Stock tweeter. HUT hater. Big weekly chart guy. Always learning.

NY
Its $TSLA time
This is why I think $TSLA is close to making a big move
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I've been trading for 10 years. Everything you need to know is in these 25 threads:
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$APP down 14% today to $587. This is why I sold it all at $95 I knew this day was coming
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If there is a holy grail in trading, this is it:
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😂
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Trading is hard. This will make it easier:
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$PLTR down 10% today to $157. Good thing I sold at $130 because I knew this was coming
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Trading is hard. These graphics will make it easier: 1/10
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Introverts often make great traders.
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A trader without discipline is a gambler.
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Replying to @greg16676935420
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Trading is an ART—not a science. 5 reasons why:
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You can spend years looking for the best trading indicator. Or you can just read this:
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If there is a big trading secret, this is it:
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Trading is hard. These graphics will make it easier: 1/10
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You will gain more confidence from the losses you cut short rather than from your big wins. 1/50
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Good trading takes a lot of time. Here are 5 threads guaranteed to speed it up:
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Becoming a good trader is tough and takes a really long time. Here are 10 threads guaranteed to speed it up:
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I asked ChatGPT if you had to make sure the majority of participants in the stock market lose money, what would you do?
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You love trading, but your results constantly disappoint you. Here are 10 mistakes you're probably making right now:
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Trading lessons I learned the hard way:
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No book has impacted my trading more than Trading in the Zone. These are the 10 lessons that made all the difference:
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Your fear of losing money is ironically causing you to make bad decisions and lose more money. 4/50
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I've been trading for over a decade. Everything you need to know is in these 20 threads:
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My best trading advice:
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Business idea: Ever lose your AirPods? Not anymore when you can wire them to your phone. Looking for investors @RampCapitalLLC
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Want to become a trader? Read this first:
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Your body predicts the market before your brain catches up. The Hour Between Dog and Wolf taught me why—and how to turn it into an edge. These 10 lessons will transform the way you trade:
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Trading requires a certain level of crazy.
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I’ve had 3 stocks more than double this year. Not by luck, it's my process. Here's how I do it, step-by-step:
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The most valuable trading lessons I’ve learned. All in one place.
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When you decide to become a trader, you need to be willing to be misunderstood for years.
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You love trading, but your results constantly disappoint you. Here are 10 mistakes you're making right now:
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The best traders I know • Don't brag • Are humble • Adapt quickly • Ignore negativity • Have an open mind • Admit when they're wrong • Have no expectations • Show up every day
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One undisciplined trade can undo months of progress. 15/50
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Over a decade of trading boiled down into 20 threads. If I had these back then, my journey would’ve been 10x faster. They’ll save you years and transform your results.
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I've had extensive discussions with some of the greatest traders in the world. They all have these 5 characteristics:
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All of my biggest losses came after my biggest wins. Always stay humble. Arrogance is a quick way to lose money in the market. 23/50
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Getting stopped right before a big move isn’t bad luck. It’s by design. Shakeouts happen before real trends start. 14 examples to study ↓
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Replying to @CollinRugg
Give me a break. Bad dogs are the result of bad owners.
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The more pressure you put on yourself to make money in the market, the more difficult it becomes to actually make money. 6/50
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Introverts usually make great traders.
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The best traders have a deep passion for the markets. If you are only trading to get rich you won't make it.
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When you decide to become a trader, you need to be willing to be misunderstood for years.
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These two trades made my year – $APP & $SMCI Both over 100%, same exact pattern. Take a look for yourself—it could change your life. What stands out to you?
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Every profitable trader has accepted three things: 1. They'll miss most moves 2. They'll sell too early 3. They'll look stupid regularly Most traders struggle because they are fighting against all three.
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If you want to be a great trader, there are some things you need to know:
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Have realistic expectations and don't expect to get rich quickly. 3/50
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21 sentences every trader needs to read:
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The most important thing in trading is not being right; it's making money. 9/50
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Most traders already know enough to be profitable. They just don’t have the self-control to execute properly. Fix your discipline, and profitability follows.
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What book changed your trading forever?
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You love trading, but your results constantly disappoint you. Here are 10 mistakes you're probably making right now:
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My biggest breakthrough wasn’t learning anything new. It was realizing I already knew enough I was just sabotaging myself with unnecessary stuff. I was doing too much and adding complexity when I just had to do less.
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If traders could learn to wait for the right conditions before entering a trade, they would make much more money.
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Signs you’re actually improving as a trader: 1. You take fewer trades but see better results. 2. Your losses are smaller and more controlled. 3. You focus more on process than profits. Progress starts off quiet.
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Most losses aren’t from bad trades. They are from bad habits: • Overtrading • Oversizing • Overthinking Fix your habits, and you’ll fix your results.
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15 sentences every trader needs to read: 1. The more pressure you put on yourself to make money in the market, the more difficult it becomes to actually make money. 2. Most of your losses are likely from trades that, according to your system, should have never been placed in the first place. 3. The most important thing in trading is not being right; it's making money. 4. One undisciplined trade can undo months of progress. 5. No matter how confident you are when you place a trade, remember that the outcome will always be random. 6. Sometimes the best thing to do is nothing at all. 7. Without a strategy for getting out of trades, you're gambling. 8. You need to have a clear head to make the best trading decisions. 9. Good trading isn’t about being bold and standing behind your opinion at all costs, it’s about being flexible and willing to change it on a dime. 10. If you are hesitating when it's time to execute, you haven't completely accepted that the outcome of every trade is out of your control. 11. If you aren't passionate about the markets and you are only trading to get rich, you won't last. 12. Successful trading is based on managing risk. 13. If you are distracted or unfocused when trading, your performance will suffer. 14. Don't try to predict the future. Focus on what's happening right in front of you. 15. The only way to build real confidence in your trading is through experience.
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What improved your trading so much you wish you'd done it sooner?
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My Favorite Weekly Chart Setup: The "Character Change" This is my go-to setup for getting into new uptrends early, and it’s something I use only on weekly charts. The CC (character change) is all about patience and waiting for clear evidence that the trend has shifted. ⚠️ If you’re looking for quick trades or need to be active, this might not be for you, because these require you to sit after you get in for a long time and let it do it's thing. Why Weekly Charts? Weekly charts smooth out a lot of the noise you see on daily charts. They give you a bigger picture and help you see the trend more clearly. What Is the "Character Change" Setup? This setup is about recognizing when a stock is transitioning from a long downtrend to the early stages of an uptrend. It’s all about waiting for specific signals on the weekly chart that show that it is highly likely the long-term trend is now up. Here’s what I look for: 1. First Higher Low After a long downtrend, I look for the stock to make a higher low on the weekly chart. This alone isn't enough but it's our first piece of evidence that something might be up. 2. HUGE Volume with a Price Pop The other thing to look for is a big surge in volume with a strong price move. This shows real institutional interest. This is our second piece of evidence. You have a higher low + it's first massive push. After this I have confidence the birth of a solid new trend is likely in place. Also the 1st or 2nd above can happen in any order you just want to see both. 3. New 10 Week respect The way you get a low-stress entry with incredible R/R is by waiting now that you have the evidence of a true CC on your side. The 3rd piece of the puzzle where you can enter with extremely low risk if it doesn't work is when you see the stock start to respect the 10-week moving average for the first time. Example 1: $APP Let’s look at APP, which had a huge run after showing this setup and my second best trade of all time. 1. Volume Pop: First, I noticed a big volume spike, but I didn’t jump in just because of that alone, not enough evidence. 2. First Higher Low: After the volume pop, the stock pulled back a bit and made a higher low. That’s when I got interested. As it made that higher low, it started respecting the 10-week moving average. 3. Holding the 10-Week: It then resumes its move being supported clearly by the 10 week again. That’s the final confirmation needed. APP took time to develop this setup. Even though it might look like dumpster diving, since these are weekly charts, the downtrend is long over before it becomes a buy. From there, it just kept riding the 10-week line up , giving you multiple chances to add to your position if you caught it or many chances to get in. Example 2: $PYPL (currently developing) PayPal was dead money for a long time, making lower lows. Then early this year we started developing a CC. 1. Higher Low: This grinded sideways but still ended up being a big higher low. 2. Volume Pop: Here we get a big price push on volume. Technically we had a few before the higher low was confirmed, and an entry could have been established after the higher low because the risk is so low. But this was the clear Volume pop. 3. New 10W Respect: This is final evidence for me, off the volume pop the weakness is supported by the 10W for the first time. Super low risk entry and you can see if this is a real long-term trend then we are still very early. Example 3: $PTON (very early, still developing, and new position) Peloton had been stuck in a downtrend for over two years, so I didn’t even consider buying until it started showing evidence that the downtrend might be done. 1. Higher Low: Instead of breaking to a new low, it held up at a slightly higher level. It’s subtle, but this is a big clue that the character of the stock is shifting. (It was kind of a retest of the same low, not much of a higher low, so you can argue #3 on the chart is also the first higher low. Doesn't matter, by 3 you have all 3 pieces of evidence.) 2. Volume Pop: Next, a significant volume spike paired with a strong price move. But I don’t buy just because of a volume spike—I need more confirmation. 3. Trading Tight into the 10-Week Moving Average: After the volume pop, PTON started trading tightly near the top of that move and right into the 10-week moving average. This is what really got me interested because even if it fails, I can't emphasize enough.... the R/R for these types of setups is off the charts. The big thing here is patience. I don’t jump in while a stock is still in a downtrend. I wait until it’s made a higher low, shown a volume surge, and started respecting the 10-week moving average. By the time I get in, the downtrend has usually been over for a while. I’m letting the stock prove itself first. Quick Recap Here’s what makes the character change setup work: 1. Higher Low on the Weekly: Signals the stock might be done making new lows and could be shifting to an uptrend. 2. Volume Pop: A big volume spike with a price move. This tells you that there is now real interest in this name and adds evidence to support the birth of a new trend. 3. New 10-Week Respect: This helps add further evidence the momentum is on your side and allows you to get in with really low risk if it doesn't end up working. Remember, this setup takes time to develop. The hardest part is the patience. It is a lot of hands off and waiting but thats also how I like my trades. Low stress. Less is more! If you made it here...drop a reply—I’d love to hear your thoughts and questions.
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The only way to become a good trader is to first be a bad trader. 24/50
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Simple trading systems are more reliable than complex ones.
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You need to have a support system in place to help you through tough times. 2/50
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Be willing to take advice from others who are more experienced than you, but ultimately make your own decisions. 5/50
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I've been trading for over a decade. Everything you need to know about my strategy is covered in these 20 threads.
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I have never met a successful trader who didn’t work hard.
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What if I told you that some of my best trades didn't have a setup? “No setup, no trade” is great advice...but for me its a little different: If I can’t define my risk, I don’t trade. Period. The market isn’t always clean. Patterns don’t always line up perfectly. But here’s the rule that never changes: I know exactly where I’m wrong before I hit buy. If I can’t define that level? The trade doesn’t happen. End of story. That risk level can be anything... a support line, a prior high, even a psychological price point. It doesn’t have to be fancy, but it must exist. If I don’t have a clear exit if I’m wrong, I’m not trading. I’m gambling. And I don’t gamble. The bottom line is setups are secondary. The real edge in trading is risk management. The question isn’t “Is this a setup?” It’s “Can I manage risk here?” If the answer is no, you walk away. The market will always give you another shot. Discipline wins. Always. Define your risk, or don’t trade.
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| ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄ ̄| study bases |____________| \ (•◡•) / \ / —— | | |_ |_
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This is brain rot for traders 😭
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I don’t care about lambos or watches. I care about spending my time how I want, with who I want. That’s why I trade.
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The best traders don't take their losses personally. They view trading as a business, and losses are just part of the game.
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No matter how confident you are when you place a trade, remember that the outcome will always be random. 16/50
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Only trade when you have an edge. If there are no clear opportunities, don’t trade.
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Always trade in the direction of the trend. 20/50
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If you stop relying on someone else’s trades, you will be mind-blown by how fast you progress and how much you are capable of by yourself. 10/50
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Don't be so critical of your trading mistakes... we all make them. Just learn and move on — quickly! 7/50
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Trading is an ART — not a science. 3 reasons why👇🏼🧵
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If you are a trader and struggle to be consistent, the first step is to acknowledge and understand which of the 4 phases you're in. Once you understand that everything falls into place:
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Trading is a way of life. It's not something you do in your spare time, or when you're bored, or when you have nothing better to do. It's an art that requires dedication and practice.
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When I started trading I was addicted to action. Every bounce, every dip, I was doing something. I’d wake up ready to click buttons. I was convinced that constant activity was the formula, and would put me in a better position to have a big breakthrough type trade. I wasn’t trading though in reality, I was gambling... and it was exhausting. Also demotivating lol. When I reviewed my trades I noticed a few things: 1. 90% of them should’ve never happened in the first place. They weren't placed because I had an edge in that moment, or because it was the right thing to do. They were mostly just placed because like I said I was addicted to the action. And I equated action & effort with success (which is normally the case in any other field). I wasn’t giving myself a chance to succeed because I was overtrading. 2. My best trades (the ones that moved my portfolio) came from sitting on my hands. It was actually the opposite of what I believed was helping. That’s why I personally shifted to weekly charts. It was based on the above. They reduced the amount of noise I would see. The constant intra-day action that I thought kept me ahead and informed was just in reality making it impossible not to do something when nothing should have been done. Weekly charts gave me patience, discipline, and clarity. They forced me to slow down and let trades breathe. It created an environment for myself where I wasn't constantly overthinking, or being pushed to make an impulsive decision. The environment change was key, I knew I had to be more patient, and I had to stop overtrading, and instead of fighting those urges the weekly chart perspective just naturally promoted it. In trading less is often more, and success isn’t about doing something all the time. It’s about doing the right thing at the right time. And for me that meant learning to sit still and get out of my own way. Now it feels like the market works for me, instead of me working for the market.
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The best traders have internal confidence. They don't listen to the noise around them. Instead, they focus on themselves and what they can control. 8/50
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Unless you learn to control your losses, you will never become a successful trader. 19/50
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Forget breakouts. Big trends start long before they look obvious. 1. Higher low → Momentum has shifted. 2. Volume surge → Institutions are positioning. 3. 10/30-week respect → A clear spot to define and manage risk. Master this, and you'll understand 'buy right, sit tight'.
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Sometimes the best thing to do is nothing at all. 18/50
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Traders, what's the first website you check every morning? Why?
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If you cut your losses quickly and keep them small, you are already better than 95% of traders. Let that sink in.
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20 sentences every trader needs to read:
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Most trading errors can be minimized by sizing down. 11/50
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Is trading an art or science?
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One undisciplined trade can undo months of progress.
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A trader without discipline is a gambler.
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The best traders have mastered the art of losing.
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Tag someone that made you a better trader in 2022
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Why is trading so hard?
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When you decide to become a trader, you need to be willing to be misunderstood for years.
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Be patient and don't rush into trades just because you are excited. 12/50
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The best traders aren't lucky, they are disciplined and methodical.
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$TSLA is the fattest pitch in the market
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Everyone studies legends like Livermore, Wyckoff, and Darvas but overlooks the biggest edge they had in common: • No intraday charts • No alerts • No news feeds • No 24/7 noise Their minds were quiet. They thought in weeks while you think in seconds.
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