VRS Enjoyer Stats & Data Guy EPICLAN Lead CS Admin UKIC League Admin Contact: mischief@nuselo.uk

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Teams' VRS Anchor has remained pretty unchanged post major. Looking at Feb below though, anchor is very consistent over time. No team in Feb VRS Hell contested Cologne Qual. An inefficcient calendar can cost you severely long term. The race to make Singapore started yesterday
VRS Sabbatical over, back on the grind. Teams often get "stuck" in the VRS grind, often unable to break into the upper echelons. Part of this is due to the maths behind it. Here are the teams that are currently most "stuck" in VRS Hell, brought to you by teletext.
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Fnatic have now qualified to the major. They needed: To win FRAG HEROIC to have their run at EPL OG's early exit at Riga M8 ex IC loss EPL upsets so M8 couldnt gain more in the 2-0 match SAW lose to 9INE VP visa issues Liquid&NiP drop out of frag And thats just the past 10 days
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I made a graphic to go through the potential complexity in the final day of the EU major race. EU RMR is back. No mistakes allowed, 3 matches remain to decide it all.
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What do EU 🇪🇺 teams need to occur for their VRS and Major hopes. Take with a pinch of salt as this could end up as very thin margins. Down to the wire.
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EU 🇪🇺 Major VRS predictions after Starseries and FISSURE have finished. Here are the EU teams' chances of making the Budapest major and their expected stage. Its nearly all decided with the key tournaments out the way, there is a chance of a final last dash though.
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How has the weekend affected the EU 🇪🇺 Major VRS predictions. M8 stay alive, Heroic drop outside the predicted top 16. Gonna be an exciting final week.
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HEROIC and BetBoom are out of major contention.
5 days to go till the Major is decided. What are the current EU 🇪🇺 Major VRS predictions. Major slipping away from Heroic, M8, Fnatic & OG. All on the line.
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I simulated 30,000,000 matches so you dont have to. Here is the how the 🇪🇺 EU Major run up is looking, with the VRS EU rankings on major cut off date. As @JesperLarsen222 predicted a long time ago, theres only really 3 spots up for grabs, fighting will be fierce.
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FIXED. How has EPL (and scope changes) affected the chances of making the major. There were two small issues, affecting teams' points. This has pretty big effect on small margins. FRAG change also affect team ceilings, benefitting M8 Errors explained in notes, apologies there.
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Was a bit of a wait Here are the current Americas 🌎 Major VRS predictions Circuit X has kind of thrown the predictions haywire. Its a mad dash for the final 2 spots (/more) M8's 🇪🇸 🇫🇷 hopes potentially rest on an event in Brazil, needing MIBR to lose so VP dont overtake them
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EU 🇪🇺 Major VRS predictions heading into the LAN rush (and importantly post some online results). Online stumbles have nearly decided the major. The last few open LANs provide a final lifeline. Also accounted for updated form and finalized seeds for EPL. Americas update soon.
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5 days to go till the Major is decided. What are the current EU 🇪🇺 Major VRS predictions. Major slipping away from Heroic, M8, Fnatic & OG. All on the line.
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EU 🇪🇺 Major VRS predictions updated (and fixed). How have the FISSURE, Starseries and crucially the ECL Cup results affected Teams' chances? Time is running out, bad losses at this stage could cost a team everything.
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This might be the M8 timeline. While they’re doing everything they can, they need a lot of other results around the world to go their way
Gentle Mates secure 1-0 in EPL S22 🔥 🇪🇸
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Well, the EU major race just got exciting. Updated EU 🇪🇺 Major VRS predictions after the EPL changes. This has handed a lifeline to contending teams, its gonna be a very interesting next 10 days.
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Here are the current EU 🇪🇺 Major VRS predictions whilst FRAG is still ongoing. One spot is left, 7 teams still with a chance and 5 fighting it out at Fragadelphia. 9INE keep their hopes alive, which team will fall first. Most teams hope rely on what happens in SAW's matches.
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The night sky of the VRS. An interaction model of the past 6 months of VRS matches, showing scene overlap as well as lack of overlap within regions too. Nodes are teams, edges are matches.
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Americas 🌎 Major VRS predictions heading into FERJEE and Fragadelphia. The final 2 spots are still all to play for. FERJEE Rush as the queen stage to potentially propel the final South Americna team to the major. Blocktober as the final mad dash.
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ESEA S48 - North America - Advanced Stats 🔗Full Data: bit.ly/ADV48NAStats 📊Graphs: tabsoft.co/3uZmeuB Doubt this reaches the intended audience and only a days work but enjoyed doing stats of a whole region's div.
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Heres how the updated predictions for the EU 🇪🇺 VRS rankings stand for the Budapest Major. Big changes from the last predictions after Liquid & VP get 2 wins at Fissure. The Major Race is starting to come to its conclusion. Starladder may end up being the final kingmaker.
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Updated predictions for the EU 🇪🇺 VRS rankings race to qualify to the Budapest Major. Race is on for the final ~4 spots, with competition from 12th all the way to 22nd. DracuLAN and Blast London have caused significant swing but its all still to play for.
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Here are the predictions for the Americas 🌎 qualification to the Budapest Major. A pivot in the balance compared to previous majors Theres a 37% chance less than 3 NA 🇺🇸 teams qualify NA CS somewhat suffering in this VRS system due to the imbalance in points on offer.
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With ITB securing a worst possible finish of 11th, theyre set to gain ~100 HLTV ranking points minimum. This will break the record for the highest ranked uk team (Fnatic 138 points, 13/12) by points and quite possibly by ranking position. 🇬🇧
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I simulated another 40,000,000 matches The updated Europe 🇪🇺 Major predictions, simulating the EU VRS rankings on the Major cutoff date. Americas 🌎 predictions tomorrow @virtuspro @OGesports & @gentlemates are predicted to occupy the last few spots, but its incredibly close.
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Post EPIC45 VRS Changes: @IberianSoul +6 rank gain (55 points) @theAllianceGG +11 ranks (76 points) @GONXTGG +35 ranks (116 points) @TheLastResort +38 ranks (110 points) @8sinsesports +24 ranks (39 points) @AaBesport +143 ranks (323 points) @FUTesportsgg +116 ranks (204 points)
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For full clarity there is an error here, centred around ex Inner Circle. As they have so few matches (only one win before Birch), their form was incorrectly represented for their matches. It is possible for them to make the major (just with quite the run). Theyd be required to have a deep run at CCT, ideally win this final and deep run at Frag for LANW (finish point can vary on starting point).
Well, the EU major race just got exciting. Updated EU 🇪🇺 Major VRS predictions after the EPL changes. This has handed a lifeline to contending teams, its gonna be a very interesting next 10 days.
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UKIC Ruby League slander video
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Final Americas 🌎 VRS Major predictions Looks like MRQ's are back on the menu with the final couple days of the Americas VRS race for the major. All on the line for teams at Circuit X 🇧🇷 and FRAG Blocktober 🇺🇸 No missteps possible now.
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I disagree with this sentiment as all of these teams have had far bigger events where they couldve secured the major earlier. This final spot shouldnt even exist really if it wasnt for VP's visa issue. This situation is essentially just one of the 3rd place playins of old. If FNATIC (CQ), ECSTATIC (CQ), OG & 9INE had done better at Starseries they couldve secured the major, as the likes of NiP and B8 effectively did. Starseries was essentially the effective RMR and they didnt have the run. Theres further tournaments where these teams could have performed at too, BLAST London, ECL results, Exort etc. FRAG's importance is exaggerated due to what has occurred, this race couldve ended weeks ago though.
remember the criticism that the rmr was bad because it was more important than the major for these teams now fragadelphia is more important than the major to eu teams
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Heres the updated predictions for the Americas 🌎VRS rankings to qualify to the Major. Not too many changes, notably Passion UA did just jump from 77% to 95% after beating M8. Alot of teams have been fluctuating over the past few days after painful losses in ECL.
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The return of ESEA Stats 📊-Every single league 🗺️ Stats for any team currently competing in ESEA Stats can be found here: bit.ly/S49Stats Will be updating weekly(ish) and pushing more stat types too, just manual downloads means it takes alot of effort.
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Proud to say I now hold a Masters of Engineering and completed uni with a 2:1. Loved my course but my favourite part will always be uni cs. The best community, has been a privilige to be part of it. Been preoccupied with other work but alot planned for more UKCS projects.
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2022, admining, UKCS, my mental health and the future. Read: twitlonger.com/show/n_1ss792…
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Replying to @GrimyRannarr
We need Jason at an epiclan
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Only had to double check 5 times I was buying flights to Budapest and not Bucharest. See you at the major, only need to tank a horrifically early flight.
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Replying to @HazzaZag
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How does this affect the chance of making the major? (This was calculated before the current M8 vs Inner Circle match, this is more an evaluation of the decision) M8: This does slightly hurt their chances, but by an incredibly small 1 or 2%. Due to their anchor, their gain rate is weakened. Losses are incredibly limiting and having a guaranteed loss in the Quarters is quite the limitation (this was an assumed exit point). Swapping to EPL also means that good performance will mean no cash earnt, which (while small) is of some benefit whilst having a full LAN bucket where decayed wins are being replaced. This is a change which mostly affects who theyre fighting the final major spots for, with now a direct matchup against HEROIC. That opening match is crucial for both teams. Theyll also get the benefits of potential bigger H2H wins at EPL, but this is somewhat offset by the baked in loss. Overall for M8 this is a fine change, it has little overall major impact. This also has significant benefit for the future with the chance of making the EPL. Fnatic: Fnatic will have declined the invite for it to drop to M8. Fnatic are in a similarly difficult situation, but with a bigger Anchor penalty affecting their seed modifier gains. This bigger anchor makes the potential larger H2H gains rather appealing, as well as key matches against major competition helping close the gap. Again its a small change, but Fnatic wouldve seen a slight net benefit from attending EPL (assuming that FRAG groups arent covered and they couldve gone out 3rd in their group). This benefit is due to their higher penalty making the EPL teamlsit a better source of points as well as that key swing against HEROIC. This is mostly just the risk / reward of swapping to EPL and having to spend a loss to do so.
Unfortunately @Lynnvision_ are unable to field a complete roster at #ESLProLeague Season 22. Due to their ineligibility and a short replacement window, Lynn Vision will be replaced by @gentlemates who were the next eligible team to accept the invite per our rules stating: 3.2.6 Last minute replacements Any withdrawal occurring less than two weeks prior to the event's start date will result in the invitation being granted to the highest-ranked team on the Valve Regional Standings from the host region of the event. Only teams with valid visas for the region or country where the tournament is being held will be considered.
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Really enjoyed this LAN. Everyone on the team has done exceptional this event and been a privilege again to be part of the team. Loved speaking to everyone, stats will be out later in the week. Prep for next event starts tomorrow after a big sleep.
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A great E40 . Thanks to all the team for the massive work. Congrats Raptors on the win Credit to Soul’s Land for coming to their first LAN, w/ a sub and getting 4th. Rly promising start Also flowstate for last minute roster , a coach and getting top 6. Stats when possible 😞
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Replying to @TimMEsports
couldn't agree more, I heard North Ultras have weekly meetings talking about how to eradicate Astralis fans in a genocide. Its honestly disgusting how these Viking fans walk through poor danish villages slaughtering everyone who doesnt have teeth hanging outside of their mouth.
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EPIC41 Stats 📊 🔗bit.ly/E41Stats Continued trialing a new NUSELO rating system which takes alot of variables into account and equates to the level of teams you play. Will get some more team stats and graphs out later!
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Replying to @ropz
@inscsgo lolllll you got mistaken for Dex's kid
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didn't realise you could get from Hamburg to Malta that quick.
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Long event but enjoyable and was good working with the team and getting to see everyone. Nice to be back to a bed after averaging 4h of sleep on the floor. Stats and Fantasy out some time early next week.
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Hey @MINLATE_cs , did you accidentally leave Amanek behind in Kettering?
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ESEA S50 - NA 🇺🇸🇨🇦🇲🇽 Advanced Stats 📊Table available: docs.google.com/spreadsheets… Graphs and more stats at a later date.
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The gap between Virtus Pro and M8 has now been closed to 4 points after MIBR secured 2 wins at Circuit X
Replying to @CastRabenas
So all matches get recalculated each time the ranking is run. VP has 3 previous matches against MIBR as well as one slot in the own Network bucket. If MIBR go on a flawless streak they’re going up potentially 140-150ish points. This will recalculate all their previous matches against VP, recalculating for VP to receive more / lose less points in each match. This would also increase MIBRs own network, benefitting how much VP gained from that match. While neither VP or M8 play, due to recalculation VP might still end up above. VP would still rely on other teams’ performance, and equally if this goes the other way , M8 also rely on other teams’ performance. Neither teams’ fate is sealed.
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UKCS Rankings 01/11 v2 🔗ranking.ukcsgo.com/ Huge thanks to @shoobie_cs and the @ukcsgo team for porting this to a website. Looks alot better and alot more user friendly For now the database, history, stats , tiering & details will remain on the sheet.
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🇬🇧UKCS Database 2.0 🇬🇧 Updated as of current A new and improved ranking system and tiering / coverage for future events. This system is now clearly outlined Check it out🔗bit.ly/UKCSDatabase For support / feedback head to : discord.gg/gB38cz6dSv RT's appreciated 🙏
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Replying to @KartiPiotr
Today’s games don’t count for the major rankings unfortunately
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Was a pleasure to be on thanks for having me, really enjoyed it and getting to chat to Banks and Devilwalk.
Ep 27 - The secrets to VRS & EPL! 📊Who will make the Major? VRS expert @MischiefCS2 joins us to discuss everything VRS, who is likely to get points and how! 🇸🇪EPL stage 1 review of crazy upsets & stage 2 preview! 📺 piped.video/watch?v=O103KvVx… 🎧 allaboutcs.gg
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Replying to @TradeYummy
They’re having a great time in the Americas rankings
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Ill do a breakdown for each team tomorrow (after FRAG has had some of groups) but its SAWs invite to grab Top3 and its likely theres. Even top4 gives them a good chance (depends on how other teams do) For all other teams winning might not even be enough, fate rests with others
Replying to @MischiefCS2
@MischiefCS2 what type of run does SAW need to attend major?
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I think my domestic ranking system has potential and I want to improve it, but it has to have 0% bias Because of this, I've mutually parted ways with @ArcticRaptorsGG so I can pursue UK ranking and LOps to the full. Amazing team, goat org and enjoyed every second of it. GL ❤️
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8Sins have made the VRS rankings post EPICLAN, ranking among some decent company. 100% of their current points tally have been from EPICLAN events, attaining 350 points.
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UKCS 2022 Database & Ranking I've produced an entirely data-based ranking system for UKCS as well as producing a database for UK players across ESEA & UK Events in 2022 🔗bit.ly/UKCSDatabase This is NOT my opinion, just what the numbers churn out 😅. Please read the FAQ's
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With @fragadelphia Blocktober being the effective RMR, here is how it affects major qualification for the teams in attendance. Simulated maximum potential gain from FRAG for each team, assumes groups are covered and new model is used. While this doesnt account for other tournaments, alot of teams cap out on LANW, limiting future gain.
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The first month of the new VRS system has concluded. There have been 114 finishes awarding VRS points. Not a single one of these tournaments has had open qualifiers, all relying on VRS invites. The open circuit.
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Here are all the stats for EPIC36 #epiclan bit.ly/EPIC36STATS Thanks to everyone who took part and hope everyone had a good time, was my first LAN event leading so had a few hiccups but hope all good. Huge congrats to emps kids for winning and BLVKHVND for a great final.
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Replying to @Chicaopf
I’m sure SAW fans won’t be
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ESEA S48 - North America - Main Stats 🔗Spreadsheet: bit.ly/S48MainNAStats 📈Graphs: tabsoft.co/3wOQU2j Could've done a bit more and I'm late to the party on it but finally got a wrangle on Expected Round Wins I'm still looking for work, DM's Open. Playoffs when done.
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Big step for me and super excited about it Huge thanks to TJ and Pete for the opportunity , massively appreciate everything. Hope to bring UKCS some very exciting projects soon
Been part of UKIC for ages - time to make it official 👏🏽 Welcome spreadsheet king @MischiefCS2 👑
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UKCS Database 3.0 - No more scrolling Every player in the UKCS Database has now had a player page added. Click on your name to access it. 🔗bit.ly/UKCSDatabase You can add pictures or set LFT : bit.ly/UKCSPlayerEditor Any issues DM me on Twitter Team pages soon
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33 teams for @EPICLAN 45 🇬🇧, with 6 of those being International. 🇪🇺🇪🇺🇪🇺🇩🇰🇩🇰🇸🇪 16 tickets remain for any further teams. EPIC 45 - Largest summer EPICLAN ever EPIC 44 - Largest spring EPICLAN (joint) EPIC 43 - Largest winter EPICLAN ever Kettering is massive.
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📊E38 Stats📊 🔗 bit.ly/E38Stats E38 was amazing , EPIC team is worldclass and went very smooth. Loved seeing every1 Got some things to work out and a pretty open schedule so looks like I'll have a nice break. Hopefully better luck soon Detailed stats in a few days
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Really excited about this opportunity . Huge thanks to @papp_cs for helping make this happen. Obviously means a break from UKCS LOps and hopefully will be back one day, love you all just had to take a break. Still would love to do any LOps work where the opportunity permits
We have a new statman to go with a fresh roster change. 📊📈 Welcome our new analyst, @Mischief_CSGO. 💙 2/3 ✅🦖
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Some NACS Stats 🇺🇸 An absolute ton of stats for any who competed in a @fragadelphia event in 2025. Event rankings, player comparison, % you farm ecos & more. 🔗 nuselo .streamlit.app/NACS_Events (requires discord login) Im sure my 3 NA followers will appreciate this.
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Stats for UKIC Season 0 (All Divisions) are now available at: 🔗bit.ly/UKICS0Stats Theres alot of new categories😅. A README explains them. Might not be quite @getDOIGED level, but my biggest project and super happy with it. Just in time for Christmas 🎄 , graphs after.
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Planning to run a UKCS 🇬🇧 Draft tournament 💷£800 prize pool Min. 8 teams Top UKCS players as captains Pick their team in a draft-style format from an open pool. Itll be in the next ~2 months, lite tournament with relaxed schedules and non intensive number of matches.
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EPIC37 Fantasy is ready to go, releasing Monday Check out the preliminary prices (subject to change) at: bit.ly/E37Pricing If youd like to submit an image or amend your current, head to: forms.gle/FrzL45CVw7LiEcoB6
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UKCS Database - Top 20 huge thanks to @dbdan_ for the graphic, super appreciated #1 - @shyyneCS
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EPIC43 Stats 📊 Will put more stats out and some cool things at a later date, just wanted to make sure I got them out as soon as I had access to the demos. 🔗docs.google.com/spreadsheets…
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Baffling things from some teams this LAN. EPIC44 Full event stats: docs.google.com/spreadsheets…
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Only finished events / stages will count towards the major rankings. Those pro league games won’t count for the October 6th rankings
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I thought UKCS had moved on from its RattlesnK hate
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Replying to @w0xic
Its somewhat hard to convey as everyone often uses points to describe VRS, but points dont really exist. Points are unique and relative to the specific time. The reason why the points change is occurring is due to a context change with LAN wins becoming more common, essentially devaluing the benefit of a LAN win. This has been expected for a while. Youre not actually losing / gaining anything, you keep the same bounty earnt, lan matches won etc. In this case (dependent points can vary but thats not too relevant here) Essentially whats happening is the ranking system is adjusting with the acknowledgement LAN wins are more prevalent and changing the context. In this new context it perceives G2 as having performed better. If this context had been applied the whole time you would have always been below G2 in the past few days, and it wouldve been clearer that a Liquid win would lead to stage 3.
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Replying to @CS2News_EN
Theyre not really losing points. Points dont really exist and are only really an expression of difference for that specific point in time's ranking. 1000 Points from a month ago isnt necessarily the same as now. The minimum prizepool guaranteed is increasing the bounty offered clamp point, essentially changing the context of the ranking system and that point loss is the reflection of where the Mongolz are in the new context.
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Rough day for the lad
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Over 8 months Ive gone from Admining my first event to Leading one. I hope everyone had an enjoyable time and sorry for the hiccups. EPIC37 Stats: bit.ly/E37Stats Fantasy is now done, congrats to @moshi_cs for winning. Available at: bit.ly/E37Fantasy
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How important are pistol rounds in the current CS economy? Across all ESEA matches so far, the win% chance depending on pistol round results, peaking at a 81% win% chance in Open if you win both pistols. ESEA player stats and more at: bit.ly/S49Stats
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A bitter sweet end to University CS. Accomplished a lot but would have always hoped it would end differently. On to a new chapter in life
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ITB 🇬🇧🏆 Clearly the way to succeed in CS is win an EPICLAN. Take notes people, the training you get against the likes of Binmen, Jeffrey Rizzstein and Synergy turns out in to major legends. Next bootcamp location for FaZe
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Replying to @Flashback_xD
We've also got the goat @JesperLarsen222 doing amazing work explaining every aspect of the VRS. Basically offering a free degree in understanding it. Every single team who wants to compete in this era should read every tweet he puts out. Or simply, hire him.
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AT EPIC41: @ifanb0b spent a total of 14 minutes fully blind. @bevvexyz killed 7 chickens in cold blood. @UkGwv planted the most bombs per game. I dont think you need any more stats
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📊EPIC45 Stats (remove the space): nuselo.streamlit. app/Events?comp_id=EPIC45 11 events in a row now volunteering at EPIC & still stuff to improve, but this was aboslutely my favourite ever. Lost direction a bit with Esports recently, but its impossible not to love UKCS.
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Replying to @draulon
zakmp4 has 1 trophy, despite playing thousands of pugs, multiple OOL's and no top 1 millions
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The UKCS Database has been updated to as of 23/01/23 , rankings have also been updated to reflect current rosters. ~70 new players have been added, Check it out at: bit.ly/UKCSDatabase Again, a huge amount of automation is used so if you spot any issues please reach out.
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EPIC40 Stats (Finally) Some stats weren't possible with the CS2 output yet so have thrown in some new things. Will put out some fancy graphs aswell! Check it out at: bit.ly/EPIC40Stats Unfortunately some data did corrupt but tried to present what I can, sorry for the wait
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s1mple playing against some yellow levels at EPIC46, 10am in Kettering, for the hope of VRS points.
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The Ruby League Menace
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The Americas 🌎 VRS major race is set to be heavily impacted by LAN wins Alot of teams have significant LANW cap space (@bestia_corp & @9zTeam especially), so lots of movement could still occur. FERJEE, Aorus & Fragicago will have big effect Current LAN Wins cap space:
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EPIC38 is a little over a week away! Fantasy will release on Monday, to check out the current prices head to: bit.ly/E38FantasyPricing If your spot says (WIP) your card is being worked on, if your card is missing please see below. Any issues, DM's open
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Updated predictions for the 🌎 Americas VRS rankings. A very open race with only 4/5 spots safe. Big improvements in the chances for NA after a monster run from M80 at BLAST, pulling up NRG at the same time.
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All EPIC42 match ratings have been updated on the original dump sheet. Full stats will be available tomorrow. 🥇@PrimeOPI - 1.52 Rating 🥈@KezhamCS - 1.49 Rating 🥉@yz0aja - 1.45 Rating
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Ruby League ELO Gainers & Losers 🥇@Finuii (+476) 🥈@ghilcs (+292) 🥉@moshi_cs (+256) 📉@RhysStumbles (-172) 📉@JAUSTERE_ (-220) 📉@BehinDxcs (-228) The next biggest losses are all ~100 or less so idk where the ELO is going unless I missed someone big
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A tough year but took a break, focused less on making it admining &realised im alot happier I hope to continue admining UKCS & EPIC but anything further is no longer me,my skillset & love is domestic Likely try pursue volunteer stats more as thats my first love & miss competing
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UK scene is absolutely breaking me, seems like I can never do enough. A reasonable mountain to climb but just need to reset and focus for epic
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This took alot of work, but hopefully should be sick. Fantasy for EPIC37 is now live. Make your team here: bit.ly/E37FantasyTeam Read the instructions carefully please 🙂
Fantasy #CSGO comes to #EPIC37 . Here is your chance to put some of the best UK players on a team together & earn you some points (& even maybe a prize too). Anybody can enter, all details here: tournaments.epiclan.co.uk/to… #esports
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Highest rating at epic is a bit of a surprise
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Replying to @zohaas_games
nah. this match did the most damage as it changed when they would be able to drop out to (and whom) hltv.org/matches/2386063/gen… Decision to attend EPL was without a doubt the right decision. Theyve had a great run so far and theyre in a good spot for the future.
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Previous sim is mostly useless post the FRAG coverage change, that -1 (likely easy) LAN win swing is pretty huge. Will be a big benefit to teams trying to hold their opponents off. By observation, i think ive made an error for Liquid S2 too. Cant find whats wrong Update tmrrw
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