- Rather die than stop clicking - Crypto trenches since 2021 Liquidity Provider = Professional gambler

๐—›๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—น๐˜† ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—น๐˜†๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜€๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜ I want to share a strategy with you that will let you make money every day on price gaps in the order book Basically, this is just arbitrage using limit orders ๐—Ÿ๐—ฒ๐˜โ€™๐˜€ ๐—ด๐—ผ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฝ ๐—ฏ๐˜† ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฝ: Our main task is to find liquid markets with a spread in the order book of more than 3โ€“5 cents per share and place ourselves in the order book on the outcome that is the most likely This strategy is better suited for people with a smaller bankroll, but that doesnโ€™t mean that if your bankroll is over $1,000 you should close this tweet and scroll on It all depends on your appetite Iโ€™ll show a few trades with different spreads and different percentages Main rules for this strategy: - ๐—Ÿ๐—ถ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ถ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜† ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ This is both your enemy and your friend The more liquid the event is, the smaller the spread, but the faster trades get filled Less liquid events, on the other hand, will have a bigger spread, but the time between buying a share and selling it becomes longer We need a golden middle ground - ๐—˜๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ Ideally, look for markets with an expiration date more than 3 days away. This gives you time for your limit order to fill on the buy side, and time to sell your limit order as well - ๐—ฆ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ I look for markets with at least a 3โ€“5 cent spread per share - ๐—•๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—น๐˜† ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ Example: polymarket.com/event/up-onlyโ€ฆ The spread on this event is 8 cents, and if you remove the first limit buy order on NO, then itโ€™s a full 20 cents The probability of the NO outcome is 84% Vol is $129k So we place a limit buy order on NO and simply wait for it to get filled As soon as the limit order is filled, we list the shares for sale with a limit order as well, using the 8 cent spread The second example is even more liquid polymarket.com/event/how-mucโ€ฆ The volume here is even higher The spread is from 13 to 18 cents per share There is some uncertainty on this market right now, but thanks to the higher volume we can catch the spread quickly and exit the event fast To search for events, you can use any trading terminal, I use @StandDOTtrade In the Discover tab, we set the filter for spreads from 3 to 5 cents, as shown in the screenshot Are you ready to catch the juiciest spreads? This isnโ€™t the first time Iโ€™ve mentioned this strategy, but now Iโ€™ve made a full breakdown of it If you want to dive even deeper and see my profitable screenshots, Iโ€™ll leave links to my articles under this tweet. In those articles I show everything using my own examples If this tweet was useful to you, make sure to leave your thoughts - It really means a lot to me
49
39
761
319,889
Replying to @shayne_coplan
A real man should be arrested by the FBI at least once Congratulations
3
4
597
38,576
Don't you find these two graphs similar ? ๐Ÿง $slop = $goat Below I'll give examples of why we can't cost always $18m mcp ๐Ÿ‘‡
27
43
187
20,179
Did you oversleep $wif? Did you oversleep $fwog? Did you oversleep $scf? Your last chance - $wDOG I'll tell you why ๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡
15
39
181
14,616
If this $WDOG post gets 100โค๏ธ likes. I will buy more than 40 $sol with my entire bank
100m is the target ๐Ÿ‘Š $wdog
14
23
143
7,576
Polymarket was right again @Polymarket is always right
43
4
163
5,621
$MET airdrop will be the largest in crypto history - This is the first project that pays real fees to its users - LP metrics chart shows @MeteoraAG dominance over Uniswap, Raydium, etc - Most importantly the team and @MeteoraAG are accomplishing the impossible for the Web3 world... They work diligently, listening to their community and conducting effective marketing through @met_lparmy nitter.app/MeteoraAG/status/19666โ€ฆ
Billions of tokens will launch. Meteora will be the engine room powering them all. Who's ready for a BIG few weeks ahead?
21
15
161
14,588
Replying to @PedroALPHAA
๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿคค
114
306
๐— ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—น๐˜†๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ Hedging through limit/market orders on BTC price events Picture this 6 PM, Polymarket market BTC price on Nov 6 looks like this - 102โ€“104k - $0.54 (54%) - 100โ€“102k - $0.40 (40%) You place: $110 on 102โ€“104k @ $0.54 $100 on 100โ€“102k @ $0.40 - If BTC closes between 102โ€“104k, you win $103 and lose $100 on the other leg +$3 profit - If 100โ€“102k, you win $150 and lose $110 +$47 profit Clean hedge - minimal risk A few days ago I did the same bet: - Long 108โ€“110k for $30 (payout $60 +$30 profit) - Long 106โ€“108k for $21 (payout $60 +$38 profit) You donโ€™t have to be right - you just have to price probabilities better than the crowd Most important part Always use strict risk management - I never risk more than 10โ€“15% of my total bank Try to enter with limit orders - most of the time I catch one leg at a really good price Best entry window ~ 2โ€“4 hours before expiry Perfect way to learn real market structure The key to this strategy is risk/reward If you ignore R/R youโ€™ll lose long term no matter how good your entries are You can check mt bet ๐Ÿ‘‡
16
9
129
14,642
๐—œ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—บ๐˜† ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—น๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—น๐˜†๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜ ๐˜€๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜€ The best tool Iโ€™ve found for tracking whale wallets and profitable traders is @StandDOTtrade ๐ŸŽฏ Itโ€™s so convenient, I still donโ€™t understand why more people arenโ€™t using this trading terminal You just go to the Leaderboard tab on @Polymarket, find the profiles of profitable whales, copy their wallet address, paste it into Stand search - and boom Now youโ€™re getting notifications on their trades and full activity history But thatโ€™s not all... Remember how easy it was to use GMGN and Axioma to track new memecoins, their volume, and catch early runners? Stand has a similar feature - itโ€™s called Pulse I just open that tab and keep an eye on every new markets
19
8
123
8,823
First buy $wdog My target only $100mln
20
15
112
5,386
๐—” ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ต๐—ผ๐˜„ ๐˜๐—ผ ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ป $๐Ÿด ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ผ $๐Ÿญ,๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ Today the leaders of two powerful nations will meet I decided to take advantage of this and bet on Trump's words This is not a call to action - I am simply sharing my bets with you In my opinion these events are greatly underestimated Trump has already mentioned the words "tariffs" and "Russia" countless times during personal meetings with the leaders of other countries, so why wouldn't he do so today? The only advice I can give you is to take these bets at an ultra-small size, take half of your position at market price, and try to catch the other half with a limit order as I did
24
4
124
13,452
This guy obviously knows something about $wDOG He bought $wDOG for over $150,000 He's also holding $MEW at $600,000. and $popcat at $390.000 I left this whale's wallet on my Telegram ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿณ
10
13
106
2,963
The $wdog community is active ?
16
15
107
3,160
I found $fWOG on the $1m mcp and told you about it. I also told you to buy it for $10m. - 80x I found $wDOG on a $2m mcp and told you about it. You buy it now. We'll be $100m
7
17
104
5,553
Just keep printing with @Polymarket Just keep pushing @Polymarket Just keep building on @Polymarket Just keep writing about @Polymarket Just keep using @Polymarket That's the whole secret
34
4
109
3,898
๐—ช๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜† ๐—Ÿ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜ƒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฏ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฏ๐˜† ๐—ข๐—ฐ๐˜ ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿญ? I'm betting ๐—ก๐—ข and here's why๐Ÿ‘‡ First off I dug into the biggest heists over the last 20 yrs to see how fast cops nabbed the perps - Harry Winston boutique Dec 4 2008 - Three dudes in women's wigs swiped jewels worth ~$92M in mins. Cops made arrests in 2009 (bout 1 yr later) - Hatton Garden safe deposit heist Apr 2015 - Crew of old timers tunneled in and looted valuables from boxes worth ~ยฃ13.7M. Key players ID'd and busted after just 6 wks - Green Vault heist Nov 2019 - Thieves drilled a hole in the wall and grabbed rare antique bling worth up to โ‚ฌ1B. Perps got collared almost a yr later: three suspects nabbed in Nov 2020 - Fortaleza bank heist Aug 2005 - Bad guys dug a tunnel for 3 mos to the vault and dipped with $70M. Main organizer caught after ~2.5 yrs - Schiphol airport diamond theft Feb 2005 - Armed robbers dressed as airline staff jacked a diamond truck โ‚ฌ70M gone.Cops only arrested seven involved after 12 yrs For me there's two mysteries: first why the thieves only took stuff from Napoleon's collection. Second why they skipped the Regent diamond, one of the priciest in the world These pros pulled off the op in just 7 mins - screams perfect prep and know-how. Paris is poppin off with protests and riots rn, I reckon finding the robbers by Oct 31 is near impossible Durov posted about it, read btw the lines nitter.app/durov/status/198037985โ€ฆ thx a ton I just added deeper researchthe idea for this bet from @CryptoMoonday This is ultra degen bet - DYOR NFA
Not at all surprised by the Louvre heist. Itโ€™s another sad sign of the decline of a once great country โ€” where the government has perfected the art of distracting people with phantom threats instead of confronting the real ones.
33
4
105
7,722
Replying to @PedroALPHAA
๐Ÿ”ฅ
90
214
๐—ข๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฎ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜„๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—บ๐˜† ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—น๐—ฒ and one I personally follow - is @AnjunPoly Just look at the smooth upward slope of his PNL, no sharp spikes Also pay attention to the consistency in position sizing - 90% of his predictions are entered with the same stake size Thatโ€™s a clear sign of system based trading This trader almost always uses take profits and stop losses Itโ€™s traders like this who earn consistently over the long run - one, two, three years Heโ€™ll continue to generate profits because he has both strategy and structure Heโ€™s basically a machine that prints money If you havenโ€™t read my piece โ€œHow to Distinguish a Professional Trader from a Gamblerโ€ on Polymarket - I strongly recommend you do so right now
18
3
104
14,583
๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜ ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—น ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜†๐˜‡๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—น๐˜†๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜? @hashdive - easily the most convenient analysis tool out there Let me explain why and what I personally like the most about it What you can track: - ROI, PnL, trade volume - Entry/exit history - Positions in specific markets - Bet sizes - Trade chart - a visual map showing where traders entered and exited Lately Iโ€™ve been using it almost entirely for the trade chart You might ask -Danko how do you use it? Simple: - Each circle on the graph is based on buys (horizontal axis) and sells (vertical axis) - The size of the circle reflects position size - the bigger the circle, the bigger the trade - Green zone = profitable trades, red = losing trades - Circles on the diagonal line = break-even exits This chart lets us do more than just spot profitable traders - it helps analyze behavior Is this trader sticking to risk/reward? Are they sizing consistently? Do they use take-profits and stop-losses? Only by watching how someone trades can you tell if theyโ€™re actually smart money - or just degen lucky Example from the screenshot below - trader @Domahhhh with a PnL > $2.4M Look at the consistency in sizing, disciplined use of TP and SL Almost no trades in the upper-left or bottom-right quadrants Most entries clustered in the 0.01 cent - to 4 cents Link to trader ๐Ÿ‘‡
20
8
102
7,735
Today I decided to place a bet on - ๐—ช๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—ญ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜ $๐Ÿญ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฌ ๐—ฏ๐˜† ๐——๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿญ?โ€ - NO Letโ€™s start with the simplest argument - one of the top traders on Polymarket placed the same bet last night This traderโ€™s total PNL is over $1,400,000 - @r_gopfan And he also doesnโ€™t believe Zcash will hit $1000 in 2025 I actually started looking at this market before I even opened the top holders list - and then saw gopfan near the top โ€“ If you open the daily Zcash chart, youโ€™ll just see the chart of one of the biggest cabal tokens of 2025 โ€“ The token has no tech or strong support from the crypto community โ€“ The RSI indicator on the daily chart is signaling a trend reversal โ€“ Current FDV is around $13B - if the token hits $1000, FDV would be $21B Every cabal needs fuel and Zcash is out of it.
38
2
100
25,500
Replying to @Rana60229
๐Ÿฅน
82
180
๐—œ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜†๐˜‡๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—น๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ซ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚ It has absolutely everything - trading bots and terminals, AI assistants, analytics and data, tracking, DeFi, news, and communities I added a couple of lines to each tool explaining what it is and why it is needed - ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜„๐˜€, ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป, ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—บ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐˜€ - @predictionarc โ€“ A large community of poly traders for exchanging strategies and signals. I often read the chat in TG myself, and if I have a question, they always help me there @zscdao โ€“ The DAO community focuses on advanced Polymarket traders. What can I say about the DAO I belong to? It's the holy grail - this is my fam @polymarketinfo โ€“ News & Views from the World's Largest Prediction Market @PolymarketEco โ€“ Polymarket Tools List & Apps Directory , maintains a database of all Polymarket ecosystems - a very useful thing @layerhub - In-depth analysis of wallets by studying their behavior, activity and much more, often helps me with analysis - ๐—ง๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜€ - @tryokbet โ€“ Telegram bot for betting on Polymarket. Allows you to place bets directly in the TG chat @betmoardotfun โ€“ A multifunctional platform for trading on prediction markets. Trader profiles, transaction history, analytical charts, news feeds, and a whole lot mor - I use this service every day @tradefoxai โ€“ A professional trading terminal aggregator for prediction markets. It is a large platform supported by Alliance DAO and CMT Digital, combining many prediction markets, including Polymarket. There is too much to describe, so just take a look for yourself. It is a useful tool, and I have only just started using it - ๐—”๐—œ ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜๐˜€ - @polytaleai โ€“ the first polymarket research ai agent living on X - giving signal through the noise. @sportstensor โ€“ A decentralized platform with AI analytics for sports betting. It combines the collective intelligence of players and machine learning algorithms to find patterns in sports predictions @polybroapp โ€“ This is a bot and app for quantitative analysis of prediction markets on Polymarket. It automatically scans new events on Polymarket and generates signals @rainmakerdotfun โ€“ AI Agents for Sports Prediction Markets + terminal - ๐—”๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜†๐˜๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฎ - @poly_data โ€“ Data on all Polymarket traders, markets, positions, and trades. Prices of active contracts, trading volumes, user positions, traders profits/losses, etc. @hashdive โ€“ advanced analytics platform for Polymarket with a focus on "Smart Scores trader " Smart Score is a metric (from -100 to 100) that reflects a trader's stability and profitability based on their trading history. This tool deserves special attention, and I will tell you more about it sometime @Polysights โ€“ Leverage AI-powered analytics to optimize your strategy on Polymarket - This tool also deserves special attention, and I cannot describe it in just a few lines. @polyfactual โ€“ Deep AI research & API layer for prediction markets. U can request reports where the AI model evaluates sentiment, risk, and confidence in predictions. - ๐—”๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด - @PredictFolio โ€“ Track your own portfolio or analyze other traders . Allows you to combine several wallets into one portfolio statistic - PnL and positions are summed up, and the best and worst trades are visible @StandDOTtrade โ€“ Advanced trading terminal, live feeds, & alerts to trade on prediction markets. As I understand it, this is a bot for copy trading+ that automatically tracks whales - ๐——๐—ฒ๐—™๐—ถ - @polyfund โ€“ Allows experienced callers and traders to create prediction funds: they manage funds in different markets, and investors invest in such funds and receive a share of the profits - I may be mistaken, as I have only just discovered this tool and find it quite intriguing @robinmarketsxyz - As I understand it, this is a platform for converting long-term Polymarket positions into income-generating instruments. It solves the problem of locked-up capital in long markets There is a huge list of similar tools, but I decided to highlight the ones that I find most interesting, as well as those that are active and constantly updated If u have anything to add I look forward to your reply๐Ÿ‘‡
24
7
100
5,457
๐ˆ ๐ฆ๐š๐๐ž $๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ,๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐ข๐ง ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ž๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก @MeteoraAG In this thread I share the strategies and tools I've used along the way I hope my journey of over a year helps someone๐Ÿ‘‡
14
5
99
16,958
100m is the target ๐Ÿ‘Š $wdog
3
8
85
5,347
Can my purchase of $wDOG get 100 likes ?
First buy $wdog My target only $100mln
4
9
85
1,535
What could be more pleasant than a medal for bravery from @Polymarket ? I'll answer you - nothing I am very happy to be part of the innovation and new era of the prediction market Thank you, Poly
33
3
96
4,871
If this tweet gets 52 likesโค๏ธ I will buy $HDMI on 10 $sol Is there a strong community here?
17
10
82
1,888
The easiest money on @Polymarket Iโ€™m betting YES on Polymarket US live in 2025 - and hereโ€™s why ๐Ÿ‘‡ - Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) invested $2B into Polymarket a massive institutional backing Quick reminder ICE is the parent company of the NYSE (If youโ€™re not familiar with that abbreviation Google it, youโ€™ll be surprised) - The Polymarket team is actively pushing the US launch for 2025: the license is ready, an ad campaign in US cities is prepared, a dedicated U.S website is already live(polymarket us) and on the official site (polymarket com) thereโ€™s now an American flag next to the Polymarket logo Government investigations are closed, and there are a few other interesting details I canโ€™t share publicly yet... - Iโ€™m seeing whale wallets continue accumulating YES positions My strategy - Iโ€™ve already started building my position If the odds drop to 80โ€“75%, Iโ€™ll be happy to add even more size Expecting the Polymarket US launch by late November. ofc NFA DYOR
32
4
90
13,948
๐‰๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐ž๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ž๐š๐ซ๐ง ๐ฆ๐จ๐ง๐ž๐ฒ I just bet on what I understand and where I know how to analyze Strict risk reward, strict take profit and stop loss No gambling - only long-term work I don't want to wait for the full expiration date , I'm satisfied with the current profit nitter.app/dankoweb3/status/19794โ€ฆ
I want to try this bet - Meteora is significantly undervalued in the prediction market That's why ๐Ÿ‘‡ - Meteora a subsidiary of Jupiter - JUP is valued at $2.2B FDV, Pre-market MET is $1B FDV after the checker. Keep in mind that this is not the actual price of the token $MET, but merely a pre-market price. Also, quite a few people decided to hedge their allocation after the checker, causing the price to fall. - I would also draw attention to Revenue JUP Revenue 7d - $23M MET Revenue 7d - $9M The difference is approximately twofold, as it should be on TGE MET This is not financial advice, I'm just sharing my thoughts and my bets on @Polymarket High risk I take a very small position size that I can afford to lose
17
3
87
7,452
Replying to @PedroALPHAA
๐Ÿคค๐Ÿ’Ž
69
161
It actually sounds pretty darn bullish if you take out the 40% allocation for $MER holders But even now if @MeteoraAG comes out at $5B fbv which is a lot likely, we'll see a new wave of millionaires 1m points in 2024 = $1170 in tokens $MET 1m points in 2025 = $460 in tokens $MET Again if we see a $5B valuation
$MET TGE is likely going to be one of the largest airdrops on Solana. Second only to $JUP. hopefully we hit 1b in airdrop value
9
6
87
15,731
Polymarket has long moved beyond what we usually think of as a typical Web3 product Polymarket is a new era. Polymarket is new opportunity. Polymarket is new trenches. Polymarket changes lives - this project has already changed mine Now it's your time
33
81
2,193
What do you think? $shegen We can't cost so little, I'm betting on this meme 2KgAN8nLAU74wjiyKi85m4ZT6Z9MtqrUTGfse8Xapump
21
10
60
15,702
Replying to @HashHer0
๐Ÿ’—
67
123
Good morning Fam ! ๐Ÿ’— ยซThe Pink Mistake of Mankindยป has just been listed in @foundation 1 | 2 - 0.096 ETH reserve (Second work will go free to the winner of the auction) Link below:๐Ÿ‘‡
25
12
71
1,419
Gm fam ๐Ÿ’– what are your plans for next week?
37
5
71
1,689
I buy more $wDOG My first goal is $100m.
2
7
73
1,273
I want to try this bet - Meteora is significantly undervalued in the prediction market That's why ๐Ÿ‘‡ - Meteora a subsidiary of Jupiter - JUP is valued at $2.2B FDV, Pre-market MET is $1B FDV after the checker. Keep in mind that this is not the actual price of the token $MET, but merely a pre-market price. Also, quite a few people decided to hedge their allocation after the checker, causing the price to fall. - I would also draw attention to Revenue JUP Revenue 7d - $23M MET Revenue 7d - $9M The difference is approximately twofold, as it should be on TGE MET This is not financial advice, I'm just sharing my thoughts and my bets on @Polymarket High risk I take a very small position size that I can afford to lose
23
4
80
9,683
gPoly The bet has yielded ~20% so far ~ current price is 50 cents per share I continue to hold it until the end of the expiration date There's nothing special to write about, I'll just share with u a tweet from a cool guy who did some research and after reading it - I made this bet nitter.app/gemchange_ltd/status/1โ€ฆ
What happened with Insiders on Gemini Release Event? Situation is getting crazier every day. While on other bets we can see migrations of fund from 1 odd to another, here we can see new faces and old ones, which are keeping stacking their bag. I already made a research about that, but we are getting more and more close to 15 November, which have pretty good win potential. What we can see in the Insiders or/and Smart Wallets Portfolio. Gemini 3.0 released by...? polymarket.com/event/gemini-โ€ฆ Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? - YES (8 Wallet) Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? - YES (6 Wallets) Wallets of OG and New Top Holders: 1/ 0x28c1f7e421ced6589a223ffeb285b88b9176fffc polymarket.com/@Cryptoguru19โ€ฆ Hold only November 15, 27.000$ 2/ 0x2110ba2a1e18840109482ff4ddc547baeff45850 polymarket.com/@a09854095760โ€ฆ Hold both November 30 and November 15, but 2nd bag is bigger. 13.000$ vs 8.000$ 3/ 0x7fe68cbaca0b778dab7c1adbb9992bb1f4f6b39e polymarket.com/@GaiusOctaviuโ€ฆ Hold both November 30 and November 15, but 1st bag is bigger. 16.000$ vs 5.000$ 4/ 0xed2b4da877bb0c5e4cd78f874957af2430fd3aba polymarket.com/@jzhao321?viaโ€ฆ Hold only November 15, 4.000$ 5/ 0x2dc3d3b1efb221db512a79efcaa89d216a0a8dfb polymarket.com/@0x2dc3D3B1eFโ€ฆ Hold both November 30 and November 15, but 1st bag is bigger. 6.000$ vs 3.000$ 6/ 0xd9d37c5f14d4a1415e681c4bf1c382f2fe8e7907 polymarket.com/@1000101?via=โ€ฆ Hold both November 30 and November 15, but 2nd bag is bigger. 14.000$ vs 3.000$ 7/ 0x7084b959d318a60c55a5e6e351d0791666aa4bd6 polymarket.com/@notsatoshi1?โ€ฆ Hold both November 30 and November 15, but 1st bag is bigger. 9.000$ vs 3.000$ 8/ 0xa3141724ab6e62564c25040465a954cf1a59e2c5 polymarket.com/@llmfangirl?vโ€ฆ Hold both November 30 and November 15, but 1st bag is bigger. 8.000$ vs 800$ What we can see, betting 1000 dollars on both events we can see upside around 25% on November 30th and 150% on November 15th. But if November 15th win, it's both takes with 175% profit. I will bet 0.25x on November 15th and x on November 30th. The only bad thing which can happen is Gemini won't release in both dates.
40
2
81
6,451
I've made more than 10 tweets about $wDOG Don't tell me I didn't warn you. Next stop 100m mcp ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€
1
10
66
3,025
GM fam ๐Ÿ‘ป This is my first drop, I'm really excited. I just listed โ€œThe Language of Shapes and Colorsโ€ for sale on @foundation! ๐ŸŒ foundation.app/@Dankonft/1-8โ€ฆ
28
23
69
2,496
Polymarket is a project that is being discussed worldwide Polymarket project with investments > $2B Polymarket is a project in crypto and WITHOUT a token. Polymarket is a project with direct hints at a drop $POLY I really feel sorry for you if you haven't started using @Polymarket
24
7
76
5,789
This whale wallet made > $800,000 PNL exclusively on American football/NHL The most interesting thing is that he did it in less than 20 days In such a short period of time - he participated in 1488 predictions on sportsโ€ฆ This whale clearly knows what it's doing Profile; polymarket.com/@Finubar?via=โ€ฆ
27
2
71
5,477
Every time I open Polymarket this mode switches on in my head - Polymarket mode: ON
๐—ง๐—ผ๐˜๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—บ๐—ถ๐˜๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐˜€ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฆ๐—ผ๐—น๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฝ๐˜‚๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐— ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฎ๐——๐—”๐—ข I'm placing a NO on >$40M and a small NO on >$20M Letโ€™s break down why ๐Ÿ‘‡ The last 3 projects launched and immediately went below TGE price: LOYAL, ZKFG, PAY - The last 2 raised less than $20M ZKFG raised $14.8M PAY raised $6.1M - Solomon's minimum raise is $2M For comparison: OMFG: $550k UMBRA: $300k AVICI: $500k This team is asking for $2M minimum - why? The product doesnโ€™t justify it What makes it better than the others? - The sale has a dynamic pricing model Price = Total Raise / 10M tokens $10M raise = $1 per token $20M raise = $2 per token You're buying tokens at an obvious overvaluation for this kind of project - $50M FDV at $20M raise? Every previous project launched at a lower valuation... - 25% APR? Or just $28,000 in actual yield? Solomon ran for nearly a year in closed beta During that time, the total yield paid out to users was just ~$28K That 20โ€“25% APR is purely paper-based and part of a beta - I seriously doubt it will hold - BTC is still under $100K The market overall is shaky right now And this raise is from a no-name project with 4,000 Twitter followers? For me, betting NO on >$40M looks like free money What do you think?
22
1
78
7,410
3 new announcements in a single day Show me another team that works 24/7 on their creation Polymarket canโ€™t be stopped Looks like theyโ€™ve got some kind of world domination plan - and Iโ€™m here for it - In partnership with Polymarket, the Based team will be launching prediction market access to users of @BasedOneX nitter.app/BasedOneX/status/19886โ€ฆ - Polymarket is now the exclusive prediction market partner for Yahoo Finance nitter.app/Polymarket/status/1988โ€ฆ - Coming soon to @BullpenFi - the first pro terminal for prediction markets powered by Polymarket nitter.app/blknoiz06/status/19887โ€ฆ Proud to support @Polymarket - theyโ€™re going to change the world
coming soon to @BullpenFi first pro terminal for prediction markets powered by @Polymarket join the waitlist for early access: bullpen.fi/polymarket all @Polymarket & @PolymarketTrade @X badge affiliates who reply to this post will receive priority beta access
21
6
67
3,188
๐—œ๐—ป ๐—ฐ๐—ฟ๐˜†๐—ฝ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฎ, ๐—ฎ๐˜๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ - ๐—ถ๐˜โ€™๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜ ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ Now, attention has become a tradable asset - and hereโ€™s why ๐Ÿ‘‡ TrendleFi is the first prediction market where you can trade hype itself - go long on rising trends or short the fading ones Spot the hype early? You profit See it dying out? You profit too Example - the "AI Supercycle" market You can go long on the growing AI buzz across social media and news over the next month, or short it if you think the hype is cooling off all based on real metrics like mentions and engagement
T-24H. Attention is about to become the market. Narratives will have a price. Your takes will finally matter. Tomorrow we trade the hype itself, see you on the other side. Trendle beta.
53
70
3,043
๐— ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ฑ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ (๐—™๐——๐—ฉ) >$๐Ÿฏ๐—• >$๐Ÿฐ๐—• ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜† ๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ต? - YES Hereโ€™s why I placed these bets๐Ÿ‘‡ - First , the sale is happening on Coinbase, and theyโ€™re only selling 7.5% of the total token supply at a $2B valuation. Thatโ€™s a small amount compared to the total tokens that will be unlocked at TGE - Also, donโ€™t forget that the pre-market on HL traded most of the time at a $6B valuation Right now itโ€™s trading around ~$5B FDV - The most interesting part, in my opinion, is the projectโ€™s tokenomics With this kind of structure, they can print almost any FDV they want Ecosystem Development โ€“ Unlocked 38.5% Team โ€“ Locked 27.0% Investors โ€“ Locked 19.7% Public Sale โ€“ Unlocked 7.5% Category Labs Treasury โ€“ Locked 4.0% Airdrop โ€“ Unlocked 3.3% As we can see, the majority of tokens are under Ecosystem Development, which basically means in the teamโ€™s hands The project can push FDV to $10B and slowly start offloading their bags To me, bets on >$2B and >$3B look like free money Iโ€™ll take some of that profit and place it on >$4B as well Whatโ€™s your verdict?
40
1
69
4,476
I have my own link to polymarket If you haven't started trading on @Polymarket - NOW is the time to start polymarket.com?via=dankoeth Surprise for you ๐Ÿ‘‡
10
2
66
5,875
Prediction Market for Attention @TrendleFi just launched the beta version of their attention market and Iโ€™ve genuinely never seen anything like it before This feels like a new era of futures Youโ€™re not trading memes, tokens, or binary outcomes Youโ€™re trading attention Will Bitcoin gain more attention? Long or short Will attention toward Polymarket grow? Absolutely yes Right now there arenโ€™t too many markets and thatโ€™s actually a good thing. It gives you space to analyze each one properly and decide: is attention going up or down? Big congrats to @mikhryc0x on the beta launch. Also if youโ€™re reading this and want to try the platform, just DM me
33
1
66
1,994
Replying to @Asher_io
๐Ÿคคโฃ๏ธ๐Ÿคค
1
56
118
I wanted to share a few thoughts that really struck me while writing this piece In todayโ€™s market, this idea keeps me up at night I think about it every single day, and I want to pass that feeling on to you as clearly as possible The modern crypto industry moves in cycles - intense growth followed by steep decline We've seen it with NFTs, meme coins, and a mountain of projects that have already collapsed The smartest thing founders and participants in CT can do is adopt a long-term mindset For builders, that means creating products with real utility - not artificially inflated growth metrics Communities formed around real use cases - not airdrops - are far more resilient when the market cools off Investors and funds, like @1confirmation consistently back teams with clear and durable visions Capital flows toward real value and real-world integration, not noise ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—น๐˜†๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜ ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฒ: serious money backs projects solving real problems, not ones handing out tokens left and right The same logic applies to users and enthusiasts Instead of chasing every new project in hopes of a future airdrop, focus on extracting value right now Learn how to use the platform, earn through it, engage in the ecosystem The people who are truly involved and understand the core of the project are the ones who win - and they win more often, and far bigger, than those hoping for a random drop A skilled analyst, for instance, can earn more through trading on Polymarket than from most one-time token distributions And if a project does end up rewarding real users, youโ€™ll already be on the list Projects like Polymarket - and the communities around them - are built to last Just like Amazon survived the dot-com crash by delivering real value - Polymarket also has real value for the world Think long term In five to ten years, those who bet on the future will be the ones reaping the rewards Keep building with Polymarket Keep pushing with Polymarket Keep learning with Polymarket Keep earning with Polymarket Itโ€™s simpler than you think
17
4
69
7,496
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14? I placed my bet on YES and hereโ€™s why๐Ÿ‘‡ Thereโ€™s been new info about whatโ€™s happening in Pokrovsk, so letโ€™s break it down The very fact that this market appeared already shows high interest in the event and likely a positive outcome for - YES Ukrainian MP Maryana Bezuhla wrote today on Telegram hereโ€™s a direct translation: โ€œRight now the president is openly lying about the situation in Pokrovsk and Kupyansk. And you see, if this lie were part of a planned information operation, but decisions were still made based on verified dataโ€ฆ that would be one thing. But decisions are made based on the same rotten lies, the stench of the General Staffโ€™s culture, fed straight to the president and you can see the results yourself. Itโ€™s about whether one chooses to consume the lie or seek an alternative.โ€ The part that really caught my attention and made me decide to bet on this market is the narrowing of the corridor The city is basically under full Russian control already and itโ€™s almost impossible to reverse the situation now Former Deputy Minister of Defense Vitaliy Deynega openly stated that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have effectively lost both Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad, yet the withdrawal order still hasnโ€™t been given He accused Ukraineโ€™s General Staff of systematic lying in their reports and said the level of distortion keeps growing every day. According to him, if the withdrawal order isnโ€™t given soon, Ukrainian troops will suffer heavy losses among airborne and marine units the most motivated fighters on the front Deynega warned of catastrophic consequences: equipment worth hundreds of millions of dollars is already lost and canโ€™t be evacuated, and the rear defenses may soon fall into enemy hands. Meanwhile, โ€œthereโ€™s no one left to fill the gap at the frontโ€ โ€œThe Russians can see everything in real time through their drones,โ€ he wrote. โ€œWe need to face the truth and save the soldiers who refuse to retreat without an official orderโ€ At the same time, Russian forces have severely disrupted enemy logistics, built up enough manpower in urban areas, and deployed more drone crews effectively operating in Pokrovsk. As a result, the Ukrainian side started recording almost lightning-fast (by this warโ€™s slow standards) Russian advances inside the city For clarity, Iโ€™m attaching a short video showing how the Ukrainian side documented Russiaโ€™s progress in Pokrovsk over the last 20 days Russian troops are now trying to completely close the โ€œpocketโ€™s neckโ€ the narrow gap where Ukrainian forces remain (the width is shown in the attached image). Itโ€™s not a full encirclement yet, but the blockade is extremely tight, and breaking through it now would cost Ukraine enormous losses even though thereโ€™s still no official order to retreat Iโ€™m not taking anyoneโ€™s side - I just bet on what I see and analyze the situation as it is War is fear and horror - It kills thousands of innocent lives. But in this case, I see an opportunity to profit, and I donโ€™t want to miss it DYOR NFA All videos and screenshots are attached below. nitter.app/DankoWeb3/status/19847โ€ฆ
๐—ช๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฅ๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฎ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ธ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐˜€๐—ธ ๐—ฏ๐˜† ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฌ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ? I'm betting - YES and here's why ๐Ÿ‘‡ Pokrovsk is now almost completely encircled by Russian forces - and both Russian and Ukrainian Telegram channels are reporting it. Iโ€™ve gathered a few excerpts from these channels and translated them word-for-word below - ๐—™๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—ฎ ๐—จ๐—ธ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ง๐—š ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—น - '' The city is gradually losing its grip on critical support logistics, reinforcements, and ammunition. This is forcing our troops to do what command should have coordinated: retreat in an organized manner to avoid encirclement. Iโ€™m not trying to be dramatic this is simply the reality. When front-line supply lines are cut, a garrisonโ€™s endurance fades fast. Did you see yesterdayโ€™s video showing the paratroopers landing? I noticed one key mistake. The video itself isnโ€™t the issue what matters is that the troops landed in a zone fully monitored by enemy FPV drones. That means the perimeter was under constant surveillance and aerial attack. The location was exposed a complicated zone. When paratroopers land under persistent observation and fire, their survival becomes highly questionable. No need to go into further detail the consequences are clear. Thereโ€™s also a noticeable increase in enemy MLRS activity in this area. Theyโ€™re actively striking our positions. This is systematic preparation clearing operations aimed at locking in their advances. Wherever their fire is concentrated, our units have a harder time maneuvering or retreating without casualties. As for the front lines: the area known as the โ€œCitadelโ€ is in the red zone meaning itโ€™s under critical threat. There are also small enemy advances to the west along the highway. Theyโ€™re moving in strips, trying to secure control over the supply routes. Hryshyne is also now under artillery and drone fire you can sense a gradual targeting process and a buildup of firepower.And perhaps the most painful part the โ€œGulletโ€ still hasnโ€™t been sealed (!). Itโ€™s the key to the fate of the Myrnohrad garrison. If we canโ€™t stretch or hold that corridor, exit and evacuation routes will be lost โ€” and we all know what that means '' - ๐—˜๐˜…๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฝ๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—ฎ ๐—ฅ๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ง๐—š ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—น " Ukrainian forces in the city are being forced to operate in near encirclement, with no access to ammunition, food, or reinforcements. As a result, their main effort is no longer on holding defensive lines, but on breaking out of the city. Pro-Ukrainian channels are in an uproar over the failed airborne operation on the outskirts of Krasnoarmiisk, during which Zelensky reportedly lost elite GUR special forces. Russian sources claim the landing force was remotely destroyed by drones. Russian forces are bringing in more MLRS systems. A systematic operation is underway to clear the city of remaining Ukrainian fighters who refused to surrender. Russian troops are expanding their control west of Krasnoarmiisk, with reports of fighting beginning in the town of Hryshyne. The โ€œneckโ€ of the pocket has not yet been physically sealed but is under heavy fire control by Russian forces" Honestly, after reading most Telegram channels, it feels like both sides are lying One side keeps saying everythingโ€™s going well, the other claims theyโ€™re making gains - but the truth? Weโ€™ll probably never really know In this situation, I focus on just two things: - StoryMaps and the clearly visible tightening of the encirclement - Iโ€™ve been tracking it for the past few days - The number of large whale positions backing the same outcome Iโ€™m betting on YES Iโ€™m not taking sides in this conflict Iโ€™m simply sharing my positions and trying first and foremost to explain to myself why Iโ€™m betting on a specific outcome I hate making calls on war markets itโ€™s tragic but now see an opportunity to make money in this market DYOR NFA (I left tweets with wallets that bet on the same thing)
24
3
60
4,045
Great news for the $FWOG $wDOG $SCF community. @gate_io Rolled out the news, now you won't have to use web3 wallets to buy those memcoins. Everything will be done through the exchange The more listings, the higher the rocket flies ๐Ÿš€
6
9
51
1,318
WE ARE SO BACK
19
59
2,114
Replying to @HashHer0
๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿค
51
97
๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿค
43
89
Gm๐Ÿ’— "Minimalism in my soul" Public sale: Starts on Apr 7 - 12:00am Price: Free 10/10 Check out this collection on @foundation! foundation.app/collection/myโ€ฆ 1/5๐Ÿ‘ป
31
6
51
1,096
Am I asleep? Does anyone still have doubts about Polymarket? I can't write anything else I only have swear words and cries of delight in my head๐Ÿคฏ POLYMARKET X UFC Congratulations to the best team in the world with one grand announcement
AAAAAND NEWโ€ฆ Official Exclusive Prediction Market of the UFC & TKO. POLYMARKET
18
4
57
2,302
Everyone who likes this post get a polymarket boost energy Polymarket runs through my veins, how about you?
Everyone who likes this post will get a boost of Polymarket energy Prediction market supercycle.
14
2
57
1,908
๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—น๐˜†๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐˜€๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—ฑ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐˜€๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐˜€ ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—บ๐˜† ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฑ These dudes grind 24/7 Today alone 3 collabs dropped that fried my brain, buckle up let's break down each one๐Ÿ‘‡ - @DraftKings X @Polymarket - - DraftKings with a ~$16.7B cap just scooped up Railbird a federally licensed prediction mkt exchange They're bout to drop the "DraftKings Predictions" app soon, basically pulling a major sportsbook into the DeFi betting scene - Polymarket Clearing is the hub All DraftKings/Railbird trades gonna flow thru Polymarket Clearing - In practice Polymarket Clearing will handle every wager meanin Polymarket now powers the backend for these mkts - Polymarket ain't just runnin its own consumer mkts it's turnin into an infra provider for others 2 - TLDR Polymarket not only creates mkts but also services em for big players. One of the biggest US gambling cos is basically goin crypto. This signals how serious trad bookies are bout Polymarket innovations - @Polymarket x @NHL - - Polymarket inked a landmark deal with NHL the first ever licensing pact btwn a major pro sports league and a prediction mkt - Polymarket can now use official NHL data, team names, logos and marks on their platforms - This ain't just a logo slap it's the league's stamp of approval for prediction mkts, straight up wreckin the old sportsbook playbook @Polymarket x @Rabby_io - Besides MetaMask which already teased built in Polymarket tradin, Rabby jumped in on this news and dropped a collab announce on their X acc (Personally I prefer Rabby because it's much more convenient) I have nothing to add - Polymarket is not just a crypto project, it is a new era of innovation It does not change the rules of the game - it creates them
25
2
59
2,620
JUST TO BE CLEAR โ€“ THIS IMAGE IS A PRODUCT OF MY IMAGINATION โ€“ ๐—ก๐—ข๐—ง ๐—”๐—ก ๐—ข๐—™๐—™๐—œ๐—–๐—œ๐—”๐—Ÿ ๐—”๐—ก๐—ก๐—ข๐—จ๐—ก๐—–๐—˜๐— ๐—˜๐—ก๐—ง The Polymarket team has been shipping so many announcements and collaborations lately... > UFC > DraftKings > YahooFinance > Google > NHL > Rabby > MetaMask > Zerion > Bullpen > Based If you were sitting across from @shayne_coplan , what collab would you pitch? Personally, Iโ€™d go with โ€“ Polymarket X F1
30
1
59
10,143
๐—จ๐—™๐—– ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฎ: ๐—œ๐˜€๐—น๐—ฎ๐—บ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ ๐˜ƒ๐˜€. ๐——๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น๐—ฎ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฎ I placed a bet on Islam Makhachev to win - and hereโ€™s why I spent the entire day watching tape and reading analytical breakdowns Hereโ€™s what I came up with Letโ€™s start with a brief summary of both fighters ๐—œ๐˜€๐—น๐—ฎ๐—บ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ โ€“ 34 years old, in the UFC since 2015, highly experienced with a 27-1-0 record UFC Lightweight Champion from 2022 to 2024. Of Islamโ€™s 27 wins, 5 were by knockout, 13 by submission, and 9 by decision Primary styles โ€“ Combat Sambo and freestyle wrestling (trained under Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov and Khabib), also skilled in Wushu Sanda and boxing Makhachev has proven he can go the full five rounds and often finishes fights with submissions or chokes ๐—๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น๐—ฎ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฎ โ€“ 29 years old, in the UFC since 2021, current UFC Welterweight Champion (since 2025) with an 18-2-0 record Of his 18 wins โ€“ 12 by knockout, 2 by submission, 4 by decision Primary styles โ€“ boxing and kickboxing, also holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu jitsu (training at Scrappy MMA under Ben Vickers) Heโ€™s comfortable fighting five rounds, as shown in his title bout against Belal Muhammad at UFC 315 Islam brings a fundamentally strong style focused on grappling and control His cardio is elite - training in the Dagestani mountains pushes human endurance to its limits, and his daily wrestling and clinch sparring are next-level (I watched tons of interviews with Khabib and Islam, and their training sessions... you wonโ€™t find this kind of intensity anywhere else ) He knows how to dominate on the ground and dictate the pace of the fight - his smothering game plan has been a nightmare for many strikers, just like it was for Dustin Poirier His striking wasnโ€™t always flashy, but heโ€™s improved significantly over the past few years - knocking out Alexander Volkanovski in round one and submitting top tier opponents like Charles Oliveira and Poirier Jack Della Maddalena is a dangerous striker - his fight with Belal Muhammad showed how quickly he can pressure opponents (200+ strikes over 5 rounds) His cardio is also strong - even in the fifth round against Belal, his pace didnโ€™t drop But his relative weakness is in grappling Even though Jackโ€™s takedown defense has improved significantly (trained by 2x ADCC champ Craig Jones) Makhachev is relentless in the clinch and in takedowns and once it hits the ground itโ€™s Islamโ€™s world Mentally Della is a champion but this is only his second title fight In past matchups against grapplers (Shane Carwin not even close to Mike Mallonโ€™s level) he showed sharp striking and good cage movement, but has never faced someone like Makhachev ๐—ฆ๐—ผ ๐˜„๐—ต๐˜† ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฑ ๐—œ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—œ๐˜€๐—น๐—ฎ๐—บ? First - his win streak and the level of his competition speak for themselves Heโ€™s fought 27 times, with 25 of those wins coming before the final bell (a 66.7% finish rate), and made 4 successful title defenses in the lightweight division As the current #1 lightweight and #2 P4P fighter in the world, heโ€™s one of the most reliable fighters on the planet Second - grappling will be the key factor here Makhachev was raised in the Dagestani wrestling system, and his clinch and ground control have always been decisive Even if Della Maddalena stuffs a few takedowns (not an easy task), heโ€™s still likely to end up on the mat and thatโ€™s where Islam takes over And when necessary, Islam can strike too Third - experience and composure Makhachev is a proven champion who has shown he can thrive under pressure in high-stakes title fights (just like his mentor Khabib) Makhachev is the favorite across the board He has more wins a higher finish rate, vastly superior grappling, and far more experience All of that makes Islam the clear favorite in my eyes And you can see the same on Polymarket: 73% โ€“ Islam 27% โ€“ Jack DYOR NFA
22
1
57
8,322
๐—ง๐˜„๐—ผ ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐˜ @Polymarket The day I started writing about Polymarket changed everything. It changed not only my account statistics, but also me, my immediate goals, my environment, and my income Am I happy? Absolutely! >87K Impressions > 450 new followers > 1.2K Likes > 47 Reposts > 345 Replis I could go on forever, this is only 1% of the impact I've had thanks to Polymarket. I'm very happy to have joined the best prediction market I know that this project will be among the best and most valuable projects in the crypto space, and I will definitely help it achieve that ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—น๐˜†๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฐ๐˜†๐—ฐ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐˜† ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ด๐˜‚๐—ป
17
1
56
1,668
My first real challenge on X starts right now Honestly, Iโ€™m embarrassed to show my results from the last month - especially when I look at the guys from @zscdao but more on that later Just a bit over three weeks ago, I started writing about @Polymarket - and it literally flipped my life 360ยฐ Iโ€™ve been growing exponentially: - A ton of new connections - x1000 more valuable info every day - My income is up - Iโ€™ve never made this many benefits just from running socials - +900 new followers in ~3 weeks - 15+ smart followers who I really respect Iโ€™m honestly feeling emotions Iโ€™ve never felt before - even right now, while typing this tweet I want to push Polymarket 24/7 but thereโ€™s a problem I donโ€™t want to post fast-food content I want to write articles, market breakdowns, betting strategies - real value for you and for Polymarket The @zscdao team keeps me fired up - they hit the same reach I do in a day, not a month. Thatโ€™s my motivation My goal for November - double my current metrics Not sure if itโ€™s possible, but Iโ€™m going all in to find out I promise: only high-quality content No shitposts Just full focus - all my time goes to X and Polymarket The lock-in starts now Also, huge thanks to @Polymarket for literally changing my life and giving me a kick to grow Iโ€™ll never stop pushing Polymarket
30
2
54
2,319
Gm ๐Ÿค– dear web3.0 community๐Ÿ’ž a few of my new tattoos for you @MutantShibaClub (got this tattoo a long time ago)
7
6
41
3,445
Good morning Fam ๐ŸŒ‡ ยซLoneliness in my soulยป is now minting on @foundation! ๐ŸŒ My new drop๐Ÿค 10 pieces 1/1 Price-0.0421 ETH Linkโฌ‡๏ธ
10
13
47
3,010
Congrats to Islam on securing his second UFC belt In addition to the lightweight title, he now holds the welterweight belt as well I shared my thoughts on this matchup earlier - congrats to everyone who followed and profited Polymarket was right again The win probability for Makhachev before the fight was 73%
๐—จ๐—™๐—– ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฎ: ๐—œ๐˜€๐—น๐—ฎ๐—บ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ ๐˜ƒ๐˜€. ๐——๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น๐—ฎ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฎ I placed a bet on Islam Makhachev to win - and hereโ€™s why I spent the entire day watching tape and reading analytical breakdowns Hereโ€™s what I came up with Letโ€™s start with a brief summary of both fighters ๐—œ๐˜€๐—น๐—ฎ๐—บ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ธ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ โ€“ 34 years old, in the UFC since 2015, highly experienced with a 27-1-0 record UFC Lightweight Champion from 2022 to 2024. Of Islamโ€™s 27 wins, 5 were by knockout, 13 by submission, and 9 by decision Primary styles โ€“ Combat Sambo and freestyle wrestling (trained under Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov and Khabib), also skilled in Wushu Sanda and boxing Makhachev has proven he can go the full five rounds and often finishes fights with submissions or chokes ๐—๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ธ ๐——๐—ฒ๐—น๐—น๐—ฎ ๐— ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฎ โ€“ 29 years old, in the UFC since 2021, current UFC Welterweight Champion (since 2025) with an 18-2-0 record Of his 18 wins โ€“ 12 by knockout, 2 by submission, 4 by decision Primary styles โ€“ boxing and kickboxing, also holds a black belt in Brazilian jiu jitsu (training at Scrappy MMA under Ben Vickers) Heโ€™s comfortable fighting five rounds, as shown in his title bout against Belal Muhammad at UFC 315 Islam brings a fundamentally strong style focused on grappling and control His cardio is elite - training in the Dagestani mountains pushes human endurance to its limits, and his daily wrestling and clinch sparring are next-level (I watched tons of interviews with Khabib and Islam, and their training sessions... you wonโ€™t find this kind of intensity anywhere else ) He knows how to dominate on the ground and dictate the pace of the fight - his smothering game plan has been a nightmare for many strikers, just like it was for Dustin Poirier His striking wasnโ€™t always flashy, but heโ€™s improved significantly over the past few years - knocking out Alexander Volkanovski in round one and submitting top tier opponents like Charles Oliveira and Poirier Jack Della Maddalena is a dangerous striker - his fight with Belal Muhammad showed how quickly he can pressure opponents (200+ strikes over 5 rounds) His cardio is also strong - even in the fifth round against Belal, his pace didnโ€™t drop But his relative weakness is in grappling Even though Jackโ€™s takedown defense has improved significantly (trained by 2x ADCC champ Craig Jones) Makhachev is relentless in the clinch and in takedowns and once it hits the ground itโ€™s Islamโ€™s world Mentally Della is a champion but this is only his second title fight In past matchups against grapplers (Shane Carwin not even close to Mike Mallonโ€™s level) he showed sharp striking and good cage movement, but has never faced someone like Makhachev ๐—ฆ๐—ผ ๐˜„๐—ต๐˜† ๐—ฑ๐—ถ๐—ฑ ๐—œ ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—œ๐˜€๐—น๐—ฎ๐—บ? First - his win streak and the level of his competition speak for themselves Heโ€™s fought 27 times, with 25 of those wins coming before the final bell (a 66.7% finish rate), and made 4 successful title defenses in the lightweight division As the current #1 lightweight and #2 P4P fighter in the world, heโ€™s one of the most reliable fighters on the planet Second - grappling will be the key factor here Makhachev was raised in the Dagestani wrestling system, and his clinch and ground control have always been decisive Even if Della Maddalena stuffs a few takedowns (not an easy task), heโ€™s still likely to end up on the mat and thatโ€™s where Islam takes over And when necessary, Islam can strike too Third - experience and composure Makhachev is a proven champion who has shown he can thrive under pressure in high-stakes title fights (just like his mentor Khabib) Makhachev is the favorite across the board He has more wins a higher finish rate, vastly superior grappling, and far more experience All of that makes Islam the clear favorite in my eyes And you can see the same on Polymarket: 73% โ€“ Islam 27% โ€“ Jack DYOR NFA
23
56
7,143
Iโ€™m not trading - Iโ€™m just sticking to my convictions Polymarket US is coming very soon Youโ€™ve probably already seen the billboard in Times Square, right? My position is already up 7% Congrats to everyone who grabbed $1 for 85 cents - totally risk-free Polymarket was right again...
The easiest money on @Polymarket Iโ€™m betting YES on Polymarket US live in 2025 - and hereโ€™s why ๐Ÿ‘‡ - Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) invested $2B into Polymarket a massive institutional backing Quick reminder ICE is the parent company of the NYSE (If youโ€™re not familiar with that abbreviation Google it, youโ€™ll be surprised) - The Polymarket team is actively pushing the US launch for 2025: the license is ready, an ad campaign in US cities is prepared, a dedicated U.S website is already live(polymarket us) and on the official site (polymarket com) thereโ€™s now an American flag next to the Polymarket logo Government investigations are closed, and there are a few other interesting details I canโ€™t share publicly yet... - Iโ€™m seeing whale wallets continue accumulating YES positions My strategy - Iโ€™ve already started building my position If the odds drop to 80โ€“75%, Iโ€™ll be happy to add even more size Expecting the Polymarket US launch by late November. ofc NFA DYOR
28
1
50
18,118
If you still donโ€™t know what @Polymarket is, I honestly feel sorry for you Polymarket had the results less than 60 seconds after the polls closed But the most interesting part is that it literally predicts the future I get information before anyone else just by using Polymarket
BREAKING: Zohran Mamdani will be the next Mayor of NYC, as projected by Polymarket. Polls are dead. Tomorrowโ€™s news, today.
21
2
51
5,428
Thatโ€™s my #nft @WonderPals she describes my condition well๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ’™
3
2
50
Gm ๐ŸŽŸ๏ธ Wish you a great and productive week๐Ÿ’—โ•
37
2
42
417
Lighter market cap > $4B FDV one day after launch? Iโ€™m betting YES - hereโ€™s why ๐Ÿ‘‡ Lighter is the first zero-fee perps DEX, no real competitors. Their model? Monetizing flow by selling it to market makers. Think Robinhood, but onchain. Now letโ€™s look at the numbers: - TVL > $1.1B - 30d perp volume > $250B - 24h perp volume > $11B - OI > $1.7B You realize how insane this is? No? Let me break it down Letโ€™s compare it to Hyperliquid perp, currently valued at $50B FDV - TVL: $4.5B - 30d perp vol: $290B - 24h perp vol: $8B - OI: $9B This is simple math. How can a DEX with a novel perps model be worth 12x less than HL? And yes, HL has its own L1 and full ecosystem โ€” but that came after TGE. Iโ€™m comparing HL perps only, not the entire HL stack. Couldโ€™ve compared to something like Aster FDV > $4B but that feels like comparing a cookie to a turd. Two final points to consider - If FDV = $3B, then 1 Lighter point = ~$75 But OTC is already pricing points $50โ€“$120 And lastly, hereโ€™s the tweet that made me finally post this take nitter.app/samyamtrading/status/1โ€ฆ I want to start setting limits closer to TGE, but if I forget, I've already placed a bet
For those who think traders will be liquidated in @Lighter_xyz due to the $98 HYPE wick, study this: Oh you don't understand? No worries, maths are hard. You just need to know: Mark price are capped to deviate by 0.5% from Index Price - Unless you can manipulate price in other dexes as well. In order to force liquidation of other traders, you can't just manipulate price in Lighter , you need to manipulate spot price of the underlying assets + manipulate all the centralized exchanges that provide oracle price to the asset as well.
22
2
55
6,664
Good night Fam ๐Ÿค "Minimalism in my soul" Sold โ›ฝ๏ธ I have no words, only emotions, thanks to everyone who took part in the mint drop @saucebook @hadilocoboy @plasm0 @aiprompter @bullseyedot edizonay.eth 0x5a015B81B58AbBd18D0832FF7361C3B4B72B07E9
13
3
45
432
GM Fam I wish you all a great and productive week๐Ÿ’—
30
44
308
Replying to @0xBanana
๐Ÿ’—
48
147
I can watch 3 things forever - how water flows, how fire burns and how retardio grows.@retardiosolana
7
5
35
1,021
GM I wondered what I was doing and why I was tweeting ๐Ÿ‘‡
25
6
39
567
GM Pink Porsche My first open edition, will be available for exactly 23 hours, unlimited Porsches can be mined In the future, after the end of sales, burning๐Ÿ”ฅ will be available ( I advise you to mint 3 ๐Ÿคซ) 0.0042 ETH โ†’app.manifold.xyz/c/danko
18
8
41
1,187
Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO? I'm betting NO and here's why ๐Ÿ‘‡ For me the latest projects on MetaDAO look like straight cash grabs, most are wildly overvalued plus betting that a proj with 1700 X followers will pull >$10M is just insane Maybe they'd smash that val in the final hrs before close like prev presales but I doubt it gonna try to fade this This is a super degen bet I'm sizing at 1/4 my usual position If you always enter trades at 1% of your bankroll, I'd go 0.25% here DYOR NFA
16
2
46
3,379
Finally managed to get into @Polymarket top 25 voices by mindshare in @cookie3 To be honest, I wanted to get on this list for a very long time - it was a very important achievement for me I would also like to congratulate all my brothers who are on this list If it weren't for you, I would never have made it Just keep pushing polymarket
39
1
62
1,762
๐—ช๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฅ๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฎ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ธ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐˜€๐—ธ ๐—ฏ๐˜† ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฌ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ? I'm betting - YES and here's why ๐Ÿ‘‡ Pokrovsk is now almost completely encircled by Russian forces - and both Russian and Ukrainian Telegram channels are reporting it. Iโ€™ve gathered a few excerpts from these channels and translated them word-for-word below - ๐—™๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—ฎ ๐—จ๐—ธ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ง๐—š ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—น - '' The city is gradually losing its grip on critical support logistics, reinforcements, and ammunition. This is forcing our troops to do what command should have coordinated: retreat in an organized manner to avoid encirclement. Iโ€™m not trying to be dramatic this is simply the reality. When front-line supply lines are cut, a garrisonโ€™s endurance fades fast. Did you see yesterdayโ€™s video showing the paratroopers landing? I noticed one key mistake. The video itself isnโ€™t the issue what matters is that the troops landed in a zone fully monitored by enemy FPV drones. That means the perimeter was under constant surveillance and aerial attack. The location was exposed a complicated zone. When paratroopers land under persistent observation and fire, their survival becomes highly questionable. No need to go into further detail the consequences are clear. Thereโ€™s also a noticeable increase in enemy MLRS activity in this area. Theyโ€™re actively striking our positions. This is systematic preparation clearing operations aimed at locking in their advances. Wherever their fire is concentrated, our units have a harder time maneuvering or retreating without casualties. As for the front lines: the area known as the โ€œCitadelโ€ is in the red zone meaning itโ€™s under critical threat. There are also small enemy advances to the west along the highway. Theyโ€™re moving in strips, trying to secure control over the supply routes. Hryshyne is also now under artillery and drone fire you can sense a gradual targeting process and a buildup of firepower.And perhaps the most painful part the โ€œGulletโ€ still hasnโ€™t been sealed (!). Itโ€™s the key to the fate of the Myrnohrad garrison. If we canโ€™t stretch or hold that corridor, exit and evacuation routes will be lost โ€” and we all know what that means '' - ๐—˜๐˜…๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฝ๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—ฎ ๐—ฅ๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ง๐—š ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—น " Ukrainian forces in the city are being forced to operate in near encirclement, with no access to ammunition, food, or reinforcements. As a result, their main effort is no longer on holding defensive lines, but on breaking out of the city. Pro-Ukrainian channels are in an uproar over the failed airborne operation on the outskirts of Krasnoarmiisk, during which Zelensky reportedly lost elite GUR special forces. Russian sources claim the landing force was remotely destroyed by drones. Russian forces are bringing in more MLRS systems. A systematic operation is underway to clear the city of remaining Ukrainian fighters who refused to surrender. Russian troops are expanding their control west of Krasnoarmiisk, with reports of fighting beginning in the town of Hryshyne. The โ€œneckโ€ of the pocket has not yet been physically sealed but is under heavy fire control by Russian forces" Honestly, after reading most Telegram channels, it feels like both sides are lying One side keeps saying everythingโ€™s going well, the other claims theyโ€™re making gains - but the truth? Weโ€™ll probably never really know In this situation, I focus on just two things: - StoryMaps and the clearly visible tightening of the encirclement - Iโ€™ve been tracking it for the past few days - The number of large whale positions backing the same outcome Iโ€™m betting on YES Iโ€™m not taking sides in this conflict Iโ€™m simply sharing my positions and trying first and foremost to explain to myself why Iโ€™m betting on a specific outcome I hate making calls on war markets itโ€™s tragic but now see an opportunity to make money in this market DYOR NFA (I left tweets with wallets that bet on the same thing)
11
2
47
7,548
๐—Ÿ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ (๐—™๐——๐—ฉ) ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ ๐—ฑ๐—ฎ๐˜† ๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ต? >$2B YES - this is basically free money for me You're buying $1 for 88 cents I strongly recommend not skipping this Polymarkets VCs invested $68M into Lighter at a $1.5B FDV - thatโ€™s around $38 per point Do you seriously think this DEX could be worth less than Aster? nitter.app/AggrNews/status/198823โ€ฆ
Lighter market cap > $4B FDV one day after launch? Iโ€™m betting YES - hereโ€™s why ๐Ÿ‘‡ Lighter is the first zero-fee perps DEX, no real competitors. Their model? Monetizing flow by selling it to market makers. Think Robinhood, but onchain. Now letโ€™s look at the numbers: - TVL > $1.1B - 30d perp volume > $250B - 24h perp volume > $11B - OI > $1.7B You realize how insane this is? No? Let me break it down Letโ€™s compare it to Hyperliquid perp, currently valued at $50B FDV - TVL: $4.5B - 30d perp vol: $290B - 24h perp vol: $8B - OI: $9B This is simple math. How can a DEX with a novel perps model be worth 12x less than HL? And yes, HL has its own L1 and full ecosystem โ€” but that came after TGE. Iโ€™m comparing HL perps only, not the entire HL stack. Couldโ€™ve compared to something like Aster FDV > $4B but that feels like comparing a cookie to a turd. Two final points to consider - If FDV = $3B, then 1 Lighter point = ~$75 But OTC is already pricing points $50โ€“$120 And lastly, hereโ€™s the tweet that made me finally post this take nitter.app/samyamtrading/status/1โ€ฆ I want to start setting limits closer to TGE, but if I forget, I've already placed a bet
24
1
46
3,011
Poly Morning My current prediction market tier list, explanations in reply
7
2
47
6,105
As I said, the chance that the USA will transfer Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine is zero, and I was able to make a good profit on this. I don't want to wait for the full expiration date, so I'm getting out of this bet at +18%. Congratulations to everyone who was able to make money with me on @Polymarket nitter.app/DankoWeb3/status/19781โ€ฆ
Everyone is discussing the transfer of Tomahawks to Ukraine. But if you dig deeper... My opinion: the transfer of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine is unlikely to happen And here's why ๐Ÿ‘‡ - Each Tomahawk missile flies along a pre-programmed route, and only American officers have access to this code. Without their involvement, launch is impossible This is direct involvement of the US in the conflict - Tomahawks were originally designed to be launched from destroyers and submarines Ukraine simply does not have such launch platforms -The US has a total of about 4,000 Tomahawks. That's not much for serious operations: hundreds are used in a single large-scale attack On a front as large as that between Russia and Ukraine, dozens of missiles will not make any difference. It's more of a symbolic gesture than real military support.
9
1
45
2,465
Polymarket holds 82% of the Information Markets Mindshare Arena 100% is being coded... ITโ€™S ONLY A MATTER OF TIME
I wanted to share a few thoughts that really struck me while writing this piece In todayโ€™s market, this idea keeps me up at night I think about it every single day, and I want to pass that feeling on to you as clearly as possible The modern crypto industry moves in cycles - intense growth followed by steep decline We've seen it with NFTs, meme coins, and a mountain of projects that have already collapsed The smartest thing founders and participants in CT can do is adopt a long-term mindset For builders, that means creating products with real utility - not artificially inflated growth metrics Communities formed around real use cases - not airdrops - are far more resilient when the market cools off Investors and funds, like @1confirmation consistently back teams with clear and durable visions Capital flows toward real value and real-world integration, not noise ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—น๐˜†๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐˜ ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฒ: serious money backs projects solving real problems, not ones handing out tokens left and right The same logic applies to users and enthusiasts Instead of chasing every new project in hopes of a future airdrop, focus on extracting value right now Learn how to use the platform, earn through it, engage in the ecosystem The people who are truly involved and understand the core of the project are the ones who win - and they win more often, and far bigger, than those hoping for a random drop A skilled analyst, for instance, can earn more through trading on Polymarket than from most one-time token distributions And if a project does end up rewarding real users, youโ€™ll already be on the list Projects like Polymarket - and the communities around them - are built to last Just like Amazon survived the dot-com crash by delivering real value - Polymarket also has real value for the world Think long term In five to ten years, those who bet on the future will be the ones reaping the rewards Keep building with Polymarket Keep pushing with Polymarket Keep learning with Polymarket Keep earning with Polymarket Itโ€™s simpler than you think
19
53
3,340
No ups without downs ๐Ÿ˜“ This situation proved to me once again that in the long run on financial markets, you can only make money by sticking to risk/reward All my recent calls were straight green, but yesterday's bet showed me that not everything depends on analysis - The project's Twitter was created just a couple months ago, views and likes on posts were hilariously low - zklsol looked like a rug project, unknown founder to anyone - Zero interest from the community on launch - 2 hours before the sale ended, we only raised $5-6m, and the funniest part is the final amount was dumped into the sale in the last hour... Wouldn't be surprised if it was the founder himself, cuz this guy posted on his Twitter how he bet on YES I don't recommend aping my trades, I'm not a pro analyst, I just share my plays and back 'em with my thoughts Your main task on any market is to know how to analyze and think with your own head ( At one point, I could've exited with a solid + if I'd set strict TPs and not waited for expiration, but I wanted to win so bad and make a pretty screenshot for Twitterโ€”that's what rekt me...) I'm thinking of writing my next article about risk reward Would you be interested in reading about that? ๐Ÿค”
22
41
2,793
Something interesting is happening on the US x Venezuela military engagement by...? market. A couple of US news outlets are reporting that "The US may launch air strikes on targets in Venezuela in the coming hours or days." As I understand it, the targets are related to cartels Maduro out in 2025? - % of YES votes has risen sharply I saw many tweets saying that new wallets had appeared, betting on Maduro's resignation and the start of a conflict If I were you, I would skip this event, as little in this market depends on us, but personally, I bet on a couple of interesting dates as well as for Maduro out in 2025 DYOR NFA nitter.app/Osinttechnical/status/โ€ฆ
As military action against Venezuela looms, the US just closed a swath of airspace off the coast of Puerto Rico, designating it "National Defense Airspace." The closure is adjacent to Josรฉ Aponte de la Torre Airport, home to a significant deployment of forces.
14
40
2,323
The first goal has been achieved - โœ… Second stage - badge from @Polymarket Polymarket szn - this is new trenches Follow me and you will see how I make money on the best prediction market
21
1
41
1,388
Dear community $wDOG Help send this thread to heaven ๐Ÿ‘‡
Did you oversleep $wif? Did you oversleep $fwog? Did you oversleep $scf? Your last chance - $wDOG I'll tell you why ๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡
2
8
36
966
NEW: Russian forces continue to advance toward Pokrovsk and are reportedly extending their logistics toward the southern part of the city I decided to add a bit more money - Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30? - YES The advance is obvious even to the untrained eye - both from the Pokrovsk side and from the Rodynske side The encirclement is about to close, and once it does, Myrnohrad will end up in a pocket and there are Ukrainian troops there as well I donโ€™t think Ukraineโ€™s leadership will leave their guys behind, and there are already rumors in various Tg channels about a potential withdrawal Just compare the map screenshots from my previous analysis on the market - Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14? - YES and the current situation (you can also find videos showing how Russian forces advanced on the map throughout October) Here: nitter.app/DankoWeb3/status/19855โ€ฆ Right now, Polymarket shows 15% for the capture of Pokrovsk by November 14 which I generally agree with But the actual territorial takeover will likely happen around those dates, maybe even earlier The issue is mainly the map coloring, which probably wonโ€™t update in time I have a lot of positions across different cities some are NO, some are YES Iโ€™m only sharing the ones where I have the highest conviction and where I can at least explain my reasoning and why I took the trade Remember: every war is terrible It destroys tens and hundreds of thousands of lives Iโ€™m not taking anyoneโ€™s side Iโ€™m just a trader trying to make money DYOR. NFA.
๐—ช๐—ถ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฅ๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฎ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฃ๐—ผ๐—ธ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐˜€๐—ธ ๐—ฏ๐˜† ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฌ ๐—ก๐—ผ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ? I'm betting - YES and here's why ๐Ÿ‘‡ Pokrovsk is now almost completely encircled by Russian forces - and both Russian and Ukrainian Telegram channels are reporting it. Iโ€™ve gathered a few excerpts from these channels and translated them word-for-word below - ๐—™๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—ฎ ๐—จ๐—ธ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ง๐—š ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—น - '' The city is gradually losing its grip on critical support logistics, reinforcements, and ammunition. This is forcing our troops to do what command should have coordinated: retreat in an organized manner to avoid encirclement. Iโ€™m not trying to be dramatic this is simply the reality. When front-line supply lines are cut, a garrisonโ€™s endurance fades fast. Did you see yesterdayโ€™s video showing the paratroopers landing? I noticed one key mistake. The video itself isnโ€™t the issue what matters is that the troops landed in a zone fully monitored by enemy FPV drones. That means the perimeter was under constant surveillance and aerial attack. The location was exposed a complicated zone. When paratroopers land under persistent observation and fire, their survival becomes highly questionable. No need to go into further detail the consequences are clear. Thereโ€™s also a noticeable increase in enemy MLRS activity in this area. Theyโ€™re actively striking our positions. This is systematic preparation clearing operations aimed at locking in their advances. Wherever their fire is concentrated, our units have a harder time maneuvering or retreating without casualties. As for the front lines: the area known as the โ€œCitadelโ€ is in the red zone meaning itโ€™s under critical threat. There are also small enemy advances to the west along the highway. Theyโ€™re moving in strips, trying to secure control over the supply routes. Hryshyne is also now under artillery and drone fire you can sense a gradual targeting process and a buildup of firepower.And perhaps the most painful part the โ€œGulletโ€ still hasnโ€™t been sealed (!). Itโ€™s the key to the fate of the Myrnohrad garrison. If we canโ€™t stretch or hold that corridor, exit and evacuation routes will be lost โ€” and we all know what that means '' - ๐—˜๐˜…๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฝ๐˜ ๐—ณ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—บ ๐—ฎ ๐—ฅ๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ง๐—š ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—น " Ukrainian forces in the city are being forced to operate in near encirclement, with no access to ammunition, food, or reinforcements. As a result, their main effort is no longer on holding defensive lines, but on breaking out of the city. Pro-Ukrainian channels are in an uproar over the failed airborne operation on the outskirts of Krasnoarmiisk, during which Zelensky reportedly lost elite GUR special forces. Russian sources claim the landing force was remotely destroyed by drones. Russian forces are bringing in more MLRS systems. A systematic operation is underway to clear the city of remaining Ukrainian fighters who refused to surrender. Russian troops are expanding their control west of Krasnoarmiisk, with reports of fighting beginning in the town of Hryshyne. The โ€œneckโ€ of the pocket has not yet been physically sealed but is under heavy fire control by Russian forces" Honestly, after reading most Telegram channels, it feels like both sides are lying One side keeps saying everythingโ€™s going well, the other claims theyโ€™re making gains - but the truth? Weโ€™ll probably never really know In this situation, I focus on just two things: - StoryMaps and the clearly visible tightening of the encirclement - Iโ€™ve been tracking it for the past few days - The number of large whale positions backing the same outcome Iโ€™m betting on YES Iโ€™m not taking sides in this conflict Iโ€™m simply sharing my positions and trying first and foremost to explain to myself why Iโ€™m betting on a specific outcome I hate making calls on war markets itโ€™s tragic but now see an opportunity to make money in this market DYOR NFA (I left tweets with wallets that bet on the same thing)
17
36
11,940
Good morning โค๏ธ Processโ€ข..โ€ข
25
34
363
Gn ๐Ÿฅท Drop your Sunday Art๐Ÿ‘€ Only jpeg, no words #shillme
36
1
25
956
Pink Porsche 16 hours left 0.0042 ETH โ†’app.manifold.xyz/c/danko
6
1
32
521
Got a secret package from @Atlantislq / @phosphenq Opened it - and inside was @shayne_coplan and @HugoMartingale No coincidences when youโ€™re in Polymarket ๐Ÿค™๐Ÿป
Got a secret package from @Atlantislq Opened it - and inside was @shayne_coplan No coincidences when youโ€™re in @Polymarket
12
39
1,754