Housing theory of everything, buses, bicycles. Be the strange you wish to see in the world. Words for @cayimby, now available on Bluesky! Same handle.
Berkeley, CA
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- Followers 24,306
- Likes 146,949
“but if we add more homes to my neighborhood, where will i park”
“in a liberal, free-market democracy, Susan”
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If you live in a city whose leaders/traffic engineers say they won’t put in bollards because they might damage a car, you live in a city governed by monsters and should vote them into the trash heap where they belong.
Bollards save lives. End of story.
#WorldBollardAssociation
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The thing you have to remember about traffic engineering in the United States is, someone with an actual civil engineering license stamped this design and spent taxpayer dollars to build it.
These dead-end, useless sidewalks and are not accidents. They are malicious.
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I can not stress enough this point:
Literally every last person in the United States who complains about how “crowded” our cities are, is talking about cars.
America is not crowded, anywhere. Half the land in our cities is four-lane roads and parking lots!!!!!!!!!
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A bunch of years ago a very well-intentioned high school student convinced everyone he could sweep all plastic out of the ocean.
Oceanographers were quite frustrated by attention he got, because most of the plastic in the ocean is micron-scale.
And most of it is car tires.
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Next time someone tells you the United States is banning Chinese electric cars “for safety reasons” tell them that the real reason is you can buy one for under $10k and a handful of car executives in Michigan can’t make yacht payments at that price so, we can’t have them.
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In the United States you can get a $7500 tax credit to buy a $55,000 electric car but you can’t get a $7500 tax credit to rent a condo in a walkable neighborhood where you don’t need a car.
And they call it “climate policy.”
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Last week I was in a thread where someone wondered about heat, human survivability/habitability, and climate change. I've done some technical work on this specific question, so, quick thread on basics, and what to worry about.
Key term to know: The "wet bulb" temperature.
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If you think public transportation is a money-loser, wait til I show you the spreadsheet on car culture.
You will probably want to be sitting down for this.
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In fairness, this is also the Democratic transportation plan, they just argue that since the cars will be all electric, maybe, someday, late this century, it’s fine.
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Hypothesis: Riding a bicycle for everyday trips is the gateway drug to local activism, and to realizing the crisis of democracy is government serving loudest voices, rather than majority.
First thing that happens when you ride a bike for errands is, drivers try to kill you.
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Driver violence is so normalized and politically acceptable that it took six different violent assaults over *seven months* for the cops to even realize, oh shit, we might have a serial killer on our hands.
What are license plates even for. sltrib.com/news/2024/03/25/s…
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I can not stress enough that when your city’s traffic engineers remove concrete barriers because violent drivers keep crashing into them, they are
*REPLACING THOSE BARRIERS WITH YOUR BODIES.*
Portland has just removed this type of traffic calming because they were also being hit, which is exactly the wrong response. Every damaged traffic calming device should be replaced by at least 2
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$44,000 per tent.
Why are city governments paying $44,000 per tent. And then $33,000 to “maintain” them?!?
Give an unhoused person $77,000 they can rent a market-rate apartment for, like almost *4 years.*
Good lord, NIMBYs have wrecked city governance. latimes.com/california/story…
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This just in from a friend stuck in Vegas:
“Flights across the US have been canceled today because of excessive heat warning, including my flight from Las Vegas. After multiple delays and an aborted boarding, the pilot said the air conditioner was not cooling the plane …
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I am becoming convinced that autonomous vehicles are designed to solve the problem of "I live in a wealthy suburb but have a horrible car commute and don't want to drive anymore but also hate trains and buses."
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The clash between US cities and their suburbs has always been inevitable.
Suburbs expect cities to be clean, heavily-policed parking lots for their cars. And for much of last 75 years, cities have obliged.
But it was always a land use Ponzi scheme. And it’s reached the end.
Tension between New York City and its surrounding suburbs has grown since the pandemic, as attempts to solve the city’s most pressing problems are putting it in direct conflict with suburban residents and officials who feel that is simply not their job. nyti.ms/3CzTxEF
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At some point, historians will marvel at how long it took the *entire* center-right to far left -- from Third Way to normie Democrats to DLC'ers to liberals to progressives to DSA -- to even *acknowledge the existence* of the Confederate Republican project.
It's over; they won.
Republican made the (at the time, reasonable) bet that Republican states would continue being able to gerrymander and blue states would stick to non-partisan redistricting. I don’t think they predicted the shear hatred Gavin Newsom has for republicans or that Hochul has agency
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Holy crap. California is saving $40 million PER DAY from all the car crashes that aren't happening. $1 billion saved just since shelter-in-place.
Car culture costs us so much more than we're even aware. ucdavis.edu/news/california-…
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Most drivers in the US are fully aware of how much it sucks to be a driver in the U.S. They complain about it constantly — the parking, the traffic, the road rage, the gasoline and insurance and repair cost.
We’re a few cognitive steps from all the light bulbs going off at once.
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I've been praying for years NIMBYs would get so bold they'd make the arguments they make in City Council chambers on a large public platform.
Thank you, CM Padilla, for honesty. Now everyone can see why Los Angeles has the most homeless people of any city in the developed world.
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yes everyone move 👏somewhere 👏with 👏 no 👏 jobs 👏 and 👏 a 👏 right-wing 👏 radical Christian 👏 state 👏 government 👏 where 👏 being 👏 gay 👏 is 👏 illegal 👏 and 👏 clerics 👏 decide 👏 women’s 👏 healthcare 👏 and 👏 you 👏 will 👏 find 👏 cheap 👏 housing
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So please, help your city prepare for the refugees. Depose the NIMBYs in your city government. Defeat the car-stans who deny that all of this is happening.
Because the heat is coming. It's already here.
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Japanese cities won't let you buy a car unless you have a piece of land you own/lease to park it. They also *ban all overnight street parking.*
As a result, there is ... very little urban land dedicated to parking, and a lot of livable, walkable, transit-served neighborhoods.
TikToker visits Japan and can’t comprehend how the cities are so much
Cleaner, nicer, safe, and high tech than USA cities
He says they don’t even compare. Tons of comments mystified for the same reason
Any guess as to what the difference is?
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Parents losing their minds over school driving mandates and the pure sadism of drop-off lines is a sleeper issue in urban planning/transit/housing, IMO. This will lead to change.
How do we incentivize kids and their parents to take the bus to school? This morning drop off traffic is ridiculous and needs to be curbed
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there's always a dril tweet
A big part of this is aggressive DUI policing. You used to be able to drove home a little tipsy, or even smashed.
Now, there is so much greater social stigma and such harsh punishment for DUI, i'm sure its curbed nightlife for people who don't live in a campus.
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There is absolutely no rational reason for a 45 year old to continue paying taxes to subsidize the lifestyles of 65 year olds who refuse to pay taxes.
It's absurd.
There is absolutely no rational reason for a 65 year old who owns their home to still be paying property taxes.
It's absurd.
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the cardacity of suburban drivers knows no bounds
“please bike quietly” gonna bring my air horn next time
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So, putting aside my histrionics for a sec, here's what we know about cars:
- most people can't actually afford them
- they're poisoning the ocean
- they're wrecking the climate
- they're the leading cause of death for young humans
- they take up most public space in our cities
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This was a legendary action in San Francisco, ~ 10 years ago -- angry drivers complained to city's anti-bike bureaucrats about biklings not coming to a full stop; they sent cops to write us tickets on the Wiggle.
So, a Brain Genius organized us all -- to stop at every stop sign.
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For over 100 years, most New Yorkers have woken up every day and paid to go to work on the subway or bus in the morning.
Drivers are seriously the whiniest, most entitled big-government communists in the United States.
New York city will be the first city in America to charge Americans just to go to work in the morning
Community note
NYC will begin charging drivers entering the city.
80% of NYC workers use modes of transport that are not private vehicles and will not be directly impacted by the congestion pricing.
nyc.gov/assets/plannin…
nbcnewyork.com/traffic/transi
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Having done my best to piss off a lot of people on this website one thing that stands out is how people who are accustomed to driving their car everywhere have never even really given car culture any thought.
Like, no part of it.
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Right-wing think tank: "We had AI review the objectivity and morality of a bunch of think tanks, and it found left-leaning think tanks were more objective, and moral."
Conclusion: "The models are wrong, and conservatives should force AI companies to change them."
Wild.
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Modern leftism in the United States is a kid in suburban Oklahoma calling New Yorkers "gentrifiers" for supporting a policy that has rapidly, measurably, and unequivocally improved their lives.
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Back in 2019 a new study found most microplastic contamination in coastal California waters came from car tires. People mostly ignored that, because, well, cars.
Then in 2020 they found microplastics were killing salmon, but people ignored that too … latimes.com/environment/stor….
Seeing a lot about microplastics these days. Did we just not notice this before? Why is it suddenly everywhere?
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So we now have the phenomenon of well-intentioned environmentalists who drive everywhere they go, depositing plastic in ocean as they do, killing salmon and poisoning the food chain — and some of that driving is to attend protests to ban plastic bags.
You know. For the oceans.
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(Side note: Weather forecasters should announce the wet bulb temperature or Human Heat Index as a matter of public service)
So, what does this have to do with you? Well, up until last ~ 40 years, wet bulb temperatures were *extremely rare* on this planet.
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I love how the driver spends half the time looking at the giant touch screen, which is also a ubiquitous feature of new cars in the US and, because it is *designed* to distract the driver, is more deadly/dangerous than all the faulty doors on all the airplanes on earth.
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The biggest weakness the left/DSA face that I don’t think they understand that they face is the degree to which they’ve been captured and co-opted by trust funders who have literally no stake in the outcome of any public policy issue.
It is a real thing.
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This is wild. The CEO of Rivian, the electric truck maker, on the record:
- the future of urban mobility and deliveries is e-bikes
- fully autonomous cars are unlikely/impossible
- the battery supply shortage will slow the electric car transition techcrunch.com/2022/10/19/ri…
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When she was 75, my mother moved to a walkable neighborhood from her car-dependent neighborhood in DC. She’s now 83, and is more physically and socially active than she had been in the previous ~ 30 years.
Drivers routinely lie to defend their parking and personal preferences.
‘walk-friendly, bike-friendly, transit-friendly’ is not ‘80 yr old friendly’ given the mobility issues that come with old age.
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Holy crap I love it.
“In this satirical city builder, your goal is to convert walkable cities into parking lots and use propaganda to convince everyone it's what they want” pcgamer.com/games/city-build…
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So, since I get a lot of angry, violent drivers in my mentions thought I’d try something.
Let’s say, for the sake of discussion, you drive everywhere you go, every day. One of the first things you notice is:
Good lord, a ton of these other drivers are *really bad at driving.*
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I love that the backlash against violent, entitled drivers is going mainstream.
Just because our politicians are still more afraid of violent drivers than peaceful pedestrians, does not mean we're not going to win.
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Something that is worth considering is how rapidly the politics of car culture can change once you do something incredibly effective like congestion pricing --
Suddenly, all the fish realize, wait, we're swimming in water, and these drivers are pissing in it.
I don't care if you're driving a Tesla or a toboggan — if you've got ghost plates, we're taking you off the road.
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People have no idea what’s coming to places like the Southeastern United States and I think it’s just gonna have to happen for them to believe it anyway.
A heat index of 180°F (82.2°C) and a dew point of 97°F (36.1°C) were recorded in southern Iran today.
If these readings are confirmed this would be the highest heat index and dew point ever recorded on Earth.
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Watch the video.
This is truly the most incredible thing I’ve ever seen an elected official say, from any political party:
He lays out the entire case for humans, and against cars, and it’s just pure facts, personally-lived expertise/experience — and 100% raw gorgeousness.
“We built cities all over America that are designed for automobiles and not designed for people... Our housing costs are high, in part because of the way that we've designed our cities."
- @GovDougBurgum North Dakota comments during the @NatlGovsAssoc winter meetings
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You really have no idea what the car industry destroyed in the United States. But I hope these photos offer proof that anything that can be built can be destroyed, and re-built, and we can always decide to destroy the car industry, and re-build the world we want.
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Why we need fundamental reform:
Last night I attended a 3-hour transportation commission hearing about removing 5 parking spots from a public street to build a new protected bike lane next to a massive new infill housing project at a BART station.
There were ~ 45 people there.
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New York City just implemented the most effective climate policy ever undertaken in the US, and it didn’t cost a penny.
No costly new technology, no utopian dreams of electric cars or fusion, no giant tubes sucking carbon from air:
Just, charging drivers the cost of driving.
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There’s a widespread presumption — and it is very presumptuous — that since many Americans move to suburbs to start families, & buy SUVs, that’s “consumer choice.”
But in fact, it’s *not a choice.*
Cities have banned family-sized apartments. And carmakers only make SUVs.
NEW: Cities are losing families with kids, and not all want to decamp to the suburbs. But even in cities that are adding new housing, developers are mostly building one and two-bedroom apartments.
I wrote about what needs to happen beyond zoning reform
vox.com/policy/2023/4/23/236…
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It is so weird to be an American Jew.
Most of us are “white,” but whiteness is provisional/geographic — in more Republican/white supremacist areas, we’re less white & subject to racist terror attacks.
Most of us are liberal/progressives who despise Bibi & Likudniks but also …
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A driver shoots another driver to death every 16 hours in the United States.
When everyone is armed this is the America we will have. Not one where we are safer but one where otherwise no lethal situations like road rage or someone knocking the wrong door or a bar fight become lethal
Community note
The source the post cites for its information states 141 persons were shoot to death in road rage incidents which results in a death every 62 hours, not 16, as the post claims.
t.co/B0pRAOAzb
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Young folks forget that you used to be able to smoke cigarettes *on airplanes* — there were ashtrays in every arm rest — and if you asked the smoker next to you to not smoke they’d tell you to go fuck yourselves.
City drivers are the next smokers. They just don’t know it, yet.
and it took *decades* of fighting them to get to that point. before that they were fighting for their right to smoke sticks in front of you at applebees
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People freak out over the $100 billion cost of California’s high speed rail, but I’m like …
a) we spend that much on car culture *every fucking year*
b) there is nowhere in the US that makes it harder to build things we need than California
c) take a & b together & realize
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who wants to tell him
at the “end of the world” the biggest gun fights will be at the gas stations, where drivers will slaughter each other trying to make it the next ~ 400 miles.
what’s an actual “end of the world car” look like?
it looks like this:
You're buying your end of the world car.
A vehicle that, sh*t goes down, you can use to escape.
Has to be under $100k, mostly stock, and can last 20 years.
What you getting?
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I’m gonna piss off a few million New Yorkers but I’m sitting here in DC and folks:
DC is the best city in the USA and is giving European cities a run for their money.
New York is New York. There’s only one. It is more than just a city — it’s … an entire category unto itself.
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Rome was built in 753 B.C., subway in 1955
Paris was built in 259 B.C., metro in 1900
Beijing was built in 1045 B.C., subway in 1971
Americans are the most proudly and aggressively ignorant people on earth when it comes to urban transportation.
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Actually the tax deduction for “work trucks” is probably the most generous transportation subsidy in the US and is one of the reasons so many accountants and lawyers drive lifted F350 beasts to the suburban office park.
CEOs can write off the entire cost of their private jets, but you can’t write off the cost of the car you use to drive to work.
This is what it looks like when billionaires and corporations are allowed to fund the election campaigns of the politicians who write our tax laws.
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Los Angeles transforming overnight, because it can.
Car culture is a giant lie.
“On Tuesday, there was a 19% increase on the number of riders when compared to Monday … L.A. Metro sees about 950,000 riders a day, but the system could handle more.”
latimes.com/california/story…
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So, the moral of the story: Many of the places humans currently live on the planet are on their way to being functionally uninhabitable by humans. They will have to move. Some may try to "adapt," and some may pull it off. But this will be exceptionally difficult.
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After the United States became a democracy in 1964, we made it illegal to discriminate in housing against Black, Chinese, Jewish, and other unwhite, un-Christian Americans.
White Christians responded by banning most new housing. It happened everywhere.
I would encourage YIMBYs to not stop here but state why duplexes, fourplexes and small apts were banned.
The "why" is the unspoken motivating factor for almost all NIMBY opposition.
In NE cities where Dems have control it's important to name the origin of these bans.
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This is basically a map of parts of the United States that will be unsurvivably hot for ~ 2-4 months a year by mid-century. I.e., people signing a 30-year mortgage today in Texas or Arkansas.
Love the SUV ads at the bottom, really brilliant touch. washingtonpost.com/weather/i…
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We need to vote carbrains out of office, but we also need to socially ostracize them along the way.
As long as their vile and violent ideology is seen as acceptable, they will keep winning.
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riding home through Oakland from dinner, stop to pickup ice cream at corner store
two men talking about e-bikes
“I paid $1200, it goes 25 and carries all my groceries, neighbor said, ‘$1200 for a bike? crazy!’ i told him ‘dude you paid $75k for a Silverado”
me, smiling, silent
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Suburban sprawl turns humans into sociopaths, and the funny thing is -- they wholeheartedly agree.
NIMBY is the most normal feeling a human can have
It is objectively insane to look around at your neighborhood and think “You know what would make this better? Things being 150% more crowded”
I’m not even talking messy policy or broad implications. Just that NIMBY is normal
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Worst part of coastal California NIMBYism is, when they complain about building housing "for new people" instead of "people already here" -- many of the "new people" are *literally* "new people" created by "people already here."
They're called "children." And they're *leaving.*
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But that's over, now. We're already seeing multiple wet bulb temperatures per year in multiple locations. By mid-century, parts of the Southeastern U.S will see *weeks* of wet bulbs *every year.*
This is quite bad. Thousands of people will die on each of those days.
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If nothing else I want every fellow Democrat in the US to understand this:
The high cost of housing in U.S. cities is 100% the fault of the Democrats who govern U.S. cities.
Not the GOP. Not evil bankers or "swarthy foreigners."
NIMBY Democrats caused the housing shortage.
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I unironically love wealthy suburbanites who want to de-fund the sprawl that they live in.
I don’t know who needs to hear this
but
even if you’ve paid off your home, you will pay monthly property taxes the rest of your life.
I’m in Texas and I am looking at ~$500/month forever.
Refuse to pay? Lose your home.
You never truly own your home in America.
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The water in the gulf of Mexico is 98 degrees, New England had 7 inches of rain and massive floods, it'll be 117 degrees in Phoenix this week, and Canada is still on fire.
But hopefully, everyone found the perfect parking spot. Focus on what matters. washingtonpost.com/weather/2…
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I actually don’t care why motorists hate me. If they’re aggressively driving their weapon toward me, I should be able to shoot them with mine.
This isn’t complicated. And it’s fully legal in many states! road.cc/content/news/texas-c…
Cyclists wouldn’t have to arm themselves if they had even an ounce of self awareness as to why motorists hate them so much.
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Something you'll quickly learn if you talk to leftists and socialists outside of the United States is that they generally think we have the stupidest leftists and socialists on earth and don't understand how they got that way.
Frankly, I don't get it either.
Just finished Abundance and I don’t know why my fellow lefties are so mad at this book. 70% of the book is about building up state capacity, when did we become anti that?
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If we do everything right, starting now, there's a chance we could return some of those places to habitability for future generations, in the 3rd millenium or so. But as of today, we've already roasted most of them. Carbon emissions have a very long life in the atmosphere.
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If there's one thing I wish people concerned about climate change would fully internalize, it's this:
Most of the new cars sold today will still be on the road, somewhere, in 2035.
That means that most of the global car fleet of 2035 has *already been sold.*
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The second/third order effects of Democrats finally crushing car salesmen would be spectacular:
- A complete re-ordering of state legislatures (controlled by car industry)
- Ending car industry control of state/local car/“transportation” departments
- Massive wave of housing
Mark my words: sometime in the next decade, Democrats are going to kick the tires on lifting the ban on direct-from-manufacturers sale of automobiles. It is going to create one of the bloodiest political fights in a long time
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San Francisco is in deep shit. It’s got too many bros who believe this.
This is geometric illiteracy at an epic scale. I have seen nothing to suggest it is possible to get them to understand math and geometry.
For 20% of SF's public transit budget you could buy and run a fleet of 15,000 Waymos and let everyone ride for free. Thats enough to cover the entire ridership of SF's public bus system with much better service.
Assumptions:
-Conservative 12 year average life of the Waymo with zero value recouped at the end
- $120k purchase price per Waymo
-$8k/year/waymo in operating costs
-Finance purchase with 12 year loan at SF municipal bond rate of 4.85%
-$0 in fares!
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If you thought inflation was bad, wait til suburban homeowners in disaster zones get the Feds to print $15 trillion so they can re-build in places humans should never, ever have built homes to begin with.
I have great sympathy for the victims of Helene who live inland & could not be expected to prep for hurricanes. I hope Congress acts quickly!
But I also feel bad for taxpayers in, like, Detroit who will be expected to pay to rebuild this insanely dangerous hurricane playground
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I used to believe there was no such thing as “libertarians” but having attracted a bunch of libertarian commenters on this website I need to update my priors:
A libertarian is a white suburban/rural man who is completely dependent on government subsidies for his lifestyle.
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People have just fully memory-holed the entire reason Uber exists in the first place.
Thomas, the yellow cabs are *right there.* Uber was founded literally to destroy them. You’re helping them. Crying about their business model is waayyyyy downstream of the problem.
In Uber from New Jersey to JFK, the driver asks how much I paid because he said he has no transparency into what Uber charges. I told him the fare was $129.00 and he showed me that all he sees on his end is that he gets $49.00. That is INSANE. How is this legal?
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You can wake up in Milan, walk down the block for a coffee, and — without changing clothes or going home or even deciding til you get to the train station — go for lunch in Lake Como, or Florence, or Venice, or Sienna.
The developed world is amazing, we should join it.
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“Yesterday on a Delta flight in Vegas, on the ground, 5 people passed out from the heat and were taken out on stretchers.”
And they really think we can’t get people out of cars.
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It's been a while since I tracked this stuff closely but I believe oil fracked from shales needs to clear ~ $60 or it's underwater which means we may be on the verge of a massive collapse in the U.S. oil industry.
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We have made it legal for violent drivers to kill children.
It is legal in the United States for violent drivers to kill children.
The driver who struck and killed a 4-year-old girl in a S.F. intersection will avoid jail time, the DA’s Office announced. Karen Cartagena, 71, will serve two years of probation, complete 400 hours of community service and enroll in a driver safety class.
trib.al/V2Ga54v
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This has ... implications. Human habitations get very difficult to manage when thousands and thousands of people are dying every day, for weeks, every year.
This is actually an active area of climate science and resilience study: research.noaa.gov/article/Ar…
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Not only is it generally legal for drivers to kill pedestrians in US — they just need to stay by corpse, be sober, & tell police “I didn’t see them” — but city traffic engineers will tell you, to your face, it’s OK for drivers to kill a certain number of pedestrians per year.
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However, key interaction here is evaporation, which is controlled in part by a) amount of energy in the sweat (how much heat it is carrying) and b) how much moisture is already in the air. E.g., when people tell you "it's a dry heat" as if it's "more tolerable," they are correct.
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Something electric car advocates really don’t want to talk about is how the very rapid acceleration of EVs will lead to a dramatic surge in driver violence — and *especially* among boomer drivers, who already can’t handle the accelerator.
The US is going to have 30-40 million 80 yr olds driving because the built environment is car dependent.
Baby Boomers are a huge reason for local govs to legalize walk-friendly, bike-friendly, transit-friendly neighborhoods.
(psst, abolish zoning)
msn.com/en-us/news/crime/vid…
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Carbrain is a pathology. carscoops.com/2023/11/e-bike…
If this is happening, it's actually INCREASING emissions in these countries via energy sources, battery production, and tax break $$ that could go to reducing emissions. Yikes!
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Well I didn’t have that on my bingo card!
Congress may finally investigate why the car industry is producing and selling weapons designed to kill pedestrians and biklings: usa.streetsblog.org/2024/06/…
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New entry for the “Things You Could Not Possibly Make Up” file:
Berkeley’s most unhinged NIMBYs are fighting a bike lane and are rallying folks to go to a special city meeting on April 18.
Their e-mail call to action? “It will be hard to park, so walk or ride your bike.”
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