This guy has been on polymarket for a total of 3 hours plowing huge sums into at-the-market orders, moving the market, and then immediately taking huge losses. Down $400k so far.
Was checking up on our hero and just noticed this. He dropped $100k on a "kamala will be president by friday" bet driving the price from basically 1c to 95c. Then idk panicked or something? And immediately sold it all for 1c, basically vaporizing his $100k in like ten minutes.
Folks are telling me this is money laundering. And it certainly could be! I think that's a very live hypothesis. But "guy got lucky on jeo boden coin and promptly vaporized his windfall at polymarket because he didn't understand market orders" is pretty plausible too imo.
• 0 likes: Garbage tweet. What was I thinking. Gonna kms.
• 1 like: Oh we're cooking.
• 5 likes: Incredible. Transcendent. I'm going to become a professional poaster.
• 589 likes: Low effort reply to a big account that I posted while absolutely blasted.
I should add - this packing for 17 squares is not rigid - 3 of them can slide, and one even has room to wiggle, but it's not enough to allow any of the other squares to move inward, so it doesn't change the size of the containing square.
Lots of mind blowing examples of ChatGPT's capabilities on the timeline, but I've been trying to use it as a tutor, and its error rate is too high to be useful. I end up having to fact check everything I don't already understand.
I don't buy the argument that languages like Haskell wouldn't benefit from an IDE. In fact, it's the opposite. Languages rich in type information have the most to gain from a good IDE.
Symbolic analysis tool flags 34,000+ Ethereum contracts as buggy with a true positive rate of 89%! They estimate almost $6 million worth of ether could be extracted by exploiting these. arxiv.org/abs/1802.06038
“I think the grass is watching,” said Toad. “Whispering my secrets. I saw myself become a speck and god laughed. Everything shimmers with a terrible intensity. The ether is menacing. My joy turned to fear and then ashes.”
“It’s ok, Toad” said Frog. “You’re just tripping balls.”
Seems like perplexity is the obvious $20/month winner right now. Their flagship LLM augmented search works well and copilot is neat, but it also gives you 600 GPT-4 queries per day, which is more than OpenAI's 400 (50 per 3 hours).
Basically a crippled laptop. Add a keyboard and I think it weighs about as much as a MBA. Maybe useful if you're like an artist and will actually use the pencil? Mine is gathering dust.
wait this dude actually spent $1.8M out of $2.5M raised on a domain name for a pre-launch hardware device?
that is actually fucking insane and i would be furious if i was an investor
Very pleased to announce that I'll be joining the Scala Tools Team at @Stripe in May. I'm really looking forward to working with the brilliant folks there and making the Scala dev experience excellent.
Everette Ely Beal drew his first breath on March 17th, 2022 🥰 So this is now a thread on childbirth and parenthood. I'll add posts as I think of them 🧵
So as someone in their 30s who wants a family, I did some research, wrote a monte carlo simulation, and made a forecast, as any sane person would. Here’s when I think I’ll be a father:
25th percentile: 2021-07-22
50th percentile: 2021-10-14
75th percentile: 2022-03-06
I'm so glad @slatestarcodex wrote this article on wine. It's something I've been wanting to write, down to the seeming paradox that sometimes experts have an almost superhuman palate (see the documentary Somm) and sometimes that can't tell white from red. asteriskmag.com/issues/1/is-…
I refuse to stock my pantry with MSG, not because I think it's toxic or something, but because food already tastes too good and 10x'ing it sounds like the first step in turning my kitchen into some sort of flavortown goon cave.
Here’s my “MSG pig” - a little container of monosodium glutamate I keep by the stove for adding to things I’m cooking. Some use these for sodium chloride, but I’ve never had so many compliments about my food since switching to this!
we've heard all your feedback about GPT4 getting lazier! we haven't updated the model since Nov 11th, and this certainly isn't intentional. model behavior can be unpredictable, and we're looking into fixing it 🫡
Automatic test generation, detection of failing asserts, and all sorts of interesting things can be done with symbolic execution. I've written up a tutorial for the working programmer here: usrsb.in/symbolic-execution-…
“I think the grass is watching,” said Toad. “Whispering my secrets. I saw myself become a speck and god laughed. Everything shimmers with a terrible intensity. The ether is menacing. My joy turned to fear and then ashes.”
“It’s ok, Toad” said Frog. “You’re just tripping balls.”
If you're not careful, you might end up like the @Pinboard guy and accidentally dedicate your life to being the steward of the internet's largest archive of erotic fan fiction.
What do these bugs look like? Here `mortal` was intended as a constructor, but it's misspelled (not capitalized), so anyone can call and become the owner. 😬
I’ve been trying to apply my forecasting hobby to work projects, but my coworkers are taking my estimates as benchmarks to beat, and all of a sudden the average time to complete a task has taken a nosedive. I’m not sure how to forecast in such adversarial conditions.
Lost my mind to this python foot gun.
> a = [[0] * 3] * 3 # What a neat way to init an array! :D
> a
[[0, 0, 0], [0, 0, 0], [0, 0, 0]]
> a[0][0] = 1
> a
[[1, 0, 0], [1, 0, 0], [1, 0, 0]] # This was not a neat way to init an array -_-
Every time I read a book on diet and nutrition, I'm baffled by how every author can summon mountains of evidence contradicting all the other books I've read. Turns out it's not in my head. John Ioannidis on nutrition science. jamanetwork.com/journals/jam…
The more I look at actual science, the more I feel like I'm losing my mind. The other day I tried to look into the link between sunscreen and melanoma risk. Should be a slam dunk, right? Wait what? onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/…
if you are technically capable, read Nietzsche's Thus Spoke Zarathustra and live by it. honoring the responsibility of your will to power is going to be increasingly important this coming decade
I’ve created a notebook for exporting @metaculus crowd predictions to @getguesstimate so that they can be used in your models. It uses @oughtinc’s excellent Ergo library. I’d love to know if you find this useful or if you have suggestions for improvements. colab.research.google.com/dr…
I think some extremely online tech personalities memed themselves into trump's arms. I don't think this is representative of the average SV tech worker.