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Happy Friday!
In 1968, Virginia voters narrowly chose Richard Nixon for President. Like the rest of the South, sharp racial divides split the state's historically large Democratic electorate. Nixon had considerable support in the suburbs, medium-sized cities, and the Valley.
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Former Swedish prime minister Magdalena Anderssson campaigning for Kamala Harris in Wisconsin 👀
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In recent decades, Southwestern VA has experienced some of the most seismic political shifts anywhere in America. While Warner's '08 victory was a rare landslide, his support has completely eroded in this region.
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Here's a map of Virginia's dialects that I made. There are more micro variations of course, but I think this is generally a good representation of the type of accents you would come across if you were to talk to people from any of these areas.
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Six months later, I have the 1936 presidential election by precinct in Virginia!
Roosevelt won Virginia by more than any presidential candidate since the Civil War. Opposition was limited, coming only from parts of the Blue Ridge and German pockets in the Shenandoah Valley.
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After seriously considering retirement, Senator Tim Kaine ran for a third term, easily winning over Navy Captain Hung Cao. Kaine only outran Harris by 3, but substantially overperformed in rural sections. On December 2nd, Virginia's electoral board certified the election results.
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Mark Warner lives in old town Alexandria which is a 15 min drive to the Capitol
The easiest commute in Congress probably belongs to JIM JUSTICE.
The West Virginia senator flies every day on a private plane from Lewisburg, W. Va., to DCA
punchbowl.news/article/senat…
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The world's best counter strike player. Unmatched 1.34 rating in a whole year. #4 #8 #1 #2 hltv rankings & 9 mvps at age 22. The only player to make the goat team look bad. Hilarious, humble, unreal, and god tier player. Coming for the major and another top 1 in 2020. GOAT
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VA-07 was a bright spot for Dems on election night. The NRCC charged full steam ahead at this seat vacated by Abigail Spanberger, backing Green Beret, Derrick Anderson. However, the massive margins Prince William voters gave to Army Vet., Eugene Vindman were overwhelming.
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at the small price of 16 dollars a month
Time to learn some new nades!
- Trajectory Finder ✅
- Flash Tester ✅
- Damage Tester ✅
- Automatic Nade Finder ✅
& More!
Play.esea.net/Refrag
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Happy Friday!
In 2008, Virginia sent former gov. Mark Warner to the U.S. Senate over former gov. Jim Gilmore. Warner's victory was a monumental landslide, receiving support from every corner of the state. Unlike Gilmore, Warner was very popular after leaving Richmond.
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used to be urban (pic from 1957), then they knocked down all the neighborhoods for the hockey arena, knocked that one down, and now it's parking for the arena... pretty sad
the Anthony Bourdain doc on Pgh talks ab it
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On Tuesday, Democrat Suhas Subramanyam narrowly won Virginia's 10th CD by 4 points. This district was unexpectedly close. However, it was only 2 points closer than when Hung Cao unsuccessfully challenged Jennifer Wexton in 2022. Biden won this seat by 18, and McAuliffe by 2.
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except the only difference is that 45 cents saves 0 lives and 25million can save quite a lot of lives
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Over the last 30 years, Northern Virginia has exploded in population, causing massive political shifts. Emblematic of poor performance, GHW Bush lost this region by a fraction of a point in 1992. 30 years later, Joe Biden won the far more populous, diverse region 2-1 over Trump.
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In 2012 and 2018, Senator Sherrod Brown won re-election by roughly the same margins despite different coalitions. Consistent with a broader national trend, Brown lost ground in most rural areas while making gains in suburbs. The only exception was of course the Mahoning Valley.
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Happy Friday!
In 1960, Virginia chose Richard Nixon over John F. Kennedy by a majority of 42,000. Nixon swept the state's growing suburbs, Valley, and almost all independent cities. Working-class urban areas, blacks, and traditionally Democratic southside chose Kennedy.
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On Tuesday, Rep. Rob Wittman from Montross easily won re-election in VA-01. The district is comprised of the Northern Neck, Middle Peninusla, Williamsburg, and western Henrico/Chesterfield. A fast-growing district, Harris only lost it by roughly 5 points.
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In 2012, Senator Sherrod Brown won re-election against firebrand State Treasurer Josh Mandel. Brown won by half the margin he did in 2006, losing ground in many rural areas. Despite Mandel's prolific fundraising, Brown maintained a strong showing in this brutal contest.
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Here's a glimpse into the 1968 election in Virginia! Humphrey was popular in the Hampton Roads region, unlike the rest of Virginia. Black voters propelled Humphrey, while rural whites were nearly unanimous for Wallace. Nixon received support from wealthy suburbs.
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In 2011, Ohio Republicans made the mistake of passing a law that heavily limited collective bargaining abilities for public sector employees. Largely at the behest of organized labor, the law’s fate was put to a referendum, where voters resoundingly reject the law.
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A new Virginia poll from @MaryWash shows a tied presidential race among likely voters
Harris: 47%
Trump: 46%
Kaine: 49%
Cao: 43%
This was conducted before the debate*
umw.edu/news/2024/09/20/new-…
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In 1936, FDR easily captured the support of Northern Virginia voters. Area farmers and the more deeply rural communities were most supportive of FDR's re-election. Indicative of a different time, a measly 26,000 votes were cast in what was a heavy vote for the region.
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Haley might not do better anywhere in the country than Arlington. She took about 3/4 of the vote. Here's what that looks like:
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You are:
-15-25
-Decently intelligent, but a massive underachiever
-Racist to some degree
-Growing/grew up playing video games
-No GF atm and for most of you, never
-Currently horny
-Knowledgeable about computers to some degree
-An enjoyer of memes
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In the South, rural black population loss has become a problem for Democrats. In Southside Virginia, Democratic support has dwindled over the last decade. While not mapped, Obama won this region by 6.8% in 2012, marking an 18.6% swing to Republicans from then to 2024.
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In 1936, FDR received overwhelming support from Virginia Tidewater voters. While this was mostly deep Dem. country, the intensity of support was shocking to observers. Wealthier urbanites in Norfolk and Newport News were unusually strong for the New Deal.
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Deeply conservative SWVA is a vast region that makes up a little over a CD in population. The region has generally experienced a waning influence in statewide elections. However, its importance should not be overlooked. It is clear that the most effective campaigns do well here.
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One of the closest statewide elections in Virginia history was the 2005 Attorney General election. Del. Bob McDonnell won over Sen. Creigh Deeds by only 300 votes out of over the 1.9 million cast for the race. McConnell held strong in vote-rich, GOP-heavy suburbs.
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While she lost the state 2-1, Nikki Haley was the clear choice of Republicans in Fairfax and in other communities inside the Beltway. Trump did well in Clifton, Mount Vernon, and certain pockets (notably some high Hispanic) near Springfield and Annandale.
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This pic was taken in Elkhorn Wisconsin, but I think it's just that she was visiting some campaign offices while staying around for the convention. Most swedes in the US are in Minnesota, though
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if you're ever afraid to ask your crush out, just remember this guy plays like this in a match for a large amount of money
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In 1976, the Richmond area was strong for Gerald Ford. Henrico was both Ford's best and top vote-producing county in Virginia. Aside from always-Democratic Charles City, Carter was the last Dem to win the surrounding rural Prince George, Goochland, Amelia, and New Kent counties.
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In 1961, Virginia was growing fond of national Republicans. However, the Byrd Organization remained dominant, despite the implosion of massive resistance. Even so, Republicans lacked the party infrastructure to challenge Attorney Gen. Albertis Harrison, who became governor.
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The last time a majority of Virginia voters chose a Republican for President was in 2004 when George W. Bush carried the state by 8 points. However, this was the first time that Republicans failed to win Fairfax County since 1964, hinting at the future.
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Even for 1972, Richmond's voting was incredibly lopsided. Colonial Heights, Chesterfield, and Henrico were the top three for Nixon among all localities in Virginia. Despite the usual dissent from black voters, this was the most votes a Republican ever received in Richmond.
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Anchored in the Mahoning Valley, OH-13 drifted hard to the right in 2016. Trump had strong appeal here, perhaps because he spent his campaign lambasting free trade as the culprit for job loss in places like Warren, OH. However, Rep. Tim Ryan had been doing that for years.
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Yesterday, Braddock Dist. Supervisor James Walkinshaw easily cleared the Dem field for VA-11's special election. With estimated boundaries around the voting places, I mapped how voting went on Saturday. Walkinshaw faced hardly any opposition east of the Fairfax County Parkway.
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my goat list for all of cs love it or hate it it’s just my list
f0rest
Neo
Get_right
S1mple
Olofmeister
Coldzera
Device
KennyS
Fallen
Markeloff (maybe NiKo instead)
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In 2006, Bob Casey Jr. cruised to re-election as Pennsylvania's Auditor General. Key to his success was the Democratic machine in the once heavily unionized communities south of Pittsburgh. Once a stronghold for the party, Democratic support is now sparse in this district.
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In 1936, FDR was widely supported in the Norfolk area and its communities south into North Carolina. At the time, this region was extremely remote - comprised mainly of watermen and farmers. While a mix of black and white communities, black people could not vote in either state.
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As the Pittston Coal Strike ensued in 1989, UMWA local President Jackie Stump launched a write-in campaign that unseated 12-term Del. Donald McGlothlin in a 2-1 landslide. McGlothlins' son, a Russell County Circuit Court judge levied hefty fines against the union.🧵
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s1mple's stats over 12 maps of pro league are literally nuts, totally incomparable to the rest
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Pennsylvania Democrats have a stellar lineup of candidates from all across the state for the row office elections next year. One of which is Treasurer Candidate, Rep. Ryan Bizzarro from Erie. Bizzarro took nearly 2/3 of the vote in 2022 in a district that Biden only narrowly won.
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so at katowice...
-Navi looks amazing, could be better
-Astralis seem back
-fnatic is great
-G2 is playing way better than they should
-100t is ok but mouz was incredibly disappointing
-vitality is dysfunctional
-faze really didnt do that bad
-liquid👍
-eg and the others🥱💀
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In his 2014 re-election bid, Governor Kasich blew his weak Democratic opponent out of the water. Winning all but two counties, his commanding win in an Obama-won state built a credible case for his 2016 presidential candidacy.
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Happy 100th birthday to President Carter! Carter's deep faith and time as a peanut farmer worked well when seeking votes from Southerners. Despite losing Virginia, this persona was attractive to many in Virginia's Lower Tidewater area - home to the small peanut region here!
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While today's special elections were quiet and featured light voting amid a snowstorm, we see a continuation of 2024 trends. The wealthy white sections shifted majorly toward the Dem candidate while poorer, rural sections went Republican by about 3 to 1.
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In 2008, Roanoke native (now Del.) Sam Rasoul unsuccessfully challenged Rep. Bob Goodlatte in the deeply Republican VA-06. However, the Senate race saw former Gov. Mark Warner easily win the district vs former Gov. Jim Gilmore. This was the closest CD tally in that Senate race.
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Critical to Jimmy Carter's victory in 1976 was a narrow victory in Pennsylvania. The Wyoming Valley, home to Lackawanna & Luzerne Counties was key to the Democratic coalition. For the 1970s, this was a fairly average showing, yet good enough to hold steady.
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Two of the longest-serving Virginia legislators in recent history are Emmett Hanger and Creigh Deeds. In 1991, Deeds disrupted Hanger's career after a round of redistricting pushed Hanger into the unfavorable territory, west of the Valley. Both men dominated in their home county.
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Even if Virginia were to be close, this is probably the ceiling for Trump. There is no way he can overcome this lead. Places like Albemarle, Henrico, Chesterfield, & Stafford are not going to magically revert to their pre-Trump position, which is btw, not enough to win.
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