Pro Football Historian | Statistician 📊 | Scout 🎥 Contributing Writer and Analyst @ProFootballHOF
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After the @Broncos loss to the @Jaguars, I joined BCT on @BroncosRadio to talk with Grant Smith and @NickFerguson_25 about my Twitter debate with @RSherman_25 and why I defended @trevorlawrence for the elite QB he’s been for the majority of 2022-25.
@KOAColorado | #All22Trevor
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There’s an argument to be made, and a strong one, that Drew Brees is the greatest player in NFL history.
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Career Best #SuperBowl Passer Rating
144.1 = #MattRyan
134.8 = Young
131.8 = Mahomes
125.8 = Brady
124.2 = Flacco
123.1 = Wilson
114.5 = Brees
112.3 = Warner
111.5 = Rodgers
107.9 = Favre
103.7 = Eli
103.4 = Hurts
99.2 = Elway
93.2 = Ben
88.5 = Peyton
66.9 = Marino
#Falcons
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#TrevorLawrence and the #Jaguars led a 27-point comeback vs. the #Chargers tonight (31-30 W).
It is THE largest comeback in #NFL history for a team that did not force a single turnover.
Lawrence finished 23/29 (79.3%), 253 yards (8.7 YPA), 4 TDs, 0 INTs: 142.6 passer rating. 🐆
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The thing about #MattRyan 2016 MVP campaign is—it wasn’t just “another” MVP season.
Including postseason, it was the single best season produced by any player, at any position, from 2014-2022.
No. 1.
THE best.
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#MattRyan Rankings (2012-present)
• No. 1 in passing yards (42,861)
• No. 1 in completions (3,776)
• No. 5 in touchdown passes (262)
• No. 2 in completion % (67.1)
*Min. 2,000 attempts
#Falcons #RiseUpATL
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Fred Taylor averaged 102.2 yards from scrimmage over a 127-game stretch from 1998-2007.
That’s right.
Not a typo.
102.2 yards/game
For. A. DECADE.
Would = 1,737 per-season @ 17 games.
Ridiculous @FredTaylorMade
#Jaguars | #DUUUVAL
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Most Fourth Quarter Comebacks
(#Broncos Franchise History)
1. John Elway……………………….31
2. Peyton Manning……………..9
3. Bo Nix………………………………8
#BCT | @AllbrightNFL | @KOAColorado
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The #Falcons should absolutely explore the possibility of acquiring #MattRyan if they don’t pursue #LamarJackson or a first round QB in the draft.
I don’t feel #DesmondRidder is a long-term solution, but learning under an all-time great could be very beneficial.
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#MattRyan’s resume, his consistency and excellence on the field speaks for itself. He’s very easily one of the greatest quarterbacks to ever play the game.
This isn’t a debate or a discussion.
It’s an inevitability.
I asked Matt Ryan if he should be a Hall of Famer: "I do. ... The numbers speak for themselves. The consistency speaks for itself. I hope it's something that happens one day."
Full interview coming on @The33rdTeamFB.
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Future HOF QB #MattRyan (32) just eclipsed #JohnElway (31) in career fourth quarter comebacks, winning his 116th game.
He’s now 1 win away from tying #JoeMontana (117).
#Falcons #ATLvsMIA
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#JulioJones has put up 3 touchdowns in 20 games since he stopped catching passes from #MattRyan.
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1. Inherited a 2-win #49ers team.
2. Led them to 13, 13, 12, 10 win seasons.
3. Got HOF-caliber production out of Jimmy Garoppolo.
4. Won two NFC Championships.
5. Got HOF production out of 7th rounder Brock Purdy, who led the NFL in PR (113.0), ANY/A by a country mile (9.01, 2nd was 7.48) and set the NFL’s all-time single-season mark for YPA (9.6) last year.
Now the 49ers fall to 0.500, are still a Top-8 scoring offense and it’s time to consider getting rid of Kyle?
Mind-numbing ignorance.
The funniest things I think I see is Niners fans trying talk themselves out of Kyle Shanahan.
Kyle would have a HC job the next day, and Niners fans seemed to have forgotten the Tomsula/Chip Kelly mess he pulled them out of.
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Trevor Lawrence is playing at an MVP level today—again.
And it’s going to upset a lot of people on Twitter.
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That #Falcons defense ranked 27th in PPG surrendered.
Of the 114 defenses to play in 57 Super Bowls, Atlanta’s 27th ranking was the second worst all-time (113th of 114).
#MattRyan, #JulioJones and the offense never participated in OT either.
Relive the largest comeback in Super Bowl history on the #NFLChannel, Patriots vs. Falcons starting at 12pm ET.
📺: bit.ly/3qXy0n6
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The largest comeback in the history of the National Football League on a team whose defense didn’t produce a single turnover.
#All22Trevor | #DUUUVAL
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#MattRyan is a Future HOFer 🧥
The Debate is Over 🖐 🎤
Ultimate Chart 📊
❄️ 119.9 PR (2016): No. 1 All-Time
❄️ 401 Career TDs (336 Non-Julio)
❄️ Highest #SuperBowl PR in 31 Years
❄️ More Wins than Unitas, Montana
❄️ More 4QC than Elway, Montana
#NFL #Falcons More ⬇️
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#TrevorLawrence rates ahead of some notable QBs in Total QBR right now.
Lawrence
56.2
Lamar Jackson
55.2
Matthew Stafford
48.9
Aaron Rodgers
47.4
Patrick Mahomes
46.7
Jalen Hurts
45.9
Dak Prescott
42.4
Tua Tagovailoa
35.6
He’s easily in the toughest playing situation.
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No QB in the NFL has been playing at a higher level than #TrevorLawrence.
The expectation is for the worst defense in pro football to allow GB to march down and score points.
But my G-d, what a performance by Lawrence today against vastly superior defensive competition.
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#NFL Passing Yardage Leaders
(On the Road)
2020s: #PatrickMahomes (7,874)
2010s: #MattRyan (22,657)
2000s: #PeytonManning (21,073)
1990s: #DanMarino (15,957)
1980s: #JoeMontana (15,462)
1970s: #FranTarkenton (11,848)
1960s: #JohnnyUnitas (12,492)
63 years, all HOFers. 🧥
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Trevor Lawrence had the Jacksonville Jaguars one quarter away from the AFC Championship game.
Just wrap your mind around that.
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Since 2013: The only QBs to lead the #NFL in pass completions have been future HOFers. 🧥
2013: #PeytonManning
2014: #DrewBrees
2015: #PhilipRivers
2016: #DrewBrees
2017: #DrewBrees
2018: #BenRoethlisberger
2019: #MattRyan
2020: #MattRyan
2021: #TomBrady
2022: #TomBrady
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Seasons with:
• 575+ attempts
• <1.5% INT%
• <4.5% sack%
▪️ #TrevorLawrence (2022)
▪️ Brady (2022)
▪️ #PatrickMahomes (2020)
▪️ Brady (2019)
▪️ Brady (2014)
▪️ Peyton (2013)
▪️ Brady (2012)
▪️ Brady (2007)
1) Lawrence joins only Brady, Peyton and Mahomes.
2) Brady 5x! 🤯
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I’m not concerned about small sample-sizes.
Not about overreacting to moments sans context.
What I see is a QB with no o-line, no defense, a rookie HC and exceptionally little support.
#MattRyan is a Top-25 all-time QB, a future HOFer and a legend.
That’s how it is, internet.
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Today: #TrevorLawrence recorded his 4th game completing 80.0%+ of his passes (min. 20 attempts)—eclipsing Brunell (120 games) and Garrard (86 games) to set a new #Jaguars franchise (career) record.
Today was Lawrence’s 33rd game as a Jaguar. #DUUUVAL
Cc: @_John_Shipley
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#MattRyan is very easily a future HOFer.
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#SeanPayton’s play-calling today has been really, really bad.
Difficult to watch.
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Well, Brian Thomas Jr. did have #All22Trevor throwing him the ball for a lot of the season.
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In 15 years, #MattRyan was supported by a Top-10 points per drive defense 2x.
2010 and 2012.
He made the postseason 100% of the time when backed by a Top-10 defense and played at an MVP level both years.
You do not want to know where his defenses ranked in 13 of the 15 years.
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#MattRyan now has 392 total touchdowns in his HOF career.
• 359 passing (regular season)
• 20 passing (postseason)
• 11 rushing (regular season)
• 1 receiving (regular season)
• 1 rushing (postseason)
Not that anyone is counting, but that’s now 327 non-Julio touchdowns.
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#TrevorLawrence remains in one of the worst playing situations the NFL has to offer.
His 18 wins from 2022-23 remains one of the most impressive over-achievements of the decade.
I feel for all my followers in #DUUUVAL.
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Happy Birthday to one of the greatest players in #NFL history — #MattRyan
❄️ 119.9 PR (2016): No. 1 All-Time
❄️ 416 Career TDs (351 Non-Julio)
❄️ Highest #SuperBowl PR in 33 Years
❄️ More Wins than Unitas, Montana
❄️ More 4QC than Elway, Brees
❄️ 5th All-Time Road Pass Yds
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If I reach 3,750 followers by this evening:
I will release a #MattRyan stat-chart that is going to to eviscerate the daily nonsense clogging up your feed.
#Falcons #Atlanta #RiseUpATL
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#MattRyan | Future HOFer 🧥
The Debate is Over 🖐 🎤
2023 Chart 📊
❄️ 119.9 PR (2016): No. 1 All-Time
❄️ 416 Career TDs (351 Non-Julio)
❄️ Highest #SuperBowl PR in 33 Years
❄️ More Wins than Unitas, Montana
❄️ More 4QC than Elway, Montana
❄️ 5th All-Time Road Pass Yds
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#TrevorLawrence played a near perfect game.
But #MattRyan is one of the greatest players in the history of professional football.
What a game.
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#AndrewLuck had that same mentality.
Playing injured for the sake of over-achieving relative to situation, carrying dead weight further than they have any business traveling, just to be scapegoated in the end because of the masses’ inability to quantify and react to individual excellence on a bad team…
Absolutely not. Shut #TrevorLawrence down for the season and weigh your options when the dust settles.
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I told everyone:
The #Jaguars should have SHUT. LAWRENCE. DOWN.
Now we have this.
Aziz Al-Shaair injured Trevor Lawrence: nitter.app/NFLonFOX/status/186329…
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Since drafting #TrevorLawrence, the #Jaguars have led the NFL in drops in 2021 and 2022.
3 big drops in Q1 alone.
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#DUUUVAL needs to get these two players a football team to play with.
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I probably shouldn’t ask, but I’m going to ask.
For my friends in Atlanta, you folks up for another #MattRyan stat?
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Despite the “dome QB” narrative, #MattRyan averaged more yards and TD passes per-game on the road than he did at home.
268.9 yards and 1.65 TDs (road)
267.8 yards and 1.60 TDs (home)
Apologies for bad takes are accepted in the comment section below. ⤵️
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3 dropped TD passes in 3.5 quarters by these #Jaguars receivers.
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#All22Trevor strikes again.
Trevor Lawrence when targeting past the sticks vs the Patriots today:
🎯 85.7% adjusted comp %
🎯 114 yards
🎯 1 TD, 0 INTs
🎯 153.3 passer rating
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Highest YPA Average in #NFL History
(Single-Season, Min. 325 Attempts)
1. #KurtWarner = 9.9 (2000)
2. #ChrisChandler = 9.6 (1998)
3. #MattRyan = 9.3 (2016)
4. #AaronRodgers = 9.2 (2011)
It is absolutely ridiculous that #Falcons QBs represent two thirds of the Top-3.
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#Jaguars QB #TrevorLawrence has produced 8,918 total yards of offense (including postseason).
He’s only 23 years old and younger than #JoeBurrow was as a rookie in 2020.
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#MattRyan on 3rd Down (2021)
116.5 PR
43 of 58
74.1%
432 yards
7.4 YPA
5 TDs, 1 INT
#Falcons #RiseUpATL
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#MattRyan is only 3,436 passing yards away from eclipsing #DanMarino on the #NFL’s all-time list.
That’s incredible.
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One of the most unspoken aspects of #MattRyan’s dominant HOF resume is this:
It’s nearly impossible to quantify just how difficult it is to play the QB position at a high level while not being credited for it.
Worse, doing so while being blamed for teammates/coaches failures.
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My 9/6/24 #BoNix stat-prediction vs. result.
Projection:
89.3 PR
352/550 (64.0%)
3,960 yds (7.2)
24 TDs, 14 INTs
286 rush yards (4.4)
3 rush TDs
29 sacks (5.0%)
Actual:
89.2 PR
350/538 (65.1%)
3,454 yds (6.4)
25 TDs, 12 INTs
383 rush yards (4.5)
4 rush TDs
24 sacks (4.3%)
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#All22Trevor during a down year, No. 1 in the NFL in this category.
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The 40 Greatest Quarterbacks in
Pro Football History (1920-2021)
Via: @ryanmichael
1. #PeytonManning
2. #TomBrady
3. #DrewBrees
5. Marino
6. #AaronRodgers
8. Montana
10. Favre
13. Staubach
20. Elway
24. #MattRyan
28. #PatrickMahomes
#RM40QBs #NFL #SuperBowl
Full List 🗒⬇️
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🚨 Friendly Reminder🚨
#MattRyan’s 119.9 passer rating in 2016 (regular season + postseason) is the highest single-season mark in the history of the National Football League.
#TomBrady, #PeytonManning, #AaronRodgers, #DrewBrees, #PatrickMahomes, everyone—below Ryan all-time.
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The #Jaguars closed out the 2022 season ranked No. 1 in drops (29) for the second season in a row.
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#NFL Quarterback Trivia:
How many quarterbacks since #MattRyan was drafted in 2008 have a higher career passer rating in the #SuperBowl than he does?
#Atlanta #Falcons #RiseUpATL
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Gauging my followers here:
❤️ or 🔁 if you’re a #Falcons fan.
🤔
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I can’t name 10 quarterbacks better than #TrevorLawrence.
So he’ll make my Top-10.
I’m not sold he’s Top-5 anymore #DUUUVAL.
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#MattRyan’s 119.9 passer rating in 2016 is the highest single-season mark (inc. postseason) in the history of the National Football League.
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#MattRyan (42.9) finished 2022 with a higher Total QBR than #AaronRodgers (39.3), #RussellWilson (36.7), #MacJones (36.2) and #BakerMayfield (24.5) despite playing in the worst situation of the five.
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In his second to last game with the #Colts, #MattRyan threw the 400th touchdown pass of his #NFL career (including the postseason).
He ended the season with 401.
Only one “first QB taken in an NFL Draft class” has ever thrown more. In all of NFL history.
#PeytonManning (579).
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#JulioJones is and has been a tremendous talent, there’s no denying that.
But it sure did help to have #MattRyan at quarterback.
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#TrevorLawrence heads in to Year-3 at nearly the same age #RussellWilson was as a rookie in 2012 and #JoeBurrow was as a rookie in 2020.
Can you imagine Lawrence, at the level he’s been playing at, paired with the Legion of Boom or #JaMarrChase?
#DUUUVAL
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2023: @DangeRussWilson was 🎯 on 3rd/4th down.
109.7 rating
71 of 109
795 yards
10 TD passes
2 INTs
Overall, he led the AFC in TD pass % (5.8%) and finished 9th in TD passes (26) despite missing two games.
#Broncos scored 15.0 PPG without him.
Cc: @AllbrightNFL @KOAColorado
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Although this #Jaguars loss was a virtual guarantee the moment #TrevorLawrence threw what should have been a game-winning TD pass,
This marks one of the lowest moments in #DUUUVAL franchise history.
To see their QB1 again deliver in the clutch, playing at an MVP level, out-playing #JordanLove against vastly superior defensive competition,
Only to see the worst defense in pro football in their truest form,
Yeah guys, it’s absolutely that bad.
No QB in the NFL has been playing at a higher level than #TrevorLawrence.
The expectation is for the worst defense in pro football to allow GB to march down and score points.
But my G-d, what a performance by Lawrence today against vastly superior defensive competition.
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