Views & Opinions are my own and not the views of my contractor/employer. Love Discussing Markets, MACRO and TA CHARTS Here: t.me/tradershub17

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We dont owe you any explanation, what are you smoking?
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#DOGE spike after @elonmusk tweet response to my DEX article
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1. One who cries and shouts at people , gives hate speeches and launches campaigns. 2.People who actually do something. #GretaThunberg
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#BTC $100K coming if the Nasdaq-to-S&P500 (NDX/SPX) ratio is a guide. (Not an investment advice, just an observation, Please DYOR) As I have discussed in my articles at @CoinDesk, Tech optimism on Wall Street, represented by the rising NDX/SPX ratio, leads #BTC through thick and thin. Last week, the ratio set record highs, surpassing the trendline connecting 2021's twin peaks and the Jan 2024 peak. BTC is yet to challenge/test the trendline connecting 2021's twin peaks. That trendline is now seen at around $90K. Prices could briefly top that level, assuming BTC follows the NDX/SPX ratio's lead... Again, this is not investment advice; it is just an observation.
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Replying to @aravind
bigger risk to India is the Trump WLFI and failed marshal partnership on crypto... hope our folks are somehow keeping track of privacy coins
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Starting today, I am joining @ForbesCrypto. I am thrilled to work with brand new team of smart and hard working people after solid 4.5 years at CoinDesk.
***ANNOUNCEMENT*** .@ForbesCrypto is thrilled to announce the hiring of Omkar Godbole as our new Senior Market Analyst! Be sure to follow him at @godbole17 for all the latest breaking news in #Crypto Welcome Omkar!
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What a joker @Nidhi Fake fake fake.
I have been the victim of a very serious phishing attack. I’m putting this statement out to set the record straight about what I’ve been through. I will not be addressing this issue any further on social media.
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I asked a Bitcoin HODLer if he’s worried about the Bitcoin prices falling. he replied he’s worried but sleeps like a baby. I showed surprise😳 He clarified “Like a baby I mean, I sleep for a couple of hours, then wake up, cry for a while and then go back to sleep."
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#BTC The number of accumulation addresses is falling alongside the continued uptrend in prices. Is it a warning of impending price pullback? @glassnode @n3ocortex
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Upkaar kele ka Deva bhau ne?
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Replying to @MNageswarRaoIPS
This is horrible bribing for votes. And it has far reaching effect of adding "Sticky inflation" to the economy. A - its unproductive investment, leading to higher fiscal deficit and more debt issuance = all inflationary B - it's creating demand out of thin air, which also adds to demand pull inflation. C - This is anti-productivity, which, by itself, inflationary.
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#ZEC a solid bullish turn around on the weekly chart An upside break of multi-year falling trendline followed by a double bottom breakout Remember #ZEChalving is due in the final quarter of 2020.
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$BTC record high prefect timing in calling a bottom and fresh move higher! See the date⬇️⬇️ Had published a story on this at @CoinDesk in late Feb, saying prices will pull back to $75K in a classic breakout and re-test pattern before staging a bigger rally... coindesk.com/markets/2025/02…
In my opinion, $BTC is done falling, we chop here for few months and bore everyone out only to make a quick move to $120K-$140K by turn of the year. (if things get really bad, full blown covid-like crash, we could sell-off further, but don't see that happening as of now, nor expecting a severe recession) - NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVICE tariffs at 100% means peak fear is in. further increases won't matter.. law of DMU applicable to tariff hikes. equities can fall further, pricing in earnings hit. $BTC has no earnings, its pure play in liquidity and financial condition, got no reason to slide further unless we get repeat of 2008-2020 scenarios. Dwindling oil will likely help once dust settles over tariffs.
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The next step Modi should take - sell those Treasury note holdings which don’t offer any haven appeal and diversify into gold or perhaps into Chinese or Russian bonds just to tease @BrianNJMAGA 🤣
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#BOJ rumours are already in the air. Bond yields rising I tweeted early this week that BOJ, not Fed, is the main event
Move over Fed, the @IMFNews has urged the Bank of Japan to move away from liquidity-boosting yield curve control. The policy tweak might be announced on Friday and could influence global liquidity conditions. reports @godbole17. trib.al/Y7ErGOo
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Wow
JUST IN: @tether asks court to block @NewYorkStateAG from releasing documents to CoinDesk under Freedom of Information Law. Story to come. Filing here: iapps.courts.state.ny.us/nys…
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Civic authorities should consider installing a safety net inside manholes with handles and it should extend to the bottom where its tethered or anchored to a heavy block this might increase the chance of survival Here is a demo image @theskindoctor13 @narendramodi @Dev_Fadnavis
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Thread 1/ Why I think: #BTC is at far end of risk curve #BTC May sell-off was result of taper fears (Elon, China was/is noise) #BTC decline is a warning for #SP500 & other risk assets Upcoming #Fed meeting/talk is pivotal for #BTC and #SP500
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#ETH down 6%, other #alts bleed heavy while #BTC relatively resilient #ETHBTC down 5% and at lowest since Oct 2021. @ForbesCrypto readers were forewarned forbes.com/sites/omkargodbol…
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#BTC monthly chart looks crazy bearish. 5-, 10MAs crossing bearish. Previous bull & bear crosses failed. Third after two failed ones works more often than not. Bear divergence on multiple indicators 50-month SMA supp at $20K (not a financial advice, am repoooorter)
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Personal opinion... unpopular #BTC is merely following NDX/SPX ratio (tech cycle), as it does most of the time. rest all narratives of #BTC being hedge etc are... just narratives
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#ETHBTC has lost 1.5-year bullish trendline and 38.2% Fib support. Looks bad! Fireworks on the downside?
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Replying to @elonmusk @CoinDesk
Doge launching DEXs for retail investors?
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I doubt it will be everything rally like the mindless 2020-21 alt season. A select few alts could go berserk lifting total alt valuation but that too seems difficult given we are in an era of fiscal dominance. Here is why 2020-21 cycle Rates were near zero, QE was massive, alongside cash handouts, injected broad-based liquidity That caused a classic Cantillon effect — early receivers of new money (financial markets, asset holders) saw prices surge across the board: equities, crypto, housing, commodities, everything. Hence, the “everything rally” — including altcoins, because liquidity was cheap and abundant Now: Fiscal Dominance ≠ Monetary Liquidity Today’s environment is very different: Central banks are not doing QE, and rates are still high. Governments are running fiscally expansionary budgets, but that spending is: Targeted liquidity creation aimed at reindustrialization, infrastructure etc to outgrow debt and bringing down debt-to-gdp) It’s Funded via debt issuance absorbed by private markets, not by the central bank balance sheet. This is “fiscal dominance” — where fiscal policy sets the tone and the central bank follows to accommodate, but it doesn’t create base money in the same broad sense. So, while fiscal spending boosts nominal GDP and real investment, it doesn’t necessarily spill over into speculative assets like alts — unless those assets are directly linked to fiscal beneficiaries To conclude, QE cycles mainly affect financial asset valuations. Fiscal-driven capex cycles affect real economy investment (factories, infrastructure, supply chains). So instead of “everything up,” we get dispersion — select sectors, commodities, and supposed store of value assets like gold and Bitcoin do well. Stablecoins too as escape valve amid capital controls Alts, which rely on classic cen bank induced excess liquidity, may lag or fail to participate fully. This is exactly why alts haven’t had a great run this time… In short: So, unless central banks pivot back to 2020-21 aggressive monetary easing, an “alt season” like 2021 looks unlikely. Moreover, with fiscal dominance 2020-21 like easing looks in likely Only time will tell But Waiting for watch and learn kind of reply to this 🤣
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#BTC 200-day MA mimics the previous bull market cycle (1/2) 200-day MA hit a record high on Nov. 3. That is 4.5-months after halving. The average's previous record high or top was made in June 2018, i.e. 2-year before the third halving. continued...
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Share of #US yield curve inverted has peaked Previous peaks presaged economic recessions and major stock market drawdowns. Chart by @MacroMicroMe
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Replying to @georgesoros
How about a vibrant public debate on Soros' meddling in countries' internal affairs?
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#BTC TA charts point to a rally to $35K. Macro factors call for caution. read more at @ForbesCrypto
Bitcoin Price Posts Biggest Daily Gain Since Early March, What Next? by @godbole17 forbes.com/sites/omkargodbol…
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#ZEC rises above $100 for first since July 2019 Chart source: CoinDesk #ZEChalving in 2020
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#BTC active entities highest since Oct. 2018 Chart source: @glassnode
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Good ol volatility is back #BTC fell by roughly $1,300 in just 10 mins early today, after having reached 11-month high abv $12.1K Here is the 5-min chart:
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#BTC looks like we are in for a relief rally to $43K-$44K
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Replying to @BobLancia
Check this. History shows every time #Pakistan gets #IMF bailout or assistance, there are wave of terror attacks in India!
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I am secretly bullish because almost everyone is expecting a meltdown
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#BTC Increased institutional participation makes #bitcoin more sensitive to macro events. BTC will likely see a bigger drop duuring the next macro crash, if any, than the one seen on March 12 last year. Every coin has two sides 😁
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#BTC heading toward $35k as per TA inverse H&S breakout
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#BTC Bounce in holiday-thinned trade is encouraging Am keeping a close eye on net inflows onto exchanges. The 90-day avg of net flows has turned, signaling inflows. Avg's previous positive/negative crossovers have paved way for major bear and bull moves.
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#BTC's weekly candle looks set to close above $21,478 (late Oct high). If confirmed, that the next resistance is the lower high of $25,214 printed in Aug. Thats the level that needs to be broken.
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Excellent post by @UrbanKaoboy Fed out hawked other cen banks, but will it out-dove others? Probably won't ... #DXY snap up?
Re: Geopolitics/Inflation/USD-Ball In A China Shop. Today I divert your attention from the provincial woes of wayward Silicon Valley lenders to the REAL ticking time bomb of the global financial system -- China. urbankaoboy.substack.com/p/r…
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#BTC under pressure ahead of #Powell speech. Will Powell say there is scope for pause after rate hikes in June and July? Dont think so, PMIs released early today showed plenty inflation in the pipeline! via @ForbesCrypto
It's another risk-off day in crypto markets, with major assets trading in the red and the ether-bitcoin exchange rate (ETH/BTC) pointing to a continued worsening of investor sentiment: by @godbole17 on.forbes.com/6015zuZ91
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$BTC risk reversals show calls expiring this year trade at 5 or less vol point premium to puts. $ETH calls meanwhile trade at least 7 vol premium. Looks like there is a rush to take #ETH to at least $4K and higher by the year end... @Amberdataio
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futures-based ETF almost confirmed?
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Replying to @Jairam_Ramesh
Personal income tax rate skyrocketing since 2014
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Looks like a bull flag on #BTC
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#BTC Is $30k the new $6k (of 2018) I remember btc consolidating near $6k in July to oct 2018 period. Everyone including @novogratz said $6k is new base… But #btc nosedived in mid-Nov and reached $3.5k
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$MSTR breakout - obviously bullish but if we fail here - thats even bigger bearish signal
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#BTC I guess 64k to 44k move is the biggest pullback of this bull cycle
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#BTC history repeating itself Price closing on record high 6.5 months after third reward halving BTC had reached new lifetime high above $1,163 in Feb 2017, that is, 7 months after second halving, which took place in July 2016.
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#BTC No sign of dip buying by wealthy investors Supply held by entities with at 1K to 10K balance continues to fall. Some say distribution is happening, but that ain't helping... 10K-100K, 100K-1K cohorts aren't buying the latest dip below 50K Charts by @glassnode
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#BTC bullish daily chart Expanding sideways channel breakout plus downtrend from April highs breached.
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#BTC Plenty support between $53.7K to $50.5K from 38.2% Fib R, Sept. 7 high & rising trendline But short-term, mid-term puts continue to be pricier than calls EMA ribbon about to flip bearish
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#XRPUSD TA Experts. Is that a bullish breakout on XRP's weekly chart. If so, the rally has just begun?
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Breakout in #BTC dominance rate Strengthens the case for a rally to $35K signaled by inverse H&S breakout in March
#BTC heading toward $35k as per TA inverse H&S breakout
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#BTC #BTCUSD weekly chart Diagonal breakout = 2.5-year descending trendline breached Horizontal breakout = resistance of February high of $10,480 (Bitfinex prices) scaled. Need more evidence of bullish development?
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#Crypto #BTC bull run is still in early stages. How do I know? (1/3) Non-financial newspapers yet to take note of BTC rally. I have been prodding my friends, (engineers, CAs) who invest in stocks, to buy cryptos. No one has bought yet. Few waiting for pullback continued...
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#BTC drop. Relax its just a bull market pullback. Market looked tired with less wealthy investors struggling to do the heavy lifting amid persistent whale selling since early Feb
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S2F fans and analysts with $100k year end target after watching #BTC slide to $42k
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#BTC Seems we have bottomed for now. Re-test of $59K-$60K coming
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#BTCUSD H&S breakdown on D1 Looks like we are heading down to 38.2% Fib retracement at $43.8K
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Not gonna tell what chart this is. but its tied to #BTC. breakout here would mean at least $100K price. We had similar pattern in #oil before late July breakout.
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Party is over! Hope crypto peeps can digest that... Junk will go bust, quality to survive and then thrive
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Can I take credit for calling this $BTC sell-off...? having foreseen a rally to $100K last July while tracking the SPX/NDX ratio
Bear posting $BTC RSI pattern similar to 2021 peak, suggests weakening bull momentum... We likely revisit the November breakout point of $74K-$73K before heading skywards. Full bull once that RSI trendline is taken out.
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We have a breakout in #BTC dominance rate weekly chart. it means BTC's share in crypto Markets tis likely to rise further. That's possible in two scenarios 1. BTC resumes the bull run, leads altcoins higher 2. Altcoins tank even harder, money flows out of alts and into BTC
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#cryptocrash Storm was brewing... Early May was a good time to buy volatility via long straddles and strangles, as discussed in this article dated May 4 Vol buyers must have made a killing! @GenesisVol coindesk.com/nows-the-time-t…
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Bad move. Nobody knew Sai Pallavi before this. Now she will get the fame across India, which she couldn’t get through movies! And of course she will soon join the Swara Bhaskar bandwagon!
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Crypto's obsession about China's supposedly declining treasury holdings is hilarious and doesn't mean anything for #crypto #BTC. Treasury holdings is function of current account surplus/deficit and international trade is zero sum game. Samajdaar ko ishara kafi
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#BTC is up over 4%, now at $21.7K. May be its just risk-on reaction to news that SVB depositors will be made 100% whole. Wondering if it will end up rising further into a large inverse H&S bottom pattern?
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#BTC falling toward bullish trendline support
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#BTC Looks like a rising wedge on 4h chart - lines converging This could end really bad if Powell comes out hawkish at Jackson Hole.
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#BTC plenty activity in $100K calls @Amberdataio
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#Fed minutes: Number of officials said it would be appropriate to consider sale of mortgage-backed securities. Thats somewhat hawkish, as discussed at @ForbesCrypto early today forbes.com/sites/omkargodbol…
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#crypto dip buyers
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Mark my words BJP is just one recession away from an epic crash .. all the mirage of exceptional growth, meritocracy will come crashing down
All those who were saying that it was purely a selection on merit has been debunked by the tweet below by the railway minister. BJP has sown the seeds of caste politics in Odisha. The state which kept itself safe from it so far. This is not Hindutva but it is Subaltern Hindutva a term coined by Govindacharya in late 80s and BJP implemented it. So far the neighbouring state of West Bengal has been wise enough to keep them away.
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CME announced #BTC futures on Oct. 31 when BTC was trading near $6.4K. Futures went live on Dec. 17. Price peaked near $20K on that day. Will #ETH see similar rally in the run up to futures listings due in February?
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Hawkish Fed trade is back as investors sell rate-sensitive assets. #BTC reverses Monday's Gain while #yen, the poster boy of rates trade, drops to lowest in 20 years via @ForbesCrypto
Bitcoin, Ether Erase Monday's Gain As Hawkish Fed Trade Returns: on.forbes.com/6012zkE54 by @godbole17
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#Fed rate hikes is old news. Focus will be on details of balance sheet runoff. Growing support for outright MBS sales may inject volatility into markets via @ForbesCrypto
Bitcoin Braces For More Hawkish News From The Federal Reserve Today: by @godbole17 forbes.com/sites/omkargodbol…
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#BTC Today's candle, with its long tail, looks similar to the one seen on May 17, 2019. On that day, BTC suffered a similar drop only to resume the uptrend over the following week.
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Amid the gloom and doom, #BTC's weekly chart points to selling climax. Via @ForbesCrypto
In this special unlocked report of our premium research product, our Senior Market Analyst @godbole17 breaks down why #bitcoin may be reaching the point of seller exhaustion. Click below to read find out how to subscribe: forbes.com/newsletters/forbe…
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Some folks are still drawing parallels between 2013, 2017 and 2021. IMO four-year cycles are over! Market has matured
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#BTC A classic bull flag breakout on the hourly chart.
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Moving back to my home, “Karma Bhoomi” @CoinDesk next month!
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Number of #Bitcoin addresses with non-zero balances rose to a record high of 28,351 on Jan. 21 Previous record high was 28,190 (Jan. 11, 2018) Data by @glassnode
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Australia nailed it Indian media is full of vultures, recording videos near crematoriums, getting views/TRP by showing burning pyres, mourning families. Totally useless lot, hell bent on spreading panic. theaustraliatoday.com.au/bes…
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#BTC Looks like a bull continuation pattern Resistance above $42k
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#btc looks like bear continuation. $30,702 is key support
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I have been fasting 36 hours every week (Monday 6 pm to Wednesday 6 am) since October. Been lifting weights for several years, but since October recovery from workouts has accelerated multifold, probably due to fasting! Please try it, you won’t regret Now I know why Hinduism recommends fasting in Shravan and Navratri and Islam during Ramadan
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Keep an eye on US-German two-yr yield spread breakout from falling wedge-like pattern would be a sell signal for $EURUSD, also means #DXY bounce and downside pressure for #cryptocurrencies
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#BTC Next big support is at $28,742, the 61.8% Fib retracement
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#BTC 3-day chart price action + death cross structure quite similar to early November 2018
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#BTC closing on former support turned resistance at $28,754 (June 2021 low) That level was breached in June last year and never came into play to date Is this a bearish retest?
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