I'm a Techno-Optimist. I love paying attention to, and playing with, emerging technologies. It's so much fun to me.
However, I do have several takes that I feel a lot of other techno-optimists and AI fans typically disagree with me on...
At the risk of losing some followers, here's a few of them:
1. Negative AI sentiment is going to get A LOT worse before it gets better. The fact that traditional media has started changing their tone about it and has started to embrace it, is a negative indicator to me. The more it's jammed down people's throats, the more resistance we're going to see to it.
The more musicians, authors and actors that publicly speak out against it, the more their fans are going to turn against it as well.
Which leads me to...
2. We need to figure out a way to fairly compensate traditional artists whose works these tools are trained on. Suno, MidJourney, Sora, etc. are all capable of creating things that are amazing but I still really struggle with the ethics of how they were trained. Yes, I understand that all artists were influenced by some artists that came before them. However, AI is trained on ALL artists that came before it... Something that no human is capable of. So I don't see the argument as comparing apples to apples...
And the concept of "fair use" is so vague and, in my opinion, has been a bit twisted to fit the narrative of the AI companies...
"Fair use permits a party to use a copyrighted work without the copyright owner’s permission for purposes such as criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, scholarship, or research."
The big companies argue they can train the data because it's necessary for research. But isn't that line crossed when the companies start selling the access to the tools that these things were trained on?
The ethical piece of how the data is trained is probably the single thing that makes me feel most conflicted about using the AI tools that I use.
And, yes, before others say it, my views on this point have gone back and forth several times. My opinions change as I learn more (as should most people's).
3. AI is, and will continue to, flood the internet with pure junk. We're seeing it on all the social media platforms. I'm sure even comments on this post will have been written by ChatGPT (and we can all spot them now).
I'm actually not that excited by a world where every time I search something out on Google, it's using AI to summarize an article that someone else used AI to write in the first place. I want personality and human opinions and insights.
I'm not looking forward to YouTube getting more and more saturated with AI generated videos with no face and an AI voiceover. Despite my passion for AI, I almost always click away from those videos the moment I see how low-effort they were.
To be clear, I have ZERO problem with people using AI to create content. I just can't stand the low-effort content that people are creating for the purpose of SEO or generating ad revenue. AI is a great assistive tool for content but still pretty bad if you just let it do all the work.
4. Deepfakes, fraud, and misinformation is going to get so much worse. As the models get better, people are going to have a more and more difficult time discerning what is real and what's not. Will courts be able to use visual or audio evidence in court anymore? Will media report more and more on fake news because they couldn't even determine if what they're seeing is real or not?
It's going to be a constant cat and mouse game between those trying to develop tech to spot fake media and those trying to develop tech to fool people. We'll likely have to assume what we see is fake until proven otherwise in the future.
Tip: Give your close family members a code word right now. Tell them that if you ever call them in an emergency asking for money, they must request your code word to verify that it's you. This will become increasingly necessary as the this technology gets better.
5. Most smaller SaaS companies that are building with AI are likely doomed long-term. There are a couple reasons I believe this...
a) Any good idea that's released as a software will be duplicated by the big companies and just rolled into their suite of tools. We've seen it happen over and over again. The big incumbents make companies obsolete overnight with one new feature roll-out.
b) AI absolutely will get to a point where it's so good that people will be able to make software fairly easily. If I have an idea for a tool that I need in my workflow, I believe I'll be able to prompt that tool into existence with an LLM.
I love AI and the community that we've built around it. I've spent the last 3ish years of my life trying to spread optimism towards the future and show off what I've found cool. But these are challenges that, whether people want to turn a blind eye to or not, are very real and we need to overcome them.
I started creating YouTube content about AI when it was a very non-controversial topic. Me and like 3 other people were talking about AI tools. I was making silly images and putting my face on Vikings and things like that. Less than 1,000 people were watching my videos and AI wasn't on anyone's radar.
I did not anticipate this explosion and I definitely never saw myself being a voice that people turned to in order to follow along. But here we are.
I love the tech and I'm actually excited about the future but I do have concerns. I've voiced them more and more in my videos but I think it would be irresponsible of me at this point to avoid sharing the things that truly worry me about this tech. Hopefully, the more we as community talk about both the good and the bad, the quicker we'll start working towards solutions and begin to minimize the division around this topic.
I would absolutely love for people to poke holes in my arguments and my thinking in a constructive way. But the trolls and combative comments will be ignored. :)