China (maritime) security scholar @CarnegieEndow & adjunct professor @SAISHopkins. Book: yalebooks.yale.edu/978030025……
Washington, DC
- Tweets 1,423
- Following 742
- Followers 4,189
- Likes 3,343
Pinned Tweet
China’s Law of the Sea: The New Rules of Maritime Order yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780…
2
13
1,869
New @Journal_IS piece with @wendyleutert analyzes PRC firms’ ports overseas. We observe that the PLA (especially navy) has already made extensive use of this network to project power at a global scale. (1/4) direct.mit.edu/isec/article/…
4
78
190
First public book talk on “China’s Law of the Sea” at Columbia @CWPColumbia on Feb 20 4:30pm ET— register here for the live webcast: cwp.sipa.columbia.edu/events…
5
39
136
23,726
Delighted to share my latest in @SecStudies_Jrnl: China’s Global Maritime Access: Alternatives to Overseas Military Bases in the Twenty-First Century. tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.….
Quick summary in thread below👇
4
48
131
Thank you, Evan! I’m honored to join the @CarnegieEndow and your stellar Asia team.
I’m also excited to build on wonderful experiences with @NavalWarCollege and further develop my research agenda on China’s maritime affairs into the wider global commons
1: I’m delighted to welcome the stellar @IBKardon to our team at @CarnegieEndow as Senior Fellow for China Studies. Isaac starts at #CarnegieAsia this week and will help drive our fantastic, multifaceted, and fast-growing stream of work on China's foreign and security policies.
15
6
129
52,922
Thank you @peter_dutton for penning this challenging essay on my book bit.ly/3ClMCPn. Couldn't ask for a stronger review!
China Is Rewriting the Law of the Sea - Washington missed the boat to shape the global maritime order. Beijing is stepping in.foreignpolicy.com/2023/06/10…
6
28
71
15,051
Honored to have our piece selected for @perryworldhouse Emerging Scholars Policy Prize and publication in @ForeignAffairs. Thanks!
We're delighted to announce the winners of the 2022 Emerging Scholars Policy Prize with @ForeignAffairs: @williamandmary's @sh_grewal and co-authors Isaac B. Kardon and @wendyleutert, of @NavalWarCollege and @IUBloomington, respectively. global.upenn.edu/perryworldh…
5
4
56
Thanks to @RollandNadege and our top-notch co-conspirators studying all angles of China’s critical infrastructure strategy in Africa nbr.org/publication/chinas-p… @NBRnews
17
51
Thrilled to be featured in this fascinating @WSJ video essay on strategic competition in maritime transportation. The piece and map draw from work @wendyleutert and I have been doing on the PRC as a “pier competitor” in global ports @CarnegieEndow @CarnegieChina @CarnegieSAsia
1
11
47
13,268
Thank you @WSJ and @sharontyshi for featuring me and my work with @wendyleutert in this great video story on US-China competition for overseas military bases:
wsj.com/video/series/in-dept…
2
21
40
The proposed Chinese space-port in Djibouti is a fascinating but under-exposed development with major implications for space law and emerging norms. Strong piece by @47stein: foreignpolicy.com/2023/04/21… cc @peter_dutton
6
18
41
33,217
Brilliant review of my book by The Economist’s Beijing chief @DSORennie, who captures its essential arguments in far better prose — and perfectly nests it all in a Guys & Dolls metaphor!
“Chuffed” to reach such a wide and sophisticated readership @TheEconomist
I wrote about the S China Sea and what it says about China’s approach to international law. Also managed to get “Guys and Dolls” into a Chaguan column. With thanks to an excellent new book by @IBKardon on “China’s Law of the Sea” economist.com/china/2023/11/…
5
42
12,796
Thrilled to be on NPR (!!!) @MorningEdition, commenting on China’s position on turmoil in Red Sea and wider Mideast.
Terrific story by @jackienortham and nice contributions from @neilthomas123 on air.
1
9
24
3,727
Glad to chat with @peter_dutton about PRC ports worldwide. Just six minutes of a five-year-long conversation that's still running...
BLUF: forget the BRI branding, watch the key sectors.
1
8
25
State-of-the-art from our own @rdmartinson88. This study is thoroughly researched in Chinese journals, and essential reading for anyone seeking to understand Chinese #maritimepower & #maritimestrategy
CMSI Red Book 15 now available at digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cm…
Echelon Defense: The Role of Sea Power in Chinese Maritime Dispute Strategy
By @rdmartinson88
19
27
.@SheenaGreitens and I wrote this piece in part to warn against the dangers of mirror-imaging in thinking about US-PRC competition. For third countries, Washington and Beijing clearly offer different—and sometimes even complementary—security goods. Short essay explaining why 👇
As the U.S.-Chinese competition intensifies, many countries are pursuing security relationships with both Beijing and Washington—heightening the risk of miscalculation between the great powers, write @SheenaGreitens and @IBKardon.
trib.al/qQQrCeR
3
24
3,469
Thanks to @FairbankCenter @BelferCenter for the chance to speak on China and the law of the sea this Wednesday @ 12pm -- and for another sensational poster! ☺️
Who makes “the rules” of international order? China is at odds with all of its regional neighbors over how the law of the sea should govern resources and dispute resolution. Join Isaac Kardon of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 4/12 at 12pm. fairbank.fas.harvard.edu/eve…
2
5
21
8,529
Surprised and delighted to see my book “China’s Law of the Sea” <bit.ly/YalePress> receive such a fine review from @DSORennie in @TheEconomist Chaguan column.
Unfortunately neither of us has a ready remedy to the PRC brewing up another crisis at #SecondThomas in the SCS
I wrote about the S China Sea and what it says about China’s approach to international law. Also managed to get “Guys and Dolls” into a Chaguan column. With thanks to an excellent new book by @IBKardon on “China’s Law of the Sea” economist.com/china/2023/11/…
4
14
2,407
XJP looks like he's sitting in a hot tub ordering a Mai Tai; Macron looks like an overeager schoolchild...
21
1,967
Chuffed to join @alessionaval and @RoyalNavy Strategic Studies Centre…program couldn’t be better (unless we could also hear from @peter_dutton on China and the law of the sea)
We're delighted to be hosting @IBKardon to discuss his new book:
"China's Law of the Sea: The New Rules of Maritime Order"
Dr. Kardon will be joined in conversation by Cdr Caroline Tuckett and @alessionaval
🕐 5.00-6.15pm, 13 June
📍Bush House
eventbrite.co.uk/e/book-laun…
1
5
18
3,999
Really welcome this chance to resume people-to-people dialogue with PRC — which is all the more vital when we have less to agree on.
Thanks @paulhaenle and team for all of the hard work to make this happen!
1/ I was pleased to be back in Beijing last week with @CarnegieChina colleagues for an in-person Track II dialogue on #US-#China w/ counterparts from @CISSTsinghua.
1
19
2,270
Latest installment in @ChinaMaritime series on China’s “strategic strongpoint” ports across the Indian Ocean — Gwadar case study just posted: digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cm…
3
13
21
TODAY at 1pm ET! Excited to join my @CarnegieEndow colleague @darshanabaruah and @CWPColumbia comrade @zhubochubo for a discussion with @KassenovaNargis & @jagevans on the vital subject of PRC territorial sovereignty and its blurry edges. cc @fravel @jessicacweiss @EvanFeigenbaum
Contesting Territory, Asserting Sovereignty beyond China’s Borders
Join us via Zoom, March 6 at 1pm EST for a discussion with @darshanabaruah @zhubochubo @IBKardon, moderated by @KassenovaNargis and me
Co-sponsored by @DCRES_Harvard @FairbankCenter
daviscenter.fas.harvard.edu/…
2
8
18
12,188
My latest, on USG actions re: PRC-manufactured cranes. This equipment is ubiquitous at US ports (some 80% of market both here and internationally) and poses significant cybersecurity and supply chain risk. The measures are appropriate but will require heroic industry cooperation.
Good stuff from my @CarnegieEndow teammate @IBKardon on the Biden Administration's new executive order on Chinese-made cranes, cyber, and U.S. national security. carnegieendowment.org/2024/0…
3
6
18
7,007
Quoted on the asymmetry in US-China competition reflected in the PRC’s overseas port network.
@wendyleutert and I also contributed our data and background insights to this attractive interactive: wapo.st/3snfG7O
6
18
2,478
Quoted in important story about emerging efforts to counter China's commanding position in global ports and shipping (and shipbuilding, and cranes, and containers, etc.) wsj.com/articles/in-croatia-…
1
5
19
3,612
Great honor to join Tom Christensen's leading small group @CWPColumbia in NYC to talk about my new book. Video now up on the net: 'China’s Law Of The Sea: The New Rules Of Maritime Order' With Isaac Kardon piped.video/1Gu0QF7eQ8M via
@YouTube
4
20
2,882
This discussion between LTG (ret) Charles Hooper (former Beijing DATT and present @CarnegieEndow non-res fellow) and MIT's Taylor @fravel is fascinating -- a master class on the PLA and a great way for all of us to start off smart in 2024!
How has China's military strategy evolved since 1949, and how does that strategy's roots in the Chinese Civil War influence the way it approaches flashpoints like Taiwan and the South China Sea today? mwi.westpoint.edu/irregular-…
5
17
5,119
Please join/tune in for our discussion on China’s maritime power (and my new book) with @Fiona_Cunning and Ashley Tellis on May 11 3pm @CarnegieEndow @CarnegieSAsia @CarnegieChina
In his new book, “China’s Law of the Sea,” @IBKardon explores the implications of Beijing’s maritime strategy in East Asia.
To learn more about Chinese maritime disputes, join Kardon, Ashley J. Tellis, and @Fiona_Cunning on 5/11 at 3pm ET.
RSVP: bit.ly/42dvK8l
6
19
3,969
Research on ports & PRC power projection with @wendyleutert now showcased @ForeignAffairs thanks to our U. Penn @perryworldhouse award! This essay draws on our 2022 piece in @Journal_IS: direct.mit.edu/isec/article-…
“The factors that make ports commercially attractive to China—proximity to key markets and resources, major shipping lanes, and maritime chokepoints—also make them strategically significant.”
trib.al/3OqordL
1
12
15
8,104
What a fun challenge to speak with about 20 super-smart 8th graders (!!) who wanted to learn more about China. They even had some keen critiques for my not-so-light academic book, China's Law of the Sea: yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780… cc @CarnegieEndow @robert_a_blair
Thanks to @IBKardon for working with 8th Grade history students to expand their understanding of complex issues relating to their unit on China! Read more: mosesbrown.org/visiting-scho…
1
16
3,674
Chinese firms own and operate 96 terminals in 53 countries on every continent (except Antarctica). These holdings are mostly concentrated in only a few state-owned firms. Beijing employs several mechanisms to control these firms’ port assets. (2/4)
2
7
14
Product placement!
Some poor traveler wandered into WHSmith in Singapore Changyi Airport Terminal 4 looking for a light read, and walked off with my boring, academic book instead of a bodice-ripper on Xi Jinping Thought.
Thanks to the keen-eyed @bilbyai team for spotting it!
1
16
1,585
h/t to @ANewman_forward & @henryfarrell for conceiving #weaponizedinterdependence concept, and to @dandrezner et al for advancing research agenda, into which our argument (sort of) fits. belfercenter.org/publication…
3
4
17
Delighted to join my esteemed @CarnegieEndow
colleague, @paulhaenle, on his always-stellar @CarnegieChina podcast. We talked about my book and applied its findings to some current issues -- including the recent confrontations near Second Thomas Shoal... podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
4
13
5,442
The deep seabed is the only remaining frontier on our planet, with huge economic, military, and scientific implications. International law and practice are very thin in this remote domain, and China 🇨🇳 has rapidly emerged as a bold leader in shaping the new deep-sea regime. (1/3)
China is leading the international rulemaking process to regulate deep-sea mining.
How can Washington blunt Beijing’s advances while also protecting the environment?
@IBKardon and Sarah Camacho explain:
carnegieendowment.org/2023/1…
2
11
14
5,925
Thank you 🙏 @NewChinaBooks for featuring my book out soon with @yalepress 🌊!!
CHINA'S LAW OF THE SEA
An in-depth examination of the law and geopolitics of China’s maritime disputes and their implications for the rules of the international law of the sea.
March 2023
@IBKardon
@yalepress
yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780…
5
13
4,038
Heavy CCG activity in the southern tier of the SCS may be the best illustration of the practical impact of China's artificial island bases. They're not just possible military bases but ACTUAL coast guard bases to sustain significant PRC maritime presence all the time @GregPoling
China’s coast guard presence in the South China Sea is more robust than ever before, with Automatic Identification System data showing that it maintained near-daily patrols across key features in 2022. See the data in AMTI’s latest: cs.is/3JrSKKS
1
8
16
6,025
1/3
My 3 cents on the reinstatement of US-China mil-mil dialogues after Biden-Xi summit.
carnegieendowment.org/2023/1…
(1) Old wine, old bottle: the restoration of DPCT, MMCA, and theater/combatant commander phonecons restore only some of the pre-existing mil-mil mechanisms...
1
7
15
5,896
Insightful interview — as ever, @SheenaGreitens is teaching us something important. Division of internal and external security in our China analysis is an artificial separation that often leads us astray. “State” or “regime” security is the unifying concept — even overseas!
1
3
11
4,293
Carnegie Maritime meets Carnegie Continental, now that’s great power competition.
At #CarnegieAsia we have one of the world’s finest teams on Asia’s maritime spaces. But the land matters strategically too, not just the water. Join us next week as we launch an ambitious new @CarnegieEndow initiative on Continental Asia. I’ll be joined by just a few of our team.
2
13
2,635
The upshot is China has an attractive ALTERNATIVE: dual-use commercial facilities, which allow the PLA to leverage the competitive strengths of PRC enterprises to project power abroad, as @wendyleutert and I analyzed in @Journal_IS in this piece: direct.mit.edu/isec/article-… (6/6).
1
5
12
Exciting project with @AndrewIYeo, assembling world-class regional experts to examine strategic competition for basing across each major world region. I covered the Indian Ocean region (with help from the IOR guru @darshanabaruah): brookings.edu/research/geost…
What are the challenges and risks Chinese and Russian bases pose to the United States’ regional strategy?
@AndrewIYeo & @IBKardon answer as they present their findings on great power competition and overseas basing this Friday at 10:30 AM EDT.
brookings.edu/events/geostra…
1
8
14
5,148
More brilliant work on the SCS and China from Andrew Chubb @zhubochubo — we don’t see the PRC nationalism tail wagging the maritime strategy dog
Chinese Nationalism and the “Gray Zone”: Case Analyses of Public Opinion and PRC Maritime Policy by @zhubochubo digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cm…
4
13
"Pier Competitor" doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00433 article co-authored with @wendyleutert was translated by a PRC think-tank, thoughtfully critiqued, glossarized, and made into an educational resource for 中文-capable students and scholars: archive.today/qzznb cc @Journal_IS
1
2
10
1,660
Thank you @SheenaGreitens @ayumi_teraoka et al for the opportunity to share my work on China’s maritime strategy with the terrific & engaged @UTAustin @AsiaPolicyUT community
Last week, the @AsiaPolicyUT, the @ClementsCenter, the @StraussCenter, the @UTNROTC, and the @UT_CEAS had a full house for @IBKardon, Senior Fellow at the @CarnegieEndow, to discuss "China's Law of the Sea: The New Rules of Maritime Order!"
1
1
12
2,452
Cannot wait to dig into @YelingT’s new book, hot off the @CornellPress. She is right at the bleeding edge of IPE & China studies, asking hugely important questions.
1
1
11
Just glad to join your brilliant talk on a fascinating set of papers, Courtney! @CWPColumbia and @ColumbiaSIPA learned a lot from you about the nature and limits of China's influence in (and through) the UN!
Thank you to CWP for hosting, Isaac for stepping into chair and comment, and for the thoughtful Q&A!
My talk drew from @shinghonlam and my @LowyInstitute research on 🇨🇳 contributions to the 🇺🇳
lowyinstitute.org/publicatio…
cc: @SSC_MQ
2
10
1,567
Thank you, @jessicacweiss for highlighting the limits of China’s port network for generating a “warfighting” capability. Explaining this limitation is a central element of our argument, which tries to right-size the challenge (not inflate it).
1
3
8
913
Terrific insights from @ChongJaIan @eleanor_ma and @dennisw5 on securitization in PRC and implications for foreign affairs. Cc @SheenaGreitens
*New🎙️* featuring a convo w/@dennisw5 & @ChongJaIan about how security came to be the central focus for🇨🇳leaders under Xi Jinping. They explore how they track security-oriented behavior and the impact of this shift on the🇨🇳party-state governing system. uschinadialogue.georgetown.e…
1
1
12
1,752
Happy to share the new Sea Power podcast series from the @NavalWarCollege which I had the pleasure to produce and host. Our distinguished guest @Admiral_Foggo
is laser focused on our main theme of “great power competition at sea” in the season’s first episode:
Underway with ADM Foggo (USN, ret) podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
1
1
11
1,402
Party-state control enables PLA use of PRC firm-operated ports for logistics and intelligence missions—but these commercial terminals in non-allied states are not well-suited for combat operations. (3/4)
1
4
11
State-owned construction giant China Harbour Engineering Corp (with Singaporean consortium) now owns (75%) and operates major Nigerian port at Lekki, key commercial & strategic hub on the Gulf of Guinea. apnews.com/article/nigeria-g… @wendyleutert
3
9
1,117
Thanks @ForeignAffairs and Andy Nathan for the wonderful capsule review of my new book, China’s Law of the Sea: The New Rules of Maritime Order foreignaffairs.com/reviews/c…
1
2
10
1,354
PRC Embassy Sri Lanka promoting a PRC firm’s equity in a German port terminal tells us something about Beijing’s efforts to take a dominant position in global maritime transport, a key of the central maritime power program. Cc @wendyleutert @peter_dutton
🇨🇳 shipping giant COSCO buys 35% stake in 🇩🇪 Hamburg Container Terminal today.
The German side believes through the strategic partnership with COSCO, Hamburg’s position as a logistical hub in the North Europe & the Baltic region will be strengthened.
container-news.com/cosco-buy…
1
6
10
Outstanding open-source analysis of the new PLAN Commander by the peerless @rdmartinson88. Wondering, though...can Hu bend the curve on enduring USN advantages in undersea domain? cc @tshugart3
New article!
Admiral Hu Zhongming: The Chinese Navy’s ‘Multi-Faceted’ New Leader, by @rdmartinson88
"Admiral Hu's expertise in undersea warfare is considered crucial as the PLAN prepares for potential conflicts in East Asia."
jamestown.org/program/admira…
4
8
2,065
Tune in for our webcast at 1030 launching policy reports on great power competition for military basing, with keynote by ASD Mara Karlin, @EmilyJHolland @AndrewIYeo & @brucebrookings
What are the challenges and risks Chinese and Russian bases pose to the United States’ regional strategy?
@AndrewIYeo & @IBKardon answer as they present their findings on great power competition and overseas basing this Friday at 10:30 AM EDT.
brookings.edu/events/geostra…
3
8
5,041
Interesting story. More car-carriers will also augment China's growing dual-use RO-RO capacity. Mike Dahm has been doing excellent research on this for @ChinaMaritime: digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cm…
Is Chinese EV giant BYD turning into a shipping company? It has already ordered massive car carrier ships. And a recent update in the Tianyancha database suggests it's branching into ocean carrier operations, freight forwarding, & int'l shipping services
qz.com/chinese-car-makers-ar…
5
10
3,865
PRC companies’ dual-use port-folios allow China to (partially) control, monitor, degrade, and perhaps coercively disrupt vital maritime transport and international trade networks. (4/4)
1
5
10
Learned a great deal through various iterations of this project from @EmilyJHolland @CooleyOnEurasia @DawnMurphyChina @MichaelEOHanlon @tanvi_madan @joshuatwhite @CharlesEdel @brucebrookings @carlammm @GGRESH @jeffreybecker73 @PeterDombrowsk6 @RenanahJoyce @BrianDBlank et al
2
10
470
Glad to engage with @davidclogan & @rcwattsiv on the limitations of the Chinese port network w/ the extraordinary @wendyleutert
6)
Plus “Correspondence: Debating China's Use of Overseas Ports,” by @davidclogan and @rcwattsiv; and @ibkardon and @wendyleutert
doi.org/10.1162/isec_c_00455
The letters are *ungated* (free) thanks to @mitpress!
1
4
9
1,424
Wonderful to host my brilliant former colleagues @lindsaypcohn & @jblankshain for a discussion on civ-mil issues (including Russia's disastrous manpower mobilization efforts)! Tune in to our conversation on the cleverly hidden @SeaPowerpodcast (subscribe👉podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…)
Sea Power episode 4 is live! Profs. Cohn & Blankshain discuss how relationships between forces & civilian leadership shape the recruitment & mobilization of a naval force. This leads into a discussion of the recent Russian mobilization & its implications. feeds.captivate.fm/sea-power…
2
8
1,278
Thanks to @SheenaGreitens, @AndrewIYeo, @PeterDombrowsk6, @EmilyJHolland, @CooleyOnEurasia, @CharlesEdel, @SebMSchmidt, and many others for helping me develop this article!
1
1
7
Thanks @nytopinion for this chance to shed light on China's self-defeating efforts to free ride on US power in the Red Sea.
"Beijing is playing a cynical game, free-riding on the same American power that it holds in contempt, trying to have it both ways." @jekavanagh and @IBKardon with a timely must-read on the Houthis and U.S.-China relations in @nytopinion: nytimes.com/2024/01/26/opini…
9
3
9
1,295
👀 If you are curious about the security implications of PRC firms operating key strategic ports overseas, here's one to watch carefully: jpost.com/israel-news/israel…
1
3
9
Latest w/@peter_dutton on US maritime security policy in East Asia: "...has continued to emphasize the maintenance of a rules-based international order, peaceful resolution of disputes under international law, and the central importance of allies..." globalasia.org/bbs/board.php… #SCS
8
9
Wholly agree -- the appeal to FON is misplaced and doesn't move regional states.
The rules China's neighbors want don't involve US FONOPs, but PROPERTY RIGHTS (in EEZs, as elsewhere). Rather than accept Beijing's rule, these states have clear interest in a rule-based process.
1
3
8
Tune in for a master class on the promise and perils of wargaming given by my brilliant former @NavalWarCollege colleagues @rtecottmetz and @JackieGSchneid! podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
3
7
4,032
And for a bite-sized version of the case study, see this post on @TheWilsonCenter blog: wilsoncenter.org/blog-post/c…
1
2
8
3/3
(3) Global audience: Xi and Biden agreed to resume mil-mil ties in part to satisfy demand from foreign leaders at APEC and beyond for responsible statesmanship. These modest steps are welcome but likely insufficient to reassure allies and partners that we "found the floor"...
2
8
891
Sharks don't respect boundaries -- dashed, dotted, disputed, or otherwise. Wonder if authors sacrificed the validity of the study for the sake of conducting it along the periphery of the Chinese claim?
Marine biology and international politics converge in the South China Sea. Researchers from China’s State Oceanic Administration study shark populations along the southern edge of the “nine-dash line.” Dots indicate location of PRC surveys. Source: Marine Fisheries (Jan. 2018)
3
2
8
Important development. This "joint inspection patrol special operation" (联合巡航巡查专项行动) led by Fujian Maritime Safety Administration was not inspecting customs -- they were aiming to enforce PRC domestic law on maritime safety in northern TW strait: guancha.cn/politics/2023_04_…
1
5
8
2,876
...plus another piece in this great @Journal_IS issue from our inbound @NavalWarCollege colleague @davidclogan: direct.mit.edu/isec/article/…
2
7
I’m willing to buy post-COVID anything...
But so it is a fair fight, here’s my piece on PRC-owned/operated ports overseas and their military potential: digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nw…
1
4
6
Honored to join @dianafutweets @VivianChang36 and Tom Christensen (@ColumbiaSIPA @CWPColumbia) tomorrow 4pm ET to talk about “the rules” in maritime Asia and my *new book* on China’s Law of the Sea (yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780…)
Is China Changing 'the Rules' of the International Law of the Sea?
Join Thomas Christensen @ColumbiaSIPA, Isaac Kardon @CarnegieEndow, Ketian Vivian Zhang @ScharSchool & Diana Fu @munkschool @UofT_PolSci for an online panel discussion on March 31: uoft.me/international-law-se…
1
3
8
1,532
Geostrategic competition for military basing in the Indian Ocean region brookings.edu/research/geost… via @BrookingsInst @AndrewIYeo @MichaelEOHanlon
1
3
7
1,593
Kremlin’s suspension of participation in Black Sea grain deal has long been in keen focus for former NAVEUR @Admiral_Foggo and @Mi_Petersen38, who joined the @NavalWarCollege @SeaPowerpodcast to talk about Russian maritime power podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
2
7
1,945
The US is running out of time to participate in the rulemaking process for deep-sea mining at the International Seabed Authority, where China is running the tables. Already a titan in critical minerals supply chain, Beijing is pressing new advantages in "the Area" (UNCLOS). (2/3)
1
1
4
293
Splendid piece from @alessionaval: “maritime connectivity is a pressure point with significant political value” that Beijing, Moscow, and Tehran are beginning to use to alarming effect.
The New Age of Naval Power | TIME - these past weeks, from the Black Sea to the Red Sea to the SCS - lots happening in the naval world. Here I explain why naval power matters today, it has to do with the connectivity that powers prosperity. time.com/6836406/naval-power…
1
2
6
3,484
Mil-mil is not the only — nor even the best — way for China to improve its military capabilities in the Indian Ocean region. Seabed surveys and other marine science provide essential operational intelligence for PLA.
Handing over ceremony of findings of 🇨🇳🇵🇰 joint marine expeditions undertaken in collaboration with Pakistan Navy held at China Geological Survey. A major step to harness marine mineral and hydrocarbon resources.
@HinaRKhar @dgprPaknavy @ForeignOfficePk
1
6
735
China is using UNCLOS language more in re: some claims, but arguably that is WORSE for international law (because the claims are illegal).
3
3
6
piped.video/watch?v=rG6EIXl8…
Really enjoyed joining panel on Will Piekos' report on "China's economic coercion" w/ @sarahbauerle, @Liza_D_Tobin, @michaelvmartina & @StateDept's Melanie Hart. I offered a few thoughts on the hard reality of "de-risking" USA maritime trade/transport.
1
7
822
What a treat to speak to the incomparable @peter_dutton on the @SeaPowerpodcast
I hope you enjoy my conversation with @IBKardon as much as I did!
We discuss:
- Why #AUKUS?
- China’s destabilizing maritime expansion in the E/SCS, around Taiwan, and in the IO
- US and allied responses
- assessing future possible PLA strategies podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
2
5
1,262
For more on this impressive “dreadnought” check out digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cm… @AndrewSErickson
2
7
I propose a structural explanation for China's modest military footprint abroad (to date), arguing that PRC employment of dual-use commercial infrastructure for global power projection is a coherent response to certain system-level conditions in the int'l security env't (2/6)
1
2
6
Fascinating & important development in the IOR. Still, wondering why no comments from Indian voices about whether/how this big boost for US-India defense cooperation will indeed “counter China” @CarnegieIndia @splalwani @tanvi_madan asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Int…
6
479
This is a crucial distinction. Whether or not China does, in practice, limit free navigation is only part of the question. Apparent PRC "benevolence" is actually a claim that authority to permit/deny lawful access to int'l waters resides in Beijing.
That's just not cricket/law.
5
6
Next to nothing publicly available on the PLA's purported SOFA in Djibouti. Here's what we wrote in our Djibouti case study last year (digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cm…)
2
3
7
“Cranes = Huawei” is a bit of a category error. But I also see intelligence value — commercial and military — of trade data flowing through cranes and other “smart” transport infrastructure.
2
6
599
And for context on how this is only the next step in a long evolution of PRC capacity to "administer" disputed zones with mixed naval and civilian fleet, see @rdmartinson88's comprehensive study on the subject, digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cm…
This is an important article for anyone tracking PRC efforts to assert administrative control over disputed areas of the South China Sea. 81.cn/jmywyl/2018-05/20/cont…
1
1
7
@TheNatlInterest heard of the @jmulvenon axiom? Quality of China analysis inversely proportional to # of Sunzi references
2
2
5
Soft power grows from the hull of a hospital ship? Maybe. At least it's a slightly better effort than usual from the PRC. @peter_dutton
Peace Ark sailors celebrate w/ residents in #Djibouti. The Chinese medical ship is in Djibouti for a 9-day visit. bit.ly/2en2XZ5
2
4
4
Agree with Bonnie, statement seems to be teeing up much greater focus on non-PRC claimants’ resource rights.
Real Q now is what the US can do operationally and diplomatically to change PRC action. Clarified* legal position creates new options.
*not so clear
1
1
5
军事方面: Gwadar isn’t a PLA base and doesn’t need to be. The PLAN calls regularly at Karachi, and another Pak port of call doesn’t add much. Some probable dual uses moving forward, so we will be watching closely w/ @peter_dutton @KennedyMaritime @AndrewSErickson @rdmartinson88
1
2
5
AI hallucination effect appears quite strong in Dall-E 3 [Beta] tasked to produce map of China's seaborne critical mineral flows. Beautiful and bizarre...
2
2
5
984
Excited to return to @nyulaw @USALINYU to talk about China's maritime disputes and international law & order with leading law of the sea guru @peter_dutton. Hybrid book discussion on Monday April 24, 1:15-2:15 ET:
POSTPONED TO APRIL 24: China's Law of the Sea. Dr. @IBKardon (@CarnegieEndow) and Dr. @peter_dutton (@NavalWarCollege) will discuss the dispute in the #SouthChinaSea and East China Sea. #UNCLOS #maritimelaw RSVP: bit.ly/3yVdAf4
5
1,572
Tune in for @elyratner now, and stay tuned for discussion of militarized SCS islands, and other issues in afternoon csis.org/events/seventh-annu…
6
Would not expect PLA to participate in anything except protecting PRC-flagged vessels...but Red Sea is shaping up as an interesting test of just what the Djibouti base is for and what Beijing can do with it.
2
5
2,236
Yes. Economic openness -- i.e., the ability to conduct market transactions free of coercion -- is something that all the SCS parties want and need. If US would emphasize that instead of FONOPs, we might find willing partners.
1
1
4
UAE takes another overt step away from US security network, lacking faith in US ability to deter Iran. China will not be a ready substitute for that US regional security role. Interesting emerging dynamic 👀 @jonathandfulton @DawnMurphyChina @GeringTuvia wsj.com/articles/u-a-e-says-…
1
3
5
779