It's a time to reflect on what went well this year and what did not so that we can sharpen the tools we use going forward, and stay away from the things that flopped With the liquidation cascade of 10/10 it is very clear that even the smallest amount of leveraged portfolio opens you up to risk of ruin. Therefor, perps should only be used in rare occasions to fulfil a thesis when it is cheaper and easier to enter the position through perps and not spot. The position should be treated as spot so leverage is never used. There is little or no edge in leverage trading BTC and ETH unless a large narrative comes up. Examples of these narratives are Trump winning the presidential election, and front running the Tom Lee ETH DAT purchases. LTF on BTC and ETH and most majors should be ignored as they are heavily manipulated by market makers and whales in order to liquidate traders, therefor HTF and spot is king if BTC exposure is desired. HTF breakouts are far and few between on majors, last cycles of ripping through resistance does not occur anymore. ATH resistance should always be respected and if long into it should absolutely be taking off 50%+ of the position and strongly consider closing alts. New hyped launches played well, but only for week one. Coins that ran hard for the first week of opening should be faded after that first week. Consolidation is distribution, there is no dip, it is going to zero after the first week. New launches and stealth launches are still the best risk reward we have, if we are early. You need to be in on day 1, it needs to be a fresh coin, hard to buy, and have some figurehead like Trump or CZ attached. This is where most of the gains are made. Almost never buy the dip and always sell momentum exhaustion, on every coin. Where I made most of our money this year: Most of our money was made trading new hyped coins and exiting into the momentum. TRUMP, ASTER, DOGE, XPL, Most losses can be attributed to leverage trading BTC ETH or other majors + options So what's the plan? I have always recognized holding spot BTC when it gets cheap to be THE play. Is it time to buy BTC? Anywhere between 60-100K is a good buy on BTC IMO. If we are not done with the cycle, and liquidity comes back in 2026, then BTC will start to outperform. Fundamentally BTC is entrenched in the financial system now with ETFs and being added to retirement accounts. Companies want to build on the blockchain, they want to offer crypto, banks want our money. So we don't have to worry anymore about "will crypto survive" With the correct time horizon BTC is a good buy and hold. I have always wanted to buy it in bear markets and hold through the next cycle, but I never felt like I had enough money for that to matter. I still want to be exposed to crypto so I want to own BTC, it is simple. Beyond that the biggest income generator was new launches and catching them early. You don't need a lot of funds to make this work. We bet 300K on DOGE and made 2M, 500K on TRUMP and made 5M, 500K on ASTER made 5M, 3M on XPL made 2M and this is all within the last 365 days. So the plan is and will remain spot BTC, with 500K-2M in USDT on the side waiting for the next new launch or hot thing that has the potential to run for a week (and then sell). Macro should get better in 2026, more OG whales and miner supply has been distributed throughout all of 2025, and BTC is here to stay. Don't leave, find out what worked for you, what didn't work, and improve. There is no other place that offers this type of information asymmetry and reward to risk.
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This trader who traded with me in a private alpha group had managed to trade 10K into $1.2mm in the bull market and really set himself up. Fast forward: It's all gone for him now, and he's selling his house. How I did things diffently so this wouldn't happen to me, a 🧵
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You only need 5M in stables to make it. 20% APR in decent/good times and 5-10% when yield really compresses. That's $250K-1M per year On bad years, it feeds a luxuious life. On good years, it compounds into a bigger stack. You're set.
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Just got full on rugged on a seed. Founder didn't even launch a token they just used all the seed money for salaries and sent investors a letter saying shutting down lmfao Stay liquid
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too late to equities, too late to gold, just in time for the crypto bear market
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Prediction market for $CAKE is LIVE and this UI is absolutely beautiful. Are you feelin lucky?
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Fully diluted, no VC, community run token. May I present to you $FRIEND
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30B just got liquidated yesterday. That leverage was literally propping up spot prices across the board. It’s gone now. 70% of retail just went to zero, so who’s left to buy your alts that just had their first leg down? The books are thin, and everyone who bought higher is now underwater. That means every bounce becomes sell pressure. Market makers are scared to quote size in this environment. You get illiquid books, wide spreads, and trapped holders. The leverage that was holding the floor is gone, and retail isn’t coming back anytime soon. Careful buying alts on "discounts" they're not discounted
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I lost millions on Berachain after making millions on Berachain NFTs. Most traders only talk about their wins...
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Three years ago, we launched Digits DAO with just a $100K donation, conviction, and a strategy to find alpha where no one else was looking. Today, that treasury has grown to $8.4M—an 8,300% return (84x), outperforming Bitcoin by 34.65x in the same period. Here’s how we did it. We started at the beginning of a bear market, right after Bitcoin’s $69K all-time high. The market was unraveling, liquidity was drying up, and most projects were failing. We had no funding, no VCs—just our ability to trade. At first, we focused on risk-free value trades, extracting treasury assets from projects that were collapsing but still had deep reserves. It worked—until those opportunities dried up. The bear market got worse. Yields were below 5% and carried exploit risk. The SEC was cracking down. Founders were getting arrested. Crypto felt like it was on life support. Yet, we never stopped hunting for asymmetric bets. At the bear market lows, we rotated heavily into Berachain NFTs when the chain was valued at just $50M-$100M FDV. We projected a 5% airdrop, and it overshot to 6.9%. Fast forward—Berachain ran past $2B-$3B FDV, turning that trade into one of our biggest wins ever. But we didn’t win every trade. Friendtech? A loss. Art Gobblers? A loss. We took hits. But our winners were so big they erased every mistake. As the market bottomed, we identified new opportunities in liquidity provisioning and ecosystem plays. That’s when we made a major shift. We decided to start NAV a regulated crypto hedge fund that would remove the friction for new investors that our current structure faced. NAV was built to give investors a frictionless way to participate in our trading strategies while allowing Digits DAO to streamline treasury growth. Instead of running separate books, Digits DAO deposited into NAV’s Structured Investment Products (SIPs), ensuring we could scale efficiently without sacrificing our edge. And this move paid off—NAV SIPs delivered some of our biggest wins yet. 🔹 Trump Trade – Entered at $2B-$3B FDV, rode it up to $35B FDV, securing a 10x return within the Directional SIP. 🔹 Department of Government Efficiency Meme – Spotted early before Trump’s election, pulling another 10x return for the Directional SIP. 🔹 Leveraged JLP & Solana’s Resurgence – We identified JLP’s potential and used the Cross-Yield SIP to lever up on liquidation wicks, securing insane entries and high yield generation. 🔹 Liquidity Provisioning (LP) in New Markets – We aggressively LP’d on Solana, using the Cross-Yield SIP to pull in outsized returns from directional LP risk. Every NAV SIP—Cross-Yield, Berachain Maximizer, and Directional—has been profitable from inception and has consistently outperformed Bitcoin. Digits DAO crushed the bear market, but NAV allowed us to take things to the next level in the bull market. We’ve built a system that works. A system that scales. And a system that wins. To every Digits DAO member who stuck with us, every NAV depositor, and everyone who believed in what we were building—thank you. The last three years were legendary. The next three will be even bigger.
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Honestly I have no idea wtf this wave shit is or how traders use it but when @Bluntz_Capital posts the chart with the arrow going up on stuff I own I feel happy butterflies inside
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I have been expecting a 5% airdrop for 2 years now and we got a 6.9%! Berachain rewarded diamond paws, absolute chads. This is the breakdown inside our NAV Berachain Maximizer. With nearly 750,000 $BERA we're a huge player.
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Made 20K (2%) gross on 1M in Boyco over 3 months, half stables, half BTC-ETH. Lost 100K on BTC-ETH Lost additional 0.27% on Stargate scam bridge to exit. Net loss Have lost for 3 months straight with and on Berachain
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Wonder what happens when this guy is forced for buy back $75,000,000 of $PUMP back
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Timing and size are the most important aspects of trading. So, how do we time entries and exits properly, pick the correct size so we don’t get blown out, and manage these trades while things change in the middle? Here’s a 🧵 on how I do it, and how you can do it too (TLDR #35)
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Made more on $ASTER in 3 hours than I did holding $BERA for 7 years lessons in there
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Ok I'll go one step further and say the "exploiters" were Binance themselves. CZ stood to gain the most, at the expense of their customers. 1. Promote a perps dex Aster to get everyone horny on perps and leverage longing 2. Create campaigns to incentivize USDe collateral to manipulate later 3. Create BSC season so more on ramping to Binance perps and Aster occurs and OI goes up 4. Crash your system and shut it down while market makers and traders are wiped profiting billions in an hour People praise CZ but he's actually an evil mastermind wolf in sheep's clothing who constantly plays dumb. GG
The Oct 11 Crypto Crash — What Really Happened TL;DR: Roughly $60–90M of $USDe was dumped on Binance, along with $wBETH and $BNSOL, exploiting a pricing flaw that valued collateral using Binance’s own order-book data instead of external oracles. That localized depeg triggered $500M–$1B in forced liquidations, cascaded into $19B+ globally, and earned the attackers about $192M via $1.1B in BTC/ETH shorts opened on Hyperliquid hours earlier, but minutes before Trump tariff announcement. It wasn’t a USDe failure!! It was Binance’s design flaw, timed with macro panic (Trump’s tariffs) for cover. What looked like chaos was actually a coordinated exploitation of Binance’s internal pricing system, amplified by a macro shock and systemic leverage. 1️⃣ The Setup Binance’s Unified Account let traders use assets like USDe, wBETH, and BNSOL as collateral. Instead of oracle or redemption prices, Binance valued these using its own spot market - a major vulnerability. On Oct 6, Binance announced a fix to move to oracle-based pricing, but rollout wasn’t until Oct 14, leaving an 8-day window. 2️⃣ The Exploit During that window, sophisticated actors manipulated Binance’s order books, dumping ~$60–90M of USDe, driving it to $0.65 on Binance only (still ~$1 elsewhere). Because the Unified Account marked collateral to internal prices, this instantly wiped margin value and triggered $500M–$1B in forced liquidations. Then, Trump’s 100% China tariff headline hit, magnifying panic and liquidity stress. 3️⃣ The Profit Engine The same day, fresh wallets on Hyperliquid opened $1.1B in BTC/ETH shorts, funded by $110M USDC from Arbitrum-linked sources. As the Binance cascade unfolded, BTC and ETH cratered, those shorts netted $192M in profit before closing out at the bottom. Timing, precision, and funding paths all suggest coordination. 4️⃣ The Contagion Binance liquidations dumped BTC/ETH/ALTs into thin books. Other exchanges mirrored the collapse through cross-market bots. Market makers hedged across venues were forced to unwind everywhere. Result: $19B+ global liquidations, with many alts down 50–70% intraday, all triggered by <$100M of manipulated collateral. 5️⃣ Who’s at fault? Binance: design flaw + delay in oracle rollout = root cause. Exploiters: executed and timed the manipulation, profited via external shorts. Ethena (USDe): not at fault - protocol stayed 1:1 collateralized, redemptions normal, peg held everywhere else. 6️⃣ Aftermath Binance admitted “platform-related issues,” promised compensation for affected margin/futures/loan users, and rolled out minimum price floors + oracle integration. USDe remained operational, and the incident is now a case study in how exchange-side pricing errors can trigger system-wide liquidations. Bottom line: A ~$90M dump on Binance and a $1.1B leveraged short elsewhere sparked a $19B bloodbath. Not a stablecoin failure, but a masterclass in exploiting flawed collateral valuation during peak macro stress.
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Building wealth is the easy part. Figuring out how to keep it, and multiply it, is a strategy all in itself. I hope my story helps you prepare yourself for riches and gives you a better idea of how someone who was just starting out managed their trading and wealth creation.
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$MKR erased its entire 2024 move
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What if $BERA follows the $HYPE fractal, starts at 2-3B, and slowly climbs to 20-30B within a week.
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At $DIGITS DAO, we produced a $1,416,358.63 RFV gain in Q1 of 2023 with a starting capital of $2,691,883.28. This is a solid 52.61% gain in just one quarter. So, how did we do it? What strategies did we use, and what strategies do we see working further into 2023? 1/54
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My life and PnL got infinitely better once I muted $BERA from my feed, blocked the founder, and mass unfollowed anyone bullish on berachain. 1 month from doing this, I hit my port ATH. Lessons in there
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Why I'm not selling anymore $ASTER Aster team controls most of the supply. The token is the product (for now) but if the token goes up it makes a big case for product adoption. Dark pools, CZ backing (3 days in a row of tweets and one aimed at James Wynn of Hyperliquid), Team that knows how to market make and paint the chart, Heavily connected... It's all ripe for explosive up in Q4. I think this is a longer term swing play. Price is the product, and price will get people to use the platform because they will want juicy points for trading! High FDV makes the points worth more. Points worth more = big speculation on airdrop = more adoption = more fees = higher revenue = buyback token. Flywheel. So yes, supply controlled, but this is the game. The long game is to gain adoption through a highly valued token, through incentivization. While this is happening, the team will also be making the product better, which will again gain more adoption. So IMO this isn't a flash in the pan its a carefully crafted launch to value the token high in order to gain adoption and therefor platform fees.
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Honestly it's easy you just had to: Long the bottom of $PUMP at the ICO break out Sell the local top when the CCM meta was imploding Rotate all the profits to $ASTER and the perp dex meta Sell right before plasma launched fearing dilution in the market Rotate into the launch of $XPL right when it opened Sell the top when CT got bullish All in the 110K bottom on low leverage $BTC while simultaneously opening EOY OTM calls All with perfect timing, make absolutely no mistakes, and you had a great September! Anything other than this and you're basically homeless now. Congrats on making it to Q4
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I have been a rich Bera and I have been a poor Bera. And I choose rich every fkin' time. Because, at least as a rich Bera, when I have to face my problems, I show up in the front of a Lambo, Carrying a $2,000 pot of $HONEY and a $40,000 gold fkin' watch. 🐻⛓️
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What ever happens next never forget this: @0RacerAlt and @friendtech : 1. Raised money from Paradigm and others 2. Raked over 50M in fees 3. Seeded liquidity with $0.01 4. Offramped the 50M to coinbase There is nothing friendly about what he did.
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I think the $BERA flywheel will play out perfectly over the next week or two. Over $3B was deposited into Boyco and locked up for 90 days but none of these funds will be in native $BERA pools. This means $BERA pools will be insanely valuable. Hundreds of protocols are launching on Berachain which means their tokens will be paired with $BERA sucking up more supply. Those protocols will have native pools just like $NAV- $BERA which will suck up more $BERA into them. New launches will all require $BERA as ramen and other launchpads kicks off raises in $BERA Insane tripple digit APRs will hit main net all paired with $BERA as users relive their DeFi days Bribes will kick in as protocols fight increasing the demand for $BERA emissions for their pools and $BGT for governance. As demand increases through any sections of the ecosystem so does the price of $BERA and so does the APRs for all $BERA native pools on Berachain incentivizing more buy pressure. We are about to witness what happens when an asset is productive on a chain.
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1/ I am the founder of NAV, a BVI-regulated quantitative hedge fund. I started publicly trading DeFi in 2020, growing $100K to over $8M in 1.5 years. As a profitable trader and profit maximalist, my job has been to extract as much value from ecosystems and projects as possible.
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You might think 25% APR on stables is low because you're still chasing 100Xs on things called fartcoin. Let me tell you, brother, last bear market, we were trying to find 10% APR that wasn't going to get instantly exploited. 25% a year is great. Berachain
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Here's how I am thinking short term (1-2weeks) 🧵 The past 30 days have been some of the best trading I have ever done in my life. This is a small snapshot of our Bybit results. What's next?
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Meme boys are going to take their gains over to DeFi at some point in this cycle, and they are going to try to play our game. That's when we take it. All.
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Greedy devs uncapped raise. Whos going to be left to buy on launch? If market nukes or goes down u think these buyers who aped this presale are going to hold and not sell for a loss? Risk does not outweight reward here imo. Fading so hard. $TROVE
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We're going to see way more protocols offering seeds/privates to KOLs and not VCs moving forward. VCs add little value, but KOLs get the word out, they're grinders, they are the voice of and to the people, and that deserves to be rewarded with early access to great protocols.
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He has a gift $HYPE bros
If you've been sidelined on $HYPE, I got you guys I AM BULLISH HYPERLIQUID. I HAVEN'T SOLD A SINGLE $HYPE I WAS AIRDROPPED. I BELIEVE IN @ThinkingUSD AND THIS IS GOING TO $40 50% dip coming to a token near you!
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Thanks CZ
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A short term trade becomes a long term trade when you have no idea when a catalyst is coming, you're over exposed, you added, and you're heavily underwater, while there is no bounce. GM $XPL bros
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CT who have already made it are stacking spot ETH. Each strategy is a little different, but they all have the same fundamentals. These are the guys who have already made millions and survived atleast one full cycle. How am I playing it (as a millionaire)?
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A new farm I'm excited for is @ChronosFi_, which IMO fits all of my criteria. They have partnered with some of the biggest protocols, including @fraxfinance, which is not an easy thing to do. 31/54
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I hear there is this guy who traded a treasury from $100,000 to over $2,000,000 from Feb 2022 to now in the worst bear market we have ever seen, and the coins market cap is close to RFV
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Impressive exit by the $DINERO founders
Plume is acquiring @dinero_xyz 👁️ Dinero is the creator of ETH's fastest-growing liquid staking protocol. This strengthens and expands our RWAfi ecosystem with institutional-grade staking infrastructure for ETH, SOL, and BTC.
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Seeing lots of people crash out and leave crypto all together. Everyone has a different reason, too much crime, too many alts, etc. The real reason is BTC is up 10% in 10 months. Thats it. That's the issue people have. Its been hard to outperform. Its simple.
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Honestly, lots of stuff flying around like this... Contrary to popular belief, money has to come from somewhere, or rather someone... If you're like me and you generally suck at this meme meta, you don't have to play it. You also don't have to cope as you watch others make gains, or paper gains, or even realised gains. Their experience should be something to observe, digest, but not be taken emotionally or personally. You still need to watch what is happening, but you do not need to react. A little patience goes a long way. Whatever sector you specialize in, whether it be defi, gamefi, or whateverfi... Your time will come where that narrative is front and center. That's your time to strike because that sector is where you have the highest probability of winning. Stop playing someone else's game. Share this with any of your degen buddies who need a reminder, and maybe you'll save them some sheckles...
This person bought 178 $SOL worth of $MEW for $35k - 5 days ago. Now its worth $42.8m 👀 And you are sitting in Cardano and Ethereum with Stockholm Syndrome?
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$HYPE at 16B is bullish af for Berachain
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Shame on you $TROVE team. And shame on $GRAIL for allowing this to go through and happen on their launchpad. "fair launch" Imagine the sell pressure if this thing even remotely gets back close to pub salers break even... SHAME
Greedy devs uncapped raise. Whos going to be left to buy on launch? If market nukes or goes down u think these buyers who aped this presale are going to hold and not sell for a loss? Risk does not outweight reward here imo. Fading so hard. $TROVE
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Right now, $BERA is trading at $7.60, and we are earning 150-250% APR through the $iBERA or $iBGT farms. One possible scenario is a retracement to around $6.30, which I would consider an optimal entry point. This would represent a 17% decline, which, based on the current yield of 200% APR (approximately 16% per month, non-compounded), would take about one month to recover. This brings our average entry to $6.30. However, there’s also a possibility that we hold this level and establish a new low. From a risk-reward perspective, it makes sense to maintain a decent-sized farming position. To protect gains, we recently rotated $BERA into $OHM-$HONEY near the recent peak. This move was strategic, as we are in a range-bound/bearish macro market where breaking out into price discovery is challenging, and a rejection in the short term remains a risk. This farm is a pseudo-stable that currently earns over 50% APR, with potential to reprice to 100% APR in three days due to upcoming bribe allocations. We also allocated some funds directly into $HONEY to have liquidity ready if $BERA drops to the $6-$6.30 range, allowing us to buy the dip. At the same time, we’ve maintained enough exposure so that if $BERA establishes a new base and surges past $9 next week, we would secure significant profits. A Balanced Plan for Any Scenario We have structured our strategy to cover multiple scenarios: 1. Profit Preservation: Partial profit-taking at the top. 2. Continued Exposure: Maintaining a position to outperform if $BERA breaks its all-time high. 3. Risk Mitigation: Rotating into yield-bearing assets to hedge against downside. 4. Capital Readiness: Holding $HONEY to either capitalize on new launches or buy the dip if $BERA drops to optimal entry. Planning a trade is similar to playing chess: you must think multiple steps ahead, considering various outcomes and asking yourself, "If this happens, will I be happy?" If the answer is yes regardless of the scenario, your position is balanced. With a clear plan in place, it’s just a matter of executing as the market unfolds. That’s where the real magic happens. As traders, we can’t predict the future, but it’s our responsibility to plan for the unknown and make decisions based on the probabilities presented. That's how you outperform over time.
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Native Markets won $USDH before the proposals even got drafted. It was all a farce and completely rigged beforehand. They were likely shocked to receive so many robust proposals, but still went through with the sham. Ethena or Paxos would have been WAY better! Hyperliquid
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$BERA has been ranging between $5-8 for the better part of a month. It’s been holding that range cleanly, and in a choppy, sideways market like this, I’m comfortable playing it. I’m not chasing breakouts. I’m not shorting strength. I’m long the low end of the range, selling into strength, and getting paid while I wait. Simple strategy. It works. Right now, I’m farming the BERA-HONEY LP for 100% APR on iBGT. Half of the position is exposed to BERA, which I like long-term. The other half is HONEY, stable inside the Berachain economy. While BERA chops around in range, I’m collecting yield. I’m not just farming for the sake of farming. I’m positioning where I want exposure, and I’m getting paid to sit in the trade. If BERA runs, I catch the move. If it stays in range, the yield reduces my cost basis every day. The bigger catalyst is still ahead—Proof of Liquidity. PoL changes the game. Instead of validators just staking tokens, they need LP positions to secure the network. That creates sustained demand for BERA liquidity and locks up more supply. I want to be in front of that. This is exactly the type of trade I’m comfortable running right now. Long low. Farm high yield. Sell into strength. If PoL plays out the way I think it will, I’m already there. Risk is defined. Time works in my favor. And I’m getting paid while I wait. That’s the play.
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Uhhh got absolutely rugged on @HyperliquidX ... We trade from multiple diamond + tier accounts and didnt get the meme coin airdrop on any of them because what... We didnt check a box in time? Sorry... That's a great way to lose customers and I'll never use your exchange again.
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Seeing a lot of posts about people quitting or wanting to transition to different industries. Trust me, I've done the math—nothing beats the returns that crypto offers. As an emerging market, it presents the most outsized opportunities you’ll ever have in your life. Instead of quitting or chasing easier money, fight the inner demons that have held you back from greatness. Trading is a constant internal struggle—a journey toward emotional enlightenment. You won’t find these returns elsewhere. What you will find is mind-numbing stability, the fear of losing your paycheck, and a life spent working for money instead of making your money work for you.
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Certik audit team doxxed.
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Going to be crazy when Berachain flips Hyperliquid and the $HYPE bros rope
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Take your head out of your own ass for a moment and let's talk priorities: 1. Basic life necessities (food, clothes, etc.) 2. Shelter (rent or owned) 3. Compound your wealth (crypto AND in the real world) IMO at the start there is no room for anything else. Build security.
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Over the last few months, I was on the wrong side of the L1 trade—going long $BERA and more recently $INIT. Outside of $HYPE, it’s been incredibly difficult to make money on L1s this cycle. That said, some new L1s are launching in Q2, and if patterns hold, there’s still opportunity. The best approach seems to be scalping or swinging the initial pop—then moving on. Don’t get attached. High RR trades this cycle have rarely come from holding. Holders have consistently been punished, while disciplined scalpers have been rewarded. I don’t expect that dynamic to change. With the sheer number of L1s and the dilution across ecosystems, most will likely continue to underperform—and present solid short legs for pair trades, especially as team and investor unlocks hit. Foundation decisions have also made holding even riskier. BERA arbitrarily changed inflation schedules, ramp speeds, and collapsed the BGT LST premium. INIT cut LP rewards by 80% overnight due to a "mistake," triggering a wave of unstaking. In both cases, the community got hit while teams/investors were protected. When the rules can change overnight, usually not in favor of liquid token holders, holding becomes a liability—not a strategy. In this environment, agility matters more than conviction. The L1 game has changed—it's no longer about holding for ecosystem growth, but extracting value where momentum aligns briefly with liquidity. Respect the trade, respect the risk, and don’t fall in love with narratives. Until fundamentals catch up or teams start prioritizing tokenholder alignment, most new L1s are better treated as short-term trades, not long-term investments.
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You can literally chart any coin against BERA and feel better as long as you didn't own BERA
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HOLY FUCKING SHIT I JUST WON $36,000 IN THE $CAKE LOTTO. THANK YOU @PancakeSwap YOU JUST CHANGED MY FUCKING LIFE!!!!! $BSC
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The largest winners this cycle have not been traders. They have been believers who can hold a coin through multiple 75% drawdowns. Bonk guy, Murad, etc. They have transcended price, PnL, and time. We have diamond handed these bera jpegs for years and have reached a state of transcendence. The ultimate mental illness.
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3X premium just sayin
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$WLFI going to create some many new democrats
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If 3ac blew up, Alameda blew up, and ftx lost 95% of its customers funds... who won?
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1/19 🧵 "Time in the market is more important than timing the market." This adage is often tossed around, but what if I told you timing plays a major role in trading, potentially defining your profits? Let's delve into my journey and the lessons learned. 👇
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$NAV - $BERA on @beraborrow just breached 10,000% APY becoming the first LP to achieve 5 digit APY on Berachain PoL is working Berachain
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$BERA is down -85% from inception. Why? Doesn’t matter. NAV’s Berachain Maximizer SIP is up +30% over the same period. This represents a 115% outperformance versus the benchmark. While many ecosystem participants faced capital erosion to zero, the NAV Berachain Maximizer SIP not only preserved value — it grew it. Nowhere did I play Berachain perfectly — I made a lot of trading mistakes, held a sticky bias, and learned the hard way. But I’m proud of the results we delivered in the end. NAV is officially sunsetting the Berachain SIP at the end of this month. There are many reasons behind this decision. The truth is: we should have been absolutely bodied, and instead we escaped certain death. I'm not going to pretend I know how to navigate and trade a straight down 4 month -85% asset with uncertain moving parts. More context and detail is available in our Discord. Just wanted to share this performance update here now that it's nearly finalized.
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I noticed Bob sold 10% of the team's $PARTY supply within the first two days after raising millions during a "donation" event, all while shopping for a house. Apologies if you trusted a degenerate gambling addict to act responsibly or in the best interest of the protocol. This is why we didn't join the pool party. However, we would have considered participating in the pool party, despite these red flags, during a bull market. Why? Good market conditions can absorb a bad team's sales and more, but not when we're deep in a bear market. It's always important to remember the cycle we find ourselves in, and this should dictate the types of strategies you deploy and which ones you do not. For example, an overt PvP game may not be the best thing to play when capital is limited (bear market).

ALT Happy Party GIF

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Replying to @WazzCrypto
1.2 quadrillion
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I'm a big fan of trying to get to narratives early, so when everyone was preoccupied with $ARB and the future of France, we bought some $ZERO and started focusing on the LSD narrative to come in April. But how do you know if you're early or late? 🧵
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Just quit my job thanks to Art Gobblers! This $30,000 from the free mint is enough for me to finally go Web3 full time, something I’ve always dreamed of. I’ve never been more grateful to be part of such an empowering community. This has changed my life forever.
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1/ 🧵 Alright, let's talk about trading, risk management, and thriving in the markets. I'm Digits, and I've turned 100K into 7M during a 2-year bear market for @digitsdao. Here's what I've learned along the way...
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A memecoin on Berachain will go to 1 billion mc this cycle
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You should shoot for a realistic goal every cycle. $5-10M after tax is a great goal and will keep your stress low. It's a great number that will afford you a modest, upper middle-class lifestyle if your ability to earn goes to zero👌
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Conspiracy/Speculative Theory: The founder of @dinero_xyz is also involved with @buildabera, created a hidden hand bribing mechanism where 4% of all bribe revenue flows to the hidden hand (with 2% going directly to $DINERO stakers). This will have a significant impact on @berachain and benefit $DINERO stakers substantially. Hidden hand will be integrated at the core level of the Berachain ecosystem as protocols and individuals strive to accumulate as much $BGT as possible. 2% of all bribes will be used to buy back $DINERO and distribute it to stakers, creating constant buy pressure on $DINERO. Imagine an entire DeFi chain with hundreds of protocols competing for $BGT emissions and bribing millions of dollars every week, with 2% of that flowing directly to $DINERO stakers. Additionally, institutional flow into $DINERO's $ipxETH will exceed nine figures, making it the highest-yielding ETH restaking product with massive institutional adoption. Market makers will take notice, and $DINERO will be listed on multiple tier 1 exchanges due to its relevance and reach in DeFi. I am ready for this reality to reveal itself. **Disclaimer:** NAV holds DINERO, swing trades DINERO, and stakes DINERO, benefiting from this scenario coming to fruition.
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Biggest bear trap I’ve ever seen in my life. But I won't trap me. Why do I always say you are your biggest counterparty in trading? Because you can think Trump’s tariffs and macro send us to $75K… But will you buy $75K? I don’t know. When we’re there, you’ll probably think it’s going to $50K. You’ll be doom-posting, watching SPX bleed, convincing yourself it’s over. Will you actually buy the bottom? What if we range for 6 months? You gonna buy then? You gonna hold that long into Q4? Or sell the first green rally like a coward? A lot of my positioning isn’t about price. It’s about me. I know we’ll be higher in 5 years. But will I hold for 5 years? No. I’m not built like that. I don’t LARP like I am. 1 year? 6 months? Yeah, I can do that. Barely. And I think that’s the highest risk/reward right now—not getting chopped up in the meantime. So we do the hard thing. Not the impossible thing. The hard thing. I’m positioned: BTC: Hedge against CT bears and macro retards (yeah, you) BERA: My DeFi/Yield play/New thing/Potential 2025 hot narrative Stables: Waiting for the next narrative, which I’m hunting daily (maybe crv, cvx, mkr, stablecoin things) 3-pronged. Simple. Focused. Every day I wake up and fight myself: Fight the urge to be a pussy. Fight the urge to follow the herd. Fight the urge to become a comfy perma bear. This isn’t easy. There are demons inside me that want me poor. There are demons inside you that want you poor. No one’s opinion matters. Half will be right. Half will be wrong. Hindsight is 20/20. In the end, the only thing that matters is your balls. So… You got balls? Or you some pussy bitch?
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Diamond handed $BERA's still holding or have only sold half to LP and use on chain. We are here to see this through 🫡 Ooga booga
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Berachain will be the next greatest wealth creation event to happen since Hyperliquid
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Everyone talks bullish Q4 but how do you even play it? Here is my Q4 roadmap 🫡NFA Most will LOSE money in Q4 but I have a recipe that will offer MASSIVE reward if the trajectory of Q4 is up for majors. This methodology comes with a few different ideas so lets go over them first 1. Peak/Top is in January 1st 2. We achieve a sustained move with green months in October, November, and December 3. ETH continues to outperform BTC 1st prong: Stacking majors on low leverage or no leverage Boring? Maybe. If you believe ETH is going to 7K by December (I do) then you have 70%+ upside by simply holding ETH for 3 months and doing nothing. This is my base portfolio layer as I still feel ETH will outperform BTC in Q4. I have a 1X lev long position open on ETH and instead of trading it back and forth I am leaving it untouched. -10-20% crashes are for adding to this position. 2nd prong: OTM ETH Call options for max convexity On the last dip I used 8% of our account to buy OTM call options with december expiries for $ETH. I did this for convexity if things get nutty and we full send Q4 anything above 6K+ on these will give exponential returns. If we get a -10-20% ETH drawdown in September I will increase the position, I have half of the desired size on now. If ETH does nothing and stays at $5K until December these expire worthless, but if ETH goes to $7K we'll be looking at over 3X on returns with things getting really crazy around $7.5K+ This prong is one that can not be liquidated, it is a bet on price and time and seasonality. My thesis is simple that Q4 will be up as it usually is in bull markets, that the bull run is not over, and that seasonality will pull through and $ETH will continue to be the leader with ETF flows and DATs. Sometimes you have a thesis but the real wealth is made in finding the best vehicle to execute the thesis if you're right. In this instance I have a time based idea, asset, expected gain (price), so options is the best vehicle to express this thesis. 3rd prong: Narrative trades - CEX and on chain This is the dog shit that we don't hold. This is the stuff that comes out with a narrative or a new thing or a catalyst or what ever and it's the things we flip for more USD. This one doesn't really need to be explained but look back on anything really like AI coins back a year ago. Stuff ran to 500M-1B and then got dusted to zero. Great to trade, bad to hold. Remember $GOAT ? Yeah me neither. Even recent narratives like $LINK $ENA $WLFI I would put in this basket. Great to trade, good to flip, take the USD. What do you do with these gains? I'll be looking for flushes on ETH in the next few months moves of -10% to take this USD and smash into more $ETH. This can be a way to increase the position size WITHOUT increasing the leverage over the next few months. This is a way to compound into a more "stable" position 4th prong: As we get closer to December and what I would expect to be the end or a local top I will begin cutting positions for USD and finding stable farms. Generally speaking I will try to be as safe as possible with this capital because if the bear market is starting in 2026 then stable farms can and will blow up. Here I will be thinking $sUSDe etc. So this strategy is a bet on seasonality and the cycle continuing, its a bet on $ETH and not allowing volatility to shake out the position (through options and low leverage), it's a bet on froth, and a bet on compounding gains through what I do best (narrative trading). Thats it, that's how I think I win in Q4. Thank you for coming to my TED talk.
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SAFETY UPDATE: Merlin dex is NOT safe, do not interact with the website or the contracts. It's either been exploited or hard rugged. Very sorry for anyone who was affected, we lost 150K, what good is a certik audit if on day 2 a protocol gets drained?
I've been speaking alot about how I think farming with ETH is the play for the next 2 quarters minimum as I expect chop for the last part of 2023. But where do you put your hard earned ETH keeping in mind the main 2 points to farming successfully: 1. High Yield and 2. Safety
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If you missed $HYPE who cares. It's a bull market, and there are LIFE changing plays every day. You will miss the majority of them. I miss the majority of them. You only need a few a year to change your life, and you will hit them, let the others go.
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At the start of last bull run I was living in a small house in the suburbs where people go to die. We were barely making 100K per year from our business, and I had just found crypto again after buying the last cycle top. I told my wife "I'm going to get us out of here." She will never forget that moment, and neither will I. On the 3rd month on chain I made $500K and we got evicted from the small house because I forgot to pay the rent. Nothing else seemed important other than making it for my family. I was all in and I was that locked in. Obsessed. We moved to a luxury home overlooking the hillside and never looked back. I'm that locked in. 2 months in a row NAV Directional back to back 7 figure gains. Explosive growth. Nothing else matters.
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IMO the bottom is in for OG Berachain projects. Here’s why: 1. PoL + Bribes Go Live Monday Protocol-owned liquidity paired with bribes for BGT emissions kicks off next week. It’s the ignition switch for the Berachain flywheel. The whole ecosystem got hammered during the market dump—just like everything else—but now we’ve hit equilibrium. 2. OG Protocols Are Loaded and Ready Projects like Yeet, Ramen, and NAV have stacked BERA from their RFB grants. They’re set to deploy a portion of it as bribes for BGT emissions. They’ve also allocated native tokens to incentivize validators and deepen liquidity. The arms race for emissions is about to heat up. 3. Stablecoin Pools Losing Influence Stable-only pools have been soaking up a big slice of BGT emissions, but that dynamic should shift this week. Validators now get paid more to direct emissions toward ecosystem farms paired with BERA. That’s where the BGT flow is heading next. 4. The Flywheel Effect Is Coming Online As more BGT emissions hit BERA-paired pools, farmers will need to buy BERA to stay in the game. More buying = higher BERA price = higher prices for eco tokens paired with BERA. Higher token prices = bigger bribes, which attract more BGT… and on it goes. This is Berachain’s version of the Curve Wars flywheel—on steroids. Bera Monday.
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How it started. How it's going. Still overvalued. $FCTR grift
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I truly think most traders will be better off focusing on ETH as boring as that might sound for the next 2 quarters minimum. Most of the crazy gains we got on alts came at the far end of the bull market last cycle. Alts really shined in the final parabolic leg at the top.
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Why does every meme I ape rugs to zero, and every meme I don't buy goes to 100mm mc? Anyone else have a similar experience? We can cry together.
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When I switched from metamask to @Rabby_io it was life changing and increased my speed navigating DeFi so much. The only issue is I do a lot of trading on mobile and rabby doesn't have mobile. Metamask mobile is even worse than desktop... What do u guys use for mobile?
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Ok hear me out, what if PoL works
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If you'd like to follow a similar journey, from $100K to over $3mm all done in the bear market, @DigitsDao did just that from feb 2022 - now. All on chain, all verifiable, and recorded trade by trade. I hope this helps you on your trading journey: docs.google.com/spreadsheets…
This trader who traded with me in a private alpha group had managed to trade 10K into $1.2mm in the bull market and really set himself up. Fast forward: It's all gone for him now, and he's selling his house. How I did things diffently so this wouldn't happen to me, a 🧵
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I had some personal funds stable leveraged 10X in sUSDe on contango that didn't get liquidated because some guy pegged the oracle price to 1 USDT Didn't matter that USDe went to 40 cents Divine protection is real
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Most of your gains will be made in 1-3 months for the entire cycle. It will account for your entire year. The rest is just surviving. It's not pretty, it's not sexy, it's survival bias.
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Amazing alpha comes from guys with less than 1K followers... They hungry
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I found a new coin the other day and got in. My analysis was that it is in a hot narrative, new coin, novel tec, low float, pre-salers under big cliff + vest (10% at TGE), and it could be a nice swing. Lets see if Chat GPT feels the same way Thanks @hooeem for this idea!
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My wife agreed her wifey tax would go to this. If you die does your family benefit off of your meme coins and internet money? This was on my mind so I built a business my wife could easily take over with her family in the event of my demise. Set everyone up for life if you can.
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By March of 2021 I had turned 100K into 1.3mm and withdrew $200K into fiat for lifestyle improvements (a used family car) and savings for rent and food. At this point if something went wrong I would have a fully paid off used car (never buy a new car) and be able to feed my kids.
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Replying to @smartestmoney
Just to clarify some things... 8M is a lot and it's a big gain in 30 days.
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KOLs will begin promoting friend tech to you. You will see it on your timeline every day. You will see updates from racer (maybe). You will see peer pressure. You will see name calling. They will try to get you to FOMO. Whether you take this trade or not at the time remember this... They have pre-farmed tokens. They are generally not good traders, and are relying on you for their exit liquidity. Decide if you step in to the ring with them based on this information, and know that they are your counterparty, not your $FRIEND.
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Berachain now has more TVL than $SUI which is valued at 36B FDV
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Every single cycle @SmallCapScience has been early to multiple narratives and absolutely slayed. He's a prophet I'm convinced
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$PENGU airdrop proves how flawless the $HYPE airdrop actually was in so many ways
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I've been speaking alot about how I think farming with ETH is the play for the next 2 quarters minimum as I expect chop for the last part of 2023. But where do you put your hard earned ETH keeping in mind the main 2 points to farming successfully: 1. High Yield and 2. Safety
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NAV Directional SIP farmed 5,000 @HyperliquidX points this week. $30 per point, and that's $150,000 in extra income for our SIP. We're also up another $200,000 on our hyperliquid trading from perps and spot combined. How'd you do this week?
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🚨More launches are coming, here's how I am playing them: With the success of $ASTER and $XPL we will see many more coins launching in Q4 as teams rush to extract. $ASTER was so successful because it followed the $TRUMP playbook. It was generally under the radar caught everyone by surprise and then full sent as people rushed to buy inefficiently. This created massive gains for early participants but it is very hard to replicate. $XPL was a known launch and as you can see has run less, and less hard than $ASTER because people were already positioned and knew about it, plus pre-sale sell pressure. As we go further into Q4 these will be looked at as the base cases. I believe people will begin holding for longer multiples from the start but this is a mistake. Coins are going to become more diluted as this becomes the meta, we saw what happened with memes and this will happen to good utility projects as well. There is still a limited amount of capital sloshing around and it will rotate and spread out. Catching the next ASTER will become increasingly more difficult. So at the moment where everyone believes coins will run 10X is actually the time I will be taking profits faster. There may be some edge cases, but I think if I can shove 5-10M into something and extract a 2X that is going to be the safest bet moving forward as attention gets diluted. There may be exceptions to this rule, such as Lighter which actually has a superior product and may run harder, but the majority will not. Getting caught becoming a bag holder as we move into a hyper diluted hyper rotational meta is something I'm not interested in. This is the period in time where everyone including teams is racing to extract as much as possible, it is the time where we can make the most money, but also lose the most. Until BTC breaks ATH this is still very much a prison yard where we are the last participants left shanking each other. Remember, these are the guys who have survived multiple cycles with bank rolls. The competition is never harder than it is now. When we break ATH on BTC my ideas around new launches may change, especially if we get large inflows that come on chain, but for now its very much PvP even if your favorite influencer tells you it's not.
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