Figured it out, I think
Searchers are watching for new accounts to bridge to Base
Then they spam the chain with buys for those accounts' FT shares, trying to blindly land behind the new account whenever it buys
The wins outweigh the cost of reverts. Strat explained below.
Pretty amusing to see searchers figuring out every possible surface area to get an edge on Base live - took... 24 hours after the surge of activity for a mempool leakage to be discovered?