ZOG in exile. Alpha Midwit. The most ironic outcome is the most likely. Reducing the irony is my job. There is no antimemetics division
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In the adaptive environment, in high food abundance contexts, presumably the first group planned coordinated hunting expeditions and the second group hunted and partially domesticated the first group. traditionsofconflict.com/blo… Is a recent example.
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Have you noticed that Asians generally do fine without Christianity? No analogous supernatural beliefs needed for the associated morality.
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The Democrats recently denounced RFK with a speech that claimed it was racist to claim that pathogens could be engineered to target some racial groups more than others.
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This can’t be right though. There should be regression to the mean from the family mean IQ.
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Dominance strategy for sure. Aggression for sure. ‘Humiliation ritual’ doesn’t match any version of those words I’ve ever encountered nearly as well as the severe misuse of words does.
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Poland’s on track to be richer than the UK this decade. Turns out the things that make you rich include valuing rule of law.
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In contemporary parlance, Autistic is a category which includes everyone who would have been considered literate in England a century and a half ago when half the people were literate.
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You know, maybe people should make Sam Altman President and get him away from the really important stuff like AGI.
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The average eight year old, however, has no difficulty with this, showing that the adult limitation is performative.
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Visit Japan. Then decide whether to believe the statistics or your lying eyes. Japanese exports are still insanely high. They obviously have a different relationship with debt than we do but almost nobody’s reproducing at a sustainable rate.
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It’s important for people to notice that there is something malign out there, doing this. It’s not an accident and it’s not what we usually think of as human volition.
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It’s not though. Harry potter books are explicitly of increasing reading level. It’s like Prisoner of Azkaban in particular. So it’s saying that half of Americans basically can’t read Goblet of Fire. And they vote and only they serve on juries. Yeah. Seems like a problem to me.
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The severity of the antisemetic outbreak on Stanford relative to the much more radical Berkeley is a strong pointer towards the role of money in all this.
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To make sense of the current pandemic, Feynman's report on the Challenger is more relevant than any virology or epistemology.
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But GPT-3 was obviously not anything like toddler level. Literally nothing like. Totally insane claim. As is the implied claim that the change from toddler to smart high schooler is comparable to the change from high schooler to PhD!
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You could get sodium free salt and take in as much potassium as you want arbitrarily cheaply.
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Kind-of disturbing that it took so long for humanity to notice this.
sci-news.com/biology/plants-…
It’s really not looking good for the ‘low hanging fruit depletion’ theory of scientific slowdown.
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The basic problem with truth culture so far is that it normally discards logic and dogmatically pretends not to be engaging in conflict while actually lashing out ineptly with its eyes closed and being directed to fight against itself.
sarahconstantin.substack.com…
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Prompt engineering means that asking questions well just became more powerful. That shifts power to people I want it shifted to.
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Less monopoly power should mean that progress means prices falling rather than profits and valuations rising
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But the 99.999th percentile of 7th year olds might grow up to be mathematicians at which point they may no longer be able to multiply and divide integers.
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Speaking as a former actuary, I would assume that he spoke with actuaries and discovered that they aren't employed to accurately or fairly price risk, as the prices are determined by sales, but as what Graeber would call a "box ticker" falsely claiming some process was used.
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The solution is to stop funding the same people and stop believing that real research comes from funding or ever did. What comes from funding is the prestige with which real research is silenced until it can be captured.
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The Chinese really aren’t historically all that collectivist. Europeans just think Asians are all the same.
Belief systems are critical but very different from religions without deities.
British Common Law is the best known scaleable belief system and works best in Asia.
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I'm pretty sure it's lower status to answer 'no' on both points so the true answers are probably more like 98% and 90%.
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It’s complicated. They aren’t Bolsheviks. Their billionaires are not like our billionaires. The party tightly controls them.
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The sun is at most 100,000,000 years old because there’s no possible source of energy that would enable it to burn for longer than that.
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Horrifying but true.
I tried to write that as my Edge essay over a decade ago but couldn’t make the terror visceral.
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If we lose vaccines in the process of saving science, science will give us back vaccines before immunities wane much.
If we lose science in the name of saving vaccines, we won’t have vaccines that work in the long term anyway.
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For the people calling Israel colonialist, the word only means ‘Western Civilization’.
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True in a moral vacuum. The original Civil Rights Movement demonstrated that in a society with functional moral norms protests could be effective without needing to threaten violence.
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There is endless opportunity to earn and to open property via petit bourgeois lifestyle and values but the education system and to a lesser extent the culture is working to extinguish those values.
And without practical rule of law money doesn’t get you much.
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Absolutely. This was literally the worst thing Trump has done by far and nobody in the US even notices.
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This is the right way to think about it, but I still don’t see why nuclear is likely to be a cheaper way to synthesize hydrocarbons than solar, which is empirically so much cheaper than nuclear.
Interestingly, Burja highlights this as one of the possible catalysts for the atomic age!
But unlike Burja, I don't believe it will be subsidized. I've done the math: fuel from Valar Atomics will be *cheaper* than from the oil and gas industry due to better scale and simplicity.
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It’s not though. Basically all the most successful tech founders have used it vs. 6% of the US population.
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Right. That’s a popular misconception promoted by Tolkein, but actually the usual conflict is between mercantile types who see themselves as good and crony-capitalist, gangster or militarist types who see themselves as winners. Think Sparta, the Confederacy or the Axis.
Please explain?
btw my meaning here is that most people do not see themselves as "evil", as the opposite side might say, and as they might characterize their rivals. Most disputes and wars are fought between self-proclaimed "good guys."
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Probability. Markets in games of chance were VERY inefficient back then.
Unfortunately, money wasn’t that important back then. Here in CA it was largely ceremonial hummingbird feathers.
But there’s always being very tall and good looking compared to the poxy and stunted locals.
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It's sus, but a bit more analogous to a hybrid of what would happen if the King of England broke tradition and appointed the prime minister he preferred, which was done in AU in 1975, and what happened in the US when Republicans wouldn't accept any Obama Supreme Court nominees.
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Absolutely! Totally humiliating, but not as humiliating as Congress’s clownworld response.
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Is Joseph Smith really low performing for someone only 200 years out of the box? Or is the issue that he’s not monotheistic enough?
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Wait. She said ‘coexist’ not coexisted!
Iran is almost the most laughable answer someone could offer.
Kazakhstan would be a good answer, but people like you don’t like good answers and don’t offer them even when they are easy to come by.
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Ambition to be a big important cog in a broken machine is gross. Ambition to have a good life, which may involve making a lot of money and/or changing the lives of people around you is great. Conflating the two is very unnatural.
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If AI can make totalitarian systems more stable and this lets them become more totalitarian without collapsing due to inefficiency, that’s an existential risk that can potentially even become an S-risk, by far the most likely S-Risk in fact.
Less powerful AI is needed for this.
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Hey Amjad, we Extropian ‘cultists’ were expressing concern about AI gfs over 20 years ago!
sl4.org/archive/0312/7377.ht…
Yes a lot has gone wrong with the AI Risk efforts, but it’s not like people like myself and Eliezer don’t know that!
You can just talk with us rather than calling us a cult to millions of people.
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nydailynews.com/news/nationa…
Are we the baddies?
Seriously, if the law says that life sustaining activities are banned, what do the lesson about self defense say about engagement with those who pass or enforce it?
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Is it just me, or is the establishment converging on a response to the replication crisis? Is it "Keep the scientific authorities, throw out their specific claims, don't replace them with new falsifiable specifics", same as with every other instance of institutional betrayal?
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My guess is that the AI experts are actually confused about human lying, which is generally is a lot more like what AIs do than they realize.
We already know that the AI experts are very confused about human lying. srconstantin.github.io/2017/…
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Does anyone know how real this is? I’ve been assuming one could at least rely on murder statistics. How on earth does the FBI not just demand this stuff?
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The use of the word ‘fascism’ by the contemporary Left is white supremacism. It is used to transfer disapproval from white supremacism and antisemitism into disapproval of something much harder to define and coordinate against.
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Nobody worried about the Standard Model either even though that pretty clearly was physics working as intended. Ditto particle accelerator results in general.
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Critical theory explains how to participate in the systems Wokism builds at a high level and how to expand them.
When you are losing a fight and you conclude that reading your enemy’s battle plans will let them take over your mind, they are smarter than you.
Blaming wokism on "Critical Theory" is a road to nowhere. Only profs of grievance studies even know about this philosophy.
The average teacher, HR lady, or "in this house we believe" soccer mom just sees huge racial disparities and has no explanation other than white wickedness.
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Only according to a standard by which China has been capitalist for thousands of years. It has markets. So did Sumer.
Discussion of capitalism in the present essentially never even tries to distinguish between the thing that arose a few centuries ago and simply having trade.
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There’s no chance a socialist US government can get to Mars but it can certainly prevent it from supplying a colony.
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So, we get that our institutions have been taken over by overtly illiberal anti-conservatives…
Please stop telling us. Let’s figure out what to do about it.
Roald Dahl's publisher changing his words after his death.
Apparently we have perfect insight into what is good and right, having attained purity. It is only past people who made errors, had secrets, believed things that weren’t true.
We are a confused and arrogant people.
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I think that’s explicitly their goal. Hence the need for a communist party to guide Russia through a stage of State Capitalism which is never actually exited from.
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I honestly think that is the crux between you and most of your older e/acc contemporaries.
The younger ones have been drowning in bullshit all their lives and expect bullshit narratives to announce “superintelligence” with attendant unicorns but no consequences.
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But we mostly try to pretend lobotomies didn’t happen and certainly ignore the clear institutional continuity between the institutions that did them and those that we live under.
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To be clear, they didn’t regard what happened to Roland Fryer that way.
The ideology believes in group rights for and only for its participants.
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If something is overwhelmingly, systematically and obviously wrong with a generation, it’s hard for that not to be the previous generation’s fault, and presumably the fault of specific groups who held power in the generation prior to that.
Boomer-blaming is pure cringe
The idea that people in their late 20s are still single because their greedy boomer parents didn't write a check is one of the most jaw-droppingly idiotic things I've ever read
If only Daddy had bought me a condo I would have a gf this is his fault
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The important story around Zizism is not about the Zizites.
It’s about the inadequacy of police protection.
If Curtis Lind wasn’t adequately protected from these absolute incompetents, sfchronicle.com/bayarea/arti…
literally nobody is protected by literally any policing.
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Practically nobody ever distinguishes between the institutions that create wealth and those which have captured it. This is the first thing Adam Smith tries to address in the Wealth of Nations.
Eastern Europeans seem genuinely shocked when joining the EU or NATO doesn't immediately result in Western prosperity.
It's like they think the EU or NATO built the Eiffel Tower and Big Ben. Haha.
They desire Western wealth, but not the institutions that actually produced it.
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That cost is mostly due to regulation. Which is due to people like Bernie.
Biohacking is the mostly false proposition that the cost is more like 99.99% due to regulation when it’s actually more like 99% regulation.
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Bizarrely interesting that they get the order almost perfectly but that their numbers add up to so much more than 100%.
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Just noting that Robin Hanson is reliably for affirmative action and for reparations in situations where the utility calculus argument is strong, which is a larger importance weighted fraction of cases than almost any so-called ‘left wing’ economist. overcomingbias.com/2021/03/s…
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The correct update is to deeply question all the assumptions that lead you to take confident action based on a mistaken belief in 2017! Holding onto the belief but rejecting the correspondence between belief and action is literally the definition of narcissistic personality.
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Yeah. Transformers were US and are the biggest breakthrough recently, but my friends and I privately discuss how second tier the US is in AI breakthroughs despite dominance in commercialization.
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I’m confused by what is actually meant by this. Like, I don’t think you believe that the claim either makes sense or has surface level credibility to anyone at all. I guess it’s just standard issue hate speech with a disparate impact for Jews?
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Fear of serious injury alone cannot justify oppression of free speech and assembly. Men feared witches and burnt women. It is the function of speech to free men from the bondage of irrational fears.
Louis D. Brandeis
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I think most people underrate the risks associated with refusing to model the total depravity of not caring about potential benefits in approximately full generality
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I I unironically suspect that this web comic harmed humanity more than anything equally short that have ever been written.
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Resign yourself to the reality that cultivated critically rational thought is and always has been a niche interest and recognize that people manage to get by and mostly not kill one another without it, and that they are understandably frightened of it.
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They would look like the stars, the ground beneath your feet, and the (not observed) mismatch between your experimental results and the predictions of quantum mechanics.
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Israel should demand war reparations from the US, but more importantly from the UN.
And to be fair, they should use them to buy Teslas.
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Taking money from dumb people is a necessary part of the price of arbitration.
Reducing their credit ratings is another necessary part.
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This is a cope. It’s unclear what is meant by ‘intelligence’, but the consensus limiting cases, like Von Neumann and Feynman, were obviously not rationalizing very much at all.
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Heart expands. Horay! I crime against humanity has ended!
Not on Earth, but in one place, one influential place, the thirst for justice can be met.
nbcnews.com/news/latino/cali…
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If almost 100% of Americans think they at least half of Americans are evil isn’t the null hypothesis that much more than half of Americans are evil and that everyone both needs and cares about evil people and needs to figure out how to deal with that fact instead of occasionally scapegoating.
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OTOH, the rate of increase in life expectancy roughly tripled around 1970. We had been doing some things very right but some things very wrong before the transition and afterwards we did different things right and different things wrong.
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Too bad you sold out for the table scraps they gave you rather than producing clear legible evidenceof fraud for the sincere somewhat serious people who provided ~all funding in EA even after such evidence was abundant AND Fraud had become the sort of thing to autocomplete 'EA'
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