tradethematrix.net Blog content on topic of trading, financial markets and macro.

Blog up, still needs editing though. Traps, position sizing, tradewar, stocks, crypto, FX, futures covered with some examples. The rest half will put it up in next 30 days. tradethematrix.net #trading #smallcaps #forex #stocks

"A thousand days of training to develop, ten thousand days of training to polish. You must examine all this well." Miyamoto Musashi Searching for edge 1-3 years, on top of that you gotta practice each play 2 plus years before it becomes smooth. #trading

When market is slow they complain there is nothing to trade. When it's hot they complain how manipulated it is. Most of it comes from unwillingness to figure how to adapt well to both stages and not forcing same approach or expectation for both at once. #trading #smallcaps

Type 1, one of the key patterns to learn for #smallcaps game. To time the short well you gotta pay attention to liquidity of asset, the cycle it is in, and especially using recent Type 1s on other tickers as guide on when the asset might top out (outlined on blog).

Rigged #smallcap #stocks, part four - blog article. The mechanics of behavior used to produce short squeezes, fake breakouts and deep fades after the initiator is done. tradethematrix.net/post/rigg…

Overhead supply, often misunderstood concept in #smallcaps. High volume "resistance" is not obstacle to price if the float is small and ticker has float rotated at lower prices already, no matter how much volume it traded above at resistance. Float-volume relationship. #trading

Personal flagship play in the playbook, distribution, especially on nano float tickers (5+R play on average). Shorting the weakness just before the floor gives up. #smallcaps

tradethematrix.net/post/rig-… Long-ass blog post about rigged #smallcaps #stocks, 2025 edition. Discussing multiple subjects and trap techniques how we are getting played at as retailers on daily basis by the "price action painters". Took too long to write, never doing this again😅

#smallcap stocks, market cycles- blog article. tradethematrix.net/post/smal…

Multiday runners, blog article. Outlined different patterns and key behavioral variables to pay attention to for better positioning both long and short on those setups. tradethematrix.net/post/smal… #SmallCaps #trading

#smallcaps market makers use one particular trick on high frequency: Display price action to be most aggressive around key HOD or LOD level. -Biggest squeeze candle into HOD clearout. -Biggest flush candle into LOD clearout. Especially if structure is consolidated for an hour or more, when enough of retail liquidity came in after a while, they will often run this trick. Flush aggressive into LOD so they shake out competitive demand. Squeeze aggressive into HOD so they shake out competitive shorts (if they want to dump the ticker). This trick is effective against traders who are OTM (red) on position and lack accuracy. If you use tight stops and are timing winning trades often well, you arent affected by this. In reality every beginner trader will struggle with accuracy+timing. Practically, how did i change my trading approach to addresss this: -If i have good conviction for ticker to go higher, and the ticker flushes out hard under LOD, ill seek for long there. Other traders will be stopping out, but if upside is still actually valid-the market maker will be asborbing there. So ill long. Using tight stop, no wide stops. -If i think the ticker should be a short after HOD clearout, because it displayed before twice fake breakouts above HOD, then ideally i would want the biggest squeeze candle to be through HOD. Thats not a strength signal, but a trap signal more likely. Thats ideal to short into. Yes its adrenaline enticing and seems counter rational to short into that, but thats exactly how the trap should work to scare out shorts and lure in longs. Again with relatively tight stop. If you dont care about accuracy of your entries, then none of this will matter, because the trader they hunt for is the one that averages in without any concept on reading the "legs". So to avoid being liquidity hunted only applies if timing the move is also present. Which in reality what it means- to trade on the side of riggers. #trading #stocks

I'll repeat message (2022-24): -liquidity and ranges will shrink in #smallcaps -it will become more important to have good reads on tickers -many traders will give up due to difficulty increase Posted blog on that. 1. Diversify 2. Improve read skills (cycles, MMs) 3. Research...

Traps on manipulated #SmallCaps blog article part three. Some of the tricks that riggers use on daily basis outlined in the article. tradethematrix.net/post/trap…

Going trough plenty of struggle before you actually see the light at the other side of tunnel will give you a lot more appreciation long term, as you develop respect for the game and your own development. Overnight success is overpriced as you miss on both of those. #trading

Get rid of indicators, and train your eye from supply and demand perspective, to increase your accuracy on detecting the rotations when supply takes control from demand or vice versa. Dow Jones T plus supply and demand concepts used along replicated behavior as a method. #trading

Tracking cycles is the most helpful method in any market including #smallcaps. No indicator or single point reason will ever provide as much clues as cycles recognition can. Here are some tips on daily routines for tracking: #trading 1.

"Victory is reserved for those who are willing to pay its price." Sun Tzu The price you will pay to develop skills in this industry is high. At some point you have to realize it, else the quitting is due to come. #trading

11 years ago researching heavily into 9/11 got me started with all things rigged, entering the rabbit hole. Once you see it you cannot unsee it. The lesson you get: most things rigged are unseen for many because they take a lot of effort to connect the dots at expense of time.

“When your opponent is hurrying recklessly, you must act contrarily and keep calm. You must not be influenced by the opponent.” Miyamoto Musashi. Rigged tickers should always be traded calm and collected, annoyance and high pulse will get you taken by initiators lead.

If each time in your #trading journey you look 2 or 3 years back and can't believe what a naive or subpar individual you were, then you are doing something right. It means you are growing. The issue only begins when you think you have hit the holy grail already and know it all.

Spotting rigged behavior as early as possible is key to adjust your trading approach on that ticker early, before major losses set in. Practicing on spotting that first clue should be the way to develop read on that, using the right patterns (some outlined in blog). $CRVS etc...

Respect the market. Know what you dont know and where your current limits are. Eat every loss as your own and noone elses. Never spend time making fun of less experienced and their mistakes. Find those that know more all the time to humble you frequently. Repeat. #trading

If you quit for 6 months, recapitalize and come back you haven't done anything good. There was no experience or growth done meanwhile. You are stuck with same issue as before. If you are taking it seriously, instead of quitting you size down to near nothing. And then keep going, observing, learning, trading. And then recapitalize and size up after you have done some growth in between. But for many this is unacceptable, because you are performing activity that has guaranteed no payout over those months. So they go for route number 1 in most cases, which is near mathematically given a worse choice. So the only two right paths are when underperforming to the breaking point: 1. Full quit with no return. Ever. Or 2. No quit, scale down, head down and keep going light until ready. Being disconnected from markets and coming guns blazing after year is worst decision. Also dont ever listen to anyone suggesting you personally what to do. This should be your choice and noone else's, because nobody knows you as well (or honestly cares). #trading

Have this routine set for several years, every day the same. Saving each day: -naked charts, -market cycle conditions -execution charts -key global news on the day ...so that end of the month or end of the year things can be reviewed for patterns exploration vs specific market conditions. To put it this way: Saving market behaviors is far more important than your own performance notes or execution charts. So many traders are obsesed about "them". Its the market you have to pay dues to as priority focus before "you" comes into picture. Also if you are only saving charts of tickers but not specifying market conditions and doing EOD summary of how the market has been on the day-the saved charts might become useless. Because if you dont have context built for review later on you dont know what to measure it against. Thats why cyclical conditions need to be saved. And you need to optimize this routine as much as possible. Too much details in reviews and you wont end up using it as it will become noise. This is a bit 1999s style method, more modernized one would be just using something like Mural or other softwares for whiteboards where you can drop all the stuff for each day into. Either or. #smallcaps

Avoid looking at price trough straight lines, rather implement vision that looks trough eye of curves. Curves are much more common in markets than linear lines. Supply/demand roations usually happen under rounded rotation, not straight breaks-troughs. #trading

Expanding Matrix trading group by some additional spaces, if interested please send DM. -1 year of trading experience -have read through a portion of the blogs material -interest in smallcaps primarily but dont shy away from largecaps and crypto -interest in all things rigged

$AMAM was early avoidable short, but very impractical to know it ahead unless you have seen many strong cycles in small caps (4 years plus), because of key aspect: This pattern is rare. thread: 1.

Room to expand Matrix trading group with 10 additional fellow traders in early 2021 (small caps / large caps / crypto). DM if interested. -1+ year of trading experience preferred -interest in playbook outlined on blog -kindness and curiosity required Red pills are limited.

Type4 pattern dynamics- thread: Structure of type4 pattern is as outlined on image. The key to trading this pattern is recognizing that pattern is developing before it actually completes. By the point 2 or 3 trader should have idea what might be happening there. #smallcaps

$NIO best intraday play in equities over past few months +52R. High conviction play, as the minutes passed the conviction kept increasing. Was patient on covers, pressed into floor too. Added quick explanation from discussion why today might have been the day to hit the NIO.

Often the question is asked: "What should I do to fix particular #trading error in #smallcaps?". The question is typically framed from perspective of expecting static solution that is applied on daily basis to change strategy so that it works then over long run. It's wrong way to go about it because behaviors due to cycle changes change a lot in smallcaps on weekly basis. Ranges, behavioral traps, fade chances, all those subsets of behavior go through theme changes constantly. This is why traders who try to implement static solution that is suppose to work every day the same always keep returning to the same table and redoing their strategies from the ground up completely. They stay in same loop. Try it for few months, market changes and it no longer works, then redo strategy completely and try it again. Doesn't work...repeat. If you look at what traders are trying to do it's often the same underlaying issue. This is why I say do not try to build evergreen edges (which is what 80%+ of beginners will attempt). Build instead combination of different edges that are only suited for particular type of market. And then decide which one to use today. If you don't know how important the words said above are I don't know what else to say. I have said it before that edge randomization is done partially intentionally from side of market makers. That is how they randomize your edge as retail, through mixing up different liquidity conditions in market so that you are constantly tossed around like fish in the bucket. So that you cant find simple static solutions that can extract edge easily over decade or whatever time horizon. De-marginalizing strategies is what MMs have as aim. You need to counter what they are trying to achieve. Which is why the MMs will run every behavior subset to make sure everyone gets punished who is overly static. For example you can get away with shorting blind smaller size and just using 500% (10R) as stop loss on ticker (sounds ridiculous but some do it). You'll be fine. Until one week where every ticker goes more than 500% and you stack massive hole in equity. And every year they will make sure one or two such weeks do happen. Remember their aim is over yearly period to catch everyone on static side. Think of any strategy out there, the goal of MM (liquidity hunting MMs) is to reverse engineer where the failure point of that strategy is that leads to liquidiation over 100 of bad mistakes. And then running behavior that achieves just that. This is why using adaptive strategy based on current ticker range averages, liquidity trap versions and cycle flows is the way to go. There is a day to short HOD swipes and there is a day to not do that because theme in behavior and range % have changed. Remember it's not random. As market maker you don't want to on repeat basis for entire year keep squeezing every ticker the same, with same topping result. As that's what gives static approaches easy way to thrive. That's how retail orderflow becomes then competitive and problem for MMs. So to combat that what they do is introduce behavioral dynamics that messes up traders over long run.

Goal 1: find pattern. Goal 2: find when not to trade it. Large chunk of #traders doesn't define 2 hence noisy and disappointing performance later. Selectivity is defined through "do-not" section of edge. Most patterns are highly cyclical (work well only in X market condotions).

The longer you keep coming at it, the more chance you have to figure it out, as long as you listen to mistakes made. Which is why high tolerance for failure is massive advantage for #entrepreneurs, along with no ego to seeks outside answers for right adjustment. #trading

Edge can be summarized with: If I do this over 100 samples do I get away with it? Yes-edge No-no edge. Regardless whether it's statistical, psychological, price or any other behavior the question framed is the same. #trading

If trader (short seller) is complaining that there is nothing to trade in past few days of weaker market it means his/her trading approach is not calibrated for such cycle correctly. In weak cycle you gotta attack earlier and lower expectations on how big pop you need. #smallcaps

2019 data count for #smallcaps #stocks first day gappers, mostly biotechs (all plays from past year) . Variables/patterns: -dry liquidity pattern by 11 AM -strong liquidity pattern by 11 AM -backside recycling -early topping in 15 minutes -ADF (all day fade) -HOD reclaim

What is patience? "The ability to wait for a long time without becoming annoyed or upset." "The ability to give attention to something for a long time without becoming bored or losing interest." Both of those versions are needed to get to the other side (3 plus years) #trading

One of the major reasons why I don't use Bookmap or some other level 3 tools is because the whole idea of looking at large offers or bids from and black-and-white perspective of resistance/support is completely misleading when component of "magnet" is dismissed. Beginners in #trading education are taught: If you see a large offer think of resistance. If you see large bid think of support. Thats oversimplification due to magnet effect not being accounted for. And that resistance/support in itself is one of the main selling points of many fancy order flow tools like Bookmap, footprints, deltas, and whatnot. "You'll see big orders in advance clearer and see where sellers will block the price" is what you are told on much of educational content. Let's break down this concept in two ways: -Large offers on the ladder can represent resistance. -Large offers on the ladder can represent magnet (a great opportunity for large participants to buy more and increase inventory size). Because that might be their best chance to fill bigger positions if at no other price levels, large offers were participating. So that large offer....becomes a magnet. Not a resistance, but something that large participant wants to squeeze the price into to fill more longs. Which totally negates the "resistance" viewpoint and flips it upside down. If you have no idea on what the agenda of particular ticker might be, or whats possible on today's ticker, then large bids or offers around near current price levels will barely provide any insight. They will provide much more likely distraction and noise. At least on average, obviously exceptions apply always from time to time. Large institutions or rigging market makers sometimes deal with dry instruments. And they wait like hawks until someone shows up with large offers or bids, in which case they might feel the need to "drive the price" to that level where that big offer or bid is sitting just to "eat it up". This makes the entire prospect of a large offer on the ladder in such cases not resistance component (the price should shy away from trading into it) and becoming a magnet instead (the price should be lured trading into it and then beyond). Once you understand above, you'll see that anyone who sells you an oversimplified view on orderflow tools and the visual magic they provide, is often explained through too easy to be true (that sells well) perspective. Because if they did hit you with whole truth, you would end up being more confused using the tool than not using one once you apply the component of magnetting. Thinking about large participants is about inventory repositioning, 100s of 1000s of shares for whoever controls the float/order flow on the ticker. You will often see that those huge order areas that were "not supposed to be broken" are swiped clean and the price doesnt even look back after doing it. Ask yourself, if i dont know what agenda of market maker/institution is, but i was trained to look at every large offer on my fancy order flow tool (or level 2 for that matter) as resistance, yet it could equally be a liquidity magnet for large participants....then how do i know which one will be in play. This means...that knowing agenda will be a critical component and far more difficult task than to just have an eye out for those large orders. Because their agenda dictates how they see large liquidity stacks. You have probably heard the phrase "market constantly seeks liquidity". The prospect of "magnetting" applies to same principle and opens big gapping hole into concept of large offer-resistance. #smallcaps #stocks #forex

#Trading and self-worth on a red day, blog article. The struggle of deprived self-value which often comes when facing challenging performance or difficult market, especially for beginners outlined on article. #smallcaps #forex #stocks tradethematrix.net/post/trad…

Suffering, sacrifice, shame, doubt, worrying, questioning your ability, bad mood swings... What you sign up for as beginner #trader, without signing any such document disclosed in small print.

"How and why is ticker squeezing if nobody is short on it?" Common misconception in #smallcaps #trading short selling communities. From upcoming article on manipulations. Common beginner short seller will stop out above HOD. Common beginner long will start longing into strength above HOD. If you put yourself accurately into their shoes, youll understand how MMs can trigger Type1s squeezes on two different tickers with (1) ETB and low demand or (2) restricted-to-short but high in demand tickers. One of the most important concepts in SCs to roll with no doubt.

Riggers do not replicate exactly same behavior back to back, even on the same ticker? Think again. Example of $SGOC Friday and today. Which is why following the theme is valuable as it can ready you for potential likely scenarios ahead.

Let me give you outline why I trade fulltime daily #smallcaps and why "training" aspect is huge component. Why dedicating 5h or more and obsessively trying to be close to market changes on daily basis. 1.

My go to dynamic strat I have been using for years in #trading #smallcaps: In strong market deploy strat for longing smallcaps. In weak market deploy strat for shorting. Strong/weak defined by recent performances of tickers. By seeking for longs mostly (little to no shorts) in strong markets you decrease chances of getting caught in black swan significantly. Yes you do also pass on some good faders as collateral damage but survival is more important over long run. "Why are you so long biased in strong cycles of SCs?" That's one of reasons. It's preventive measure, plus longing in strong cycles is very enjoyable trading. Unlike shorting which becomes frustrating because things stretch more than you think. Stress reduction number 2 factor. -Aim for low % gappers as early longs in strong market to avoid getting bagged or caught in large collapses which happen when ticker is stretched. -Aim for higher % gappers as shorts in weak markets because demand will be unable to sustain them most likely. Those two rules completely inverse when market conditions change. So gotta be on your toes. In theory people think you should be much more bearish in strong markets as faders have much more meat. That's in theory. There is tons of side effects brought by doing this. If you develop good long strat there is 0 reasons to be forced into shorting strong market. Be nimble and watch ALL smallcap tickers in play, every day. No single ticker focus. SC flows are somewhat correlated (especially liquid tickers) and sometimes everything tanks or squeezes together and any other ticker that is left up will soon be dragged down. You want to know what all tickers are doing at all times to measure the "health of flows". And no you don't need 15 screens to do that, single can do. Be flexible, especially in strong markets. Never walk into trading day with fixed expectation in strong cycle. Variations of behaviors are much greater than in cold markets. The more liquidity there is the more possibilities and the more sensitivity. In weak markets however...I do often deploy rhino approach. Shorts and zombie mode. As frame of reference we didn't get much days of textbook weak market of SCs in 2024. Smallcap cycles never invert without broad markets inverting first. Track broad markets every day. Smallcaps aren't random. Full week of strong squeezing smallcaps won't happen if broad markets aren't in solid risk-ON, with IWM index ramping upwards. Remember every day what tickers did prior day. Very important. Possibly THE most important rule. Smallcaps tend to repeat certain behaviors few times in a row but only on specific tickers. Often flows are consistently downticking or upticking daily. Rarely flows go from super strong to collapse to very strong to collapse on day to day basis. There is somewhat of order on week to week basis. Memorizing well prior tickers gives you context of where things are. Are we squeezing in AH? Are we fading fast from gates open? Etc... Aim for large runners when broad markets are very strong on long side. Do not create strong bull targets from just company fillings or news PR research. Without strong market supporting it it's highly unlikely to become big runner, regardless of how good PR is or earnings or what not. High frequency of 500%+ runners in SCs has very high correlation to strong risk-ON score of broad markets. Adjusting targets on tickers per cycle flows is best way to go. Strong market-wider target on upside. Strong market-smaller fade targets if short. Weak markets-conservative small target for long and get out fast. Weak market if short-aim deep. Cycle/flows dictates where target should go. I have been using and researching float/news/sector/etc as targets and cycle flows outperform by significant margin any of other reasons (less noise). This is very dynamic strat as above suggests and requires a lot of practice. Can't be executed well unless you practice it for good amount of time.

Market is slow is just an easy way out excuse. 4 plays today, all cumulative at 20R delivery if executed well. If one is unable to execute in slow market it means your playbook needs a work and expansion. Make sure to know that straight away to start fixing it. #smallcap #trading

If you are short every single day, every ticker and sized you will need to develop good read on cycle flows to avoid heavy losses when strong cycle swipes in. Watching many traders over years this is pattern that happens due to over-exposure: #smallcaps #trading Thread: 1.

Wishing all poor souls who read walls of text from this acc frequently a happy new year and all the best for 2024 🥳

"A river cuts through rock, not because of its power, but because of its persistence." The longer you persist the more you will nibble trough the rock, behind which the edge might be at your reach. Its about breaking down the unknown, into known. #trading

Example of when many years of macro research and experience all come together to set the right expectation and nail it both directions with solid accuracy. Many things have to click just the right way. $SPY #FOMC ping pong long then short.

$NSRN / $LLL replication of parabolic with #type1 into HOD clearout.

Goal 1: Learn which tickers are likely to give clearout setups to spot ahead setup. Goal 2: learn how to long them. Goal 3: figure out how to short the play. Goal 4: figure out both ways to ping pong them. #smallcaps

$PPSI H.C.W vulture riggers pulled the same replay of OPGN from 2019, that one still in my memory helped to navigate most of the entries on PPSI. Hence why pointed out both of those in last 2 hours to expect the same. Eye to eye rigs, beauty, same liquidity, Type 1, etc... +20R

Pick a game you wish to excell at and stick to it for 10 years. Be curious. Someone always knows something you dont yet, so dont downtalk anyone. Most ideas have good starting points but to mold them into useable case you need to dig deeper than most do. #trading

Technical analysis books in theory, versus on-the-ground reality of riggers working against the common knowledge to trap the #traders. Not always the case obviously but frequently enough to make difference without the doubt. #trading #smallcaps

Every #trader should have 1 approach for cold (last 30 days) and 1 for hot (January) #smallcap market. Identifying the cycle shift is required to know when to flip the method, just as much as it is to develop such 2 approaches. Else idle time with complaining is guaranteed.

Using ONLY volume is very poor and noisy defining factor for potential on sustained squeeze in #smallcaps. Many tickers will trade high volumes like $MITQ but still completely flop soon after that. To define chances better, one needs external additional conditions. Context is👑

$REV clean reads, got very sweaty in first hour due to all the type4 action but thats good sign typically. Ping ponged some good longs and some shorts too. Good trap deployment from MMs and use of playbook on this one.

Year and half later WSB "pumping" is nearly forgotten. Their superpower gone, why? Because there was none to begin with. Lush liquidity cycle combined with strong market makers is what created the movements in first place. I tried to explain it in 20/21 but most did not listen.

Replication of last theme #Type1 w HH LL rotation and demand breach. Adding to short into demand weakness anticipating breach,after $BTCS confirmed likely theme in progress for $DATS/ $EVTL Theme is the ultimate guide for asset behavior but not many assets will follow theme.

Fastest growing #traders : -ask questions all the time -question their own performance first before they judge the markets behavior -humble (downplay winners) -multiple sources of learning material not just one -non judgmental -seek improvements daily -honest about their losses

Shorting HOD clearouts above pre market highs has been my go-to strat for #trading #smallcaps over years. I dont short under highs almost ever, always above where most other shorts would be stopping out due to nature of how MMs trap those tickers. But with that said the strat has its major downside that it needs great read on "market flows" aka adjust on daily basis. For example, there is a week or two when this pattern will perform great. And then there are two weeks after that where it wont. Where many tickers: A: Dont push to swipe HOD at all, so you get left out of entry B: They swipe way above HOD before they top out, considering a fail on pattern The market makers constantly switch the performance of this "sub-pattern" on weekly basis and the pattern closely follows market flow changes. But there is just enough room to extract edge usually within a single week before the behavior switches. I have adjusted over years with this tweaks as a must to implement: A: Dont bother in strong cycle, especially earlier into cycle. Too many tickers will swipe way above HODs creating losses. Just dont. You need to recognize when such market might be present. B: Closely track tickers behaviors. If you have last 2 days where 50%+ tickers did swipe HOD and had good fade that is THE market to be using this strat. Always bent towards latest-current performance. As soon as last two days data falls out heavily, adjust or stop executing but this only applies if there is excess momentum (strong cycle). No need to apply such change in weaker flows. As always executing any strat over long run is all about IFs, BUTs, Donts, details. Drawing chart and HOD level is easy but nowhere near end-all. Some tickers from last 2 trading sessions as examples of when you have good fading market on the back-end of strong cycle as last two sessions were, this strat can perform good. Those will be usually highest RR spots to get involved in short on common basis. More about that on next blog article.

Last expanding of the Matrix trading group by 10-15 fellow traders, if interested send DM. -reader of blog material -1 plus year trading exp -still a soft metal ready to be molten (willing to adjust to new playbook and contribute actively) -small/large cap/macro curiosity

Happy new bagholding year everyone. May you get bailed out of all your longs next year 🍺🍾

Follow the theme. Once same behavior starts to occur on #smallcaps tickers back to back in span of two weeks, chances are market is shifting (especially if there was counter peak behavior present before).Adapting to new theme asap instead of forcing it cuts some losses. #trading

If you know whats going on behind rigged behaviors and building of the inventory, they repeated same type4 trick 5 times yday. Played it on long side in all 5 samples because of it $MLGO #smallcaps. Spotting early clue is always the most important to define "ticker is rigged".

$MLGO high conviction play with theme guide, using BIAF and SNOA as theme reference on both longs and shorts.

Another extract from upcoming article about why we see over past years so much more manipulations and huge % squeezes. Easy shorting access for riggers allows them to squeeze things beyond normal and hedge short before they decide to pull the plug. #Smallcaps

The wider your playbook is and the more you seek to expand your trading approaches the less you will even notice the changes in the market over time or find excuse to complain about it. Diversification is great to increase adaptivity. There is always a way out there. #trading

Very frequent question: What data i should track for #smallcap? Writing long article on the topic. Highly confusing for many, since they get non-conclusive results (mixed) across large sample of tickers and its no wonder why since they get mislead by too generalized examples.

Nothing in #trading is static. Example of basic approach to shorting backside squeezes, and how often what should happen does not (and the opposite follows). Nothing is set in stone, and trickiest part can be adapting to behavior that makes no sense in context of pattern.

The reason why I enjoy posting forward insights on tickers is because there are no hiding spots. People can see how good or bad your reads are over time. P/L and executions can be cherry picked, I have seen it all. Also there is not much in it for me seeing other trader posting PL or executions as experienced trader. I do however still find value in insights or forward analysis from someone who gets it at least 50% plus right with decent RR. Posting forward analysis with good accuracy is actually harder than posting great trades executions or green PL days. Don't believe me, try it out. For me this X twitter thing its all about value and personal challenge to grow better on reads.

How bottoms are formed in theory and how they are actually often formed instead. #trading

Some rough guide on how target estimations on fades are done, if ticker is potential replication for higher conviction guide. $SNAX (3,75) / $NXTD -cycle flows -pattern replication -structural fade target (statistics) -external vars The rest will be explained on blog article.

Emotional spiral-coaster, let's address some of core functions that impact and create higher chance of being influenced or triggered by emotional spiral in #trading. Using tons of my own past situations and other fellas as observation material over past years.

Many mistakes just can't be effectively passed as lessons to others because that other person has to walk certain path before the lesson can even be absorbed and taken at it's significance. If that wasn't true society would have been massively efficient by now. #trading

One of my earlier research topics in #trading #smallcaps was to gather tons of consolidated structures, and then isolate only squeezing versions, and find out in how many (A) support is shaken out first before the squeeze happens, and in how many cases there is (B) clean squeeze with support staying untouched. The results in hot market were very elevated to the clearout+reclaim version. It totally makes sense. In hot market the rigger will have more demand competition. So they shake out everyone from the train before squeezing to intended price. Why was this research critical for my view of markets? Because we (semi bulls) are inclined to think that every consolidation in hot market should by default go cleanly higher into breakout. Stats will tell you (and agenda reasons) that you should equally if not more expect dirtier version of delivery if anything. $GPUS: demand clearout and then squeeze $ITP: clean squeeze $ASST: demand clearout and then squeeze ....

Be relentless in learning and experimenting, every day, no exceptions. The compounding effect of knowledge expansion and playbook expansion takes time to show the results, but once it does youll know the value. Keep stretching that finish line. #trading

Staying glued to ticker when in active position minute to minute without good use of attention distribution is costing you large amounts of resource burn (mental capital) without you even knowing. Optimize your routine, else your game performance drops on low battery. #trading

All-day-faders have specific behavior present in first 30 minutes of market open on average. Study that time window and what you need to look for, to spot them better live next time. Volume, PA structure, level failure, PM gap fade, stuffed move, etc. Be detailed. #smallcaps

HOD and LOD levels on charts are often liquidation levels. Don't think about them as resistances and supports but rather liquidation levels. That's where big chunk of stop losses for that asset on the day will sit. And if price comes near that level it's likely it will swipe through because MMs will hunt that liquidity (and "support" component gets removed since it gets breached too often in such case). LOD level is where the last line of defense in eyes of bulls is. So stops will be there often. HOD is where for short sellers last line of resistance might be so many stops will sit there. Whenever the price comes close to those levels it often likes to poke through just to swipe that liquidity out. If you understand that procedure you should rethink how and when to set stops around those levels and why/when to get back into trade if stopped out and price is now reclaiming the LOD/HOD level. Focus research study on how price reacts around those levels on consolidated instruments intraday. You just might get eye opening lesson. Swipe LOD, shake out stops, followed by reclaim back up and a bounce following. Not uncommon to happen. And vice versa for HOD. #trading #stocks #smallcaps

Reacting to losses well is a skill (not being defensive or angry etc), you have to work on it, so you don't suffer the consequences of overreacting. As gamer have seen tons of repetitions where player can't handle loss well and sours his performance even more. #trading

Behavior change should be the way on interpreting the supply and demand shifts in the market. Too many focus on drawing lines, forcing the symmetry on market where there is no mathematical symmetry on price, but there is a behavioral symmetry to it. Re-train your eye. #trading

I give up. Trying to tell experienced traders for years that MMs (firms) are the ones doing the lifting of tickers and yet question always repeats: "Hey so who is buying those Chinese/HK stocks, who would be crazy enough to buy and push them? Chinese girls on Twitter?". 1.

Biggest risk to smallcap #trader on rigged tickers: -boredom -weak state of mind Riggers are there to pray upon shaking the weak mindset at whipsaws and boredom drives over-action by self-destructive behavior. Sharpness and playbook depth as priority, else the trap deepens.

Slow market is good time to expand your side projects and work on historical research. When market takes control away from you, take it back by controlling what you can. It strengthens your patience and makes you less proned to complaints (freq issue). #smallcaps #trading

$BBBY A grade play of the month, but two execution mistakes really shrunk the total gain on it. The read was on point however, anticipated paraboler ahead got some on long, and top was highly likely to come but didnt position for swing on it (only some options).

Being too setup oriented will make you miss large meat on the bone if only taking single in/out entry and exit on ticker. Being too ticker/bias oriented with no setup can get you over-exposed to errors and sailing blind. Use hybrid approach and strike the balance. #trading

$AMZN earnings play.

Less is more, but you need more first before less gets properly applied. Which is why exploration and lots of learning/experimenting should be done early, even if experienced fella tells you to cut on the amount of info or strategies you are using. #trading

If you are beginner in #smallcaps first thing you should do is remove news from any trade idea formation. In fact reduce time you spend reading smallcap news by half+ and spend that time elsewhere. Besides a lot of things move on no PR at all. Prioritize well.

Elliott wave and Fibonacci extension accuracy level per 100 samples: #trading

$BWV done and done. Sold long into clearout, shorted and going for deep fade-swing now. Perhaps the strangest comments on this ticker are some calling it "crazy" or "weird"moves. There was no other ticker that signaled moves more cleanly than this one. The most opposite of crazy.

$EYES Black swan play. Enjoyable and challenging at same time. Kept losses very tight, and went for deep fades once A grade paraboler was in and recycling backside. Key was to watch for rotations, as those indicated where the squeeze was likely to start each time. 25R

Instead of P/L goals, make it your goal to have a play/trade on each #smallcap ticker every day. If you achieve that in few years you have mastered the game making it very smooth and consistent regardless of cycles.

Some basic concepts on how to use time and structures in #stocks to determine short squeezes and potential dumps after them. Time is one of the most under-rated components when it comes to trading of #Smallcaps, it plays major role on behavior, additional to liquidity. $GENE trap

"The markets are made for large players to screw over retail traders". Not true, the retail trader screws him/herself up by underestimating the difficulty of game in first place (lack of research, experience etc). The rest is just reactionary consequence. #trading

Most #smallcaps do not reverse split after being recent multiday runners. Typical R/S goes like BIMI, nothing going on month prior to the split. $COSM had a lot of swing carry positions at the tail end of multiday runner adjusted into split. Exploration opp for MMs. 1.