Here's what Iran stands to gain under the new deal — the 2015 JCPOA vs. the 2026 Islamabad MOU, side by side.
So the rational play for Tehran is patience: take what's already flowing, slow-walk the rest, and wait out an administration that wants this win more than they do.
The real constraint isn't Washington. It's whether Ghalibaf-Pezeshkian can keep regime's core supporters — radicalized by 47 years of regime's own rhetoric — inside the tent long enough to quietly pocket the deal.