Tracks polls in upcoming elections. US politics news aggregator + posts polls and election results. Occasional political commentary. Non-partisan.
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Big Data Poll | 6/26-6/28 LV
2028 US presidential primaries
🟦Democratic
Kamala Harris 29%
Gavin Newsom 16%
Pete Buttigieg 10%
AOC 8%
Josh Shapiro 7%
Mark Kelly 6%
Gretchen Whitmer 4%
Jon Ossoff 4%
Andy Beshear 2%
Stephen A. Smith 1%
——
🟥Republican
JD Vance 37%
Marco Rubio 18%
Ron DeSantis 8%
RFK Jr 7%
Ted Cruz 5%
Nikki Haley 4%
Rand Paul 3%
Brian Kemp 2%
Tucker Carlson 2%
Glenn Youngkin 2%
Tulsi Gabbard 2%
Steve Bannon 2%
Link to poll: bigdatapoll.com/blog/trump-b…
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5
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16,585
Thankful for Nancy’s one good quality, today.
Community note
This is an AI generated image of Nancy Pelosi. This post goes against X’s guidelines, which state that all sexually explicit content must be consensually produced and distributed.
This is artificial sexual exploitation of an elderly woman.
Source: help.x.com/en/rules-and-p…
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3,051
121,013
2,084,903
Curtis Sliwa congratulations NYC mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani on his victory
“Good luck, because if he does well, we do well.”
451
2,953
97,730
1,966,633
I can’t believe Smiling Friends predicted Trump’s MSG rally
🇵🇷𝕹𝖆𝖙𝖆𝖑𝖎𝖆 𝕺𝖗𝖙𝖎𝖟⧗𝕽𝖔𝖒𝖆𝖓𝖔𝖋𝖋🍎
16
2,048
21,818
577,792
Curtis Sliwa’s response to Elon Musk backing Cuomo:
“Elon Musk couldn’t care less about what happens in New York City, and of course he wants Andrew Cuomo back because Cuomo handed him about a billion dollars in state subsidies for the failed Buffalo solar panel project. Cuomo’s head enforcer, who was involved in this and many other schemes, went to prison — and that tells you everything about who is backing him.”
Elon Musk is urging New Yorkers to vote Andrew Cuomo for NYC mayor, arguing a vote for Sliwa is effectively a vote for Mamdani.
100
1,266
12,266
608,581
Curtis Sliwa after losing the election to Zohran Mamdani
“I'm not going to Florida in fear... born here, they tried to kill me here, I'll die here.”
Source: 1010 WINS
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Keith Self calls Sarah McBride "Mr. McBride" prompting McBride to call Keith Self "Madame Chair."
Andrij Dobriansky 🇺🇸 🇺🇦
92
410
7,482
2,213,967
Just realized if the House is unable to elect a Speaker by January 20, Chuck Grassley becomes President of the United States lmao
Johnson allies urge Trump to intervene as messy speaker battle threatens to delay 2024 certification
Congress certifies the presidential election on January 6
foxnews.com/politics/johnson…
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Joe Biden called Zohran Mamdani to congratulate him on his win as NYC mayor
Source: CNN
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291
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Crosstabs:
Men (56/44 Mamdani)
Women (52/48 Cuomo)
White (61/39 Mamdani)
Hispanic (60/40 Cuomo)
Black (62/38 Cuomo)
Asian (79/21 Mamdani)
Emerson poll | 6/18-6/20 LV
New York City Democratic mayoral primary
(Final RCV round)
Zohran Mamdani 52%
Andrew Cuomo 48%
(Previous poll featuring registered voters from 5/23-5/26 | Cuomo 54/Mamdani 46%)
emersoncollegepolling.com/ne…
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Congressman Ro Khanna on Platner’s controversial Reddit posts that were recently uncovered:
“Let's be clear. The DSCC leaked this to try to destroy Platner the day their hand-picked candidate entered the race.I respect Platner's journey and the man he is today. I reject the politics of personal destruction. I stand by my endorsement. I won't cower to the establishment.”
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How does an error like this happen in the first place?
REPUBLICAN EARLE-SEARS WINS VIRGINIA GOVERNOR RACE, ACCORDING TO AP
Community note
The Virginia gubernatorial election will not take place until November 4th, 2025.
No candidate has won the election so far.
elections.virginia.gov/casting-a-ball
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Graham Platner shows off cover-up tattoo of Nazi symbol in interview with local Maine news outlet:
Maine Senate candidate Platner says tattoo recognized as Nazi symbol has been covered
apnews.com/article/maine-pla…
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201
3,559
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Bernie Sanders when asked about potentially running for president in 2028 on CNN’s “State of the Union.”
“Let's not worry about that. I am going to be 84 years of age next month, as a matter of fact. I think that speaks for itself.”
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None of the nine Supreme Court justices agreed to take up to the case:
US Supreme Court rejects long-shot effort to overturn same-sex marriage ruling
The court turned away an appeal filed by Kim Davis, a former county clerk in Kentucky who was sued after refusing to issue a marriage license to a gay couple
nbcnews.com/politics/supreme…
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Zohran Mamdani ally and NYC comptroller Brad Lander responds to Shapiro’s remarks.
“Josh Shapiro won’t help keep Jews safe in NYC or Pennsylvania by feeding Trump’s narrative about our Democratic nominee for mayor.”
Source: The Forward
Josh Shapiro rebukes Mamdani for failing to condemn "blatantly antisemitic" extremists.
jewishinsider.com/2025/07/jo…
20
282
3,468
269,957
POV: Chuck Grassley showing up at the Capitol to be inaugurated as acting President
Out of Context SpongeBob
Just realized if the House is unable to elect a Speaker by January 20, Chuck Grassley becomes President of the United States lmao
10
186
3,298
186,705
Unpublished magazine covers had the losing presidential candidate won their election:
57
137
3,364
1,896,828
Unpublished magazine covers if Mitt Romney and Hillary Clinton won their respective elections:
19
125
3,104
299,409
I’m kinda surprised Mike Lee of all people
referred to Sarah McBride by her preferred pronoun.
13
68
3,071
61,118
UCF poll of Puerto Rican voters from Florida
Harris 85%
Trump 8%
(10/21-10/30 | 150 surveyed)
miamiherald.com/news/politic…
81
257
2,652
1,487,330
Allegheny County just dumped 3.2k ballots slashing McCormick’s lead below +0.5
162
195
2,880
1,108,225
📊Who LGBT Americans voted for as President:
1996
B. Clinton 66%
Dole 23%
Perot 7%
2000
Gore 71%
Bush 25%
2004
Kerry 77%
Bush 22%
2008
Obama 70%
McCain 27%
2012
Obama 76%
Romney 22%
2016
H. Clinton 77%
Trump 14%
2020
Biden 75%
Trump 23%
2024
Harris 86%
Trump 12%
70
192
2,950
424,689
To those who think Florida is red enough to elect a controversial Republican under a Trump presidency I would direct you to this:
Gaetz basically confirms he’s running for governor of Florida in 2026. The single weakest candidate you can imagine, and the only one who would realistically put the state in play.
Bigger question for now, though, is if he even wins a primary, unless Trump endorses him.
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This is what Harry Truman said about Americans who were contemplating voting for Richard Nixon in the 1960 presidential election:
In 1948 Harry Truman went to Democratic convention and explicitly said if the farmers and laborers didn't vote Democratic, they were the most ungrateful people in the world. He was correct, and he won a surprise reelection
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In another post in 2010, Platner took aim at musician Ted Nugent, a conservative activist.
“As a combat veteran, that m*therf**ker makes me want to puke when he spews his warmongering macho bullshit. Suck a d*ck, Ted.”
“To be fair,” Platner told CNN. “I’m not really regretful of that one.”
CNN: Graham Platner once called himself a “communist,” dismissed “all” police as bastards, and said rural white Americans “actually are” racist and stupid according to now deleted posts.
cnn.com/2025/10/16/politics/…
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POV: You gave up a Senate race where you would’ve easily won your party’s nomination just to get 1-3% in Iowa.
19
108
2,667
112,082
Morning Consult poll
Elon Musk approval
Disapprove 49%
Approve 39%
DOGE approval
Disapprove 46%
Approve 41%
1/31-2/2 RV
pro.morningconsult.com/analy…
199
246
2,545
4,759,822
DNC chair Ken Martin on Graham Platner’s unearthed Reddit posts
“I don't think they're disqualifying, but certainly they're not right. And I'm glad that he apologized for them. They're indefensible, they're hurtful, and they're offensive.”
“People deserve second chances. People deserve to evolve. People deserve a chance to change their character. And what I have seen from Graham Platner certainly suggests that that's what has happened here.”
Source: CNN
100
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NY Post: Andrew Cuomo won’t seek independent bid for NYC mayor.
nypost.com/2025/06/25/us-new…
28
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536,238
NEW Reuters/Ipsos poll from the wires
President Trump approval
Approve 45%
(Down from 47% last week)
59% oppose ending birthright citizenship
70% oppose renaming the Gulf of Mexico the Gulf of America
30
178
2,352
465,632
Maine Senate poll
(Graham Platner internal) | released August 27
🟦Graham Platner 48%
🟥Susan Collins 32%
—
🟦Janet Mills 43%
🟥Susan Collins 42%
68
191
2,411
151,717
In case you were wondering what Georgia would look like as a solidly blue state such as California… here you go:
24
112
2,371
206,058
It was sort of impressive in hindsight how McCain managed to crack 46% with an unpopular Republican President and the worst economic crisis in 80 years.
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46
2,218
121,019
Josh Shapiro says he spoke to Zohran Mamdani recently by phone.
"Mamdani called me, and we had a very lengthy conversation, and I was very direct with him about how hurtful some of the words were that he used or that he allowed to be used around him. He explained to me his perspective, which I thought was helpful for me to hear, and on some things, we agreed to disagree. But I thought it was a healthy dialogue, and I appreciate the fact that he reached out."
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Someone in Idaho literally changed their name to “Pro-Life” and got 5% of the vote in a statewide race:
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2,202
60,361
Politico: Curtis Sliwa says he would rather be fatally tortured than drop out of the race for NYC mayor.
politico.com/news/2025/10/22…
19
116
2,205
163,295
Oklahoma House 71 (Harris +19.4)
🟦Clinton 78.08%
🟥Atteberry 21.92%
Oklahoma House 74 (Trump +41.4)
🟦Hossain 52.66%
🟥Norwood 47.34%
results.okelections.gov/OKER…
22
254
2,136
57,951
AP/NORC poll
Musk approval
Disapprove 52%
Approve 36%
DOGE approval
Disapprove 39%
Approve 29%
Billionaires advising the President
Bad 60%
Good 12%
1/9-1/13
apnorc.org/projects/although…
77
367
1,982
820,199
Axios: Mamdani ally weighs challenging Hakeem Jeffries
New York City Council member Chi Ossé, a close ally of Zohran Mamdani, is privately discussing a run against House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries.
axios.com/2025/10/09/zohran-…
39
138
2,054
266,945
2025 New Jersey General Assembly
🟦Democratic | 57 seats (+5)
🟥Republican | 23 seats (-5)
(Shift from 2023)
☑️Democrat Maureen Rowan has won election to the State Assembly in the 2nd District, unseating two-term Republican Claire Swift.
newjerseyglobe.com/legislatu…
34
206
2,268
96,310
Even though it’s a mock simulation it’s pretty surreal to see. nitter.app/DiligentDenizen/status…
29
41
1,876
1,017,428
NBC News: Graham Platner says he's no John Fetterman. But he gets the concerns.
“Look, as somebody that was disappointed [with Fetterman] — if I was me looking in, I would have the same concerns,” Platner said after a campaign rally in Portland, Maine, on Sunday. “We’ve been burned before.”
nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna242…
45
122
2,029
174,401
Federal court orders redrawn Alabama map to stay in effect until the 2030 Census.
26
125
1,841
108,605
Congressman Chris Deluzio (D-PA) on the death of Dick Cheney
"Dick Cheney lied to the American people. He bears responsibility—like so many others—for sending Americans like me to war in Iraq and for the death and destruction that followed. Too many veterans will pay the cost of Cheney’s disastrous decision until their dying days."
AP: Dick Cheney, one of the most powerful and polarizing vice presidents in US history, dies at 84
apnews.com/article/dick-chen…
15
217
1,898
119,728
Democratic Rep. Ritchie Torres faces primary challenge over his fierce Israel support
Former DNC Vice Chair Michael Blake is launching a challenge to the three-term Congress member.
politico.com/news/2025/11/05…
28
202
1,848
230,932
Swing-district Democrat Pat Ryan endorses Mamdani for NYC mayor. Calls Andrew Cuomo a "selfish POS"
spectrumlocalnews.com/nys/hu…
13
171
1,855
51,512
Bernie Sanders says he is sticking by Graham Platner despite a string of controversies surrounding his campaign over the past few days.
“I personally think he is an excellent candidate. We don't have enough candidates in this country who are prepared to take on the powers to be and fight for the working class”
146
147
1,773
140,033
Dartmouth NH poll
President
Harris 62%
Trump 34%
Governor
🟦Craig 58%
🟥Ayotte 40%
11/1-11/3
projects.fivethirtyeight.com…
145
142
1,505
1,744,596
“Texas Congressman Tony Gonzales (R) allegedly had an affair with a senior aide who later died after dousing herself with gasoline and setting herself on fire, multiple sources have told the Daily Mail”
dailymail.co.uk/news/article…
97
486
1,749
514,990
Interesting…
Trump’s Puerto Rico fallout is ‘spreading like wildfire’ in Pennsylvania ow.ly/45Hr105Nfcg
29
194
1,375
233,882
State Navigate poll | 10/17-10/20 LV
Virginia Governor
🟦Abigail Spanberger 55%
🟥Winsome Earle-Sears 42%
—
Virginia Attorney General
🟦Jay Jones 50%
🟥Jason Miyares 45%
—
Virginia Lt. Governor
🟦Ghazala Hashmi 53%
🟥John Reid 42%
—
Virginia House of Delegates
🟦Democratic 53%
🟥Republican 41%
statenavigate.org/state-navi…
165
279
1,696
1,633,519
Senate Republicans have rejected the offer by the Democrats to reopen the government in exchange for a one year extension of ACA subsidies.
Source: CBS News
152
341
1,659
2,014,090
Kamala Harris on MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow Show if she supports Zohran Mamdani for NYC mayor
“I support the Democrat in the race, sure.”
136
52
1,574
2,148,445
Former Senator Doug Jones is teasing a run for Alabama Governor against Tommy Tuberville in 2026
“Stay tuned”
al.com/politics/2025/11/alab…
41
190
1,576
518,550
Axios: Aftyn Behn, the Democratic nominee in Tennessee’s 7th congressional special election, won't commit to backing Hakeem Jeffries as leader or speaker if elected.
axios.com/2025/11/05/hakeem-…
50
133
1,535
148,028
I feel like people forget that despite voting for Kamala Harris last year, Arnold is still a Republican.
23
41
1,493
54,613
The party affiliation map of governors in 2028 is probably going to look the most politically polarized in US history.
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36
1,491
432,843
PredictIt betting odds | October 6
Who will win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate nomination?
Abdul El-Sayed 38% (+9)
Mallory McMorrow 33% (-3)
Haley Stevens 32% (-5)
PredictIt betting odds | August 22
Who will win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate nomination?
Haley Stevens 37%
Mallory McMorrow 36%
Abdul El-Sayed 29%
46
125
1,507
127,473
GOP congressman Mike Lawler from New York endorses Andrew Cuomo for NYC mayor after backing Curtis Sliwa
Source: NY Post
252
216
1,480
96,210
Senator Chris Van Hollen criticizes Democratic leaders for delay in endorsing Mamdani
At an annual fundraiser in Iowa, the Maryland Democrat said he supported Zohran Mamdani for mayor of New York City and said people were sick of “spineless politics.”
nytimes.com/2025/09/13/us/po…
36
171
1,487
110,400
Congressman Jake Auchincloss (D-MA) on Graham Platner
“I want Democrats to be on guard that we don’t offer a Diet Coke populism to MAGA’s Coca-Cola, including thinking that bigotry is populist. It’s not. There are scores of dynamic, gritty candidates who don’t have anti-Semitic tattoos.”
Source: Politico
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