One week ago, I lost my grand-father. Beyond being the greatest grandpa on earth, he also lived an incredible life. Because I always thought that his story was a fantastic historical lesson related to what I research on, I want to share it. Thread on a European success story
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Incredibly honored that my paper on trading non-tradables has won the @wto award. Grateful to @NOIweala for welcoming me: we discussed the implications of my work for the future of trade policy in a world of services and for current negotiations on service trade liberalization ⬇️
🏆 Introducing the 2022 WTO Young Economist Essay Award winner: @MathildeMunoz of @UCBerkeley! DG @NOIweala praised Mathilde's paper on services trade & workers' welfare. "What should WTO be doing in the future? We need young economists to tell us." More: bit.ly/3AS7WLe
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I am excited to announce that I will join the amazing @berkeleyecon department as an assistant professor in July ‘23! I am incredibly grateful to @PSEinfo & my advisors @PikettyLeMonde @S_Stantcheva @landais_camille ACostinot for their support throughout the PhD & the JM process!
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« no pressure! »
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New study on Sweden's wealth tax: 1/3 of wealthy out-migration flows were caused by the wealth tax, but it didn't hurt total tax revenues or the country's economy much. Migration responses to the wealth tax are much too small to make the repeal of the tax pay for itself!
Trickle-down effects of tax-induced migration by the wealthy exist, but are quantitatively small, from Katrine Jakobsen, Henrik Kleven, Jonas Kolsrud, Camille Landais, and @MathildeMunoz nber.org/papers/w32153
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I am hiring a full-time RA to work with me at UC Berkeley on projects related to public finance, before embarking on a PhD in economics. Flexible starting date (Jul-Sept 2025) & open to international applicants. Job and salary description + application: aprecruit.berkeley.edu/JPF04…
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New working paper! Free migration without tax cooperation means less redistribution for the poor and less taxes for the rich ⬇️
Being in a competition union rather than in a federal union decreases poorer individuals’ welfare by up to 20 percent, from @MathildeMunoz nber.org/papers/w31920
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New working paper! I show how labor regulations drive trade in labor-intensive services. Trade results not only from productivity differentials, but also from labor market institutions, an important factor for how fair people perceive international competition to be.
Countries’ choices of institutions and labor regulations, not just their productivity differentials, drive trade patterns in labor-intensive services, from Mathilde Muñoz nber.org/papers/w31876
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He always told me “everything we have, France gave it to us”, but we all knew he was the one who gave us everything. I hope I can pay him back one day, by sharing his story, and by writing many papers on European integration, migration, putting numbers on lives like his.
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Call for papers is out! Incredible opportunity for early-career scholars and PhD students: you will get super good and friendly feedback + mentoring from senior women in your field.
The WiEM conference is back for a second year, with an expanded set of organizers: @GallenYana @christinalbrown @MathildeMunoz & Molly Schnell. Please submit your papers on empirical micro topics (including labor, public, dev & IO) to bfi-events@uchicago.edu by Feb 28, 2023!
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Do labor regulations shape the geography of trade? Should the EU Commission regulate state-level subsidies for firms? What are the implications of pensioners' migration for tax policy in Europe? If you are interested, come work with me next year: Apply! docs.google.com/document/d/1…
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A dream came true ! Thanks for having me on @TradeTalks: we talked about the distributional impacts of the EU posting policy, and we discussed how labor standards can interact with trade competition, creating some political backlash along the way…
- How can a Polish construction firm post a plumber to work in France? (EU "posting" policy) - Whose minimum wage law applies? (France) - How economically import is it? (Big) the AMAZING @MathildeMunoz joins to explain the impacts of this surprising EU trade-and-migration policy
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Merci @tiphainederock et toute l'équipe de @EntendezvousEco pour cet entretien passionnant sur ce débat qui agite l'Europe, et le monde: comment redistribuer dans une eco ouverte?
💰 Exil fiscal, dumping social, travailleurs détachés : ces sujets animent souvent l’espace médiatique et politique, mais comment les quantifier ? 👉 @MathildeMunoz, spécialiste des interactions entre mondialisation et fiscalité, est notre invitée sur radiofrance.fr/franceculture…
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Honored to receive this PhD prize @AfseContact !
[PRIX DE THESE AFSE]L'AFSE félicite chaudement @MathildeMunoz pour sa brillante thèse, avec le prix de thèse AFSE 2023. Les mentions spéciales cette année reviennent à Lydia Assouad et à Yohan Renard. Plus d'informations sur la page: lnkd.in/ebgdpk95
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Quelques mots sur la politique fiscale européenne, les tensions posées par les nouveaux phénomènes de mobilité, et comment en sortir par le haut dans @Grand_Continent . La coopération fiscale oui, mais pour tous les contribuables européens, cadres & ouvriers.
L'Union donne des avantages aux travailleurs mobiles les mieux rémunérés, tout en cherchant à stigmatiser les incitations à la mobilité pour les moins qualifiés — c'est un problème. Une étude essentielle signée @MathildeMunoz @PSEinfo @WIL_inequality. legrandcontinent.eu/fr/2020/…
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Thank you so much @S_Stantcheva for shedding light on my job market paper & research. Forever grateful for your mentorship and so thrilled to spend the year at Harvard thanks to you.
[1/9] My amazing co-author & advisee @MathildeMunoz is on the market this year! On top of her solo papers on taxation & migration (incl. one that won the @IIPF_org Young Economist Award), her JMP "Trading Non-Tradables" deals with a super important topic sites.google.com/view/mathil…
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Anyway. While my grandfather started working at the age of 10, in an exhausting job, I never heard a single complaint from him. At 90, he was healthier than so many people, always hanging out with his trees and his mountains.
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To me it sounds unbearable, to them it was happiness: they had a house, they had a family. They were so proud that they kept (for 55 years!!) this piece of local newspaper talking about my father’s birth, and that I found in my grandpa’s stuff one week ago.
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Thrilled & excited to receive the OECD Future of Work fellowship for my research on equity-efficiency trade-offs for mobility policies! @PSEinfo @WIL_inequality
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In 1982, my dad is 17, and 2 of my grandparents’ dreams come true. 1) they become French citizens, one of their biggest pride. They wanted to embrace this new country, this new identity so much, that they even gave up on their Spanish citizenship.
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Magnifique hommage
L’économiste Daniel Cohen vient de s’éteindre. À @ENS_ULM, il avait formé plusieurs générations d’économistes @PSEinfo. Deux anciens élèves, @LevyAntoine et @ElenaMaximin, lui rendent hommage. À lire absolument. legrandcontinent.eu/fr/2023/…
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Their second dream was to build their house. They did in 1982. On a land in front of the Residence. They built their house on the piece of land that they were looking at, from their tiny balcony, for more than 15 years. I don’t think they ever saw the symbol in this. But I do.
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Sectoral pre-exposure migration in action! “La Cellulose”, was built in Saint-Gaudens by the French government in 1959. It became the symbol of this city, created most of the jobs there, and since then, the whole region lives with it, its white smoke, and the (very bad) smell.
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Come and join us ! All you need to know about @berkeleyecon and our great phd program.
Considering grad school? Join the virtual @berkeleyecon Graduate Diversity Admissions Fair on 10/20 11:00AM PT to learn more about our PhD program! We will include a rundown of the program, faculty presentation, student experiences, and a Q&A.Register now: bit.ly/3g4hMmA
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Modesto Muñoz Sedeño was born in 1929 in Mijares, a small village surrounded by the Spanish mountains of Castilla y Leon. The village was poor: no factories around, almost no roads, only olive trees and few little farms. Among the poor, he was born as one of the poorest.
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Among everything, I think that he still couldn’t believe everything that he achieved in his life. He was amazed that 2 of his children became civil servants in France (one of his dreams). Amazed by all the places my brothers and myself could study.
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My grandfather became what we call a "tacheron", chopping wood to sell it to the factory. The more wood he could chop, the more money he could make. Therefore, he was staying in the mountains day and night, sleeping in a small bungalow, only coming back home twice a month.
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Italians also came earlier, while Spanish came in the 60s.” It struck me how the intuitions we use in our work can be close to people’s life, and in this context, of my own history. Sometimes I tend to forget about it.
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Born in the same village, they knew each other since forever. Her name was Julia, and she will become my grandmother. She was working as a handmaid for a rich family in Madrid, like most of the girls born in Mijares. They got married 59 years ago, in October 1961.
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For the first time of their life, they can live with electricity, hot water. They can send their kids to the school down the street, while none of them could read. My grandfather has a normal job, he can have dinner with his family every evening after his work at the factory.
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From the civil war, he did not remember much apart from starvation. When I would ask him, as a teenager, about his war memories he laughed, “Niña, you read too much books. No soldiers, no politics in my memories. I was born hungry and I was even more hungry after the war"
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My dad’s cousin, Antonio, was born in Paris while his mum was an attendant. And so on. They all had their own language. For my grandparents, it was a unique mix of Spanish and French, with South-West accent, that no one but them could fully understand.
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“If you look at names and birth dates on the graves, you’ll see a lot of Italian names. This is because Italians worked in farming and came here where agriculture was huge. At grandpa’s funerals, you’ll see so many Spanish names, because they were working all in the wood.
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Their building is full of Ramirez, Sanchez, Rodriguez, Gonzalez, but also of French and Portuguese families. Kids play together in the street, go to the same school, fathers work in the same factory. The Cellulose organizes holidays camps and weekly ski club.
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When Spain entered in the EU, and when economic conditions really started to get better, some of my grandparents' family decided to return. They didn’t. However, my grandfather would take us to his village for holidays, showing us his old house (end in comments)
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He lost his parents before the age of 15. As the only boy among 4 orphans, he started to work when he was 10 to feed his family. Each day, he would go to farms in the villages around to sell his arms. He couldn’t go to school, never learned how to read nor how to write.
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Last week, we were visiting my mum’s parents at the cemetery, in the South West countryside, near Gascony. My grandmother immigrated from Italy (another fascinating story) and my dad who has NEVER HEARD of shift share analysis; told me something quite interesting.
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Replying to @TradeDiversion
Mathilde Munoz (PSE)- Trading Non-Tradables: The Implications of Europe's Job Posting Policy- sites.google.com/view/mathil…
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Merci @pourleco pour cet entretien!
Étoile montante de l’économie française, la chercheuse nous raconte comment elle transforme des questions de société en sujets de recherche pour créer de la « connaissance utile ». pourleco.com/idees/interview…
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For ten years, he worked far from home, chopping wood all day long. There, he also saw the Pyrénées for the first time. He did not know it yet, but he will spend most of his life looking at them. And one day, coming back to visit his sisters, he fell in love with a girl.
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Every summer, they came back to Mijares, to see their family. Some of them stayed but a lot of them, like my grandparents, left. Tio Mariano left for Germany; there he was cleaning trains and working in construction all year while his family lived in Spain.
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He was driving an old motorbike to go to the mountains, sometimes without a light, under the snow, under the rain. From 1962 to 1966 they had four kids. 4 babies + 1 dog with no electricity nor hot water, with my grandfather being away chopping wood most of the time.
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While my grandfather was working in the Basque Country, he heard from coworkers that a big factory making paper paste will open in the South West of France, near the mountains. My grandfather was told that the brand-new factory needed men to chop wood to make paper paste.
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After few years of very hard work in the mountains, my grandfather found out that the factory was building new housing for its workers. People at the Cellulose asked him if he would be willing to move into a flat in Saint Gaudens with his family and take a job at the workshop.
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Because the factory was built next to the Pyrénées, they needed men who knew how to chop trees in the mountain, which is very difficult and requires a lot of experience. My grandpa, who grew up chopping wood around the mountains of Mijares to survive, was perfect for it.
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K matters for the spatial allocation of L: *where* savers live matters for the efficiency of housing tax policies, because landlords are home-biased. Superb combination of novel facts, theoretical insights & quasi-experimental evidence. Congrats @LevyAntoine on the amazing JMP.
Replying to @MITEcon
Antoine Levy’s research interests include Public Finance, Spatial Economics, and International Trade. Learn more at economics.mit.edu/grad/levya
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When his sister Carmen found a handmaid job in Madrid, he left with other men from the village to work in the North of Spain, where there were a lot of sawmills. Why sawmills? Because North of Spain is full of forests, and because Mijares was surrounded by trees.
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Join us in Chicago September 26-27 for one of the best conferences! Apply!!! Deadline March 29
Thrilled to be helping organize again this year. One of my favorite conferences :) Submit papers by March 29.
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In the U.S, foreign visa workers may have lower bargaining power than "standard immigrants". If you want to know what happened in the EU when we fully liberalized that type of international mobility of labor/services, stay tuned for my JMP kttn.com/meatpacking-plants-… via @KTTNRadio
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After two months, they realized that they will never achieve a better life by staying there. They needed to go. And this is where they decided to start the biggest adventure of their life.
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In 1967, the family of 6 moves into a 3 rooms flat in Saint-Gaudens, part of a brand-new social housing unit (HLM), typical 60s, that they share with other workers of the factory, and people coming back from Algeria after independence. There, their love story with France begins.
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Les données sur le détachement de la page en question bientôt accessibles pr tous les chercheurs et exploitées ds ma thèse + un rapport à venir pour la Commission EU. Merci au rapport @ebothorel et à @XJaravel de mettre en lumière l'importance de la politique de la donnée!
👍Félicitations @XJaravel . Et merci d’avoir cité notre rapport ( jusqu’au numéro de page) sur la politique publique de la donnée. @flcgomez @stephaniecomb @ReVe6el et le reste de la mission… really appreciate. 📹piped.video/zXxEeXHGaPQ @JeanCASTEX @AdeMontchalin @cedric_o
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Without anything more than this rumour heard few months ago, they took few blankets and decided to leave everything they had (not much). They took a bus from Mijares to Madrid, and a train from Madrid to Hendaye, where they saw France for the first time.
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🏡🥇
Ever heard of Toulouse as a city centre whose improved street design is revolutionising local prosperity? It’s not normally lauded as a case study. But quality of the street design is staggering. The results are stunning. Literally no empty shops in town centre. How? A short 🧵
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They used some of their lifetime savings to sleep one day in an hotel, near the train station, with another couple from the village. The day after, they found a train that took them near Saint Gaudens, in St Girons. They walked until the first village they found, Riverenert.
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Congrats to my co-office buddies @amorygethin @cmtneztt !!! Impatiente de découvrir ce formidable travail d'analyse et de collecte de données sur un sujet qui devrait continuer de nous (pré)occuper dans l'année qui arrive ;).
C'est avec une certaine émotion que je vois paraître aujourd'hui Clivages politiques et inégalités sociales. Un immense merci à vous toutes et tous, qui avez participé de près ou de loin à la réalisation de ce beau projet ! Site web : wpid.world/ English coming soon!
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Super informative thread on the recent UK wealth tax proposal. The Wealth Tax Commission collected so much academic and policy work on the topic- check it out! Also this proposal would help closing the gap in effective tax rates between "non doms" & others
When a gov is looking for big money, we’re always told it can only come from Income Tax, NICs, VAT You can tax wealthy if you want, but won’t save you from the ‘hard choices'😢 That’s not right. Here’s what we concluded on the Wealth Tax Commission… ft.com/content/36c35939-c06e…
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Trickle-down effects of tax-induced migration by the wealthy do exist, but that they are quantitatively small. As for the revenue implications, wealth-tax induced migration responses alone were much too small to make the abolition of the wealth tax pay for itself in Sweden.
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This is a one-year (two year option available) full-time position located in the Econ department @berkeleyecon. You'll be encouraged to audit my public finance and spatial economics grad sequences in the spring, and to attend our research seminars if you want to.
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Fascinante discussion sur l'avenir de la construction européenne, et sur les potentielles pistes de convergence à trouver entre l'est, le sud et le nord. @fgeerolfF @mwitucki @eulaliarubio
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Key finding: a robust negative correlation between relative comparative advantage in the provision of cross-border services, and policy-driven labor costs, emphasizing the significance of these costs in labor-intensive services relative to other industries like manufacturing.
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Owners do matter! When an entrepreneur subject to the wealth tax out-migrates, employment in their firms drops by 33% and value-added by 34%. This is mostly driven by firm closure: the probability that a firm is alive decreases by 27% after its wealthy owner leaves.
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We first document that out-migration flows were extremely small in Sweden, with 0.34% of the top 0.1% leaving each year. Net migration rates at the top of the wealth distribution were in fact positive (+.1%) during the period the Swedish wealth tax was in place.
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My study exploits a unique laboratory, the EU posting policy. Firms from different countries compete to supply identical (physical) services in the same location, but operating under diverse labor regulations, notably applicable labor taxes and minimum wages.
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Much more in the paper: Danish reforms, in-migration responses, dynastic effects, and discussion of our two-step inference procedure, etc. Check it out! cc @landais_camille
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Why do we care if comparative advantage is mostly driven by different social standards? Because people do! e.g When the "Bolkestein directive" proposed to drop destination-based minimum wages for posted workers, support for + EU integration in the French referendum declined.
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Quand Chelsea a remporté la champions, ce n’était ÉVIDEMMENT PAS en défendant à 11 et en jouant les contres 🙄🧐. #fairplay #drogbasurcorner
.@thibautcourtois (sur la @RTBFinfo) : "C'était un match frustrant, la France a joué à rien, a joué à défendre avec onze joueurs à 40 mètres de leur but (...) c'est dommage pour le foot qu'aujourd'hui la Belgique n'ait pas gagné." #FRABEL #CM2018 #AFP
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Natural experiments confirm the implications of labor regulation changes. In Luxembourg, exports of temporary employment services declined once subjected to higher payroll taxes in neighboring countries, with no discernible impact on exempt sectors like road transportation.
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Thank you so much @landais_camille!!
I could not agree more! (Full disclosure, i am also a letter writer for @MathildeMunoz ). Beyond her qualities as a co author, her JMP is both a great piece of research, with loads of new important stylized facts on trade,
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Posted workers shortage in sectors heavily relying on mobile labor. Mobility policies generate large efficiency gains + redistributive costs within/across countries, but also important adjustment costs when borders are suddenly closed. More evidence to come in my JMP on posting
Replying to @lemondefr
🔵 LIVE #ConfinementJour8 | Le gouvernement appelle les Français « qui n'ont plus d'activité » à aider les agriculteurs en allant « dans les champs ». lemonde.fr/planete/live/2020…
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Putting numbers on long-standing, important questions ⬇️
[1/N] 📕✏️New paper! How well do people know their social position relative to others in society? How does their social position shape their views on fairness? Does their income history shape views? With @okoctk & @KBHvidberg Paper here: scholar.harvard.edu/files/st… Summary thread ⬇️
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Thank you Francesco ! I will try to keep the Mat(h)ilde standards high at Berkeley :) !! Really looking forward to joining and to seeing everyone at BPP :)!
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🙏🙌 excellent @LevyAntoine as usual & en toute impartialité
«Le risque calculé n’est pas une folie: il faut espacer les doses pour vacciner davantage». Excellente tribune d'@LevyAntoine dans @Le_Figaro lefigaro.fr/vox/societe/le-r… via @FigaroVox
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great paper and very relevant- thank you for sharing!
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Awesome!
We are launching a brand new and joint PhD program between @LSEEcon and @LSEManagement. The program follows the Business Economics PhD programs model such as the @BerkeleyHaas or @HarvardHBS. Full funding is guaranteed! Please help us share the news. #EconTwitter
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The public discourse focuses on what would happen to the firms controlled by the wealthy if they were to leave, ignoring reallocation forces. But in Sweden, 60% of firms closed due to wealthy owners leaving are absorbed by other firms, with limited earnings losses for employees.
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Global parents survey on public school : French parents have the lowest perception of school quality/improvement but still allocate the lowest amount of time to help their children with education ! #paradox @VarkeyFdn @Independent
Global Parents Survey from @VarkeyFdn: new cross country evidence (27K hhs, 29 countries) on parents' views of school quality, school choice, time investments into children, governance & more... HT @Independent @KiraboJackson @AnnaVignoles @IOE_London varkeyfoundation.org/global-…
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Congrats @S_Stantcheva !!!! 👏 Amazing :)
#PMJE2019: @lemonde Stefanie Stantcheva @S_Stantcheva recevra ce soir le Prix du meilleur jeune économiste 2019- Jeune professeure à l’université @Harvard , Stefanie Stantcheva, 33 ans, est la lauréate de cette 20e édition du Prix créé, en 2000, par @Cercle_eco et @lemondefr.
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Replying to @omzidar @dvergarad
Totally ! Haven’t done the computations but migration elasticities within-countries/within US usually larger; meaning downward pressure on redistribution from tax competition potentially larger in that context!
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This research was hugely inspired by seminal work/books by so many, in particular @rodrikdani.
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Great article by @gemmatetlow. Few women study Economics, and even less stay in academia/become full professor. Our generation clearly needs to change that!
Great piece by @gemmatetlow on the many causes and important consequences of a lack of women studying and staying in Economics @RoyalEconSoc @ShellyJLundberg ft.com/content/0e5d27ba-2b61…
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A model-based gravity estimation further validates the findings across all countries and sectors in the EU, indicating an elasticity of trade to regulation-induced costs between -1 and -2. Robust evidence supporting the impact of labor regulations on international trade patterns!
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Replying to @mdgordo
the best croissants are at La Fabrique aux gourmandises which is very conveniently located just next to PSE ... welcome to Jourdan!
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But most individuals subject to the wealth tax own firms, and those firms employ ~ 9% of total Swedish employment. Exploring the 'trickle-down' impact of wealthy out-migration on their Swedish firms is key to understand the full implications of tax-induced migration.
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After accounting for the effects on the businesses controlled by those relocating, we find that one p.p increase in the effective wealth tax rate on the top 2% decreases total employment by .03%, total investment by .04%, and total value-added by only .09% due to migration.
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Pour les autres mécanismes, je suis en train d'essayer de récupérer des données de taux de syndicalisation, pour voir si on peut mettre en lumière un effet causal du détachement sur l'organisation des rapports de force dans les pays de destination effectivement! Stay tuned
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Child penalty and the persistence of gender inequalities: clear evidence and important work by C. Landais and co-authors summarized here. Labour supply history of the maternal grandparents signif matters, while paternal grandparents have no effects on mothers' outcomes! #gender
Children and gender inequality: Evidence from Denmark | Henrik Kleven @Princeton⁩ , Camille Landais @LSEEcon , Jakob Egholt Søgaard @KuSamf| ow.ly/Cmlt30kUNPr
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Hate d’avoir mon exemplaire signé 😍😍😍
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Basé sur ma propre recherche @PSEinfo @WIL_inequality, mais surtout sur les meilleures évidences empiriques sur la question par @landais_camille @S_Stantcheva
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Outstanding new research by Raj Chetty and coauthors, summarized in the @UpshotNYT. Groundbreaking. nyti.ms/2tYGuMu
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Replying to @JohnCassidy
thank you so much! A supplement for readers interested in that specific "polish plumber" rhetoric: pro-EU votes & the timing of the polemic on trade in services liberalization. & much more on the paper of course :)
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