Democratizing evidence-based policy @ThePolicyEngine. Views my own.

Washington, DC
The USAID database was public until Trump shut it down
Publish the USAID database Pause all payments for 100 days Every single transaction under the microscope; let the daily wire, NYTimes and everyone in between into the offices to see where the money has been flowing The country is on the brink of insolvency, sunlight on all spending until the budget is balanced — at then going forward
74
1,045
11,855
447,808
Update: French people now produce 7% less carbon emissions of the average person on Earth
It's incredible that French people have about triple the income as the average person on Earth, but produce basically the same carbon emissions. Nuclear is a hell of a power source.
103
1,133
9,426
1,147,423
Always baffling that "it should be legal to build apartments on lots where you can currently only build mansions" is remotely controversial on the left.
88
399
6,239
Literally every top comment on NPR's housing story is shortage denial
156
370
5,535
It's incredible that French people have about triple the income as the average person on Earth, but produce basically the same carbon emissions. Nuclear is a hell of a power source.
48
915
5,452
Should Biden step aside? All Democrats: +8 Democrats 65 and older: -35
118
301
2,724
317,985
Last Friday, a driver killed my friend Supervisor @carmen4oxnard as she was crossing the street. Today, the police released that the driver used a 2020 GMC Sierra 2500. These machines make me sick.
60
199
2,444
This is your city on rent control
48
353
2,494
Friends, colleagues, may I present to you: the California Marginal Tax Rate Schedule
62
271
2,351
825,620
Just looked up my friend's house in Palo Alto, which his dad bought in 1972. Redfin estimate: $3.5 million Assessed value: $158,000 They're paying a property tax rate below 0.05%. If imputed rents were treated as income, this would be an income tax rate below 2%. End Prop 13.
61
176
2,094
The @uscensusbureau has taken down American Community Survey microdata. Thankfully @nikhil_woodruff had a local copy, so we now store it on @ThePolicyEngine servers.
42
458
1,840
990,988
For every 5 likes this gets, I will ask ChatGPT to make this marginal tax rate schedule look more absurd.
19
62
1,691
314,229
Replying to @ArmandDoma
1
1
1,566
32,428
"BlackRock owning half a percent of single-family home rentals is why inflation is the highest it's been in 40 years" is peak Dan Price
Replying to @business
this is especially rich considering this "entitled generation" hasn't been able to buy homes largely because BlackRock buys up all the homes and jacks up rents (which is also the biggest source of inflation).
17
76
1,306
I know this isn’t what people want to hear but adding lanes to a highway to ease congestion is about as effective as building more housing to lower housing costs. (It works)
I know this isn’t what people want to hear but building more housing to lower housing costs is about as effective as adding lanes to a highway to ease congestion. (It doesn’t work)
Community note
in practice, induced demand has not been found in housing; building more supply does drop prices locally pewtrusts.org/en/research-an… blocksandlots.com/wp-content/upl…
48
34
1,385
195,810
Riding a Megabus back from NYC to DC because it was $200 cheaper than Amtrak (one way), and remembering the NIMBYs who demonized these exact cramped buses as "luxury" when Googlers had to take them because Mountain View City Council wouldn't let them live near their job.
5
26
1,164
59,322
It's peak DSA to take an opportunity to house 170 families, including 24 low-income ones, and oppose it for aesthetic reasons under the guise of anti-"luxury" sentimentality. (This is DSA LA's housing & homelessness chair.)
27
135
1,063
Senior @BernieSanders staffer's pinned tweet compares inflation-adjusted wages to nominal costs
32
77
1,089
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
16
77
984
Love him or hate him, @MattBruenig is an exceptionally thorough policy analyst.
15
40
834
The mortgage interest deduction literally makes the same home cheaper for a rich person than for a poor person.
28
98
796
The average salary for an H-1B exceeds the median American personal income by 180%.
Replying to @RobertMSterling
Contrary to what I expected, the average salary for an H-1B is relatively low—slightly under $120k this year. Given that much of the H-1B debate pertains to tech workers, I (incorrectly) assumed the average would be higher. But this is the beauty of data, right?
141
102
729
66,798
The Child Tax Credit already has a work requirement: you have to spend 18 years turning a nonverbal neonate into a functional human being.
9
91
706
Imagine for a moment: You've lost your job and decide to apply for SNAP (food stamps) to feed your family. You go to the county human services agency for your qualification interview. The waiting room is filled with homeless people and you worry about your life trajectory. 1/
12
279
720
"My folks helped me buy a home" is a funny euphemism Bro your parents just handed you six figures of wealth
14
10
668
54,329
Well I'll be damned
Inflation occurs when employers raise prices. Profit drives their decisions. But they dare not publicly admit that reason. Instead they blame gov't or rising wages or "shortages" etc.: anything/anyone but themselves. Dont be fooled. bbc.in/3FGyfFY
17
64
686
Not in their executive summary, not in their full report, but in a separate methodology note, Oxfam mentions that “since 2020” means “since March 18, 2020” (the trough of the Covid downturn) for billionaires, but it means “since 2019” for the 5 billion who they claim lost wealth.
Inequality is out of control. Our new report #InequalityInc finds that the 5 richest men doubled their wealth since 2020, while 5 billion people were made poorer. Thank you @RBReich for sharing.
14
37
717
97,885
The policy question is pretty simple: Should families have to buy mansions to live in a place, or should we allow them to share an apartment building with other families?
5
9
604
These are the experiences our safety net puts people through. 40 million people are on SNAP, and other programs can be even more burdensome. We gate access, we surveil, we restrict choices. We humiliate. We spend billions in administration to do this. Just. Give. Cash. /end
21
68
583
For every 10 likes this gets, I'll ask ChatGPT to further illustrate how Land Value Tax Would Solve This
21
36
634
101,337
With 5% interest, your fortune would be 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 times larger than the average fortune of the 5 richest billionaires.
It's 2589 BC. The Egyptians are building the Giza Pyramids. You are immortal. You have $0. You decide to save $10,000 every day, never spending a cent. 4609 years later, it's 2020. You only have only one-fifth the average fortune of the 5 richest billionaires. Tax the rich.
17
60
623
Imagine a referee openly mocking a player like this. @Polymarket's bias jeopardizes prediction markets' potential to objectively inform us about society's most important issues.
13
17
628
17,773
If this single parent of two in California earns $10k, they take home $38k. If they earn $50k, they take home $49k. That's a 73% marginal tax rate over a $40,000 earnings range. And that's without childcare and housing subsidies!
11
69
598
76,603
Incredible
20
4
513
So you gonna delete your false post or
2
1
555
7,251
This is cringe. If NYC and California want to ban soda, so be it. But don't ban it just for poor people. jamanetwork.com/journals/jam…
14
39
487
Romney's child allowance would have over 5x the poverty impact of raising the minimum wage to $15 per hour, and it would do it immediately instead of waiting until 2025. Family Security Act: 5.1 million (@NiskanenCenter) Raise the Wage Act: 0.9 million (@USCBO)
13
93
534
A single person with a disability and no earnings takes home $14,411 in 2024 A single person without a disability earning $30k takes home $25,920 Separate, they take home $14,411 + $25,920 = $40,331 If they marry, they take home $31,862 $8,469 marriage penalty, or 21%
Many politicians believe that when someone with a disability is married, it's the job of the spouse to pay for their disabled spouse's survival and thus PwD lose their SSI checks as a result of marriage and thus often "choose" to remain unmarried. Basic income would change this.
2
59
473
244,350
I want a word to express being proud of a prompt
9
14
508
75,735
James Damore wrote his memo two years after I transferred from Google's HR Analytics team to YouTube. My former colleagues sent a counter-memo to all Googlers "debunking" it, but not actually citing the scientific literature--since it supported Damore. It was a wake-up call for me.
Yeah, all right, let's talk about James Damore. It's been eight years, and I really doubt Harj (who was my boss at the time) is the only person for whom it was a formative experience. For those of you who have no recollection of any of this, either because you are wisely an offline person or because you got outraged for five minutes and then forgot all about it, James Damore was a Google software engineer who wrote a memo arguing that, while diversity and inclusion were good goals, bias was not the main reason there weren't more women in tech, and differences in personality between men and women probably explained a lot of it. There was a lot in the memo that felt like a distraction to me, or where I had a nitpick, but fundamentally it was not only basically correct (women are less likely than men to become software engineers, and this is not only because of bias), but also Damore was saying this for the sake of having a more productive conversation about how to get more women into tech, a goal that everyone around him was fervently espousing. The memo has a painful-in-hindsight quality of earnestness: "you want more women in tech, and I think you're mistaken about how to get there! if I show you some published psychology research we can actually design better means to your goal!". Anyway. The internet was outraged. He got fired from Google. And he applied to the tech hiring startup I worked at, Triplebyte, which offered background-blind screening to anyone who wanted to be a software engineer. We really believed in the mission, at Triplebyte. I think I ended up kind of badly calibrated about how earnest to expect people to be everywhere else. We found people working as janitors and line cooks and homemakers who could code, and we got them 6 figure jobs, and we were proud of it. James Damore did very well on our tests. I got assigned to write him a profile for our companies. And then people freaked out. A lot of them had the impression that he would create a hostile environment for any woman he worked with, and thought that trying to help him get a new job was tantamount to endorsing everything in his wildly controversial memo. I didn't even like the memo that much, but I was kind of horrified, because - it's one thing to get fired for talking about politics at work in a way that causes a massive national firestorm. I kind of expect that we would all get fired for that. But it is another thing entirely to get effectively blacklisted from your industry, to have people decide on the basis of your political opinions that we shouldn't even put you up on the platform and let companies decide individually whether to schedule interviews. Tech jobs were not that hard to come by in 2017 if you were really good at your job, and Damore was. Firing isn't that threatening to software engineers. Blacklisting is terrifying. I'd been at Triplebyte for like six months at this point, it was my first job after graduation, and I was honestly way out of my lane, but I made a pretty big fuss internally. (It helped that I suspected a lot of people agreed with me but I was a woman and it was safer for me to say it.) I said that we were not in the business of deciding who had good politics, that we shared this country with many people who profoundly disagreed with each other, that companies could assess for themselves if he worked respectfully with female engineers, and that we should put him on the site and let them decide. We did. And then Harj was immediately contacted by recruiters from companies we worked with that were horrified that we had. They felt that by not banning him from our platform we were endorsing his memo, that we were showing values not in line with their priorities. Harj talks about this more in the linked podcast. James Damore was egregiously wronged. To my knowledge he's a good software engineer with extremely reasonable, approximately accurate opinions about the reasons there were fewer women in software engineering, which he shared in good faith, and a lot of people who should've known better really did try to drive him out of the industry for it. It was wrong. If it is done to people on the basis of any other political opinion it is also wrong then. We need, as a society, the ability to live with disagreement, to dislike each other without trying to destroy each other, to find common ground instead of finding heretics; I believed that at Peak Woke and I believe it now.
11
20
494
47,632
Remember when 40% of Americans couldn't cover a $400 emergency expense with cash? That was 2017. Today, it's down to 32%, from 50% in 2013. federalreserve.gov/consumers…
17
51
440
Replying to @TheOmniZaddy
Until we nationalize the catering industry, marriage equality is nothing but a corporate handout
1
14
407
By golly, she did it.
2
17
420
You're telling me the IRS couldn't get a better URL than freefilefillableforms dot com/#/fd/childtaxcredit ??
11
17
411
carbon dividends
3
32
404
Replying to @mycoliza
>like Stripe but for matrimony
2
5
440
7,674
"WE'RE FULL" chanted the YIMBYs as the vehicle tried to enter their utopia of density and walkability
16
15
379
Ruin an economic policy by changing one letter.
435
57
382
I love this graphic from @alfred_twu and @cayimby so much. It's beautiful both at an abstract level and more specifically with respect to the situation it depicts: multifamily housing enabling a multigenerational family to live comfortably together. That's what community's about.
3
44
379
The extent to which MMT has harmed liberal policy is severely underrated. Kelton & co took a whole generation of people most demographically inclined to support taxes, and turned them against the only path to a sustainable, generous welfare state any country has ever taken.
44
31
381
If this person is eligible for the EITC (likely), she will get it automatically when using TurboTax for tax filing. If that's "OK", what makes SNAP different?
Oh my god this Ethicist response is insane. How can they possibly think this is OK?
3
5
375
83,932
Replying to @PippengerHarlo
Wrong but would still be good on environmental grounds if it were true
4
1
366
This @PreetBharara interview is the most compelling one I've heard of a 2020 candidate. @SenatorBennet is the kind of thoughtful, caring, liberal, policy-oriented leader this country needs. Interview starts at 13:35. cafe.com/stay-tuned-the-oppo…
31
68
327
researching candidates for local office in the suburbs
5
20
361
The effective tax rate on the annual income from this home's rental value in California is 26-28%. That's with no other income. Our aristocratic, anti-renter tax code gives a tax break of over 90% to those who've been made millionaires through sheer luck and then kept in place.
1
10
337
Replying to @NandoDF
Tech companies don't control SF zoning
4
373
15,007
A real failure of regulation is noisy vehicles. Most regulations come with some real economic cost, but removing mufflers doesn't benefit anyone, it just wakes people up and makes it impossible for people with soft voices or hearing loss to communicate on city streets.
11
23
330
Because land use in America is undemocratically controlled by the tiny share of the population that attends local meetings, and these people overwhelmingly hate anything that threatens car-centrism, including transit and the density required to sustain transit.
How come Japan gets cool shit like suspension monorail trains, and we don't? 😠😖
7
36
324
Broke: Child Tax Credit Woke: Child Allowance Bespoke: Universal Baby Income
4
18
324
STOP making fun of reasons for UBI Ending poverty is MORALLY IMPERATIVE Supporting people without traditional employment is INCLUSIVE Avoiding bureaucracy and welfare cliffs is EFFICIENT Saving the world from tech apocalypse Giving cash over in-kind benefits is LIBERATING
7
76
322
a) Canada's $2,000/month ($500/week) was only for people who lost their job due to Covid, like our $600/week FPUC program b) You couldn't claim it on top of normal unemployment, unlike FPUC c) $2,000 CAD = $1,560 USD Canada's program was way less generous than our program.
Canada did $2,000/monthly. The US is the richest nation on earth and a 2nd stimulus check is getting blocked bc GOP want corporate bailouts & austerity in “exchange” for it. Maybe if everyone in the US incorporated as an LLC, Mitch McConnell would actually do something for them.
8
37
316
My op-ed in today's @NYDailyNews summarizes my analysis of @AndrewYang's "Basic Income for NYC" plan, and concludes it's a step ahead of his rivals' economic plans. "It’s not UBI, but it moves toward the more unconditional, inclusive safety net we need." nydailynews.com/opinion/ny-o…
9
90
320
California ranks: #8 on GDP per capita #7 on welfare spending per capita #50 on housing units per adult #1 on poverty We need more inclusive welfare programs (like UBI) AND we need to legalize apartments.
4
25
292
Anti-EA NYT piece raises questions like whether it's better to spend $1 billion repairing an old building or saving 200,000 kids from dying from brutal, preventable diseases.
12
20
332
23,541
Last Sunday, my stepdad Marc @GIdocgalaxy chose to end his 30-year battle with MS. I miss him terribly, but I'm profoundly grateful that Oregon lawmakers gave him a choice in his suffering. Still, we can do better. 🧵
16
7
297
64,651
Megabus is the budget alternative to Amtrak for a reason. It's crap, and spending 2-3 hours on a bus every dau is soul-sucking. Anyone on those gBuses would have taken Caltrain if they could, But because the seats had Google stitched in, they were somehow luxury. Total bad faith.
1
1
287
4,850
Heard a novel NIMBY complaint last night: residents in new apartments will slow down the internet.
20
29
285
Good to have confirmation of what was obvious at the time: giving people money is way more progressive than giving businesses money. If not for everyone in charge having Small Business Brain, we could have doubled every stimulus check and cut poverty dramatically.
14
51
271
In its current form, the Child Tax Credit cuts child poverty 7% and deep child poverty <1%. Restoring the American Rescue Plan Act's Child Tax Credit would cut child poverty 37% and deep child poverty 72%.
7
71
262
50,369
Incredible
6
17
271
Yet another upside of Romney's child allowance: it violates Biden's Norquistian pledge not to raise taxes on Americans earning under $400,000 per year.
5
7
262
New study finds that SNAP work requirements reduce enrollment and do not have a large impact on labor supply. nber.org/papers/w32441
8
65
268
83,333
For the onlookers: the Majority Staff Director for the Senate Budget Committee Chair just wrote a bogus tweet and blocked an Economics professor at Columbia who's also the editor of the Journal of Public Economics and president of the International Institute of Public Finance
5
26
274
If you had $500k to subsidize ebikes in DC what would you do with it? Here's what @DDOTDC did: * Set vouchers at up to $2k each * Hold a two-week application window * Limit to SNAP/Medicaid recipients (cliff) * Select <10% by lottery * Winners can apply to future ebike purchases
15
8
257
370,129
The Americans for Tax Reform cover photo selection intern deserves a raise
6
8
254
Yeah though the gap between consumption- and production-based emissions is pretty similar between France and other high-income countries ourworldindata.org/consumpti…
4
3
264
28,691
Replying to @PramilaJayapal
Indeed, they should not be true and they are not true. census.gov/content/dam/Censu…
1
2
257
I think folks in the Effective Altruism community are currently overstating their interest in deontology to distance themselves from SBF's potentially utilitarian motives. That's probably the right thing to do in utilitarian terms, but I find it a bit deontologically off-putting.
8
7
243
Unironically it's crazy how many people put >100% of their net worth into a single undiversified high-maintenance volatile asset. Renting is good!
Spending $400,000 on a house seems like the kind of thing to me that, intuitively, you do when you have like a couple million in wealth and make $400,000 a year.
25
14
228
OK who of you on @WaysandMeansGOP ran the Kamala Harris Tax Credit Generator?
5
18
255
25,300
"I find that adopting a land value tax that replaces Proposition 13 based property taxes would increase housing production by 35%" !! pauljfisher.com/proposition-…
2
33
238
I know I should be over it by now, but the frequency with which NIMBYs living in single family homes describe new apartments and condos as "luxury," despite them often costing half the alternative or less, still astounds me.
7
26
213
Almost all studies in this meta-analysis find elasticities of traffic with respect to highway expansion less than 1; that is, adding lanes reduces congestion, especially in the short run. assets.publishing.service.go…
5
8
239
15,110
Step 1: Get famous writing a book advocating UBI and open borders Step 2: Endorse the most anti-UBI anti-open-borders candidate
Replying to @rcbregman
Here’s who I would vote for: Bernie Sanders. /2
15
24
221
Economics shedding light on the notoriously endogenous question of nutrition. A regression discontinuity from the end of the post-WWII rationing of sugar and sweets in 1953 in the UK shows that sugar-rich diets early in life harm well into adulthood. nber.org/papers/w30799
4
37
226
59,875
What if SNAP but more restrictive
BREAKING: Zohran Mamdani has announced he wants to implement government-owned supermarkets in NYC. He is literally trying to implement communism in New York. What is wrong with him?
7
7
232
16,089
.@AndrewYang's centerpiece policy would have reduced poverty more than anything in American history. He proposed the kind of broad-base taxation we need to fund European-level safety nets. He showed Sanders and Trump supporters the virtues of pragmatic liberalism. Thanks, Andrew.
2
47
229
We don't need housing subsidies we need apartment legalization
3
1
200
13,110
I'm working on scoring a negative income tax plan, and folks, let me tell you, UBI looks better and better the more you look at competing ideas. The cost of poverty alleviation shouldn't only be borne by people below 200% of the poverty line.
8
32
206