Your home for advanced baseball analysis and stats. Help support our work by becoming a Member. Capital F, capital G.

Okay everyone, we’ve heard your feedback on our playoff odds and decided to make some tweaks to the math that should leave everybody happy
244
610
6,531
A full list of the big names traded today: - Max Scherzer - Trea Turner - Anthony Rizzo - Kyle Schwarber - Brad Hand - You - Yes you - You're on the Dodgers now - Go grab your uniform, you're late - I don't know where it is, why would I know that - It's probably where you left it
31
633
4,446
Umpires checked Jacob deGrom for sticky substances and found nothing but a soft glowing light emanating from his arm, a warm and soothing hue that, in the words of one ump, left them "feeling in the presence of something greater, something stronger ... I cried a little."
30
556
3,727
Why are the little kids not shifting Joey Gallo
8
186
2,663
Adam, we can tell the difference between an oriole and a cardinal, give us some credit please
Adam Wainwright: “FanGraphs had us at like a negative 400 percent chance to make the playoffs, and we just proved everyone wrong. We're going to try to and keep doing that.”
17
120
2,185
The last five ALCS matchups: - 2017: Astros vs Yankees - 2018: Astros vs Red Sox - 2019: Astros vs Yankees - 2020: Astros vs Rays - 2021: Astros vs Red Sox
52
310
1,754
2017 ALCS: Astros vs Yankees 2018 ALCS: Astros vs Red Sox 2019 ALCS: Astros vs Yankees 2020 ALCS: Astros vs Rays 2021 ALCS: Astros vs Red Sox 2022 ALCS: Astros vs [TBD]
45
248
1,493
When someone asks you who Fangraph is
I don't know who fangraph is
15
95
1,399
Heard y'all had some playoff odds thoughts
22
70
1,228
Behold, our final World Series odds for every playoff team: 1. HOU: 17.5% 2. ATL: 16.5% 3. LAD: 14.9% 4. NYM: 11.1% 5. NYY: 10.3% 6. PHI: 6.1% T7. SDP: 5.1% T7. TOR: 5.1% 9. SEA: 4.5% 10. TBR: 4.4% 11. STL: 2.6% 12. CLE: 1.8% fangraphs.com/standings/play…
65
114
796
[goes back to check preseason playoff odds] Wait a minute
6
29
739
Not a fun day at the office for Alex Bregman
36
76
765
HAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHA
13
67
613
75,938
The One I Never Thought I Would Write fangraphs.com/blogs/the-one-…
61
95
555
Adley Rutschman is now 7-for-7 with 6 RBIs in his career on Opening Day
2
56
584
59,756
Replying to @Orioles @MLB
You miss 100% of the playoffs you don't make - Michael Scott - atFanGraphs
4
19
566
Replying to @Pirates @MLB
Don't make us take that .4% away
11
15
551
HAHAHAHAHAHA
3
51
545
48,457
SCORE UPDATE: - Congrats to Will Smith - Condolences to Will Smith - Will Smith homered off Will Smith with two outs in the sixth - That three-run shot makes it 4–2 Dodgers - Will Smith wins - Will Smith loses - Too many Wills Smith
17
112
493
Statcast Stats Are Now on FanGraphs! blogs.fangraphs.com/statcast…
16
71
498
Could Shohei Ohtani throw a pitch so good that Shohei Ohtani could not hit it for a home run
19
62
453
Well then.
The Hopefully-Not-Horrifyingly-Inaccurate 2022 ZiPS Projections: American League blogs.fangraphs.com/the-hope…
17
56
415
Second sticky substance check only turned up a tiny Buddhist monk living on deGrom's head under his hat; when asked whether he's an illegal performance enhancer per MLB's rules, the monk simply replied, "Only with total release will maximum control be achieved."
1
41
392
Excited to announce we'll be adding a new stat to FanGraphs dot com, Tacos Won Above Replacement aka tWAR
5
57
380
Replying to @markweathers15
Whenever you notice something like that, a wizard did it
6
3
342
TAHFJKGFKLAJBGIJBSJBVKAJSBDZHJFBVLZJDFLSV JBZLJBVDJBVZSJBDFNVJSNSBNLJ
3
42
360
29,688
Padres Give Up Prospects for Yu Darvish While Cubs Give Up blogs.fangraphs.com/padres-g…
13
55
338
Garrett Richards' 2020 WAR: 0.7 Garrett Richards' mustache's WAR: [breaks calculator]
8
31
325
I Can’t Wait to Tell My Son About Jose Fernandez fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=23238…
4
167
301
Right baseman Manny Machado
A right fielder (left) and a third baseman (right)
3
27
296
The Best Reliever You’ve Never Heard Of blogs.fangraphs.com/the-best…
4
48
296
A BUNCH OF COOL NERDS ONLINE WHEN JOHN SMOLTZ SAYS "EFFECTIVELY WILD" ON TV:
7
24
270
And the Oscar goes to... Padres-Dodgers
1
36
277
In case you were wondering, the Mets rank: - 16th in the majors in walk rate - 19th in wRC+ - 23rd in wOBA - First in owners who are Too Online
27
18
243
Welcome! We would also like a $330 million contract, please.
1
4
239
We are moving all FanGraphs and RotoGraphs articles to a metered paywall. Readers now get 10 free articles per rolling 30 days. If you go over that and would like to keep reading, you’ll be required to become a Member. Here’s more about the change: blogs.fangraphs.com/why-were…
8
34
242
190,434
Uh, gimme a minute here
5
12
226
TBS broadcast just said “effectively wild,” everyone finish your drink
2
10
226
You guys are never gonna guess what Randy Arozarena did in a playoff game
4
7
223
Okay so: - Brett Phillips singled - Kevin Kiermaier scored from second - Randy Arozarena tried to score - He stumbled going around third - The Dodgers had him dead to rights - Until the throw to home got away from Will Smith - Allowing Arozarena to score - 8–6 Rays is the final
19
33
219
Now imagine how well Soto would be doing if this were an OBP Derby
18
208
Top 10 leaders in total WAR.
11
74
221
A 60-game season deserves the ability for you to search for a player's best or worst 60-game span. And lo and behold, look what new tool is on FanGraphs: a leaderboard of 60-game spans (12 games for pitchers), dating back to 1974. Neat, huh? blogs.fangraphs.com/instagra…
8
56
209
Would Chris Hayes Get a Hit in a Full Season of Play? fangraphs.com/blogs/?p=26280…
17
63
180
Replying to @MalloryRubin
Mallory if you'd like we can turn the zeroes into O's, would that help
6
197
THE THING (1982):
4
16
201
Retweet this if you absolutely could not hit a major league fastball, fav this if you absolutely could not hit a major league fastball and would also cry as it goes by you
7
31
181