You already know I love high-risk bets and that I’m a bit of a madman, right?
So, I think there might be some profit to be made from the potential Trump–Putin meeting.
Currently, there’s a 65% chance that Trump and Putin won’t meet before the end of 2025, and that percentage rose after Trump canceled his meeting with Putin in Budapest.
But is everything really that straightforward? Should we take Trump’s words at face value?
Okay, we know the White House’s position-Trump declined it-but what about the Kremlin’s position?
Here’s what Putin said about the meeting:
-Regarding the Budapest summit: it’s more about postponement than cancellation.
-It would be a mistake to approach the Budapest summit without proper preparation.
-Russia has always supported ongoing dialogue.
-Dialogue is always better than confrontation, arguments, or continuing the war.
So, Putin isn’t ruling out a meeting with Trump. That means by the end of the year, Trump could change his mind a dozen times about meeting with him.
Here’s what we’ve got so far:
-Trump has a tendency to change his decisions quickly
-The Kremlin didn’t deny the meeting - they just mentioned a postponement and preparation
-Kirill Dmitriev met with Steve Witkoff in Miami, which could mean preparations are already underway
Based on all this, I’d keep an eye on Trump, Putin, and their media outlets - because the meeting could be announced at any of their upcoming conferences.
Always double-check your information and do your own research!
Good luck, yo!