Markets, mostly

City of London
I guess it's another day of finding a narrative to suit the price action
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You weren't pal. You just weren't. Why this charlatan gets a platform is beyond me.
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๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ
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Looks like the margin calls have started to arrive...
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HMRC payrolls fall ANOTHER 41k in June...8 straight monthly declines...every single month since the Budget last year...
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So...the US went from negligible tariffs on China, to 10%, then 20%, then 54%, then 104%, then 145%...now we're back to 30% for 90 days...and that's supposedly a 'win'...
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A Labour MP here, seemingly not knowing the difference between inflation and interest rates No wonder weโ€™re in such a messโ€ฆ
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Firms' estimates of increased costs due to National Insurance changes...and folk reckon this won't slam the brakes on the economy... ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ Wetherspoons +ยฃ60mln M&S +ยฃ60mln Tesco +ยฃ250mln Sainsbury's +ยฃ140mln Next +ยฃ73mln B&Q +ยฃ31mln Asda +ยฃ100mln & many, many more besides...
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This is an utterly farcical state of affairs - the ONS are now unable to produce accurate jobs, trade, inflation or retail sales figures! It's nothing short of a disgrace. They *literally* have one job, and are failing at almost every aspect of it.
ONS delays publication of July retail sales report until 5 September
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HMRC PAYE payrolls down 32k in Oct, biggest fall since Nov 2020
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Finally found a use for technical analysisโ€ฆ
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God help us.
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Lutnick's gonna be the fall guy...could've seen this one coming a mile off...no amount of sycophancy seems like it'll save him...
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1p off a pint from tax cuts...30p on top of a pint due to NI hike...economic illiteracy in action...
Draught pints to cost 1p less after tax change bbc.in/40ZaMeD
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You can almost hear the FT newsroom crying at having had to write this story ๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚
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Folk in the UK put ยฃ103bln into ISAs last year, ยฃ69.5bln of that (approx 2/3rds) went into cash ISAs...essentially, guaranteeing a near-zero, if not negative, real return on those funds over the next year...so much more financial education needed across the board...
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BofA doing technical analysis on the unemployment rate ๐Ÿคฎ
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In case it wasn't already clear, the UK economy is in, technically speaking, big f***ing trouble
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The UK doom loop continues...breach fiscal rules...hike taxes...breach fiscal rules...try cut spending...MPs don't vote for spending cuts...breach fiscal rules again...hike taxes again...etc...
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Oh dear, oh dear, oh dear...highest June figure on record (ex-Covid) *UK BUDGET DEFICIT ยฃ20.7 BILLION IN JUNE
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Goldman ripped up their 2023 f'casts last wk...JPM turned bullish EUR over the weekend...MS now doing the same...that year-ahead consensus lasted a grand total of 16 days...
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Ugh ffs...this is gonna cause chaos...
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The Bank of England appear to have forgotten that their job is to get inflation back to 2%, and not to cut Bank Rate in an effort to prop up growth and make up for the Government's fiscal ineptitude
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This is ridiculous. You don't fix the London market by forcing folk to hold UK stocks - you fix it by improving the domestic economy, and creating a growth-friendly environment for companies to operate in; then, capital will naturally flow. Quotas fix nothing.
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How ridiculous! Rachel Reeves sends her number 2 to the Commons to answer an urgent question on the present Gilt market turmoil - shows the lack of interest, care, and ability that the Chancellor has to deal with the present perilous fiscal situation
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wtf is that charlatan โ€˜best trader the world has ever seenโ€™ bloke doing all over the internet again?! ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ
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This is beyond a joke, beyond parody - the lunatics have taken over the asylum!
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Where did they do this survey - an asylum?!
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Stop. Raising. Taxes. Start. Cutting. Spending. This. Isn't. Difficult. ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ
exc @theipaper Treasury considering increasing tax on bank profits to help fill Budget black hole Multiple sources say officials appear open to the idea of a higher bank surcharge Story: inews.co.uk/news/politics/reโ€ฆ
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HMRC payrolls down 8k in July - thatโ€™s now 6 straight monthly declines, and the UK economy having shed jobs in 8 of the 9 months since last yearโ€™s Budget
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Replying to @realDonaldTrump
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Who on earth told Reeves this speech was a good idea!? All she's doing is blaming everyone else but her for where the public finances stand, and give the impression she has absolutely no clue how to 'right the ship'
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Replying to @DamianPudner
Exactly - what makes it even more odd is that nobody seems keen to challenge him on it
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We've all just completely and utterly wasted a week of our lives
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Thanks Rachel... *UKโ€™S 30-YEAR BOND YIELD CLIMBS TO HIGHEST SINCE 1998
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UK economy in a nutshell "Annual average regular earnings growth was 6.6% for the public sector and 4.2% for the private sector" (ONS)
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There is no economic growth...inflation is stubbornly high...borrowing is ballooning...a trade war looms...public services don't work...infrastructure is crumbling...the NHS is in a dismal state...education is diabolical...and this tripe is the focus for MPs...give me strength!!
๐Ÿ”ด Paintings in Parliament should be more diverse, say Labour MPs telegraph.co.uk/politics/202โ€ฆ
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In honour of it being Taylor Wimpey earnings dayโ€ฆ
PiQ
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JPM FX election scenarios
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No sanctions (yet). No action on energy. Not kicking Russia out of SWIFT. But, hey, they've lit up a building... EU, what a joke.
In these dark hours, tonight the colours of the Ukrainian flag shine bright on the @EU_Commission headquarters. A symbol of our solidarity. Friendship. And steadfast support. More than ever, the EU stands with Ukraine and its people.
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The fact that the bloke running Budget preparation has spent all day arguing on Twitter about whether he did, or didn't, spend ยฃ900 on a desk speaks volumes about the state we find ourselves in as a country
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they're moving to St Paul's you clown
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Warren Buffett's tribute to Charlie Munger
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Reeves says she "put our public finances back on a firm footing" in last year's Budget SO WHY ARE YOU BACK FOR MORE TAX HIKES THEN?!?!?!
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Corruption? What corruption! Bribery? What bribery! *FIFA AWARDS 2034 WORLD CUP TO SAUDI ARABIA

ALT sepp blatter money GIF

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From LinkedIn...long or short lightning? ๐Ÿ˜‚
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JPM sounding the alarm on Reeves' shift to gauging fiscal headroom using public sector net financial liabilities... "could in theory allow almost limitless spending if done under the guise of the National Wealth Fund"
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Crypto adverts on the side of buses; what could possibly go wrongโ€ฆ
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Because you sold before everyone else did? GOLDMAN SACHS CEO DAVID SOLOMON ON ARCHEGOS SITUATION SAYS "OUR RISK CONTROLS WORKED WELL" - CNBC INTERVIEW
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"In the long term, Moderna aims to develop an annual supershot that could suppress numerous respiratory ailments, including Covid, flu, and others. 'Our goal is to give you several mRNAs in a single shot at your local CVS or GP every August or September'" bloomberg.com/news/features/โ€ฆ
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4.4% on the 10y Gilt...but it's all ok because she's an ex-BoE economist... ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ
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Thursday. City of London. How times changeโ€ฆ
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Replying to @thomwiseman
The bloke doesnโ€™t understand ANYTHING. These are the policies he suggested in his last jobโ€ฆ
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Replying to @thehill
Youโ€™ve seriously tweeted this a second time?! Itโ€™s called bonfire night, look it up.
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Trump says he's made 200 trade deals...there aren't 200 countries in the world... ๐Ÿ˜‚
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Ludicrous that after half a decade people are still trying to claim that negative rates are a good thing.
Watch again: President @Lagarde responds to criticism about negative interest rates and describes how they support companies and people in the eurozone
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HMRC payrolls figure down 8k in August - 7th straight decline, with the UK economy having now seen payrolled employment decline in every month bar 1 since the Budget
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Meanwhile, in the Treasury, as this morning's borrowing stats are released...
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Gilts & GBP selling-off together...here we go again...
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UK tax system has no incentive to save/invest at this point...income tax brackets frozen = more in higher bands thus lower tax free savings allowance...dividend allowance cut in half...CGT allowance too, and set to be halved again nxt yr...absolutely nonsensical policymaking...
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5% rates is normal, ZIRP is not...the fact people still haven't figured that out is ludicrous
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Who wants to tell him that โ€˜way better than expectedโ€™ growth figures lessen the need for rate cutsโ€ฆ
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Ffs he's about the only bloke who could actually do a worse job
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Replying to @TorstenBell
Funny how you've changed your tune over the last 5 years pal
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Replying to @elerianm
You've had hundreds of them, but this is by far your worst ever take.
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wtf have they been smoking!? TESLA INC, IN AN SEC FILING, SAYS EFFECTIVE AS OF MARCH 15, "TITLES OF ELON MUSK AND ZACH KIRKHORN HAVE CHANGED TO TECHNOKING OF TESLA AND MASTER OF COIN"
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Erdogan is moonlighting as a JPM analyst
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Faked AI images moving markets...welcome to the future... ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ
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Replying to @DumboJohn1
Brown shoes too ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ
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POTUS spends his weekend shilling cryptoโ€ฆwhat a worldโ€ฆ ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ
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Seeing as though it's quiet...
PiQ
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Replying to @AHart1974
V well put. Hope youโ€™re well mate!
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ONS - "Borrowing in the financial year to September 2025 was ยฃ99.8 billion...the second-highest April to September borrowing since monthly records began in 1993, after that of 2020."
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You just know Lagarde is going to make a mess of this...
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What an aspirational messageโ€ฆnot! ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ Work hard, earn a decent living, try to plan for yours & your familyโ€™s futureโ€ฆonly to have the Govt give it all to some layabout oik, or try to prop up the ailing state finances due to this lotโ€™s dire economic mismanagement
Pensions: - there to ensure more people have a secure retirement - not there to support tax planning
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Dear Apple Forget about making phones super-thin; instead, just give us a battery that lasts all day. Sincerely, Everyone
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Rachel Reeves says we're starting to see the results of her policy choices...yup, 276k jobs lost since she announced the Budget!!!! ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ
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Rachel Reeves crying in the Commons ๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚ *pause for breath* ๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚
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๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ
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NY Fed recession probability index at its highest since '82
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*UK 30-YEAR YIELD CLIMBS TO 5.66%, HIGHEST SINCE 1998
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This sums it up...tough to disclose key details of something that is almost entirely made up!! We're being taken for a ride...
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Ugh here we f***ing go The tariffs are what's freezing the labour market...not interest rates, not the cost of credit...the uncertainty caused by ever-changing, and nonsensical, trade policies...
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HSBC on UK fiscal - "a total of GBP30bn of tax rises would be needed to restore the previous GBP10bn headroom, or GBP40bn to double it [to the post-2010 avg]. Thatโ€™s a huge amount to raise, when you have promised not to touch 75% of the tax base"
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Always nice when your laptop does an impression of a jumbo jet take-off while using Excel...
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Sheer economic illiteracy
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Just three years ago we had a chancellor who worked for Goldman and then a couple of hedge fundsโ€ฆinfinitely more qualified than the BoEโ€™s ex-tea lady and a few years in Halifax customer servicesโ€ฆ
โ€œShe is probably the best qualified Chancellor that weโ€™ve had for a considerable periodโ€ฆ she is a trained economistโ€ Labourโ€™s Jacqui Smith defends Rachel Reeves, who is facing question over the accuracy of her online CV, saying her โ€œvalueโ€ will be proven on the job #bbcqt
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Rachel! Rachel, wake up!! *UK 30-YEAR YIELD RISES 16BPS TO 5.51%, HIGHEST SINCE 1998
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Deary me...safe to say we've seen this film before, and it doesn't have a happy ending...
First-time buyers will be supported to get on the housing ladder, with the Bank of England allowing more lending at over 4.5x a buyerโ€™s income. This reform could help 36,000 more people buy a home over its first year. Find out more about the reforms below.
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This is an utterly, utterly, terrible idea
NEW: Labour to give 16-year-olds the vote in time for the next election
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What could possibly go wrongโ€ฆ
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Get the lettuce on standby... *UK 10-YEAR YIELD CLIMBS 8BPS TO ONE-YEAR HIGH AT 4.53%
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*US 2- TO 10-YEAR CURVE INVERSION REACHES NEW MULTIYEAR EXTREME
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Getting to the point where there is next-to-no incentive to save, or invest, for one's future, and the future of one's family 'Do well, get shafted' - the UK's new motto it seems
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549,943 vaccine doses given in England yesterday, just shy of 1% of the entire population in a single day, weโ€™re finally crushing this damn virus...a huge achievement by all involved!!
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This is complete & utter idiocy Bloomberg - โ€œThe UK plans to mandate pension funds to invest in private markets and the domestic economy.โ€
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Technical analysis on inflation breakevens...do me a favour...
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Replying to @RachelReevesMP
How on earth were you ever employed by the Bank of England?
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Folk will ridicule but, yes, Iran launching missiles at US bases is bullish risk & bearish crude - if this is the extent of retaliation, it's simply a face-saving exercise which allows mkts to price out risk of escalation, and forget about the Strait of Hormuz scaremongering
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๐Ÿฟ
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