NATIONAL POLL: 74% say country is on wrong track, an all-time low in seven years of national Monmouth polling. Up from 60% in last month.
WRONG TRACK by PARTY:
46% REP (28% in May)
78% IND (63% in May)
92% DEM (83% in May)
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NATIONAL POLL: 67% say former WH counsel Don #McGahn should appear before Congress. Only 20% say he should not.
73% say Robert #Mueller should appear too.
Majority say these should be public hearings.
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NATIONAL POLL: 70% agree: “It’s time we accept that #Covid is here to stay and we just need to get on with our lives.”
AGREE by PARTY
89% REP
71% IND
47% DEM
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NATIONAL POLL: Nearly 1 in 5 Americans (18%) believe @TaylorSwift13 is part of a covert government effort to reelect @POTUS Biden.
Among this group, 71% identify with the GOP, 83% are likely to vote for Trump, and 73% believe Biden won 2020 by fraud.
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NATIONAL POLL: Should @realDonaldTrump be re-elected in 2020?
36% Should be re-elected (37% reg voters)
59% Time for someone else (58% reg voters)
Re-elect / someone else - by Party ID
REP - 76% / 16%
IND - 31% / 59%
DEM - 8% / 92%
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NATIONAL POLL: @realDonaldTrump rating
40% approve (44% in March)
54% disapprove (51% in March)
Approve/Disapprove by party
REP 83% / 13%
IND 40% / 49%
DEM 7% / 92%
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NEW JERSEY CD02 VOTER POLL: US House election #NJ02.
Registered voters:
49% @AmyKennedy715
44% Jeff @VanDrewForNJ
Likely voters, high turnout:
50% Kennedy
44% Van Drew
Likely voters, low turnout:
51% Kennedy
44% Van Drew
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NATIONAL POLL: Who has handled #COVID19 outbreak best?
GOOD JOB/BAD JOB
72%/18% - Governors
65%/24% - Federal health agencies
50%/45% - @realDonaldTrump
42%/37% - Congress
45%/43% - Media
38%/45% - American public
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
COMING MONDAY, bright and early: Our final poll of the cycle will be in... PENNSYLVANIA! [But you already guessed that, didn’t you?]
In our poll last month, @JoeBiden led @realDonaldTrump by double digits, up from a single-digit lead in late August.
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
WEST VIRGINIA CD03 POLL: US House election
All potential voters:
@Ojeda4congress (D) 43
@CarolMillerWV (R) 41
Likely voters:
Standard model - Ojeda 47 / Miller 41
Dem-surge model - Ojeda 48 / Miller 39
#WV03#Midterms2018monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
COMING TOMORROW: National voter poll on the 2024 presidential election. Our first look at the Kamala Harris - Donald Trump matchup.
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NATIONAL POLL: @POTUS Joe Biden begins his presidency with a higher job rating than Donald Trump ever received during his term.
54% approve
30% disapprove
APPROVE by PARTY:
DEM: 90%
IND: 47%
REP: 15%
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
COMING TOMORROW: National voter poll on the 2024 presidential election. Have there been any shifts in support for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump?
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NATIONAL POLL: Support remains high for Biden spending plans:
65% - Bipartisan Infrastructure deal #BIF
62% - #BuildBackBetter expansion of healthcare, childcare & other support
60% - Climate change funding in #BBB bill
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NATIONAL VOTER POLL: Support for 2024 presidential candidates.
KAMALA HARRIS:
38% definitely / 10% probably
44% definitely not / 6% probably not
DONALD TRUMP:
33% definitely / 10% probably
49% definitely not / 6% probably not
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
ALT Chart. National support for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. August 8-12, 2024
PENNSYLVANIA VOTER POLL: US Senate race - 49% are inclined to support John Fetterman (D) and 39% would back Mehmet Oz (R) at this stage.
Just under half (45%) definitely rule out voting for @DrOz, while 38% say the same for @JohnFetterman.
#2022Electionmonmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NATIONAL POLL: Handling of #COVID19 outbreak:
GOOD JOB/BAD JOB
72%/21% - Governors 72-18 in March
66%/25% - Federal health agencies 65-24
48%/42% - Media 45-43
46%/49% - @realDonaldTrump 50-45
41%/45% - Congress 42-37
38%/48% - American public 38-45
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
GEORGIA VOTER POLL: 70% of voters say @JoeBiden respects our military troops and 60% say the same about @realDonaldTrump.
RESPECT among military households: 66% Trump does / 59% Biden does
PREZ VOTE AMONG MILITARY HHs:
56% Trump
36% Biden
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NATIONAL POLL: Majority (57%) says police are more likely to use excessive force on blacks than whites. Up from 34% in 2016.
By RACE:
87% Black (77% in 2016)
63% other minority groups (39% in 2016)
49% white (25% in 2016)
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
Latest NATIONAL POLL shows huge shift in the 2020 DEM presidential nomination race as ⬛️⬛️⬛️⬛️⬛️⬛️ now has ⬛️%, followed by ⬛️⬛️⬛️⬛️⬛️⬛️ with ⬛️%. And ⬛️⬛️⬛️⬛️⬛️⬛️, who has never registered more than ⬛️% has now moved up to ⬛️%.
NATIONAL VOTER POLL: Support for 2024 presidential candidates.
KAMALA HARRIS:
39% definitely / 10% probably
42% definitely not / 6% probably not
DONALD TRUMP:
34% definitely / 10% probably
48% definitely not / 5% probably not
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
COMING TOMORROW: Pennsylvania poll @realDonaldTrump vs. @JoeBiden, including who voters trust more to handle the pandemic. Biden had a single-digit lead a month ago, down from double digits in July. Also, races for #PA AG, Treasurer, Auditor... and more.
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NATIONAL POLL: Have race relations gotten better or worse since @realDonaldTrump became president?
53% worse
10% better
33% no change
Results are similar to 2016 when @BarackObama was in office:
53% worse
10% better
33% no change
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
"Which Pollsters to Trust in 2018?" Appreciate that @NateSilver538 includes a "degree of difficulty" factor. We don't shy away from polling tougher elections like primaries and House races. fivethirtyeight.com/features… …
NATIONAL POLL: Most Americans (72%) believe the country is on the wrong track. Only 22% say it is headed in the right direction.
Wrong track number has been at record high (above 70%) since June.
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NATIONAL POLL: Which party do Americans want in control of Congress?
38% DEM
12% not matter, but lean DEM
34% GOP
9% not matter, but lean GOP
5% not matter, no lean
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NATIONAL POLL: @POTUS Joe Biden’s job approval rating has ticked up 8 points since bottoming out in December.
42% approve
55% disapprove
APPROVE by PARTY:
DEM - 86% (74% in December)
IND - 31% (24%)
REP - 7% (5%)
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
ALT Chart showing trend of President Biden's Job Rating
NEW YORK CD19 POLL: US House election
All potential voters:
@DelgadoforNY19 (D) 45
@RepJohnFaso (R) 43
Likely voters:
Standard model - Delgado 48 / Faso 45
Dem-surge model - Delgado 49 / Faso 43
#NY19#Midterms2018monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NEW YORK CD19 POLL: US House election
Likely voter models:
Standard - @DelgadoforNY19 (D) 49 @RepJohnFaso (R) (R) 44 (was 48/45 in Sept.)
Dem-surge - AD 51 / JF 43 (was 49/43 in Sept.)
Low turnout - AD 48 / JF 46 (was 48/46 in Sept.)
#NY19#Midterms2018monmouth.edu/polling-institu…
NATIONAL POLL: 83% of Americans support comprehensive background checks for ALL #gun purchases.
- 65% #NRA members
- 76% other gun owners
- 91% non-gun owners
AND 75% support #RedFlagLaws
- 59% #NRA members
- 70% other gun owners
- 83% non-gun owners
monmouth.edu/polling-institu…