is what a bought political class does.
If Germany had stuck with nuclear power it would have saved €350 billion and cut emissions by 73% more since 2022. tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.…
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Tech entrepreneur with his banker, lawyers, and accountant.
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Frenchest thing you’ll read today.
The French government this week wanted to organise a big conference on working 4 days a week, but then realised Wednesday and Thursday are bank holidays and everyone is taking Friday off. France in May: you can't even get enough people for a meeting to discuss working less
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“You need to choose between building your startup and building a company that gets EU grants…roughly 50% of your activities in funded projects will go towards writing reports.” EU grant programs are at best neutral for European innovation. sifted.eu/articles/why-is-ap…
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This is idiotic. I’ve known lots of US and European military officers. None, literally none, have ever wanted war. Investing in defense is about deterrence, not warmongering.
How the Besties Think About Defense Investing Last week, @friedberg, @DavidSacks, and @chamath discussed investing in defense startups: Both Sacks and Chamath said they would have to think twice about investing in startups that made weapons. But, both have invested in defense companies building tech that is defensive in nature, gathers intelligence, and saves lives, like @saildrone and @allencontrol. Sacks: "I don't have a problem with investing in a company like @anduriltech. America needs defense companies ... and we need startup disruptors. So I'm not morally opposed to it. And in fact, I think it's probably a good thing." "I think my concern would be I don't really want to be part of the military industrial complex. I feel like it might corrupt my views on things. I don't want to feel an incentive to be like these generals who go on CNN and Fox News and justify every single war." Chamath: "That's my biggest fear as well. It's one thing to be investing in a bunch of companies where we're sitting around hoping for cheaper clicks on Facebook and Google. It's an entirely other thing to sit on the board of a company and hope for war. That's a horrible place to be." "If you believe that America should be the most important country in the world, and you have the ability to help it be that, eventually some of those decisions will come in contact with (the choice to invest in defense startups). Friedberg: "I think the fact that both of you highlighted a degree of trepidation, and you guys are fairly outside of the middle bounds of how Silicon Valley would think and make decisions, indicates why so much of Silicon Valley has deep concerns about investing in defense technology..."
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Oh ffs.🤦‍♂️This is harmful messaging. European venture is starting to produce top decile returns (none of which are represented in this EIC fund team btw) and the message here to the world is not only that it's broken, but it's the EU that can fix it?! 😳 sifted.eu/articles/eic-start…
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Ranking of European ecosystems by combined enterprise value of companies founded this century. From @dealroomco. blog.dealroom.co/venture-cap…
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“Europe is highly unlikely to be relevant.”
Eric Schmidt says the US is 2-3 years ahead of China at AI, while Europe is too busy regulating to be relevant
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The euro has been good for Germany. dw.com/en/cep-study-germany-…
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Saying that the state can determine which opinions are true or false is incredibly dangerous. I’m amazed by how many Europeans are unbothered by this sort of thinking amongst its politicians.
Clara Chappaz (ministre du numérique) à propos de X : "nous voulons des outils pour nous assurer que les opinions qui seraient de fausses opinions peuvent être sorties de la plateforme"
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Not sure how anyone takes the German Greens seriously.
*taps sign again*
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Love that there’s meetups of deeptech founders at Oxford who don’t want to go along with the uni’s status quo of funding (OSE), called ‘The Resistance’.
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“a leading university in Scotland wanting 20-40% of a spinout company without any cash investment, were told that Stanford often asked for 5-10% at most. Their response? ‘Well, it sounds like Stanford has a lot to learn.’” 🤣scotsman.com/news/opinion/co…
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“It's really sad because the European talent pool is amazing”. Yup.
Eric Schmidt says it's going to be rare to see the successes in Europe that you see in America and the UK: "The fundamental reason is that they can't get the capital and Europe's regulatory structure is so prohibitive It's really sad because the European talent pool is amazing, the opportunity to build companies in terms of impact is huge And frankly Europe's government and its regulation is slowing them down"
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No corner of social media is as cringe as the comments section on LinkedIn.
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They behave like they just put someone on the moon. “One smell step for Europe, one giant leap for regulatory capture.”
Historic! The EU becomes the very first continent to set clear rules for the use of AI 🇪🇺 The #AIAct is much more than a rulebook — it's a launchpad for EU startups and researchers to lead the global AI race. The best is yet to come! 👍
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“Europe lacks the data centres to train artificial intelligence models that match the current demand.” euronews.com/next/2024/06/14…
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This shows a complete and utter lack of business knowledge and understanding…and also generous amounts of pettiness and jealousy. Disagree with his politics, but there’s no real denying that Elon is the most important entrepreneur of his generation.
All those critiquing @elonmusk (rightly so) should begin by questioning those calling him a “genius” or even a “tech bro”. He invented NONE of the TECH. Just bought stuff at the right time. More marketing than science. He’s benefitted by billions of government dollars that he questions when given to others. Clear regressive political agenda: underfund government (even more) hoping that deregulation and a weak state can make outer space his playground & sling mud like a child at all progressive politicians like @Keir_Starmer. I wrote about this more than a decade ago in my book The Entrepreneurial State.
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Business school alumni starting a lot of AI companies is likely a sign of a bubble. 🫧
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The stereotype/myth of German efficiency is most easily shattered by spending any amount of time in Germany.
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“We came to the conclusion that a nice simple outcome would be 20% equity stake to the university and 80% to the founders…it’s a take-it-or-leave-it offer. For us, we think it’s a reasonable number.” Do European TTOs not hear the words they're saying? sifted.eu/articles/oxford-un…
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