🏈⚾️ building the first fantasy/best ball/DFS super-app at fantasy.VIP. free. fast. no login necessary. DM for support, bugs, and requests
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this dude @MaddMardiganHB is such a sore loser, trying to get a draft thrown out cause he didn't get stroud. hope @UnderdogFantasy bans you asap
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99% of best ball content, including pretty much all streamer content, is just vibes based analysis and common sense with stacking
pretty sure most people would be much better drafters if they stopped wasting time on that stuff and listened to actual nfl analysts instead
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any interest in a dashboard that shows DraftKings DFS milly maker data? Like winning lineups, ownership %, and winners’ portfolio analysis for each week?
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and it's a wrap! your official 2025 best ball schedule cheatsheet, everyone
➡️fantasy dot vip
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wait some of you guys are actually worried that the people who went all-in on ja'lynn polk last season solved best ball less than one year later?
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dropping some🔥alpha on this fine friday evening
here is how BBM5 roster constructions performed
so maybe stop drafting so many 2-6-8-2 teams
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the Exposer, my free and private best ball exposure tool, is finally LIVE for beta testing🍾
if you want to be an early adopter here is what you need to know
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jordan mason is my highest owned player so there's no way this actually works out sorry guys
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my DraftKings DFS milly maker dashboard is almost ready, can't wait to share it
optimal lineups, winning lineups, player stats (ownership, salary, fantasy points) and more. coming soon
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the guy who peddled dylan laube all summer last season while not even being able to pronounce his last name is spreading his time-wasting aura in my replies now😂
I never said beat writers were bad but your original tweet is the worst advice a best ball player could take. Truly truly bad.
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the DraftKings DFS Milly Maker dashboard v1.0 is LIVE
it's a fun rabbit hole to go down, here is a quick rundown of the different tabs
the Season Overview tab shows data from all the winners and optimal lineups like Stack data, Points data, etc.
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regardless of next week's results i'm just glad the advance rate bros are off my timeline finally
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so i'm getting ready to release a historical BBM data dashboard and just saw that in BBM5, 10 out of the top 10 finalists were from fast drafts. and in BBM4, 9 out of the top 10 finalists were from fast drafts. was not expecting that...
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hey, want to become a better best ball drafter?
checking your advance rates after week 2 won't help with that
instead spend 5 minutes exploring my new BBM Historical Data dashboard
i think you'll learn something new... let me introduce you to it
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ATTN best ball drafters
want to see all of your teams' CLV totals displayed on an elegant, interactive timeline?
introducing Timeline View, a new view i just added to the Exposer...
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so uh just got a barkley puka in the dk milly... this combo was literally never drafted before june 27th. anyone else have one?
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i'm planning to launch the Exposer, my new best ball exposure tool, fairly soon. when it launches, it will support all Underdog & Drafters tournaments (pre-draft and post-draft)
it will be FREE and PRIVATE - your exposure data will not leave your device
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my big database now has all the current DK milly maker data in addition to the BBM4/BBM5 data. gonna be dropping some combo data later but here's a preview
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DraftKings Week 10 Milly Maker winning lineup and optimal lineup
congrats to Standish and hello Davis Mills
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i should start a “beat speak index” like @CoachspeakIndex but for beat reporters and their roster projections/general reporting accuracy. any interest in that?
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my weekend project was to see if i could dump all BBM4 & BBM5 data into a huge database. it worked
the data will help power The Exposer, my best ball exposure tool coming soon. you'll be able to see how your teams align with the draft capital allocations that worked in the past
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next year i am not drafting early again. the bbm rooms are so much softer now and any clv with the chiefs probably isn’t worth all the zeroes and injuries
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tired: complaining about gilbert’s drafts
wired: being overweight on the elite qbs the rest of the summer because they were already good values and now there are 150 dead teams w them
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underdog fantasy: i heard you guys wanted to be able to take screenshots of your drafts that don't cut off the last two tight ends but how about some pickems for a random influencer combine instead?
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new schedule cheatsheet just dropped
colored by mike clay's defensive unit grades
clay has SF ranked 32/32 defensively👀
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how i use the builder in best ball drafts (the eliminator, the marathon, bbm6, and more)
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if you were curious, here is how griddy's latest team spent its draft capital according to my capital chart
QB: 223
RB: 379
WR: 50
TE: 129
yes the team spent over 2x more capital on TEs than WRs😂
for reference, the recommended allocation for 2-6-7-3 build is 78/227/419/49
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drafting best ball teams on draftkings during a promotional period is like training for the olympics and showing up at the special olympics
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it's hilarious to me when people complain that DraftKings releasing best ball pick data before contest lock is "unethical" or unfair
as if the RTA tools and rankings for sale are totally fine, but publicly available pick data is where people draw the line😂 so dumb
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just because you have a hard time distinguishing good and bad sources doesn't mean that all beat writers are bad.
ok time to mute davis again, probably the biggest time drain of all streamers😂
Bill polian said Lamar Jackson would be a WR. Raiders beat writers couldn’t shut up about Zamir white. Chiefs beat writers said the deep ball was coming back and that Deneric Prince was RB2 and on and on and on
You can say streamers suck (we do!) but this is the dumbest tweet I’ve ever read in my life
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jj mccarthy + justin jefferson is the highest owned QB+WR1 stack in the DraftKings Milly Maker so far
want to explore all the data for team stack ownership?
check out the tool i just dropped
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interesting... after reviewing some teams on bbmdb i see that this guy MaddMardigan is still drafting teams on Underdog and even maxed BBM. assumed he was banned but i guess Underdog has forgiven him
this dude @MaddMardiganHB is such a sore loser, trying to get a draft thrown out cause he didn't get stroud. hope @UnderdogFantasy bans you asap
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pacheco was going to be so good this season and it's painful seeing everyone who faded him getting bailed out
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i don't track any data on who exactly visits or uses fantasyVIP but just looked at my host's analytics for the first time which says i have around 200 daily unique visitors, which is really crazy to me. i thought it was like 60 or something haha. thank you all!
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this is the wrong way of approaching drafts this year IMO. last year, spike weeks (which i define as 25+ half ppr points) came from middle/late round RBs and early WRs. you need to be taking WRs early because spike weeks rarely come from middle round WRs!! see pic for details
If a few WRs from either of these two groups really pop off, it’s probably the skeleton key to the best drafted lineups this season.
It means the people who took multiple detours to grab 3+ of Elite QB/TE/RB saw their bets get paid off.
The more I think about this season’s ADP landscape…the more I think I want to be one of these people
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seems like a smart business move by underdog. you give 1 person $3m and most of that is never going back into the best ball ecosystem. you give 20 people 100k+ and you just got 20 lifetime 150 maxers 🤣
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underdog user ffbwizard finished with the 4th highest average point total in round 1 of BBM4 (with 126 teams)
then, he did it again in BBM5 finishing 6th with 150 teams
only issue.. none of those teams advanced to the finals
👀🧙
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would be cool if underdog stopped changing cam ward's name in the app back and forth between cam and cameron for no apparent reason
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seeing some people talk about best ball advance rates and whether it's good to have high or low rates...
some of these people do zero math and just tweet their feelings. ignore them. here is the data, courtesy of my new BBM data dashboard
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if you're trying to figure out when the best times to draft BBM teams are, you should probably filter out the all the slow drafts from the historical results imo
here is the data for BBM4 and BBM5, fast drafts only
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tools that make best ball pick recommendations based on rankings/stacks don't really matter. 1) the rankings will never be perfect and 2) you can't even solve best ball with good rankings. the winning team in the DK best ball milly maker last season won with naked goff as his qb
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having fun building this historical BBM data explorer. hope to release it soon. lemme know if there's anything else you want to know about winning teams... or anything about BBM4/BBM5 really
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annual reminder that RAS score doesn't matter for the RB position and it's kinda lazy analysis imo
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well guys it finally happened to me. I made it weeks without it happening. I was diligent, always checking my phone for notifications but it just wasn’t enough today
I auto drafted Joe Mixon in a slow draft
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HUGE thanks to everyone who has used the Exposer during its beta launch. if you haven't tried it yet here is a sample of what you're missing
Exposer V2 next season will be even better
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over half of my timeline is people doing the craziest mental gymnastics to defend their priors, looking forward to week 1 haha
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i can't think of a funnier runout than "washed" javonte williams and brian robinson becoming TD monsters on really good offenses
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advance rates don’t matter! stop wasting so much time and energy on them especially this early in the season. ccqt won $250k advancing only 8% of his teams into round 2
i just added ROI data to the Historical BBM dashboard. so now you can see who won money in BBM4/5 and all their other metrics
pretty interesting how out the top 10 drafters with the highest round 2 advance rates in BBM5, only 3 of them had a positive ROI👀
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a gamechanger🚀 let’s get to work!
I’m thrilled to announce that I’m teaming up with @ooooftw to launch The Beat Writer Index
We’ll be grading the reliability of NFL beat writers on categories like roster projections, NFL Draft info, and more
This is going to be another gamechanger for fantasy football
Michael has already done an incredible amount of work on the database and I feel great about where it’s headed. We’re super excited to roll this out and we’re hoping to have it ready in time for the 2025 NFL Draft season
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the Exposer is the only private best ball exposure tool. don't give your data away for free
it's also the only tool that shows you how your teams compare to historical BBM finalist teams. i analyzed all BBM4/BBM5 finalists to understand exactly what strategies have worked⬇️
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the Exposer, my new best ball exposure tool, is coming along pretty well. can’t wait to share it
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i wrote a script that processes the entire 5gb files of bbm pick data for the last 2 bbms to create a draft capital chart for what each pick is "worth"
cool how you can see the value plateaus
the script will get more and more accurate every bbm... the Exposer is gonna be sick
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introducing the Builder v1.0
a new tool to become overpowered in slow drafts
enter lineups, save them, load them, visualize all the weekly matchups
identify weak areas while you can still correct them
+ features coming in v2.0 like matchup grade colors, smart recommendations
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i love it when people overreact to “news”
like this guy in the pic right here- congrats dude i’m sure your team with the two major reaches will beat all the other teams who got pearsall and chubb several rounds later 🤣
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it was a smart move by draftkings to release the milly maker data already because they pretty much just outsourced the entire integrity auditing to twitter for free
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drafting CFB teams on underdog can be intimidating. underdog doesn't even upload the Bye weeks right away, which overlap with the playoff weeks (!!)
but i got you covered. here's my CFB cheatsheet v1.0
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here are the ultra rare combos in the DraftKings best ball milly maker
does anyone here have one of these? post it here for max screenshot clout
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so no one told me that Underdog already released BBM6 round 1 data??? how did i miss that?
well, i know what i'm doing for the rest of the day...
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10 out of the top 10 BBM4 finalist teams had CeeDee Lamb
10 out of the top 10 BBM5 finalist teams had Tee Higgins
10 out of the top 10 BBM6 finalist teams will have ______ ?
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in BBM5 there were 7 teams with a 2-2-10-4 roster construction and 3 of them (42.9%) advanced to round 2
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figured i would do some Second Quarter drafts today and put together a quick Weeks 5-8 cheatsheet if you're interested in that
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ICYMI
seeing my cumulative CLV was really interesting to me and kinda confirmed what I suspected: draft early to get super teams but with a high risk of bad teams
Late July is prime time to forget your priors and hammer the steam before it really takes off in August
just made some updates to Timeline View in the Exposer
now you can see your cumulative CLV (the white line)
also Drafters drafts = blue dots and Underdog = yellow now
my highest ADP CLV team was from may 6 but i didn't cross over into positive cumulative ADP until late july🤯
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DFS players are having an awfully hard time predicting when to play Bjian Robinson this season😂
week 1: 10.7% owned➡️27.4 pts
week 3: 34.9% owned chalk➡️16.1 pts
week 4: 9.5% owned➡️31.1 pts
week 8: 55.7% owned megachalk➡️6.8 pts
week 9: 3.5% owned➡️17.6 pts
comedy
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assuming this is why my Battle Royale was cancelled. do you guys agree with this policy? if you had a unique team get thrown out without collusion it’s a little frustrating tbh
has anyone else already had a week 1 Battle Royale thrown out? just saw my highest projected draft was cancelled this morning although i don't remember anything weird happening in it🤔
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here's one way i used combination ownership data in my drafts
both nabers and higgins have big single week upside, but they are rarely paired together. this combo appears in 1.2% of 12 team leagues.
compare to:
nabers+btj 13.6% of leagues
nabers+nico 10.7%
nabers+ladd 10.7%
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a little early for retrospection but who cares
zero rb is the correct strategy in bbm
don't draft early. draft a few on opening day then wait for late july-aug.
do more slows and less fast drafts so i don't instinctively click the same players
don't martingale the bears qb again
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if you're trying to look at all your Javonte Williams teams on Underdog right now and the app is down for you too, the Exposer is still up and running😏
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alright i think the Exposer is ready to launch tomorrow. final testing tonight. get ready to expose yourself (in private)
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made it to the First Quarter finals this week? or maybe you just want to see what the finals data looks like?
come enjoy the sweat. i just published a new dashboard where you can see Player Ownership %s as well as the 374 teams that are competing
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in case you didn't know - the Exposer calculates your best ball portfolio's Slappy rating
here are the current exposure-based inputs to decide how slappy you are:
rashee rice
jaydon blue
bhayshul tuten
JCM
KLS (RIP)
luther burden
jarquez hunter
drake maye
saquon (INVERSE)
@ooooftw this is a great guide for your tool, should label people left v. Right wing
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the Exposer is almost ready! here's a preview of Team View 1.0 (arguably the most important view)🧵
first, Team View lets you see a sortable list of all your teams. you can sort by capital investment in QB/RB/WR/TE, total ADP gain/loss, or total draft capital gain/loss
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while the best ball hivemind and streamers were focused on kimani vidal, daniel jeremiah told everyone that jk dobbins was the guy last year. best ball streamers kept stacking Lamar with tez walker even though Jeff Zrebiec said he wasn’t going to contribute
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in bbm5 there was only one team that drafted jamarr chase with overall pick number 12 (contest average ADP of 4.5). the team advanced to round 2 then got bounced in round 3
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did gilbert actually draft those teams? or were they auto’ed? seems way more likely that underdog gave him free entries for being a partner, then he uploaded messed up ranks and auto’ed them all before noticing
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just added drafter-level metrics to the historical BBM data dashboard. so you can search for anyone who entered at least 50 BBMs to see their advance rates, positional averages, etc.
sort by any column and click on a drafter to see their chart
gonna publish it soon
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never been so excited to have $40 exposure of a player as i am for the third quarter contest right now with mark andrews😂
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