11 months into my @Polymarket journey, Iâve crossed $200,000 in profit.
From traditional gambling to prediction markets, hereâs my story so far đ
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BRO WTF I THOUGHT THIS WAS FREE MONEY???
Luigi Mangione got beaten up by 7 âladyboysâ in Thailand months before UnitedHealthcare CEO shooting: report trib.al/YRiXEKX
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Why is one @Polymarket user betting $90k that Satoshi will move Bitcoin in 2025? đ§ľ
Is this just a degen gamble or does someone know something we donât? đ¤
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Waking up on the 4th day of the month to collect my matured @Polymarket bonds.
Feels good.
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đ§ľCZ just got pardoned and yet again people on @Polymarket knew in advance!
Even the billion dollar hyperliquid whale suspected to be insider trading trump's tarriff announcements was trading it...
Breaking: President Trump has pardoned Binance founder Changpeng Zhao, whose crypto exchange has been boosting the Trump family's own crypto venture on.wsj.com/4nfsEuB
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Fill my Mamdani order at 0.1¢, Bill.
> I get $100M.
> You get a $100M tax write-off.
Democracy saved.
I keep heard from some that they have given up hope on the NYC mayoral election based on the probability of @ZohranKMamdani reflected by Polymarket. The problem is that it takes only a small amount of capital to influence Polymarket trading levels. Please see the post below about evidence of manipulative activity on the mayoral election.
Ask yourself who would buy Mamdani at 95% to make 5% with the potential for a total loss. It seems like a stupid trade even if you think Mamdani will win.
In other words, I think the 20-1 payoff to bet on @andrewcuomo for the win looks really compelling now in light of the high turnout, the age of those voting, and growing momentum going into the last week.
Donât forget that Polymarket had @andrewcuomo with an 85% probability of winning the primary a week out from the vote.
Letâs not let the betting sites affect the outcome of the election.
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Prediction markets are blowing up on X, but not all the winning trades you see are real. Some accounts are posting fake P&Ls and trades to farm engagement or score paid partnerships.
Hereâs a breakdown of one of the biggest offenders: @spacexbt.
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Do you ever make 40k in a month and have no recollection of how?
Just Polymarket things I guess. âď¸
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Absolute masterclass in how not to trade on @Polymarket.
$22k â $8k overnight through five market orders.
Step one: ignore limit orders.
Step two: repeat until broke.
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Thatâs cool and all but it doesnât negate the fact that you scammed your fans of $400k!
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He definitely wasnât, no one remembers what they guessed for super6 and also that was one of the first games played.
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Watch this video every time you lose a bet on @Polymarket.
Win 54% of your points and you will make it out the trenches.
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đ§ľThis might be my favorite bet I ever won.
During Super Bowl LIX, I had money on âTaylor Swift shown on the broadcast exactly once.â
The market had it at around 2¢, nobody thought it would happen, except me. đ
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Reminder: You get 18x on Trump winning the Nobel Peace Prize on @Polymarket â the best bookie gives you 4x.
Prediction markets are the future. Leave the greedy bookmakers in the past.
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In this episode of the dumbest thing you've seen today:
One user made $150k because of a big whale market selling in an illiquid market.
The user on the other end of the trade donated $203k for no apparent reason đ
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The @Polymarket US election whale is back from hibernationâŚ
First bet: Xi and Trump handshake lasting 6â10 seconds.
Peak degen behavior.
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Hereâs a real letter from the British embassy Riyadh. Compare it to Milesâs letter.
Notice there are no embassy contact details. No address, phone, fax, or gov.uk email (real letters always include these).
No title/document heading which is standard for an embassy letter.
UK embassies would never expose a personal data like a passport number. Including a full number on a âto whom it may concernâ letter breaches data-handling norms. Miles also claims that Lord is on all his IDâs. However your title is not printed in your passport and the FCDO uses names exactly as printed in the passport, as seen in the image linked of miles posting his passport. This letter would not name him by Lord.
Formatting is completely off, looks like itâs been done in Microsoft word.
âongoing case in the kingdom of Saudi Arabiaâ is improper language and âKingdomâ should be capitalised. This writing is un-diplomatic.
Embassies never issue âTo whom it may concernâ letters confirming arrests, travel bans, or ongoing cases and even if they did, this is not how it would be formatted.
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You donât deserve a @PolymarketTrade badge if youâre buying N on the most obvious insider market in polymarket history.
(OpenAI browser by October 31st)
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đ¨ Wild day on @Polymarket đ¨
The Afghanistan vs Bangladesh football match that was cancelled two weeks ago just got noticed by traders today and chaos followed. đ§ľ
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A fresh account just showed up on @Polymarket and bet 17k on @MariaCorinaYA to win the Nobel Peace Prize. She was previously estimated to have less than a 1% chance to win but she's now the favourite. What do you think? Insider or idiot?
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That brings me to today. A tidy $200k profit on Polymarket.
It all started with a $10 loss and an inflated ego.
The lesson here?
Itâs not about luck. Itâs about finding edge, backing your judgment, and learning faster than the next person.
What would I say to a new face on polymarket?
1 - Trust your opinion first but stay open to strong arguments on the other side. Donât marry your position.
2 - Find your edge and stick to it. What are you already informed about? What market would you enjoy researching?
3 - Be the person who knows that market better than anyone else - and the rewards will follow.
4 - You can start small. Many of the best traders began with three-figure deposits.
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You get $320 profit if you win this bet on @Polymarket instead of $245 on a regular bookie. The future of sports betting is on prediction markets. No fees, no house edge. A fair game.
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BREAKING: Gianni Infantino invents new âPeace Prizeâ for his best bud Donald Trump after Nobel committee keeps ignoring his calls đ
FIFA introduces the FIFA Peace Prize - an award to recognise exceptional actions for peace and unityđď¸
â˝ď¸âFIFA Peace Prize â Football Unites the Worldâ to be bestowed on an annual basis
â˝ď¸First winner to receive the award from FIFA President Gianni Infantino on Friday, 5 December 2025
Read more here: inside.fifa.com/organisationâŚ
#FootballUnitesTheWorld
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He actually scammed for $400k total btw, most of this was earned by someone bribing him which is briefly covered in coffeezillaâs video
piped.video/D3tZN2psQps?si=QZZbâŚ
etherscan.io/tx/0xa573166df5âŚ
This account has been linked on chain to all these polymarket accounts
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The timeline is lacking some alpha so here we go:
90% of the âinsidersâ posted on here arenât actually insiders but just new users with lots of money.
Hope this helps.
ps thanks for 2.5k followers đ
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A reminder that you follow me because I'm objectively the best @Polymarket trader, as evidenced by my early lead in the Genesis Cup.
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This post is complete bullshit, he has $3m winnings across accounts, he did not place $42 and win 19k. He didnât deposit 1k to his account, his initial deposit in the first day was 100k. Stop these fake posts, itâs embarrassing. Do better.
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Biggest win of the past month. Thanks @OpenAI and all the insider traders you employ đ¤
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One thing I will say is: enjoy the threads that come out about Lord miles over the coming days, theyâre going to be juicy. Fully sold out of this âmarketâ now, making it my biggest win on the platform.
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November 2024 - I heard whispers of a platform where you werenât punished for being a winner.
Thatâs how I found @PredMTraderâs âRoad to $100,000 on Polymarketâ series on YouTube.
I binged the whole thing. Hooked instantly.
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The âmarket altering informationâ was wild: Lord Miles was betting against himself.
I traced his public wallet to an account holding ~$20k in âNoâ shares.
With help from @DropperPM, we linked several more accounts - all tied back to Miles.
I loaded up for 1-2 weeks. Then Miles vanished from stream.
The info leaked soon after.
I exited with $50k profit across all accounts.
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âone loss and youâre cookedâ
âWhy bet $10,000 to win $100 when you can bet $100 to win $10,000?â
âThe risk reward ratio is not thereâ
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lol another trade that never happened on polymarket. Youâre such a fraud. Enjoy the thread I put out about you later!
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Hereâs a video of miles talking about 16k heâs meant to receive from âsomeoneâ. 2 hours later the wallet that funds polymarket accounts that hold over 400,000 N shares sends 16k to Milesâs public wallet. Coincidence? I think not.
@lordmiles is running what looks like the biggest scam on @Polymarket users to date. So far @Polymarket has done nothing.
We are about to find out whether @Polymarket will choose to remain complicit and allow Miles to exploit their platform to conduct an obvious scam against their own T&C, or whether they will step in and protect their users.
The setup is simple. Lord Miles said he would fast for forty days alone in a Saudi desert. It later turned out that it was "too hot for his equipment." He then moved his tent to a glamping resort on the outskirts of Riyadh.
He was no longer alone and he was not not in a desert, but @Polymarket said "Lord Miles is currently water fasting in a confirmed desert," presumably because the resort is surrounded by a desert.
It did not make much sense, but well, OK, we move on.
On day twenty eight he announced a switch to a generator due to local electricity works and said he would be offline for two hours. That was three days ago. There has been no message and no proof of life since then. Users have confirmed that at the very least mobile data at the resort remained available, which means the power issue does not explain total silence.
In the meantime, evidence surfaced that just before going dark, Miles placed a bet of $30k (with $60k upside) against himself completing the fast.
He shared his own ETH address in 2024: nitter.app/real_lord_miles/statusâŚ
Funds moved from that address to another wallet, for example this fifteen thousand dollar transfer: etherscan.io/tx/0x18be26005eâŚ
From there, funds went to Polymarket via the deposit function: etherscan.io/tx/0x8370136b79⌠polygonscan.com/tx/0x098d537âŚ
The timing and amounts line up. The linked Polymarket account then bought at least ninety thousand No shares for about thirty thousand dollars: polymarket.com/@MONEYMONEYPLâŚ
Multiple users also observed that this account sent orders while Miles was live on his computer.
There is an obvious conflict of interest when Miles being a subject of a market places large directional bets on the outcome while controlling the flow of information. Silence becomes a tool for price impact. That is market manipulation in plain terms even before you reach on chain links.
Put together, this points to a simple scheme. Miles bet against his own fast, disappeared to push the price, and attempted to profit from the fear and uncertainty that followed. A further risk is obvious. After dumping No into the rally created by his silence, he could return with after-the-fact footage, switch to Yes, and try to profit again.
Critically, @Polymarket rules do not require a continuous livestream. They allow offline recording with later uploads. That is however not a license to deceive the market. The platformâs Terms and Conditions prohibit fraud, deception, and manipulation. The conduct described here fits those prohibitions.
@Polymarket team, can you please freeze any accounts linked to Miles and prevent them from cashing in on their Nos, given obvious criminal activity? And please prevent Miles from trying to rig the market again by trying to turn it into Yes after all.
If you fail to act, you will be permitting a user to run a scam on your own customers. It would also create a dangerous precedent.
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Be me:
Sit down to track potential insider wallets on âWill Trump pardon CZ in 2025?â
Puts on a YouTube video for background noise.
YouTuber quant says the key to getting rich quick is being an insider on Polymarket or copying them.
Iâm so making it.
piped.video/VAUaeYw0BQo
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YOUR PUBLIC WALLET FUNDS POLYMARKET ACCOUNTS THAT HOLD OVER 600,000 N SHARES AND YOUâRE TRYING TO CLAIM THESE ACCUSATIONS ARE FALSE LMAO. EVERYTHING IS VERIFIABLE ON CHAIN.
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The first thing to note: this bet is spread across 4 accounts; 1 existing user and 3 fresh accounts.
All 4 accounts deposited through Bitget and started buying 3/4 days ago. It's almost certain they're controlled by a single user.
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She gets told millions of times a day that sheâs good looking, which yes she is, but one tiktok diss and sheâs body insecure like tf
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Someone made a new polymarket account and got filled for a $321,151 UFC bet within 1 hour. Nowhere else are you getting a bet this size on a prelim fight on a dead UFC card. 1 hour into his @Polymarket career he's up $380k. Better price than any bookie too. @PolymarketSport is the future of sports betting.
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Next, I started hunting data errors in soccer markets.
Bookies sometimes listed the wrong scorer or assister - when the data corrects, you can cash in big.
One of my first wins: Lukaku got an assist but the goal didnât register. I bet fast, data corrected, and I cashed out instantly for an 18x.
That method made me about $25k over 6 months.
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I mean this is complete bs they didnât turn $20 into $2m. Sick of these clickbait posts tbh. Just because their first deposit was $20 doesnât mean they organically turned that to $2m.
My first deposit was $100 but in total Iâve deposited $15k. I didnât turn $100 into $250k.
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The bet relies on Arkhamâs Satoshi Nakamoto entity, which holds 22k+ wallets tagged through the Patoshi pattern (an early miner pattern attributed to Satoshi). Sergio Lerner created it, but even he noted a small chance of false positives that could include non-Satoshi wallets.
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Ordered a Chinese to my house, the Chinese driver pulls up and walks to the door and I walked out to meet him. He started shouting âisolate isolateâ, I said mate calm down youâre not that late I only ordered half an hour ago!
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A reminder that @PixOnChain is a negative pnl fraud that is seemingly paid to advertise Polymarket although knowing nothing about the platform. Every profit loss graph he flexes is inspect element. His actual account is down 3.1k. Go check it out!
polymarket.com/@Winnie-the-PâŚ
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But why would arfdgsdfq create 3 fresh accounts to place the same bet he could've just placed on his main?
On Polymarket, creating new accounts to buy one market is a big red flag - they're concealing their true bet size. It's common practice for insiders to do this...
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If even one mislabeled wallet inside that 22k cluster moves Bitcoin, the Polymarket market would resolve âYesâ, even if the real Satoshi never touches a coin.
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Thanks sir, finding insiders is a new edge for me and I only started looking at the blockchain a month ago. Anyone can learn!
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I was getting clowned on a lot for trying to warn others about the insiders.
So I decided to reimburse the person with the most sincere apology and that was some guy called Sherlock161, youâre welcome mate!
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Hereâs where it gets interesting.
The market resolves âYesâ if any wallet labeled as Satoshi on Arkham shows an âOutflowâ or âSwapsâ before Dec 31, 2025.
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So I made an account.
The biggest lesson from @PredMTrader: find an edge and stick to it.
I focused on 1 market; âCoinbase top 10 app on Fridayâ.
I understood this market better than anyone else and made the easiest $600 of my life just by paying attention.
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Unc posting ai videos of Zohran meanwhile his probability of winning the election falls to 5% đ
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But who could possibly have inside info about Satoshi Nakamoto moving coins?
Surely no random Polymarket user knows that⌠right? đ
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Ordered a Chinese to my house, the Chinese driver pulls up and walks to the door and I walked out to meet him. He started shouting âisolate isolateâ, I said mate calm down your not that late I only ordered half an hour ago!
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Here is a list of credible traders that I vouch for that post from time to time, give them a follow!
nitter.app/i/lists/19800188429789âŚ
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That editing fail helped identify his account.
Every trade posted on his X can be found here, and surprise: heâs not staking $17k on Serie A, just $200.
Also, notice the graph? Itâs the same one he edited earlier to show $104k.
polymarket.com/@SPACE?via=euâŚ
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Age 18 - the age where every sports fan thinks theyâve cracked the code.
âWait⌠you can make money just by guessing who wins?â
Easy!
Nope. First bet, lost $10.
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Just think itâs funny that flag shaggers try to paint the picture that the woke are snowflakes and then get deeply offended by a 3x5cm flag having its colour changed on a football kit
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First large stake bet:
Mark Carney to be the next prime minister of Canada.
Thesis: âevery smart person is betting on him so I will tooâ đ
Result: +14k.
Nice.
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The easiest explanation here is that he is a degen cosplaying as an insider. There isn't many plausible theories for how this market could resolve Yes.
My opinion is that it's highly likely he's a degen but if so it's an objectively awful bet.
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