This is precinct 624 in Miami. This is how it has voted in every Presidential Election since 2000:
2000: Gore+0.2🔵
2004: Bush+2🔴
2008: Obama+16🔵
2012: Obama+20🔵
2016: Clinton+40🔵
2020: Biden+23🔵
2024: Trump+1🔴
18
42
574
41,683
Ron Desantis won this precinct in Miami against Charlie Crist☠️
Hillary+42 in 2016
Biden+22 in 2020
17
21
315
44,282
Way too early West Virginia Senate prediction:
Jim Justice: 57.3%✅
Joe Manchin: 41.8%
34
44
298
46,253
This is how Fuquay-Varina, a rapidly growing suburb of Raleigh located in Southern Wake County, has voted in every Presidential Election since 2000:
2000: Bush+25🔴
2004: Bush+29🔴
2008: McCain+10🔴
2012: Romney+13🔴
2016: Trump+10🔴
2020: Trump+2🔴
2024: Harris+0.2🔵
19
23
328
23,236
I created a district in the North Atlanta suburbs that shifts from Romney+34 to Biden+4.☠️☠️
7
7
223
15,969
Who's here after Dallas County shifted right by almost double digits?
In Dallas and El Paso, Biden nets just over 70% of the vote. El Paso, for the 1st time since Harry S. Truman in 48 and Dallas for the 1st time since FDR in 1940. He also nets just over 1 mil. votes in Dallas, the 2nd county Biden does so, along with Harris.
8
11
205
13,881
If you gave Fairfax, Arlington, and Alexandria counties to DC, Virginia would literally become the perfect definition of a swing state. Trump+3.4 in 2016 to Biden+1.5 in 2020.
20
9
182
34,713
It’s under-discussed how biased LTE is. People get on Red Eagle, but it looks like LTE is nearly just as bad.
26
9
185
17,199
This is precinct 09-03 in northwestern Wake County. This is how it's voted in every Presidential Election since 2000.
2000: Bush+17🔴
2004: Bush+25🔴
2008: McCain+19🔴
2012: Romney+19🔴
2016: Trump+14🔴
2020: Trump+1🔴
2024: Harris+11🔵
15
14
201
10,261
This is how Matthews, NC, a small suburban town outside of Charlotte has voted in every Presidential Election since 2000.
2000: Bush+36🔴
2004: Bush+36🔴
2008: McCain+15🔴
2012: Romney+18🔴
2016: Trump+6🔴
2020: Biden+5🔵
How do y'all think this growing suburb votes in 2024?
45
17
167
31,016
How bad to you have to be to almost lose San Diego County as a Democrat in the year 2022 lmao.
12
4
162
15,895
George W Bush’s nationwide approval on November 2nd, 2001(+86) vs George W Bush’s nationwide approval on November 2nd, 2008(-38).
7
7
164
12,513
This is how my hometown, Cary, North Carolina has voted in every Senate race since 1996:
1996: Helms+3🔴
1998: Faircloth+2🔴
2002: Dole+21🔴
2004: Burr+9🔴
2008: Hagan+8🔵
2010: Burr+10🔴
2014: Hagan+10🔵
2016: Ross+13🔵
2020: Cunningham+24🔵
2022: Beasley+31🔵
24
6
161
24,291
This is Mount Vernon where George Washington died, its got quite a weird voting pattern, here's how its voted in major races since 2004:
2004: Bush+21🔴
2005: Kilgore+9🔴
2006: Allen+17🔴
2008: McCain+18🔴
2009: McDonnell+29🔴
2012: Romney+12🔴
2013: Cuccinelli+11🔴
Continued🧵
6
7
158
22,774
This is how Huntersville, NC, a suburban town north of Charlotte, has voted in every Presidential Election since 2000.
2004: Bush+32🔴
2004: Bush+36🔴
2008: McCain+12🔴
2012: Romney+18🔴
2016: Trump+9🔴
2020: Biden+4🔵
29
10
151
18,332
This is how Cary, NC, a major suburb of Raleigh has voted in every Presidential Elections since 2000.
2000: Bush+17🔴
2004: Bush+15🔴
2008: Obama+7🔵
2012: Obama+5🔵
2016: Clinton+20🔵
2020: Biden+29🔵
2024??
How much do y'all think Biden will win this rapidly growing City by?
22
15
144
21,214
There are a lot of North Carolina counties that have seen major political shifts over the past couple of years, but New Hanover is one that is often widely overlooked. Home to Wilmington, this coastal county is also home to UNCW and some of North Carolina’s beautiful beaches.
11
22
165
23,931
This is a thread of how the 2022 version of NC-13 voted in every North Carolina election in 2024:
President: Harris+1🔵
4
7
147
10,136
Since everyone is talking about Haley winning affluent areas like Kiawah Island in a landslide tonight. Here's a reminder that the town moved from Trump+29 in 2016 to Trump+5 in 2020.
8
10
135
17,261
This is how the town of Apex, NC, a rapidly growing suburb of Raleigh in Southwestern Wake County has voted in every Presidential Election since 2000.
2000: Bush+18🔴
2004: Bush+20🔴
2008: Obama+3🔵
2012: Romney+4🔴
2016: Clinton+8🔵
2020: Biden+21🔵
8
3
124
13,155
This was such a terrible performance for Wexton in what I recall is a Biden+18 seat, and the environment wasn’t even good for Republicans either.
15
4
113
15,201
So apparently Republicans won a countywide office in Biden+14 Forsyth County, literally insane☠️☠️
9
5
117
13,299
2014: Gillespie+14🔴
2016: Clinton+5🔵
2017: Gillespie+2🔴
2018: Kaine+15🔵
2020: Biden+4🔵
2021: McAuliffe+3🔵
Happy 4th of July!!🇺🇸 This is America's 247th birthday!
9
4
100
5,486
In last year's November elections, Republican Heidi Sauter Barshinger won her Clerk of Court race by 0.2% against Democrat Graham S. Montrose. Heidi is the last Republican to hold a countywide office in Henrico County.
6
6
112
14,053
The Hispanic vote in North Carolina went from being Biden+15 in 2020 to being Beasley+6 in 2022. Interesting shift there.
17
10
101
10,756
It only took 1 total wipeout of an election(2008) for this statewide party to become competent. Take notes @AZGOP
14
7
98
In all of his statewide races, outgoing Governor Roy Cooper has dominated in former Republican stronghold-turned-swingy Nash County. Roy Cooper's political strength in Nash County comes from his origins in Nashville, a small town located near the center of the county.
3
11
106
13,105
This is my way too early Texas Senate prediction:
Ted Cruz: 51.0%✅
Colin Allred: 47.6%
22
3
96
11,638
This is how McAdenville, NC, AKA ChristmasTown, USA, has voted in every Presidential Election since 2000:
2000: Bush+51🔴
2004: Bush+50🔴
2008: McCain+38🔴
2012: Romney+37🔴
2016: Trump+42🔴
2020: Trump+42🔴
2024: Trump+39🔴
4
8
103
6,411
This is Precinct 001, its a super ancestrally Republican suburb literally right outside of Uptown Charlotte. Heres how its voted in every major election since 2000:
2000: Bush+26🔴
2002: Dole+11🔴
2004: Bush+21🔴
2008: McCain+0.7🔴
2010: Burr+23🔴
2012: Romney+17🔴
14
2
97
15,226
There's a town in Southern Henry County that voted for Trump by 13 in 2016, and Biden by 14☠️☠️. Absolutely insane trends going on in Southern Atlanta. It went from Abrams +1.2 in 2018 to Abrams+23 in 2022. Raffensperger even lost here by 21% last year.
11
4
91
13,824
In 2000, George W Bush carried the 2022 version of NC-14 by 16 points over Al Gore. Narrowly carrying the Mecklenburg County portion, home to Charlotte. Bush carried the Gaston County portion in a landslide. This district voted for Joe Biden by 16 points in 2020.
9
8
91
13,920
My way too early Florida 2024 Senate race prediction:
Rick Scott:52.3%✅
Generic D(TBD):45.8%
22
87
19,154
In the 2000 election, Republican George W Bush carried the 2022-Present version of NoVA based VA-10 by 19% over Democrat Al Gore. Bush carried every county that the district covers, including Fairfax County. Joe Biden carried this district by 18% over Donald Trump in 2020.
8
10
91
10,741
I think it's so interesting that Bush won the city of Miami in 2000 despite losing Miami Dade County by 6%.
10
4
84
5,834
In 2002, former Republican Senator Elizabeth Dole won Guilford County(home to Greensboro) by about a point. In 2008, when Dole was up for re-election, she lost the county by over 26 points to Kay Hagan, a Democratic State Senator from Greensboro.
8
12
89
13,221
This is how my precinct in Suburban Southern Wake County voted in every Sheriff's race since 1998. This truly shows the GOP's drop-off with educated, suburban voters:
1998:Harrison+17🔴
2002:Harrison+14🔴
2006:Harrison+33🔴
2010:Harrison+50🔴
2014:Harrison+39🔴
2018:Harrison+1🔴
12
4
80
14,195
Southern Wake County is by far one of the most ancestrally-Republican places in North Carolina, having voted Republican consistently over a long period of time. But, over the past 20-30 years, massive growth has turned this region into a much more liberal, sprawling area.
11
12
83
8,524
The fact that Aaron Ford did better in Washoe County than Clark County when he literally lost it in 2018 says a lot about trends in Nevada.
3
7
80
12,207
You know I agree, Gavin Newsom is a really strong candidate!! Dems should absolutely run him in 2024!!
8
1
72
7,071
Theres a part of Apex that voted for Trump in 2016 that proceeded to vote for Beasley by 23 and Wiley Nickel by 25 in 2022☠️☠️
10
1
79
7,134
In 2022, Democrat Willie Rowe beat Republican Donnie Harrison in the Wake County Sheriff race by 8%. Donnie Harrison outran Donald Trump's 2020 margin in Wake County by over 18%, and won over many of the suburban areas that Trump collapsed in.
6
6
76
14,770
My first prediction for the Wisconsin Supreme as of today:
Janet Protasiewicz:51.8%✅
Dan Kelly:48.2%
18
1
64
12,005
One of the most under discussed results of the 2022 midterms NGL. The absolute drop-off in ancestrally Democrat rural areas.
7
69
So true Laura, redistricting definitely correlates with the Governor election.
Ron DeSantis didn’t “turn” Miami or Palm Beach red.
The state was REDISTRICTED to create the illusion. DeSantis threatened to veto all maps except the one he created w/ his minions so he could help pro-Ron incumbents.
He created a map to favor his own Allie$, & hurt Trump’s.
Community note
Loomer is referring to congressional redistricting, but that did not change the borders of Miami-Dade or Palm Beach counties. The redistricting could not affect the voting within each county or for a statewide race like the gubernatorial race.
cnn.com/interactive/20
10
6
77
8,119
In 2004, incumbent North Carolina Labor Commissioner, Cherie Berry, also known as the "elevator queen" won re election with bizarre coalitions that would be considered unheard of nowadays.
4
2
67
6,597
Way too early Pennsylvania 2024 Senate race prediction:
Bob Casey:52.3%✅
Dave McCormick:45.0%
5
2
61
7,149
Last night Republican Charlotte Councilman Tariq Scott Bohkari won re election to his Biden+21 seat by 1.5% against Democrat Stephanie Hand. He even won precincts that Biden won by 25-30 points in 2020!! Congrats @FinTechInnov8r!
7
12
75
7,040
"People are gonna be so surprised when Arizona moves left of Nevada" Wdym bro it's been that way.
5
2
62
7,394
The precinct with the Home Alone house voted for Rauner by 20 in 2018. And Biden by like 40 in 2020.
3
2
60
7,548
In 2000, Bush won the 2022 version of NC-2 by 9% over Democrat Al Gore. Bush's strong margin of victory in this district shows how different urban and suburban politics were in early 2000's North Carolina. Trump lost this district by 22% in 2016 and 29% in 2020.
3
7
67
5,456
