Inquisitive and harmless wyvern. Interested in human nature and patterns of history. Otherwise known as Paul Cossins.

Canada
Harvard loses no time in calling attention to the loophole saying they will comply with it.
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Descriptions of genius: -"never was such an outstanding personality." -"born with such knowledge of his craft that he never required training and went to his work naturally." Old Hemp, founding sire of the Border Collie nation. Great dog theory of history.
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The birthplaces of Nobel physics winners.
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Norway: the Progress Party forced Statistics Norway to release ethnic crime data. Almost half of young Somali men in Oslo (483 out of 1000) got caught and charged with violent crime. Prosecution rate for violent crime in Oslo among men age 15-24, 2021-23.
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Replying to @robinhanson
Rural + high income
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What gives life meaning? Pew asked in 17 nations "what gives you meaning in life?": There's a big difference between Westerners and East Asians. 1. East Asians get less meaning from family and children than Westerners
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There was a superb study of honesty around the world in 2019. Leave 17,000 wallets (with contact email) containing various sums of money in 355 cities across 40 countries. Would finders email the owner? The result: rates of honesty vary a LOT.
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Only a small minority of adults (20% or less) know the meaning of words such as audacious, ominous, tirade, encumber, plagiarize, impale, travesty. Worth bearing in mind. Many people cannot reason very well due to low intelligence.
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Singapore is rich because of its lucky geography by a shipping lane. If so, why aren't other places by shipping lanes rich? Yemen, Somalia, Suez, Kerala, Dakar, Panama ought to be as rich as Singapore.
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I'm still surprised that feminists are largely silent about the increase in sexual crimes brought to Western Europe by Third World immigrants. Given the huge number of feminists throughout academia, media, politics, it is surprising that so little is heard about this.
Statistics of overrepresentation of certain nationalities in the Netherlands in sexual crimes. Dutch - 2.8 per 10000 men Syrians - 12 (x4.4 overrepresentation) Iranians - 19 (x6.6) Eritreans - 21 (x7.5) Iraqis - 24 (x8.4) Afghans - 31 (x10.9) Somalis - 57 (x20.3)
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The Meiji government translated 10,000 technical books (applied science, industry, etc). Then, Japan became an industrial powerhouse. Must be the greatest industrial policy investment ever made! Once again: the importance of upper human capital. h/t 🔒
Japan’s massive public investments in codifying technical knowledge explain why it was unique among non-Western countries in industrializing in the 19th and early 20th centuries, from @juhreka13, Shogo Sakabe, and @deweinstein nber.org/papers/w32667
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Journalists increased their use of the term "white supremacy" by 2,862% between 2010 and 2019 across 47 news outlets. This level of social contagion is pathological.
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"NO evidence" Singapore drug use death rate: 0.26 per 100k. USA drug use death rate: 21.28 per 100k. NO. evidence.
Two people are due to be executed in #Singapore this week for drug-related offences. There's NO evidence that the death penalty has any impact on the use and availability of drugs. The death penalty must end everywhere. amn.st/6012PVBKe
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Fertility rate keeps dropping in the Nordic countries. I guess gender parity, welfare state, & public childcare is not the solution to the fertility crisis.
Fertility in the Nordics keeps falling. What was earlier a rather gradual decline has accelerated in 2022. Inconsistent with explanations when societal gender regimes are the primary explanatory factor for cross-national differences in fertility. dx.doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.20…
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French opinion on the rioters: 78% no impunity for minors 77% financial punishment against parents 75% strip dual nationals of French citizenship 71% reduce migration 69% cut social media during riots
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Anna Krylov, a chemistry professor, has published several pieces on how left/woke ideology is undermining science. Here's her latest. She gives examples of four main issues: 1. Policing of language. Ever longer list of forbidden words like "healthy weight".
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China paid for a shiny new National Library in El Salvador. It has very few books. It does have a Harry Potter section, a LEGO section, a Star Wars section, Pokemon stuff, video game consoles, a VR area, and lots of couches. You can't fake high human capital.
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Remarkable and high-quality Swedish study: If men win the lottery, they marry and have children. If women win the lottery, their fertility does not rise. (Indeed, low-income women get divorced.) You might think more resources means more kids. Yes with men, not with women.
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In the Russia-Ukraine war, the vast majority of people sympathize with Ukraine. Only a tiny minority sympathize with Russia. Pro-Russia posting here represents almost nobody in the real world.
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How racial groups rate themselves and others
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Replying to @Empty_America
Because it's not dysfunctional enough to be in the news with wars, famine, etc. And it's not advanced enough to produce any goods or services that we use.
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This will be fascinating information. The Sweden Democrats made the government agree to calculate and report the costs of immigrants from different countries. It will be done by the Swedish National Institute of Economic Research. Economists are supposed to be interested in costs and benefits, but it took a populist party to force them to do this basic task.
Vilka invandrare är värst? Tidöpartierna ska reda ut frågan: "Tidö 2.0" läggs fram. Invandringens kostnader ska räknas ut – och redovisas efter härkomst. friatider.se/vilka-invandrar…
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Settler colonialism is trending. Some current examples. 🧵 1. China. Settled loyal Han in disloyal Xinjiang (from 90s). Settled 1m loyal mainlanders in disloyal Hong Kong. A road across Xinjiang's Taklamakan desert China built to entice settlers.
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Replying to @GermanyDiplo
This is gross misinformation. You shut down nuclear to rely on coal.
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Twentieth century anthropologists: we completely reject the idea of martial races and warrior peoples. It is a stereotype that reflects harmful assumptions of ethnic hierarchy. Chechens: we completely reject the idea of twentieth century anthropology.
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Percent of students that are virgins, by Wellesley major. (Wellesley being an elite women's college.)
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I find these maps beautiful and fascinating. The Human Development Index at a localized level.
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If nothing much gives you meaning in life except material success, it may be no surprise that you don't feel inclined to breed.
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A new survey (carried out in March-April 2024) of people in EU countries asked: "Do you think your country takes in too many immigrants?" On average about 70% agree.
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$2 billion in total fraud in Minnesota. The costs of Somali immigration seem to greatly exceed the benefits.
NEW: Acting U.S. Attorney Joe Thompson seems to confirm that the total amount of fraud in Minnesota has exceeded two billion dollars. Nine zeros. $2,000,000,000. "...These massive fraud schemes form a web that has stolen billions of dollars in taxpayer money."
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Replying to @mrjeffu
Stay weird, Japan. Stay weird.
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Similar story for drug crimes: Somalis 441 per 1000 Ethiopians 371 per 1000 Iraqis 342 per 1000 Between a third and half of Iraqi, Ethiopian, and Somali young men in Oslo got caught and charged with drug offenses.
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Singapore uses corporal punishment and long prison sentences. A rapist to be caned (20 lashes) and jailed for 17 years. Many offences like vandalism, robbery and drug trafficking are punished with caning. A model for all nations.
Singapore to cane Japanese hairdresser for rape bbc.in/4eQhoSi
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Why isn't heightism one of discriminations that wokeness cares about? It is far more real than most of the fake oppressions they scream about. Probably because it is women who are the agents of heightist inequity.
A man who is 5 feet 6 inches tall needs to earn an additional $175,000 per year to be as desirable as a man who is about 6 feet tall A 6'2" man can earn $30,000 less than a 6' man and will be viewed as equally desirable home.uchicago.edu/~hortacsu/…
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Yuval Noah Harari's bestseller "Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind" repeats the conventional wisdom that ancient humans were “as intelligent, creative, and sensitive as we are” and could have understood quantum physics. This is false. Completely made up.
This study finds that over the past 10,000 years, polygenic scores for household income increased by 1.1 standard deviations, intelligence by 0.79 S.D, and years of schooling by 0.61 S.D.
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The World Food Programme says it feeds the majority of the 35M people in Yemen. Meanwhile, Yemen has more babies per year than Japan, Russia, or Germany. This seems a bit irresponsible.
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This is the sort of thing you read and think it cannot possibly be true. 41% of the 1.2M migrants who came to Britain 2022-23 get welfare. Wokeness has that quality. It is so beyond belief that people think it cannot be true.
In 2022-23. 1,218,000 new foreigners were allowed in. 499,500 signed on to universal credit. 41%. For England the 21st century was a mistake.
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This is one for all those who say poverty is the root of crime. India is poor, but homicide is low.
Map of homicide rates in 4 countries and Europe. (map by u/XDescen)
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Fukuyama lists potential causes of recent political populism. No mention in the list that there has been a surge of immigration and it is highly unpopular. He is out of touch.
Nine explanations for the rise of populism, and a defense of the 9th as the root cause: the Internet. By Francis Fukuyama @FukuyamaFrancis open.substack.com/pub/persua…
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The best scenario for Gaza was to become a self-governing Charter City on the shores of the Mediterranean: a hub for commerce, airlines, tourism. Be nice to Israel, work hard, create a beautiful city. Instead they chose resentment, dreams of vengeance and genocide. Why?
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Northern England used to be highly advanced and wealthy two centuries ago. Now it is backward and poor. Why the decline? Surname analysis of distinctive northern names reveals two reasons: 1. Outmigration of talent to southern England (brain drain)
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From the 1960s to about 2015 leftists managed to suppress knowledge of the origins of the Indo-Europeans and their languages. Now they are trying to deny what advances in paleogentics have shown.
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Two conclusions: (1) In recent times, the vast majority of settler colonialism has been in the non-Western world. (2) But it gets little attention because it is "brown-on-brown". If whites aren't involved, it's invisible.
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"The court also ruled that colleges and universities may consider ... 'an applicant's discussion of how race affected his or her life, be it through discrimination, inspiration, or otherwise.' We will certainly comply with the Court's decision." Or, "they gave us a loophole!"
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El Salvador's President Bukele has 88% approval. This one weird trick: he rounded up 1% of the population and put them in prison. What if Mexico put 1.3M people in prison? Haiti? unherd.com/2023/01/inside-el…
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It is AD 2025 and still ONLY Europeans, Anglo settlers, East Asians and Israelis have created rich countries (over $50k per capita). Nobody else. Absolutely none. (Oil states don't count.)
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Replying to @cremieuxrecueil
Learning from Lee Kuan Yew on how he stamped out Third World behavior in Singapore.
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One of the best pieces of research looked a which nations' UN diplomats in NYC used diplomatic immunity to violate parking laws with impunity. UK, Canada, Australia, Denmark, Netherlands did not. Other nations' elites, not so prosocial or trustworthy. The chief malefactors:
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One group of migrants in Sweden is making a positive contribution: Ukrainians. After only two years, 66% have a job. Half speak Swedish already. Not living on welfare, not engaging in crime. dtm.iom.int/reports/sweden-t…
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Canada is a fascinating experiment in high immigration. Non-homeowners have suffered greatly from rising rent. Income per person is stagnating.
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White British births as a percentage of all births: 54%. They probably would have consented to a Singapore-type policy where White British explicitly remain a solid 75% majority with 25% other. But instead they were imposed a policy of becoming a minority without consent.
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A decade ago there was a dubious academic study claiming evidence that wealthy people are selfish and greedy. Academia loved it! 1300 citations! Journalists too: it got reported in the news. Now there has been pre-registered replication. Guess the result ...
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The birthplaces of Nobel Physics Prize laureates. baryon.be/nobelprize/
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El Salvador's Nayib Bukele must be the most remarkable political leader of the current moment. 94% approval rating. The absolute madman now says he will charge prisoners for food in prisons -- after he led a mass arrest of 60,000 criminals.
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No economic growth in South Africa for the last 15 years. A new report on the main proximate cause: useless state-owned enterprises that fail to maintain electricity, rail, roads, ports and water/sanitation.
Our report summarizing the findings of our two-year engagement research in #SouthAfrica is out! This thread highlights its main points. 1/12🧵 🔗growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/pu…
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Replying to @cremieuxrecueil
When teachers grade exams for the New York state high school diploma
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Despite full Maoist Communism in China, descendants of former landlords and rich peasants today earn 16% more than descendants of others. They couldn't inherit wealth from grandparents, parents were barred from university in Cultural Revolution, but they inherited something
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Sweden starts to see sense and alter course. Swedish police now boasting that reported theft has decreased substantially in the first half of 2025 because they are deporting foreign criminals. You can just do things.
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Mamdani: "We will gradually buy up housing on the private market and convert properties into community ownership." Hugo Chavez tried this. It cased a severe housing shortage in Caracas. Construction ceased. Developers expected anything they built would be nationalized.
Zohran Mamdani: The government can slowly buy up the housing on the private market and convert properties into "community ownership." The people of New York City will either realize this man is a communist or they will experience horror beyond their comprehension.
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10. The one thing that gives East Asians as much meaning as it does Westerners: material well-being.
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Chinese money builds a warehouse for Western and Japanese pop culture franchises. Seems to encapsulate something about the world.
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Zemm's clever baby bonus policy: 10,000 euros per baby, but only to families in rural areas. Nothing for the urbanites who hate him. Politics is about rewarding your supporters.
Je mettrai en place une bourse de naissance de 10 000 € par enfant né dans une commune rurale. Comparez ce montant aux 50 000 € dépensés chaque année par mineur isolé clandestin ! #HDPros
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The Great Decarceration. Most people are unaware that incarceration rates have fallen a lot in recent years. The black incarceration rate fell by 35% in 2006-2018.
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The World Bank has developed a rating of how well governments collect statistics. About what you would expect. Many countries are incapable of gathering proper info. Others are capable, but dislike telling the truth (China, Argentina).
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New study: more evidence of very low human capital in Africa. Basic numeracy mostly unchanged from 1950 to 1990 birth cohorts, despite much more schooling. NB: basic numeracy is very, very basic = people know their own age, don't round it up or down (called "age heaping".)
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Brave Swedish PhD researcher investigates how Islamists linked to the Muslim Brotherhood operate in Sweden. But Ethics Review board doesn't like it. Asks the public prosecutor's office to investigate and charge him with a crime! Apparently, he didn't get their permission to discuss the Muslim Brotherhood members religious beliefs and criminal convictions.
Pressmeddelande Igår fick jag, Sameh Egyptson, besked om att Överklagandenämnden för etikprövning (ÖNEP) den 20 november 2023 tog beslut om att åtalsanmäla min avhandling ”Global politisk islam”. Oavsett om det blir jag eller min prefekt som anses ska.... wordpress.egyptson.se/2023/1…
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2. Nobody gets much meaning from having romantic partners, but almost zero East Asians do
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It took the "stupid" Sweden Democrats to force the "smart" economists to recognize the obvious: immigrants are heterogeneous. Different ethnicities have have different costs and benefits.
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Majority of Latin Americans support US military action to overthrow Maduro.
📊 Atlas/Bloomberg LATAM-WIDE Poll - Crisis in Venezuela 🇻🇪 We're releasing today the Latam-Wide poll, designed to provide robust estimates of public opinion for the entire adult population of Latin Americans living in the Americas, including the United States and Canada. 1️⃣ Support for a US Led Intervention in Venezuela Amid the rise of U.S. troops in the Caribbean, 53% of Latin Americans say they would support a U.S. military intervention “to depose Nicolás Maduro and his government.” Among the Venezuelan diaspora surveyed in the LATAM-WIDE poll, 64% back the action.
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Anna Krylov grew up in the USSR. Similar kinds of ideological abuse of science are now happening in the West.
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Replying to @jeremykauffman
This is what a real rape culture looks like
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Every 18-yo German male will be asked "Interest in service: yes or no". Amusing that a feminist state so blatantly favors women: only men conscripted, then later in life men are discriminated against (women get hiring preferences).
🇩🇪 Germany to reinstate military conscription Today, Germany's ruling coalition will present a draft law introducing a new concept called "Bedarfswehrpflicht" - conscription when needed, based on a lottery system. Under the proposal, all 18-year-olds will undergo a medical assessment, with the option extended to women on a voluntary basis. The reform will first affect men born in 2008, who will be required to complete a mandatory medical check. Every male will receive a questionnaire titled "Interest in service: yes or no," and responding will be obligatory. If there are not enough volunteers, the Bundestag will have the authority to trigger a compulsory draft through a lottery.
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It's false that Africa's states and borders are arbitrary. But it is a useful lie: blames Europeans for African political problems. Colonies often followed precolonial states, as is visible below. Because African rulers signed protectorate agreements.
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New study using fictitious job applications in Sweden. Men applying in female-dominated occupations are discriminated against. Women applying in male-dominated occupations are not. HR is dominated by feminist women. They are the gatekeepers. journals.plos.org/plosone/ar…
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Lesson: we know much of academia's output on race, sex, and sexuality is not to be trusted. Same is true on class.
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The British Muslim rape gang and child sex slave scandal reveals something about contemporary Leftism and Wokeism. Victimhood culture seems inadequate to describe their motive. Or else they would side with the little girls being preyed upon. They are anti-white.
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PISA scores in Germany by state. Without migration background (blue) and with 2nd gen (red). About 100 points difference. (100 points in PISA is one standard deviation. Equivalent to 15 IQ points.)
Replying to @DrLuetke
Exakt. Wir kommen von einem PISA-Score von ca. 530 und werden bei 470 landen. Gründe sind vorwiegend genetisch, weil sich Intelligenz fortpflanzt und der sozioökonomische Einfluss eher gering ist. Will man heute noch nicht wahrhaben, bis die Realität dann Fakten schaffen wird.
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3. Suppression of viewpoints and research results. Paper retractions, censorship of valid research. E.g. in 2022, Nature Human Behaviour (NHB) published an editorial stating that the journal will not publish valid research that the editors consider ‘harmful’ to groups.
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Are some people still confused or ignorant or in denial about why this happened?
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5. Only in the US do people get meaning from spirituality, faith and religion. But East Asians are of course the least to do so.
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2. Rewriting the history of science. More and more scientists having their names stricken from buildings, textbooks, awards, etc. Some examples:
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China's true fertility rate could be as low as 0.6 and it's true youth unemployment rate could be 40%.
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Philosophy of science: now that AI can recognize gay face, such research should be censored. Woke: physiognomy is false. Bespoke: physiognomy is true, but cannot be allowed.
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New paper: before the Counter-Reformation, Catholic and Protestant cities had comparable numbers of scientists per capita. Afterwards, Catholic cities experienced a persistent relative decline. Counter-Reformation's search for heresy was a negative shock to science.
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All countries in South America have become richer over the past 40 years -- except the socialist paradise of Venezuela. (Note: Guyana discovered oil and is now very wealthy.) IMF estimates.
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6. Work. Surprisingly, East Asians tend to find occupation and career gives them less meaning in life than Westerners do.
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Update: I'm told the chart says "indictments for violence per 1000 inhabitants". One person could have more than one indictment hence maybe less than half are indicted.
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3. Few East Asians get meaning from friends and community
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I keep seeing this move from woke academia. They claim the full power and authority of expertise. Therefore you may not criticize them.
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"two direct, well-powered, and preregistered replications of the field studies by Piff and colleagues (2012) ... we find no evidence of a positive relationship between SES and unethical/selfish behavior"
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The thing that never happens does happen
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Venezuela was for a long time the richest country in South America, thanks to oil. Today, it is the poorest, thanks to socialism. It takes spectacular incompetence to do that.
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This was their "evidence": They paid some student assistants to observe if upper-class cars wait their turn at a 4-way intersection. Apparently, some don't. They didn't say how their students coded what is an upper-class person's car!
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Where Physics Nobel Prize winners were born baryon.be/nobelprize/
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New study of white residential choice in US and UK. White liberals in US and UK choose to move to whiter areas as much as conservatives. Progressives vote for diversity but don't practice what they preach.
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2. Indonesia. Settled about 300k loyal Javanese in West Papua. Many around the giant Grasberg gold and copper mine, which had been a target of attacks by Papuan independence activists.
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4. Replacing merit-based publication by quotas for editors, authors, reviewers, ‘citation justice’, etc. E.g. Royal Society of Chemistry journals have a target quota of 36% of women editors and reviewers.
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This may help explain why some child subsidies (like cheap daycare or child benefits paid to the mother) do little or nothing to boost a country's fertility.
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