For DMs use Signal, not Twitter. Only auto-tweets from the Life Model Decoy of JVL. Writing: @bulwarkonline Podcast: SubBeacon.com
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A commenter makes a key point about one difference between the parties:
"The Democratic base doesn't get mad if you bring broadband to Alabama."
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If the GOP was a normal political party, then DeSantis would be a logical heir to Trump. But it's not. So the post-Trump succession will look more like The Death of Stalin than 1988. thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/ka…
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As Jesus says in Two Corinthians, "Love they neighbor as thyself. Or use him to get earned media. Your call, bruh."
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Unless Trump comes out against it. At which point the numbers flip within five mins. See free trade, Russia, gov.t. bullying of private enterprise . . .
The percentage of Republicans who oppose allowing same-sex marriage has plunged from 84 to 31.
Acceptance of gay marriage is fast becoming the majority position *within* the GOP.
Republican senators who oppose it are on the wrong side of their own party. bit.ly/3U6OuDl
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Today we've published @saletan's book-length dissection of what happened to Lindsey Graham.
It's not a dunk-fest. It's a reconstruction of Graham's own words tracing his evolution in the service of understanding how authoritarians gain power.
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The corruption of the business side of Fox seems like an even bigger deal than the corruption of the front-of-the-house operation.
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It must be agony to be this guy. Imagine waking up every day and *this* is what you have to do to maintain your status? thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/li…
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Declining fertility rates create lots of problems and risks. I wrote a book about it. Pace @elonmusk, "population collapse" isn't one of them. thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/el…
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No one disdains the MAGA People more than the MAGA Elites. thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/no…
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Killing al Zawahiri. Super tough on China. Facing down Putin. Expanding NATO. This is the McCain administration America was yearning for. thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/ki…
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The parable of the Match Throwing Club.
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Most successful first 20 months of an administration since . . . W? thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/ev…
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If this doesn't make you want to read this essay, nothing will.
plus.thebulwark.com/p/the-me…
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They are who we thought they were.
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It’s important to understand the aspirational longings of political movements. There is a large portion of the American right that wishes it could do to journalists what Putin just did to Vladimir Kara-Murza.
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Fact check: In today's Triad I said that Vladimir Putin was “Trump’s favorite dictator.”
Trump has said that Egyptian President el-Sisi is “his favorite dictator.”
I regret the error.
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Trump’s authoritarian attempt presented four tests to:
1) The institutional Republican party
2) The general public
3) The rule of law
4) Republican voters
Two groups have passed, one has failed, and the other is preparing for its final exam.
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"Pay us to make it harder for people to hack your account while you create free content for us" is absolutely not a sign of a declining platform.
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Tres Commas in value destruction is so hot right now.
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Never Trumpers: Hey, Republicans, he might win again. Get your shit together, quick.
Anti-Anti Trumpers: You grifters can't stop talking about him because you need him so much. True Conservatives move on from Trump by *not* talking about him.
How big is the Always Trump faction of the Republican Party?
According to our new poll, 28 percent.
And they are why the GOP could be sleepwalking into another Donald Trump catastrophe. thebulwark.com/exclusive-bul…
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Exclusive: Pennsylvania candidate Mastriano posed in Confederate uniform at Army War College
"The faculty photo did not get the team's attention; the photo has since been removed because it does not meet AWC values," the college said
w/@JarrettRenshaw reuters.com/world/us/exclusi…
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From "The Sayings of Muad'dib" by the Princess Irulan:
"Institutional Republicans will never regain control of their party unless they are willing to destroy it."
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What are the odds that RFK Jr. ends up speaking at the RNC next summer and endorsing the R nominee?
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My friend Kelly is trying to help her friend, who has become a victim of domestic violence. If you're able to help, I hope you'll consider doing so. Thanks.
gofundme.com/f/gjqtwz-domest…
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Never forget that CNN is the same network that hired Corey Lewandowski and put him on the air to “analyze” Trump even though the man was (a) a former employee of Trump’s and (b) bound by an NDA to Trump.
That kind of malpractice should end.
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Come for the politics. Stay for the watch talk.
Whoa. Not since Oscar Madison and Felix Ungar! @BulwarkOnline presents its own odd couple, as @JamesCarville joins @JVLast: “Really stupid voters produce stupid candidates,” “MAGA runs the show,” and more.
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Giving Ukraine tanks isn't about the tanks. It's about establishing a medium-term logistics operation that signifies Western commitment to Ukrainian victory.
Everything is logistics.
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Another absolute must-read from @SykesCharlie. If you're not subscribed to his newsletter, you're missing out.
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I present the Holistic Horseshoe Map of American politics.
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The show is going to be lit tonight. @Timodc @SarahLongwell25 @amandacarpenter @SykesCharlie @BillKristol
But then, I always say, "When it's my time, I want to die of schadenfreude."
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And some people said I was too hard on Ross yesterday.
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Trump in office will be a second-term lame duck who never wanted to run a WH; whatever de facto powers Pence enjoyed, even a semi-competent second term VP will be able to accrue many more.
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The Trump era taught us that the social cons didn't care about morality. The libertarians didn't care about freedom. The conservatives didn't care about small govt.
And now we see that the pro-business Rs don't care about business.
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I've never seen a community like this. People willing to explain why they might be *wrong* when talking about politics? On the Internet?
I'm honored to have them as readers and, in many cases, friends.
If this sort of thing appeals to you, join us.
plus.thebulwark.com/
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You'll be able to count on one hand the number of conservative elites who decide to switch their support to Mike Pence or Nikki Haley or Brian Kemp.
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If Donald Trump is subject to a criminal prosecution, the who, exactly, will be "ripping at the seams of the country?"
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Here is an amazing thing about @BulwarkOnline: I often prompt readers with a specific topic to discuss in comments. Today I asked them to tell me which of the 3 scenarios was most responsible for the transformation of conservatism.
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@DavidAsmanfox Can you tell me more about the $10,000 Ford F-150 Lightning? I'm trying to track this down to see if the claim you made on air yesterday is true. I cannot find evidence that anyone, anywhere in America, is selling a Ford F-150 Lightning for $10k.
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Eliminating sex-segregated sports would mean eliminating most of the opportunities for girls to participate in sports. The idea is as foolish as it is pernicious. thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/th…
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Herschel Walker pays for abortions, the Q3 numbers are pretty good, and yet somehow, none of this matters. thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/th…
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New rule! Calling someone a "groomer" in order to score political points is now out of bounds.
Must protect the precious.
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A man hath no greater love than this: That he lay down by an artificial waterfall at a private resort for his friends.
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The Big Question:
If RFK Jr. was running in the Republican primary, what place would he be polling in?
I think he'd be fairly close to DeSantis and way ahead of slots #4 - #9.
Epic new pod:
- @amandacarpenter’s last show 😞
- righteous ranting about GOP response to Hunter
- RFK as a Trump VP option? (Heard it here first)
- I try to explain poppers without dying from embarrassment.
Enjoy!
YouTube: piped.video/wLyaLTQStRw
Pod: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
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I think this is a pretty undeniable takeaway from the J6 hearings? thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/wh…
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This is really @SykesCharlie's key insight: "DeSantis may be with them, but not of them."
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Another fantastic interview by @SykesCharlie
Trump found himself on the wrong side of the religious right after he blamed anti-abortion activists for midterm losses. How's he going to respond when DeSantis signs a 6-week abortion ban?
You can listen to my whole conversation with @TimAlberta here: bit.ly/3GgxTHF
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I never thought I'd feel bad for Mike Lindell. But I kind of feel bad for Mike Lindell. Because at least he believes his defamatory statements.
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.@saletan uses Graham because he's a case-study for a larger phenomenon: The conservative and Republican establishment's transformation. One key insight: Authoritarians gain power by coopting existing elite institutions and actors.
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OMG she read my newsletter!
This by @JVLast is very good and uses some of my recent focus groups to make an important point about how/why voters decide to like political candidates. thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/th…
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I could give you a dozen reasons to read @SykesCharlie's newsletter today. But the headline sells itself.
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This project was a big undertaking by @saletan and @BulwarkOnline and it took a lot of resources to pull together.
If you find value in it, I hope you'll consider supporting us and joining Bulwark+.
This is how we build the media America deserves.
plus.thebulwark.com/
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This is an extraordinary piece of writing from Will Selber and one of the most important pieces we've published @BulwarkOnline. Please read it, share it, and take it to heart. thebulwark.com/a-terrible-ye…
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When I say that this is book-length, I mean it. Don't go trying to read it all in one sitting. Or on your phone.
For that reason, we've published it in multiple formats. You can find the web version, broken into chapters, here.
specialto.thebulwark.com/
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Nothing to see here. Just Brandon owning the Chicoms into tech oblivion. thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/jo…
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Half of what you need to understand our failure in Afghanistan is in this single episode from Will Selber's amazing piece. thebulwark.com/a-terrible-ye…
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DeSantis is blowing up on the launchpad for 600k listeners.
If he'd just gone on Fox on a random night he'd have >1m viewers and every detail would have been perfect and professional.
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Don't give your kid a loaded bat. thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/le…
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You don't know this story. But you should.
How does the way Alvin Bragg handled Trump compare to the farcical treatment of Jordan Hamlett?
My latest on one man’s politicized prosecution and the real two-tiered justice system. plus.thebulwark.com/p/meet-t…
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What brings the coalition together is a set of shared antipathies. These subgroups all hate the same people: "the Left."
But even here, "the Left" isn't really a coherent set.
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Does it matter that DeSantis is caught in a bunch of contradictory positions? Or that he can't square the circle on January 6?
If Republican voters have already decided that they like him then . . . probably not. And Trump will be in trouble.
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Gal Luft story is BONKERS. You have to believe that Luft was doing totally-okay stuff with the same CCP people who involved with the Biden Crime Family.
And also that Trump's DoJ squashed his whistleblowing bc of an FBI mole code-named One Eye.
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New Sunday edition of Next Level from @BulwarkOnline—tonight @Timodc and I talk with @Handlebrody about @AOC, Noam Chomsky, The Kid Detective, and working with Helen Mirren on #ShazamFuryOfTheGods.
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
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Did we lose a war or something? This isn't America.
Bottom of the ninth. Tie game. Bases loaded. Full count. The dream scenario. And ... Cal Conley didn't get set in the batter's box with 8 seconds left on the pitch clock.
Umpire calls an automatic strike. At-bat over. Inning over. This is the new reality. nitter.app/MrMatthewCFB/status/16…
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You all better hope that DeSantis runs . . .
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This morning at The Bulwark we have pieces on: 1) Russian opposition to Putin; 2) reporting on how R donors don’t want Trump to debate; 3) presidential funerals; 4) a deep-dive into the death of the category-killer big-box retailers.
thebulwark.com/
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The show is . . . different when @SarahLongwell25 is in a darker place than either me or @Timodc.
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Of course most of what I do it politics. But I also host a podcast where we spent 20 minutes debating whether Tom Bombadil was good or evil.
patreon.com/posts/asteroid-c…
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The political violence vertical. thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/it…
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I have to fly to Dallas this week and I'm dreading it. I have no idea how a 400-year-old Joe Biden did planes, trains, and automobiles for 22 hours and then pulled off the most important presidential visit since Reagan.
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Bummed to lose @DrTedJ from @BulwarkOnline. One of the best colleagues I've ever had, anywhere. And his best writing days are still ahead of him. But so proud to see him get called up to the bigs. No one deserves it more.
Over a decade ago, I decided to start closing out my military career and embark on a new journey as a writer & scholar on race and democracy.
So, I'm thrilled to share this professional news today - it's a dream come true.
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Don't worry. Be happy.
Inflation is down. Wages are up. Rule of Law is holding up. A handful of Republicans have started to act normal.
Is it Morning in Joe Biden's America? @JVLast explores the sunny side of life.
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JVL yesterday morning when everyone was freaking out: "For every power center in this game—with the possible exception of Elise Stefanik—the primary objective is fulfilled by McCarthy eventually being named speaker."
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Ooooo! Oooooooo! I know the answer to this one! Pick me! Pick me!
As expected DeSantis hits Trump from the anti-vax "right".
The two best things Trump did, Operation Warp Speed & First Step Act are the first attacks out of the gate from DeSantis. At what point does this become too much for the remaining normie Rs to swallow?
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I got to sit in the Big Chair today and talk with @elainaplott about J6, MTG, and the writing life. She's a national treasure.
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Sure, the media has no idea how to cover an aspiring autocrat, but the real problem is the Twitter Files or something.
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I kept telling people that the "Kevin Is Toast" CW was probably wrong and that the incentive structures were aligned pretty well for him. thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/he…
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If you want to follow me over at Post, I'm here:
post.news/jvlast
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You can also download a pdf version and print it or read it on your ereader here:
thebulwark.com/wp-content/up…
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The people telling you to vote DeSantis because Trump "can't win" are actually telling you that they'll fail the Trump test again if he's the nominee.
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Where does Hillary Clinton go to get her apology? thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/de…
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People are the worst.
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But when a political coalition is based purely around *resentment*? And when the resented "other" is fluid?
Then everyone gets to be first among equals because there are no trade-offs.
Policy is a zero-sum game.
Resentment is a win-win game.
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One of Trump's sheriffs got indicted this week, too.
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They're going to *have* to support Trump and it's your fault.
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The future of Trumpism probably looks more like Kari Lake than Ron DeSantis. thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/ka…
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