from @VolSignals & @Trading_closed... streaming microstructure daily
them there swaps
- Tweets 716
- Following 33
- Followers 2,459
- Likes 844
Pinned Tweet
**UPDATE**
Starting from Q3 (1 JULY), RTM Monthly Subscription will rise to $1325 per month.
As always, all subscribers are locked in the monthly rate they started at. This means that the 22 JUNE TRIAL COHORT will be the final group offered at the current rate.
Why?
Well, here's why:
6
11
17,076
I just don't think we are talking about how much goddamn fun the FOMC pressers would be if @conksresearch was chosen to succeed J Pow.
3
4
37
13,360
RTM End-of-Q Wrap. Sun 6 July. 19:00 CME Time.
Will go over:
>Our Secular Market View
>Some of our favourite consistent trade setups y'all took
>Maybe throw in a little colour commentary on how the - very very early - development of the 4.0 Model is looking
1
24
26,753
Oh man....if only there was a way to have received a heads up of that initial hard sell-off tho....
1
1
19
3,548
I think the next two and half weeks is going to feel really confusing to a lot of traders.
5
2
17
7,412
might do a recap of the week for those interested in joining our final Trial Cohort before we close them for our traditional end-of-quarter recharge.
interested?
2
21
4,584
Four days into the updated RTM Model and the AFTERNOON Line has not missed the pin by more than 1.00 any of those days.
We don't expect this run to remain unbroken - the flows in the last few minutes are often too disparate to model. But been wildly impressive so far.
2
15
11,614
UPDATE FOR TRIALS & NEW SUBSCRIPTIONS:
The transition to the updated RTM Model (3.0) has gone even smoother than expected. We're really grateful to all those that worked on the update. Thanks!
This does mean that we are now ready to move into our next generation with a new Subscription and Trial Fee.
Starting from MONDAY 7 JULY, RTM rates will move to:
$375 8-day Trial
$1175 Monthly Subscription
As always, all previous members will continue to be grandfathered in at their original Sub Fee and retain that price.
The Final Trial Cohort at the current rate will be MONDAY JUNE 9.
There are still spots available for that one. Use all the regular points of contact if you wish to sign up for that.
Thanks again to all our current friends and we look forward to seeing everyone else in the markets.
2
2
13
10,523
Stevie holding back for a late Morning Line print today as well.
Seems like everyone is doing the Mexican standoff meme.
Let's see how this resolves.
critical moment
risk/reward 0DTE favors puts now
you want better signals or more clarity than this, you know where to find me
have a good weekend!
1
14
4,151
Considering all the Trump News Vol so far today, this has been one of the stronger MORNING lines we've seen in a while.
MEAN Mean Reverter doing its thing. Great trading condition for DONKers.
1
1
11
5,858
Apparently The Ghost In The Machine thinks our members are blessed:
(h/t the member who queried this)
2
1
11
4,650
MORNING LINE print. Then a couple of quick DONKS at it to start.
Could that mean Buy Program/s being turned off?
1
9
5,131
Day after FOMC and, just like last time, the frequency of signals is well above the median.
1
11
2,971
Well.... That was some sorta 5 days.
We're not so shy as to not be loudly proud of how well the RTM 2.0 model performed. Was outrageous.
But our 'stuff' will only ever lead you so far - you still gotta trade it as well as you can. So the credit for how well our friends went should and DOES go to them.
Freakin awesome job.
Intake for trials will start back up from MONDAY APRIL 28.
message all the usual ways to sign up.
10
8,563
We highly recommend visualising TC 1.0 as a giant fella rushing to get his plate full & overflowing at the buffet station.
He does it once as soon as the buffet opens and a second time just before it closes.
9
909
If only there was a way to forward model said Mean Reverter and allow you to DONK at it for four hours....
10
1,234
Incredible performance from the AFTERNOON LINE here today. Redeemed it's No-Print of yesterday.
And if you check out the tape, we got yet another tap of the AFTERNOON LINE after close.
All very interesting stuff....
2
9
8,388
Really hard action today. Some of our friends traded that Morning Line like absolute G's. Epic work, tbh.
Thankfully we could all come together for one of the better TC 1.0's we've had since the signal returned.
I love it when a plan comes together
9
860
Not sure you could find a more perfect day than today to illustrate our maxim:
Hide the Price Action to hide the noise.
1
8
1,251
Thanks, Stevie...
You certainly made up for a sluggish middle of the day.
Early print. Lots of DONKs. Incredible late comeback. 14:55 touch. & finish with the Pin.
Some of your finest work, Steven.
9
1,709
Anyways.... Imagine being interested in Public Markets and not being subscribed to @conksresearch ?!?!?!
You should go rectify this immediately!
8
1,145
The 'itish did their thing alright.
Heading into 'Eat Sh*tty Boiled Beef Sandwich' Session in Chicago.
There's a MORNING LINE down at ES:6050. Does that come into play again?
Got that 9:00 line this morning. The balance achieved just before the Econ Data Dump.
Mean, Mean Reverter in that one it seems.
Will LDN Close change that?
10
5,866
Have you worked out yet that this is meaningless info?
Do you know why?
🔴 MOC IMBALANCE
S&P 500: -2093.6 MLN
NASDAQ 100: -1564.5 MLN
DOW 30: -517.5 MLN
MAG 7: -799.5 MLN $MACRO
3
8
1,828
Confusing set of prints into the LDN Close.
Spot doing that ping-pong thing as if it's easily confused.
No read yet on how this resolves
2
8
951
Probably one of the easier trading days in weeks. The case for a flip into Secular Trending Mode continues to build.
1
7
1,694
Reminder. Reminder.
It's official-
tomorrow at 7:00 PM (8PM ET)
come see what RTM is all about
us06web.zoom.us/j/8517072586…
1
7
5,240
It's mildly amusing that grok is so completely wrong here - to the extent that the timeframe (which in this particular context is not meaningful) is wildly incorrect too.
Our quants are safe from ML/Ai a bit longer still I guess
1
8
359
Morning Line doing very Morning Line things here today. And back on Friday as well.
Way too early to judge, but perhaps an early whisper/hint that calmer RTH trading conditions are returning.
5
782
Imagine not believing the Morning Line
Narrator: he did, in fact, not believe the morning line. & missed out accordingly
3
6
1,029
there is a huge amount of edge - perhaps even Alpha - in digging around in the areas where experienced market participants have 'Genralised, Assumed Knowledge'.
"There's nothing there, don't bother looking. If there was something there, I'd know about it and it'd be gone."
2
8
823
"I really like that Afternoon Line there, @VolSignals." he said...
1
7
1,413
Timestamps in CME Time.
Three and a half hours of Heads-Up.
Chicago AP signal Continues to look promising....
8
1,079
It's just one bet, friends. Size appropriately. And be clear in your mind what the Known Knowns are and what the Known Unknowns are.
7
620
Thanks to everyone that dropped in!
We'll see you in the markets.
Quant funds are getting slammed this summer,
with the top shops bleeding money since early June...
What's made the RTM model so adaptable?
Join us in the free server tonight at 8PM ET:
Navigating Tricky Markets with RTM
From 1-Minute Bars to Weekly Charts
7
1,184
Perfect trade for the Family Man/Woman:
>Take kids to school
>Buy FLYs at Morning Line
>Close them whilst waiting in line in the car to pick them up
#MorningLine @VolSignals @return2mean
She was STRONK today as a reversion signal. The final chart looks ridiculous...
1
6
1,061
Ok...fine... But who is on the other side of that trade? Who is willing to counterparty that? And why?
1
6
787
That one was a little exhausting. Def gonna unwind with a full bottle of champagne this evening.
Incredible week for this latest cohort - seems like all the action this week was designed as a training module.
6
848
Updated RTM Model printed a clear MORNING Lines through the noise. Impressive stuff.
Kinda giving 'rest here for while' vibes. But let's see if new flow disagrees.
6
1,441
Some sorta week of closes. Secular Mean Reversion Mode still very much ascendent.
The extra day off for the long weekend is certainly welcomed with open arms.
We go into the new trial cohort for Tuesday.
See you then/there.
7
503
Today looks like it's gonna displace this one as an All-Timer.
Outrageous DONK trading day here today. Outrageous
1
5
3,596
Good place to spend a few min on a Sunday evening if you're looking to see how what we do, does what we did.
Quant funds are getting slammed this summer,
with the top shops bleeding money since early June...
What's made the RTM model so adaptable?
Join us in the free server tonight at 8PM ET:
Navigating Tricky Markets with RTM
From 1-Minute Bars to Weekly Charts
6
952
Well....our favourite intern, Stevie, got within 2.00 of the pin today. Outrageous performance all week.
Not just with the Pins, but incredible stream of DONK trades all week.
Enjoy your long weekend Stevie!
Four days into the updated RTM Model and the AFTERNOON Line has not missed the pin by more than 1.00 any of those days.
We don't expect this run to remain unbroken - the flows in the last few minutes are often too disparate to model. But been wildly impressive so far.
1
5
1,235
and every now and then we get a close where TC 1.0 and Stevie & Stephanie pushing the same direction.
Boy was that fun.
6
5,065
the question now is:
Does the last 30 min into an NVDA Earnings overwhelm our expectation of Size? Or does the Afternoon Line do as well as the Morning Line?
1
6
1,567
Seems like most our friends caught the slow grinding Mean Revert to the MORNING Line.
We followed that with a No-Print of the AFTERNOON Line, which meant the TC 1.0 Sell was free to push as far as it wished.
Was surprised with how far that push ended up being - but we were also owed a generous move like that.
What a freakin awesome day.
1
5
1,040