Home of the F&M Poll, which takes a deep dive into Pennsylvania politics and elections. We're known for perceptive survey design and insightful analysis.
Lancaster, PA
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In PA Trump beat Clinton by 29 pts in counties he won in ‘16 & Clinton beat Trump in counties she won by 24 pts. Republicans aren’t currently close to replicating those results in ‘18, while Dems are expanding on their margins in Clinton counties compared to ‘16 @NateSilver538
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Latest poll finds almost half (48%) of PA voters believe the state is “headed in the right direction,” despite significant concern about COVID-19. Only one-quarter (24%) believe the US is headed in the right direction. fandm.edu/fandmpoll
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Recent F&M survey of registered voters, conducted on behalf of @FairDistrictsPA, shows overwhelming support for an independent citizens’ commission to draw legislative districts. #PAvotes tinyurl.com/FMFDPA
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Read about our collaboration with @StephenMedvic to engage our community in deliberative democracy. t.ly/fEWjT
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Watch Berwood Yost on @BBCWorld discussing the PA Primaries @FandMCollege
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Do phone respondents hide their support for Trump? F&M Poll shows phone and online respondents have same preferences
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Pleasure partnering with @ColoradoMesaU and @CMUPoliSci on the CMU-@rmpbs Poll - Look for results tomorrow
Data collection+number crunching for 1st @ColoradoMesaU public opinion poll on @HillaryClinton & @realDonaldTrump race & #Colorado issues
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Clinton’s lead holds steady among LV in PA:
@HillaryClinton 49
@realDonaldTrump 38
Latest F&M College Poll: fandm.edu/fandmpoll
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We are using PA Department of Health data to further analyze the COVID-19 outbreak in Pennsylvania. Check out our latest analyses and bookmark for daily updates. fandm.edu/opinionresearch/co…
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#PACoronaVirus Tracker Update: Following the largest number of daily tests reported yesterday, the total number of tests reported today, fell below 5000. Today there were 962 newly confirmed and probable cases and 4303 negative tests. t.ly/BP60L
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COVID-19 Tracker Updated: A diminishing number of counties not reporting a single case, though many are showing relatively slow growth rates. The number of confirmed cases by county suggests a possible relationship between spread and population density. fandm.edu/opinionresearch/co…
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As part of Lancaster County's Extra Give, Center for Opinion Research staff joined in the fun and the giving to support United Way's Community Impact! #ExtraGive
Our first FUNdamentals of Giving event donors enjoying fun and teaching their child about the importance of philanthropy! Join us from 4-7!
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PA #Coronavirus Tracker Update: Rate of testing & growth in cases have slowed. For the 3rd straight day, the state reported the results of fewer than 4000 tests & cases failed to double in the past week, after increasing by nearly 3x in the prior week. t.ly/BP60L
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#PACoronaVirus Tracker Update: 27 counties have more than 100 cases: Washington County exceeded 100 cases today. Lehigh and Philadelphia counties have the highest number of cases per capita in the state, with rates per 100000 residents above 700. t.ly/BP60L
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Tomorrow's release of the October F&M Poll will show that members of both parties are equally motivated by the Kavanaugh hearings, while Democrats are more motivated than Republicans by efforts to repeal the ACA and the administration's family separation policies.
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Clinton up among PA likely voters: Clinton 49 Trump 38
Latest F&M College Poll: tinyurl.com/fmjuly16
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Berwood Yost will continue to direct the F&M Poll with a new emphasis on working closely with the poll’s media partners and with academic research initiatives, as @terrymadonna announced his retirement. Look for the next Poll in March 2021. fandm.edu/fandmpoll
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PA #Coronavirus Tracker Update: Growth in new cases appears to be flattening in the largest metro areas and not yet showing rapid increases in smaller metros. Daily tests reported declined for fourth day, reporting 3839 today, the lowest since March 25. t.ly/BP60L
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Latest results show:
-PA voters remain pessimistic about conditions in the state
and the nation.
-Fetterman has an advantage in the Dem US
Senate primary.
-No one has a clear advantage in the Rep US Senate primary
-Voters are open to changing their minds
t.ly/HgDj
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A majority of PA voters support additional gun control measures @SenBobCasey @GovernorTomWolf fandm.edu/fandmpoll
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Our data shows, since 2009, at least half of PA voters say abortion should be legal under certain circumstances, while support for an overall ban has declined. “But polling on abortion is nuanced” explains @JuliaTerruso and @AndrewSeidman in @PhillyInquirer
The majority of Pennsylvanians support some access to abortion. But while politicians in both parties have migrated to polar opposite positions on the issue, surveys show the majority of voters fall somewhere in the middle. inquirer.com/politics/pennsy…
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Wolf's net favorability has increased during the campaign, while Wagner's has declined, producing the biggest gap in gubernatorial favorability ratings since 1998. More about the current state of 2018 mid-terms in PA in latest poll: fandm.edu/fandmpoll
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Latest poll shows:
-Voters are dissatisfied with electoral procedures
-Fetterman increased his advantage in Dem US Sen primary
-No one has a clear advantage in the Rep US Sen or Gov primary
-Many voters are undecided & most are open to changing their minds
t.ly/Lg6G
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Gov. Josh Shapiro maintains strong approval rating, voters aren’t familiar with Supreme Court race, and other takeaways from a Pa. poll inquirer.com/politics/electi… via @phillyinquirer
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#Coronavirus Update: The number of daily tests reported in PA today is 8,326, the largest number reported so far-but still 57 of 67 counties report test rates below the recommended 30 per 1,000 residents-and 13 have rates lower than 10 per 1,000 residents t.ly/BP60L
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Franklin & Marshall College Poll Release: April 2023 fandmpoll.org/franklin-marsh…
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Berwood Yost & @StephenMedvic are presenting at @UAkronBliss State of the Parties 2020 virtual conference Nov 4-5. Register for the conference and tune in Nov 5 at noon to hear their analysis about the factions within PA’s political parties. @FandMCollege t.ly/KCXw
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Center for Opinion Research's Berwood Yost discussed networks strengthened through Lancaster’s Collective Impact Initiative #CIsummit17
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Berwood Yost weighing in on @npratc @DonGonyea question “Does Trump sway voters' minds?”
Watch for results of our next poll on May 5 to see how Trump’s
endorsement has affected the #PASen race
#PApolitcs
t.ly/LX1s
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Berwood Yost, Director of Center for Opinion Research, joined @terrymadonna on PA Newsmakers to discuss the election tinyurl.com/jkq9hks
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PA #Coronavirus Tracker Update: Today’s 756 newly reported cases are the single largest daily increase in the state to date. Philadelphia, with more than 1000 confirmed cases, and surrounding counties have had the steepest growth curves over the past week t.ly/BP60L
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PA ballot question in the news; know what it means before you vote @PhillyDailyNews @PhillyInquirer @ReadingEagle @tribunedemocrat @witfnews
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Interested in the 2018 mid-terms and what they tell us about #Election2020? Cases in Congressional Campaigns (tinyurl.com/y37slsm8) includes a chapter written by the Center's director and F&M Poll results.
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According to @NPRHealth CO voters wrestling with Prop 106. Our Sept CO poll found 70% of voters in favor. tinyurl.com/j7n6a28
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See our polling data featured in the New Yorker's take on the PA Primaries shorturl.at/nuwF6
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More PA Republicans give the President an “F” than an “A” on dealing with climate change. Full report: fandm.edu/fandmpoll
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Clinton’s lead increases among LV in PA: @HillaryClinton 47 @realDonaldTrump 38
Latest F&M College Poll: tinyurl.com/hgpsp57
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The GOP commitment to democracy thehill.com/blogs/congress-b…
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Join @SpotlightPA on Jan. 27 at 5 for a look back on the 2021 legislative session and a discussion about what themes are likely to emerge, or persist, in the 2022 session. This is a free virtual event, RSVP to join. #PApolitics t.ly/ZSP3
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U.S. Senator Bob Casey compliments COR's health assessment approach, “Casey said he cannot recall ever seeing a data survey from a county like the one Summit-WellSpan provided, and suggested replicating it throughout the state...” Thank you, @SenBobCasey! bit.ly/2YxiEFU
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#PACoronaVirus Tracker Update: PA reported 1295 new COVID-19 cases on May 10. Overall testing in Pennsylvania has identified 227,772 negative tests and 56,611 confirmed and probable cases, which gives a cumulative positive test rate of 19.9%. t.ly/BP60L
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PA #Coronavirus Tracker Update: PA confirmed cases increased by 12% from yesterday’s total. Among counties with more than 100 cases, Delaware, Lackawanna, Lancaster, Lebanon, Lehigh, Luzerne, & Schuylkill’s proportional increase exceeded the state average. t.ly/BP60L
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A bit more optimism, but many believe the state is headed in the wrong direction.
fandm.edu/fandmpoll
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PA #Coronavirus Tracker Update: Testing identified 30,061 negative tests and 3,394 confirmed cases, resulting in a positive test rate of 10.1%. Today’s 643 newly reported cases are the single largest daily increase in the state to date. t.ly/BP60L
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The October F&M Poll is out! Biden and Trump are nearly tied in a head-to-head matchup. What do voters think about their electability?
fandmpoll.org/franklin-marsh…
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An important component of President Trump's '16 victory in PA came from a massive advantage in the counties he won. Biden currently holds a larger vote share in the counties Clinton won in '16 than President Trump holds in the counties he won that year. t.ly/FYmA
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See Berwood Yost's comments in the LA Times about the state's mid-term races: latimes.com/politics/newslet…
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#PACoronaVirus Tracker Update: PA reported the results of 5795 total tests today. Only 5 counties report test rates above 25 per 1000 residents: Lehigh, Montgomery, Montour, Northampton, and Pike. t.ly/BP60L
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Tune into @SmartTalkWITF with @Scott_LaMar on @witfnews today at 9:30 to hear Berwood Yost discuss the results of our latest poll
#PApolitics #PA2022
t.ly/PkT5
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Clinton net favorability -2, Trump -29 in PA. For some historical perspective on favorability ratings in PA see: tinyurl.com/zau4d8w
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Berwood Yost discusses the future of abortion in Pennsylvania: wgal.com/article/future-of-a…
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Read the latest: “Undecided Voters” getrevue.co/profile/fandmpol…
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Latest F&M Poll shows third party supporters are less enthusiastic about their candidates than are Trump and Clinton supporters.
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Female voters have strong negative feelings about Trump’s job performance, compared to Bush and Obama. August poll shows, 65% of Republican women give Trump a positive job rating compared to 89% of Republican men. fandm.edu/fandmpoll
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Clinton leads Trump among white, college educated voters; Trump leads among white men without a college degree.
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PA #Coronavirus Tracker Update: The rate of positive tests has risen each day since March 22. As of April 1, testing in Pennsylvania identified 42,427 negative tests and 5,805 confirmed cases, which gives a cumulative positive test rate of 12 percent. t.ly/BP60L
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F&M Poll finds President Trump is an essential motivating force in the upcoming mid-term elections. A majority of voters reports their Congressional vote will be either to support or oppose President Trump and the Republicans in Congress. fandm.edu/fandmpoll
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Poverty Commission credits our “Lancaster Prospers?” report for starting a conversation about poverty in Lancaster tinyurl.com/h3r3wh4
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Franklin & Marshall College Poll: Polls, Helpful Tools for Reducing Uncertainty
No one trying to forecast a future event is wise to rely on a single indicator to make their judgments, so why should polls be treated any differently?
getrevue.co/profile/fandmpol… (via @revue) @AAPOR
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Proud of our ongoing collaboration with @SDoLancaster to understand and use their data to support students who want to pursue college.
I wrote a guest blog post for @collegeaccess about @SDoLancaster's work to address summer melt. Really proud of this work.
collegeaccess.org/news/47255…
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PA voters' views on elections, the January 6th hearings, and more: read the latest F&M Poll Results getrevue.co/profile/fandmpol…
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Trump’s job approval rating in PA (42%) makes him competitive, but his approval rating is lower than Bush (44%), who won 48% of the state vote in ‘04 or Obama (48%), who won 52% of the state vote in ‘12. t.ly/suCO"
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Take a look at our collaborative work with @WellSpan on their 2022 Community Health Needs Assessment wellspan.org/media/2729100/2…
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We are grateful for our ongoing collaboration with @SDoLancaster - featured in this report - on using data to support student college attainment.
.@PHLschools, @MDCPS, @SDoLancaster, & @BrownsvilleISD are moving the needle on good postsecondary outcomes for students in the new majority by using data + partnerships in innovative ways.
Learn more, & borrow their ideas! bit.ly/3q23a6B CC: @CarnegieCorp
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Data collection starts today with our new CO research partner: look for the CMU-RMPBS Poll results next week @ColoradoMesaU @rmpbs
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Nearly half (45%) of PA registered voters give the President an “F” grade for his handling of health care. fandm.edu/fandmpoll
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Our November report, Poverty in Lancaster City, addresses some of the Poverty Commission's recommendations: tinyurl.com/z7q6752
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Berwood Yost presented data about the Quality of Life in Lancaster at the @Lanc_Chamber State of the County event tinyurl.com/httkwsc
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Untangling and Explaining Voter Preferences in Our 2022 Midterm Survey fandmpoll.org/untangling-and…
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PA #Coronavirus Tracker Update: The state reported the results of over 4000 tests for the first time since Monday and also reported the the largest single day increase in new cases (1,706) since last Friday. t.ly/BP60L
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“One year later, what does Trump's win mean for Pa. politics?” in @phillydotcom Viewpoints: goo.gl/3CR6bG
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See our newly published article on what lifted Trump and Toomey to victory in Pennsylvania in 2016, tinyurl.com/yddldyg2
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Who did we poll? Quick facts about the October F&M College Poll; Read more about findings and methodology: fandm.edu/fandmpoll
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Fetterman (49%) has a substantial lead over Lamb (13%) among Democrats who identify with the progressive wing of the party, but the race is much
closer among those who identify as centrists (Fetterman 41%, Lamb 31%).
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New F&M Poll shows more PA voters feel state is “headed in the right direction”, than feel it’s “off on the wrong track” since March 2009. fandm.edu/fandmpoll
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F&M Poll shows more PA voters expect to cast their ballot in person (62%) than by mail (31%), but there are differences in these expectations, notably by party, ideology, and where voters live. fandm.edu/fandmpoll
@WGAL @terrymadonna #Vote2020 #votespa
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Among likely voters in Colorado, @HillaryClinton up 9 over @realDonaldTrump, 44 to 35 in 1st CMU-@rmpbs Poll Report: tinyurl.com/j7n6a28
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Despite 45% of PA voters feeling the state is headed in the right direction, a large majority say some aspects of government are in need of reform. fandm.edu/fandmpoll
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The majority of PA registered voters, including 2 in 5 Republicans, feel the ACA should be improved, not repealed. fandm.edu/fandmpoll
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“Polls are not precision instruments. They are approximations to knowledge. I think it just reinforces my case that we need to look at other things that tend to be more stable, less variable, and that can tell us something about where voters may go.” #Election2020 #VOTE #VotesPA
Point: The majority of trusted pollsters show the Democratic candidate with a consistent lead. Counterpoint: 2016.
phillymag.com/news/2020/10/2…
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#PACoronaVirus Tracker Update: PA added 1397 new COVID-19 cases today. Testing in Pennsylvania has identified 175,602 negative tests and 45,763 confirmed and probable cases, which gives a cumulative positive test rate of 20.7%. t.ly/BP60L
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Over half (56%) of PA registered voters support legalization of marijuana, mirroring national trend. Full report: fandm.edu/fandmpoll
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Wording could matter for PA Judicial ballot question. Details & analysis in @PhillyDailyNews @PhillyInquirer: tinyurl.com/PhillyPABallot
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Pa. Supreme Court race between Carolyn Carluccio and Dan McCaffery has turned into a multi-million dollar showdown inquirer.com/politics/pennsy… via @phillyinquirer
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Berwood Yost recently presented research about the effects of Amish PAC on Amish and non-Amish voters as part of an on-going collaborative project with the Young Center @EtownCollege goo.gl/URMoje
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August F&M Poll finds Former Vice President Joe Biden (28%) is the top choice for President among PA registered Democrats, followed by Senator Elizabeth Warren (21%). The top 5 Democratic candidates in PA mirror the top 5 among Democrats nationally fandm.edu/fandmpoll
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Latest poll shows about one in three (36%) registered voters in PA believes President Trump is doing an excellent or good job as president, but there are stark differences in support based on party, gender, and educational attainment. fandm.edu/fandmpoll @washingtonpost
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International expert affirms Center for Opinion Research's expertise in Collective Impact evaluation (see p 16) bit.ly/2hd8mDc
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#PACoronaVirus Tracker Update: Today PA reported 822 newly confirmed and probable COVID-19 cases. The positive test rate for cases reported on May 18 is 10.7%. The proportion of daily positive tests has been generally declining since mid-April. t.ly/BP60L
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Nationalization in Pennsylvania's 2022 Midterm Races fandmpoll.org/nationalizatio…
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PA #Coronavirus Tracker Update: Confirmed cases exceed 10,000. Monroe (2.9 cases per 1,000 residents), Lehigh (2.2 cases per 1,000 residents), and Luzerne (2.0 cases per 1,000 residents) have the largest number of cases per capita in the state.t.ly/BP60L
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