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After hearing the Aaron Rodgers news, Brett Favre was spotted throwing footballs at a local high school. He is expected to come out of retirement and start Sunday against the Chiefs.
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NFL player incentives thread for 2021 Week 18:
Ben Roethlisberger needs 20,474 passing yards in his final two games to become the all-time NFL Passing Yards leader.
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Whatta ya say we spin this wheel again? Got over $1,000 of prizes to give away! All ya gotta do is:
✅Retweet this tweet
✅Follow @RunTheSims
✅Comment with your favorite late round QB
We'll pick a winner Tuesday night!
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FOLLOW @RunTheSims & RT FOR A CHANCE TO SPIN THE PRIZE WHEEL SUNDAY NIGHT!
- Run The Sims subscriptions (up to $249)
- Fantasy Headliners draft guides (worth $20)
- Underdog BBM2 Tickets (worth $25)
- PrizePicks Entries (worth $25)
- DraftKings Entries (up to $100)
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DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM are all having issues this morning that are preventing users from placing bets.
How are we supposed to bet on Olympic Equestrian Dressage?!
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If a sportsbook is enticing you to place a 5-leg Same Game Parlay on their front page with a 🔥 symbol on it, run away from that bet.
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HOLD UP: What is Hold and How to Calculate It in Sports Betting
The hold is the percentage of every dollar bet on a particular game/market that the sportsbook intends to make as a profit.
So if a game is (-110) on both sides, it's a standard hold of 4.6%.
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We are happy to showcase our new F1 DFS tools! We are making this completely free for Bahrain GP and have an exciting feature coming next week! Just sign in with a free account. runthesims.com/formula-1/lin…
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🔥Let's fire up the ol' wheel!🔥
HOW TO ENTER:
✅Retweet this tweet
✅Follow @RunTheSims
✅Tag a friend
One of you will get to spin for a prize. Additionally, you and your tagged friend will each win a $25 entry on @PrizePicks
Winner picked Wednesday night!
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Having trouble getting a conversation going with your family? Play a rousing game of NFL player or IKEA furniture? Can your uncle go 10 for 10? There are 5 of each.
1. Docksta
2. Kmet
3. Igwebuike
4. Expedit
5. Firkser
6. Linnmon
7. Markus
8. Zylstra
9. Skowronek
10. Ringhult
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Our NFL tools are completely FREE through the Super Bowl. There is no better place to build showdown lineups, including in-game showdown!
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Justin moving from football season to F1 season.
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💰💰 RICE!! 💰💰
My fav 1st TD bets by game by @RunTheSims:
9:30
MIA @ KC - Rashee Rice +1600 DK/MGM 2.6% edge
1:00
MIN @ ATL - Jordan Addison +1500 FD 3.3% edge (yes this is with Jaran Hall at QB)
SEA @ BAL - Geno Smith +5500 FD 1.8% edge (bet small as the odds would indicate)
ARI @ CLE - Clayton Tune +3500 DK 2.9% edge (5 rushing TDs as a senior in college)
LAR @ GB - Darrell Henderson +950 DK 4.9% edge
TB @ HOU - Tank Dell +1300 FD 3.0% edge
WAS @ NE - Tyquan Thornton +4500 DK 2.1% edge
CHI @ NO - DJ Moore +1300 DK 1.9% edge
4:00
IND @ CAR - Zack Moss +1100 MGM 2.3% edge
NYG @ LV - Aidan O'Connell +4000 MGM 1.6% edge
DAL @ PHI - AJ Brown +750 MGM 0.6% edge
8:20
BUF @ CIN - Josh Allen +1200 DK 0.8% edge
MONDAY NIGHT
LAC @ NYJ - Derius Davis +3300 MGM 1.0% edge
Keep in mind to expect a long time horizon on profitability betting volatile long-shot markets like these. Always be sure to line shop for the best available odds that you have access to. We have made that pretty simple and access is as little as $13/week! runthesims.com/subscribe
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Cam Newton has signed with the Carolina Panthers. I photoshopped what Cam will look like in a Panthers uniform.
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Sorry, @billburr, but this @BetMGM parlay is a must-avoid.
On @FDSportsbook, you can do a Same Game Parlay WITHOUT even needing the Brady passing TDs, and it's a better price.
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Run The Sims is being rebranded as Run The Gut.
Each projection will be made by going with our gut 10,000 times.
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The time is upon us! Monthly and weekly packages are now available for spring football aficionados. Packages include access to optimizer, simulator, pick'em tools, and more! One package covers DFS tools for both XFL and USFL.
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Wow... launch day 🚀went better than expected. We are gonna need to grow our team! If you are interested in working in a startup fantasy space in any of the following areas, send a letter of interest and any relevant samples to Justin@RunTheSims.com
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He's a man with many aliases but The King of YouTube Thumbnails (@peteroverzet) dropped a new episode of LoLz this week.
runthesims.com/lolz-pga-dfs-…
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🚨 CMC 🚨
⚙️ Christian McCaffrey is currently our Top Overall Play for DraftKings Main with a 19.6% Optimal Rate based on 2,000 Simulations!
🎉 Use promo code SOCIAL for 5% off access to 10,000 Main Slate Simulations!
👉 runthesims.com/subscribe/
#FTTB
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DraftKings Sportsbook has posted some player props for TNF.
Antonio Brown rec yards:
OVER 49.5 (-115)
UNDER 49.5 (-115)
Our Player Props tool likes the under.
Sign up for a free 7-day trial today to get the Player Props tool and so much more: runthesims.com/subscribe/
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Tonight's winner is @ChrisDiggins... Congrats Chris!
Let's see what the prize wheel has in store 👇
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🚨 RTS IS FREE THIS WEEK 🚨
🔓 Create a FREE account and unlock access to our DFS & Prop Betting Tools for Super Bowl LVIII!
👇 DETAILS BELOW 👇
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🏃♂️RUN THE SIMS🏃♀️newsletter just dropped! What's inside?
📰Player news
📺Content from @ThePME and @FntsyHeadliners
🔧Tutorials for our new tools
sh1.sendinblue.com/v1pmejayd…
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Right now, millions of dads across the nation are trying to figure out how Labor Day affects their neighborhood trash pickup schedule.
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💰 BIG WINS for RTS Subs last night on FanDuel & DraftKings!
📝 Now time to prepare for a BIG Sunday!
🎉 Use promo code SOCIAL for 5% off a Season, Monthly or Weekly subscription!
👉 runthesims.com/subscribe/
#NYGiants
#FTTB
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RTS takeover of the showdown leaderboard is our new fav tradition. Congrats @FurbyHoobler !
We did a deep dive earlier in the week in the @RunTheSims discord on how Franklin III could have a bigger role if Emmons was out.
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EV CALCULATOR
The New York Giants are (+145) to defeat the Denver Broncos this Sunday on DraftKings Sportsbook.
ESPN gives the Giants a 53% win probability.
Using our EV Calculator, this $100 bet would return an average of $29.85.
runthesims.com/wagers/ev-cal…
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Don't let Justin fool you. Here are the 7 books that he read.
Since January - down 25 lbs - read 7 books - am back on track to get my doctorate - and have been absolutely obsessed with development at @RunTheSims - trying to be much more intentional about being the person I want to be, living the life I want to live. 🙏
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#DUUUVAL vs #RuleTheJungle tonight. Prepare for the Showdown slate with Run The Sims.
runthesims.com/nfl/premium/d…
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You have to eliminate one food item from your Thanksgiving feast. Which one of these traditional plates are you throwing in the trash?
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Never fear! We can make this right, D.P.B. DM us your email address and we will be in touch.
When you finally pull the trigger on the @RunTheSims subscription and then get the @ThePME discount code 3 hours later.
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🚨 DET vs GB 🚨
⚙️ Jahmyr Gibbs (pending Montgomery news) is currently our Top CPT with an Optimal Rate of 23.4% based on 10,000 Simulations!
🏈 Want up to 50,000 DK Showdown Simulations?
👇
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🎵I'm ridin' spinners, they don't stop.🎵
HOW TO ENTER:
✅Retweet this tweet
✅Follow @RunTheSims
✅Tag a friend
One of you will get to spin for a prize. Additionally, you and your tagged friend will each win a $25 entry on @PrizePicks
Winner picked Thursday night!
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This week's winner is @ScottSt1963
- and it is time to SPIN!
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What happens when amazing tools meet brilliant content? 🤝A match made in heaven. Be sure to sub to the @4for4football YouTube page for USFL and Formula-1 shows featuring @RunTheSims data! piped.video/4for4football
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🏈 Rostering Justin Jefferson on DraftKings tomorrow?
⚙️ He's currently our Top WR with a 17.4% Optimal Rate based on 2,000 Simulations!
🎉 Use promo code SOCIAL for 5% off a Season, Monthly or Weekly subscription!
👉 runthesims.com/subscribe/
#SKOL
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Our Player Props tool is dropping on Sunday! Here is a preview of what it will look like.
Choose an offensive player. Choose your prop. Set the juice on each side. Our tool will use 10,000 simulations to help you make the best bet.
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All of our premium tools are free through Sunday.
Here's our Player Props Tool for Cam Akers Rushing+Receiving Yards. The total on @DKSportsbook is 82.5.
OVER (-120)
UNDER (-110)
We like the UNDER. Try any BIG GAME prop here for FREE: runthesims.com/nfl/premium/p…
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Ben Roethlisberger is playing his final game at Heinz Field tonight. We project Big Ben to rush for UNDER 100 yards!
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Our new tools for subscribers have launched! Check them out 👇
sh1.sendinblue.com/v1czajayd…
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🏃Here is this week's Run The Sims newsletter.🏃♀️
- Player News
- How to join our Discord
- Content from @ThePME and @FntsyHeadliners
sh1.sendinblue.com/v2rjqjayd…
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👀🆓📈
@RunTheSims is doing great stuff. Not affiliated w/ them but really enjoying messing around with the Projections. It's also free right now!
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Check out this 🧵
Can't imagine heading into showdown SZN without a @RunTheSims subscription (use code JFREE for 10% off) - run your own sims and get custom results!
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.@unibet is offering an "Odds Boost" on Josh Allen to win MVP at +935.
Here are his MVP odds elsewhere:
@DKSportsbook +1200
@FDSportsbook +1300
@BetMGM +1200
@FOXBet +1100
Just because it's labeled an Odds Boost does not mean it's a smart bet.
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We spent many sleepless nights and skipped important family moments to bring you the tools to bet on Ray-Ray McCloud Receptions props.
@DKSportsbook has McCloud Receptions set at 1.5.
O 1.5 (+126)
U 1.5 (-162)
Our Player Props tool likes the over! runthesims.com/nfl/premium/p…
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NO HOLD
There are two Week 1 games with a synthetic hold of zero.
DK: NYG +140
MGM: DEN -140
DK: HOU +140
MGM: JAX -140
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🚨 SEASON OPENER SPECIAL 🚨
🏈 DET vs KC kicks off next Thursday!
🎉 Access RTS Premium NFL Tools with a FREE account for this game only!
NEW SHOWDOWN SIMULATOR
✅ 50,000 Simulations
✅ Advanced Filters
✅ Dupe Predictor
👉 runthesims.com/subscribe/
#OnePride
#ChiefsKingdom
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Matt Ryan pass completions (arbitrage opportunity)
OVER 23.5 (-130) FanDuel Sportsbook
UNDER 23.5 (+140) BetMGM
Our Player Props tool likes the OVER, even at (-130).
runthesims.com/nfl/premium/p…
You could arb it for a small gain instead.
runthesims.com/wagers/hedge-…
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Have a day @JustinFreeman18!
Also congrats to other RTS subs who had a profitable USFL weekend!
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🚨 SEASON OPENER SPECIAL 🚨
🏈 DET vs KC kicks off this Thursday!
🎉 Access RTS Premium NFL Tools with a FREE account for this game only!
NEW SHOWDOWN SIMULATOR
✅ 50,000 Simulations
✅ Advanced Filters
✅ Dupe Predictor
👉 runthesims.com/
#OnePride
#ChiefsKingdom
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Prices at @RunTheSims go up TOMORROW! Get in on a $249 season pass at runthesims.com/subscribe and get access to:
- Simulator (run your own sims)
- Optimizer (build your own lineups)
- Player Prop Tool (find EV)
- Range Finder (compare lineups & players)
-More!
Subscribe TODAY!
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🚨 CHI vs WAS 🚨
👀 First look at 10,000 DK Showdown Simulations before data is finalized tomorrow!
🎉 Use promo code SOCIAL for 5% off a Season, Monthly or Weekly subscription!
👉 runthesims.com/subscribe/
#DaBears
#HTTC
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🏈 Rostering Patrick Mahomes at CPT on DraftKings tomorrow night?
⚙️ Based on 10,000 simulations, he's our Optimal CPT 41.5% of the time!
🏎️ Test drive RTS Premium NFL Tools with a FREE account for DET vs KC only!
👉 runthesims.com/subscribe/
#OnePride
#ChiefsKingdom
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🚨🏈 Drafting Best Ball teams this weekend?
Check out our fully customizable NFL Projection Builder tool for FREE!
1⃣ Make your desired edits/tweaks
♻️ Download CSV with 1 click
🐶 Upload CSV to your favorite Best Ball site
⬇️ Sign up below! ⬇️
runthesims.com/register/free…
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This is a bad one. @unibet has an Odds Boost on the Lakers to win (+180).
If you bet on the Lakers at their normal price on Unibet, it pays (+215).
Just because something is called an Odds Boost does not mean it's a good deal.
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💰💰 SUTTON +1500 💰💰
Week 10 First TD Scorer Values by @RunTheSims
As always, line shop. These bets go from good to bad quickly if you don't get the line posted below or better:
IND at NE: Demario Douglas +1500 FD 1.7% Edge
CLE at BAL: Kareem Hunt +1500 PB 2.5% Edge
HOU at CIN: Dalton Schultz +1700 DK 2.9% Edge
SF at JAX: Brock Purdy +4500 FD 2.4% Edge
NO at MIN: Jordan Addison +1400 FD 3.5% Edge
GB at PIT: Christian Watson +1500 FD 1.3% Edge
TEN at TB: Mike Evans +900 DK 2% Edge
ATL at ARI: Taylor Heinicke +2100 FD 1.8% Edge
DET at LAC: Josh Reynolds +2100 FD 1.1% Edge
NYG at DAL: Saquon Barkley +1500 DK 4.1% Edge
WAS at SEA: Brian Robinson +1100 DK 1.1% Edge
NYJ at LV: Zach Wilson +2500 DK 0.7% Edge
DEN at BUF: Courtland Sutton +1500 BAR 3.4% Edge
Want to explore more? Check out the Prop Sniper at runthesims.com/subscribe for as little as $13
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🚨 MIN vs PHI 🚨
⚙️ Jalen Hurts is currently our Top CPT with an Optimal Rate of 26.1% based on 10,000 Sims!
🏈 Want up to 50,000 DK Showdown Sims?
🎉 Use promo code SOCIAL for 5% off a Season, Monthly or Weekly subscription!
👉 runthesims.com/subscribe/
#Skol
#FlyEaglesFly
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What the heck is @RunTheSims??? Well... this....
- 🔥Simulator (Classic & Showdown)
- 📊Classic Optimizer
- ⚖️Player Prop Tool
- 📈Range Finder Tool
- 🔢Percentile Projections
- ❌Salary Multiplier Hit Rates
- 🏗️Projection Builder
... and more!
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The Washington Football Team has narrowed their next team name down to 8 finalists. Which is your favorite?
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VIDEO: @JustinFreeman18 joined @ThePME to discuss all things @RunTheSims
Unrelated, but is Pat Mayo related to Patty Mayonnaise?
This video is a great walkthrough of everything Run the Sims has to offer.
Check it out!
runthesims.com/pme-how-to-wi…
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Get ready for Week 9 @DraftKings #Tiers contests with @megs08DFS core plays!
She uses our Percentile Projections and Rangefinder tools to help make key Tiers decisions.
runthesims.com/week-9-draftk…
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🚨 RTS PROP SNIPER 🚨
👀 The Top BEST BET is currently Austin Hooper's Reception Yards Prop!
🏈 Some potential early value for Monday Night Football!
🎉 Use promo code SOCIAL for 10% off any PROP-ONLY subscription!
👉 runthesims.com/subscribe/
#RaiderNation
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Preliminary pre-qualifying sims are live for the French! Check them out with a free account here! runthesims.com/run-the-sims-…
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This is highway robbery from @FOXBet with this boost. Normal pricing from @FDSportsbook is way better (not advising to make this bet).
FOXBET: +300
FanDuel: +525
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🚨 SUNDAY RECAP 🚨
💰 Some nice Sunday Night Football hits leveraging the RTS Showdown Simulator!
#TakeFlight
#RaiderNation
👇
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Taking advantage of the Alt Lines on FanDuel:
Amari Cooper's O/U on Rec Yards is 49.5 (-110). However, if you go to his Alt Rec Yards, you can get 50+ yards for (-106), a better price.
This is not a recommended play, but a reminder to always shop for the best price.
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You can use our 🆓wagering tools for other sports besides football.
@FDSportsbook has an NHL Odds Boost. We can use our tools to determine the expected value of this bet.
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The lab at @RunTheSims is running absolutely wide open right now. Can’t wait to reveal some of our newest offerings - it’s gonna be so 🔥
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F1 goes to Austria for the second half of a back-to-back! Check out our FREE projections, sim results, percentile projections, and defeat teammate odds! runthesims.com/run-the-sims-…
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What is your favorite tool to use on Run the Sims and why?
runthesims.com/subscribe/
9%
NFL Classic Optimizer
61%
DIY Simulator (Showdowns)
17%
NFL Player Prop Tool
13%
OTHER, so many good ones!
23 votes • Final results
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🚨 FREE RTS THIS WEEKEND ONLY 🚨
🔓 Create a FREE account and UNLOCK access to our DFS & Prop Betting Tools for Super Bowl LVIII!
👇 DETAILS BELOW 👇
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Limp Bizkit just finished their set at #Lollapalooza
We would hate for you to BREAK STUFF because you missed out on our Founder's Club discount. Let's keep that $50 discount ROLLIN until midnight.
Run the Sims 👉 runthesims.com/subscribe/
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💰 Great start to the season for SimRunnerPro!
⚙️ Our newest product is a premium add-on that lets you not only simulate NFL games, but also simulate DFS contests!
🎉 Use promo code SOCIAL for 5% off a Season, Monthly or Weekly subscription!
👉 runthesims.com/subscribe/
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🚨 NFL WEEK 5 🚨
⚙️ David Montgomery is currently our Top Overall Play with a 25.1% Optimal Rate based on 2,000 DraftKings Main Slate Simulations!
🎉 Use promo code SOCIAL for 5% off up-to-date Optimal Rates for every player!
👉 runthesims.com/subscribe/
#OnePride
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Some sportsbooks still have Cole Beasley season-long props posted.
BetRivers odds:
After the NFL fined them $14,650 for refusal to wear a mask, #Bills WRs Cole Beasley and Isaiah McKenzie are now subject to increased discipline for a repeat violation -- including for conduct detrimental with a maximum fine of one week's salary and/or 4-game unpaid suspension.
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All info updated for post-qualifying!
Haas takeover? Strong plays in the back of the grid? Max gets back on track? See what the sims say for FREE!
F1 goes to Austria for the second half of a back-to-back! Check out our FREE projections, sim results, percentile projections, and defeat teammate odds! runthesims.com/run-the-sims-…
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Use Run the Sims Rangefinder and Percentile Projections tools to help make Tiers contests decisions!
If you play Tiers contests on #DraftKings, check out these great resources:
1- Core plays from @megs08DFS with help from @RunTheSims:
fanspeak.com/dailyfantasy/20…
2- Tiers Simulator for Week 2:
fanspeak.com/tiers/
3- Tiers for Fears show will be up on Fanspeak Network today!
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We've cracked the code. 🔒 Subscribe to our @USFL Season Pass for $99.
Optimizers | Player Prop Tool | Simulations | & More
RunTheSims.com/subscribe
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The countdown to NFL Kickoff is quickly approaching (thankfully)! And so is the Run the Sims NFL Early Bird Special!
Get access to all our amazing NFL tools for just $219 for the season pass!
Get your subscription today:
runthesims.com/subscribe/
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Daily Fantasy Football is BACK! Kick off the @USFL season with our DFS tools and analysis.
📈 Lineup Optimizers
📊 Showdown Simulators
🏈 Player Prop Tools & More!
RunTheSims.com/subscribe
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I just watched 20 minutes of an #Olympics soccer match only to find out that it wasn't live and it was played two days ago.
A tradition unlike any other.
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