Communication Researcher, analyzing the tech discourse. Book Author: The TECHLASH. Substack: aipanic.news/ Signal: DrTechlash.16

Cupertino, CA
That's a rare moment of agreement 😀
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Replying to @MetaNewsroom
In Hebrew, *Meta* means *Dead* The Jewish community will ridicule this name for years to come.
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"A Taxonomy of AI Panic Facilitators" A visualization of leading AI Doomers (X-risk open letters, media interviews & OpEds). Some AI experts enable them, while others oppose them. The gender dynamics are fucked up. It says a lot about the panic itself. Your thoughts?
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Replying to @garrytan
The speaker list looks epic
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In early July, Epoch AI estimated that 33 models had been trained with at least 10^25 FLOP. So, here's your REMINDER that the doomers asked to ban/restrict models above 10^21 FLOP (Conjecture), 10^23 (CAIS, ControlAI), 10^24 (GovAI), then 10^25 (FLI, PauseAI, ICFG). They viewed these past models as an existential threat to humanity. This is why, for example, the EU AI Act defined "general purpose AI models with systemic risk" as those trained with more than 10^25 FLOP. Reality check: Humanity now lives with tens of models exceeding the doomers' nightmarish threshold. Current bills like Scott Wiener's SB 53 have a computational threshold of 10^26 FLOP. As Krishnan Rohit observed, "No reason to think 10^26 is now the magic number. It's always just a bit higher than where we are today. Imagine if we had done this!"
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🚨 Effective Altruism's Bait-and-Switch: From Global Poverty to AI Doomerism 🚨 The Effective Altruism founders planned – from day one – to mislead donors and new members in order to build the movement's brand and community. aipanic.news/p/effective-alt…
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Wondering what's behind all the talk about "Human Extinction from AI"? Well, it's over 1.6 BILLION dollars from Effective Altruism billionaires. 🧵
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In May 2021, the Future of Life Institute became a 665.8-million-dollar organization. It's only now, in March 2024, that we learn the magnitude of Buterin's donation. FLI used it to fund existing "AI Existential Risk" organizations and created new ones. #Shibagate
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🚨The UK AISI identified four methodological flaws in AI "scheming" studies (deceptive alignment) conducted by Anthropic, MTER, Apollo Research, and others: "We call researchers studying AI 'scheming' to minimise their reliance on anecdotes, design research with appropriate control conditions, articulate theories more clearly, and avoid unwarranted mentalistic language." 1/4
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Replying to @Kurz_Gesagt
Kurzgesagt got = $7,533,224 from Open Philanthropy We got = "a virus that only kills people with green eyes," a starving skeleton in front of his screen, and a ridiculous "survival kit" merchandise (to further fund Kurzgesagt). Cool.
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LessWrong = The gift that keeps on giving
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The AI Dilemma's 😱 Panic-as-a-Business: - Freaking people out with monstrous AI - Freaking people out with dubious survey stats - Distracting people from the real issues 🚨 New article: bit.ly/41JhjJm
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Effective Altruism billionaires spend millions of dollars brainwashing students into believing that "superhuman AI systems" will end humanity. As a result - they need mental health support.
We recently surveyed 300+ Harvard students about their views on AI. Our most surprising result: over 40% of Harvard students believe that AI extinction risk should be a global priority alongside pandemics and nuclear war. Link here: arxiv.org/abs/2406.00833; more results in 🧵.
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What's wrong with current AI media coverage? These 7 flaws: niritweissblatt.medium.com/7… 🧵
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Replying to @EurovisionNewZ
Second year in a row, jury votes diverge dramatically from public votes. 2024: Eden Golan "Hurricane" 2025: Yuval Raphael "New Day Will Rise" HUGE difference! European people's vote = Israel won The wonderful Yuval won their hearts 💞
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Effective Altruism Forum - is so funny right now 😃 "EA is not coming out well... EA might find itself in a hostile atmosphere in what used to be one of the most EA-friendly places in the world" forum.effectivealtruism.org/…
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Meet the Center for AI Safety's new national spokesperson, John Sherman. 🔳 Sherman suggested to "walk to the labs across the country and burn them down.🔥 Like, literally. That is the proper reaction. I'm not talking about killing people. I'm talking about destroying the hardware infrastructure." He was recruited as Director of Public Engagement by Dan Hendrycks. Hendrycks is also an advisor to Elon Musk's xAI and Alexandr Wang's Scale AI. 🔳 Sherman also said, "We are the last humans. Thank you, Sam Altman. You f*cking did it. We are the last humans." 🔳 "I honestly think that's our only, our best chance. I think that our best chance is that a 'warning shot' that is catastrophic kills a few million people, but not any more than that, several hundred thousand, or whatever it is, and everyone in the world clearly knows that it was the AI companies that are responsible." 🔳 And asked: "Why are the executives of OpenAI not charged with attempted murder of ALL of us?"
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Eliezer Yudkowsky's institute published its "2024 Communication Strategy" The main goal (as he argued in TIME magazine) is to 🔻shut down🔻 AI development. So, let's take a look at their strategy 🧵
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Is the StopAI movement creating the next Unabomber? 🧵 1/3
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Replying to @CaseyNewton
Didn't get the memo? 🤷‍♀️

ALT Comedy Internet GIF by Progressive

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Effective Altruists/AI Doomers saying the quiet parts out loud 🧵 #1 – "AI safety is too structurally power-seeking"
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Why do Doomers initiate Open Letters? Because they draw all the attention. How well does this PR stunt work? See for yourself: The 2 peaks of coverage in the U.S. media - are the letters. The Doomers use those open letters to *increase* X-risk coverage (# articles/interviews).
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All along, X-risk Effective Altruists have been very clear about their regulatory ambitions: aipanic.news/p/the-ai-panic-…
Did you guys know there's 24-author paper by EAs, for EAs, about how Totalitarianism is absolutely necessary to prevent AI from killing everyone? Let's go through it together 🧵
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Meanwhile, on the LessWrong forum, a total meltdown 🫠
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In the current AI talent war, everyone is focused on the big numbers (alleged compensation packages). It misses the bigger picture: the cultural shift following the DeepSeek moment. META is the American leader in open science (publications) and open source (Llama). Both OpenAI and Anthropic are notoriously not open. AI talent moving into META is an AI talent that embraces OPENNESS. That's great for the industry. That's great for science. That's even great for safety concerns (more transparency, more eyes on the problems, more solutions). That's a trend worth celebrating. OpenAI releasing an open-weights model later this summer (as promised below) might shift that balance.
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An unsurprising collaboration between the creators of "AI Panic Marketing" (Sam Altman, Dario Amodei, Emad Mostaque) & the creators of "Panic-as-a-Business" (Eliezer Yudkowsky, Jaan Tallinn, Max Tegmark, Connor Leahy, Tristan Harris). History books will make fun of this moment.
We just put out a statement: “Mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal-scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war.” Signatories include Hinton, Bengio, Altman, Hassabis, Song, etc. safe.ai/statement-on-ai-risk 🧵 (1/6)
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MIRI had just published the most Orwellian proposal possible: · Government surveillance of datacenters via hardware-enabled mechanisms and software-based tools. · Tracking personnel: Surveillance of key AI researchers and their locations, computers, and research activities. WTF
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The "blackmail" segment on @60Minutes was terribly misleading, so let's examine the facts. Anthropic's AI model was NOT "suspicious", "panicked", or "saw an opportunity". Detailed materials: 1. UK AISI paper. 2. Anthropic's paper. 3. Anthropic's appendix. 🧵
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@nytimes book review “The book reads like a Scientology manual … Following their unspooling tangents evokes the feeling of being locked in a room with the most annoying students you met in college while they try mushrooms for the first time.”
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Replying to @perrymetzger
So, you’re basically saying… this?
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Delusional
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MIRI's communications manager posted the "2024 Communication Strategy" in the LessWrong Forum and asked for feedback. The debate focused on the claim that "AI will kill EVERYONE (including their children)" Then, she got this response: (shorturl.at/WseG3)
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Out of the groups supporting Wiener's SB-1047: Open Philanthropy funded 10 "AI Existential Risk" organizations - a total of $53.6 million Jaan Tallinn funded 11 organizations - a total of $10.6 million for the 8 organizations with publicly available data. (That's without 2024)
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Dan Hendrycks' fantasy world of doom: ▪️ AIs will perform mundane tasks, yet destroy the entire Cosmos ▪️ AIs will not be aware of what humans are, but will seek power and act 'selfishly' ▪️ Regulation in America will cause China to slow down (June 21, 2024)
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Transcript of Elon Musk's appearance in the #saveryanmac Twitter Space: @elonmusk: Well, as I'm sure everyone who's been doxed would agree, showing real-time information about somebody's location is inappropriate. And I think everyone would not like that to be done to them. /1
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SB-1047 🧵1 The original drafter of this bill, Hendrycks, believes there's an 80% chance of human extinction from AI. The overblown focus on existential threats by future AI models could severely limit AI R&D, slow innovation, and stifle open-source AI. archive.vn/D9QvD
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Replying to @ratemyskyperoom
Oh, wow. @ratemyskyperoom - you’ve made my day 😄
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Many of the professors who sign those open letters are not worried about X-risk. But they lent their name and credibility to the extreme AI doomers. Due to this exploitation, the fringe becomes mainstream. That's the real misinformation here. ⤵ shorturl.at/akvJK
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When following the doomers feels like Groundhog Day
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Wiener complained yesterday (on Sam Harris' podcast), that his bill SB-1047 is being discussed in terms of science fiction doomers, and cults. Indeed disturbing. So, here’s an idea: Consider not relying on a doomsday cult?
Replying to @DrTechlash
Policymakers need to "get it" and understand that AI "will kill everyone, including their children" because it's the … "central truth" 👀
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🚨 The Future of Life Institute funneled $368 million into 3 entities, all governed by the same four people: Max Tegmark, Meia Chita-Tegmark, Anthony Aguirre, and Jaan Tallinn. The year-end shake-up happened between December 11 and December 30, 2022. Screenshots below 🧵1/9
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Effective Altruism Funded the "AI Existential Risk" Ecosystem with Half a Billion Dollars aipanic.news/p/effective-alt…
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Remember the signatories of the @FLIxrisk open letter, which called for a pause on advanced AI development? According to a new paper, "Why They're Worried," their motivation to sign had nothing to do with X-risk. Their concerns were NOT centered on "Human Extinction" at all. 1
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🚨The Future of Life Institute started 2022 with €537 million. It ended 2022 with €11 million (and 2023 with €1 million). The difference is more than half a Billion euros. · €382.5 million - allocated to "Grants to charitable organizations." · €150.8 million - reported as "Net realized and unrealized loss on investments." It's unknown which charitable organizations. According to FLI's website and current IRS filings, it has spread around tens of millions of dollars, not hundreds of millions. ------------------------------- On the anniversary of Politico's exposé, we now have new information about the Shiba Inu donation FLI got from Vitalik Buterin. A disclosure to the German federal parliament provides further details about FLI's activities in 2022. ------------------------------- This thread 🧵 includes: · Reminder: What we found out in March 2024 · What we know now, March 2025 (Many questions remain unanswered. Primarily: Where did that money go?)
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The "AI Existential Risk" Industrial Complex (aipanic.news/p/the-ai-existe…)
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In the past few weeks, media outlets have been flooded with book reviews of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies. Why Superhuman AI Would Kill Us All." Now, it's time to conclude: many reviewers found the book unconvincing. Here's why. aipanic.news/p/why-the-doom-…
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Open Philanthropy, an Effective Altruism grant-making organization, is at the heart of this story (Helen Toner & Tasha McCauley) READ: loeber.substack.com/p/a-time… by @johnloeber The claim by an OpenAI spokesperson that "None of our board members are effective altruists" is pure BS!
I nerded out on OpenAI nonprofit board mumbo-jumbo last weekend. Turns out it was worthwhile. I broke it all down on my Substack before I head off for PTO tonite 😄 (link in comments)
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GPT-5 is now out, so the doomers are updating their talking point: We never implied that doom is imminent. Yeah, cool, but there's the Internet.
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2024: FLI tells Politico that its efforts support "common-sense regulations." According to Jaan Tallinn, GPUs (above a certain capability) should be illegal, and software should be surveilled. That's not "common sense." politico.com/news/2024/03/25… tip @techmeme
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Remember how Jan Leike was a research associate at both Eliezer Yudkowdky's MIRI (Machine Intelligence Research Institute) and Nick Bostrom's FHI (Future of Humanity Institute)? There's clearly an ideological influence at play here. (pauseai.info/pdoom)
Yesterday was my last day as head of alignment, superalignment lead, and executive @OpenAI.
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Act 1: Doomers push for European regulation Act 2: Consequences Act 3: The same doomers urge California to pass a vague, premature bill Act 4: It's Gavin's veto time
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A reminder of Jaan Tallinn's agenda:
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When Wiener relies on "diversified" non-profits (CAIS/FLI) and labs (Redwood), he actually relies on 3 Effective Altruism billionaires: ·Moskovitz (Open Philanthropy) ·Tallinn (Estonian x-risk donor) ·SBF (convicted felon) The TRIO that funds them SB-1047 should be renamed SB-3
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The two extremes of the AI discourse
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Exactly a year ago, during the "Pause AI" open letter, news outlets covered FLI as "primarily funded by the Musk Foundation." From now on, they should say "primarily funded by $665M from a crypto billionaire" or "primarily funded by $665M from a dog-themed shitcoin." #Shibagate
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In an era when sensationalism dominates our #AI discourse, we get this mind-blowing 🤯 exchange between Tristan Harris & Glenn Beck: 1/3
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Effective Altruism funded the well-oiled x-risk machine with $1.6 BILLION. Most of it came from Moskovitz, Tallinn, Buterin, and SBF. This is how "Existential/Catastrophic Risks from AI" spread throughout academia, industry, the media, and (relevant to current events) politics.
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🚨 The "x-risk campaign" exposé 🚨 AI Safety organizations constantly examine how to target "human extinction from AI" messages based on - political party affiliation, age group, gender, educational level, field of work, and residency. aipanic.news/p/the-ai-panic-… 🧵
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Replying to @jessi_cata
"DEAR SLIM, I wrote you, but you still ain't callin' I know you probably hear this every day, but I'm your biggest fan Anyways, I hope you get this, man, hit me back Just to chat, truly yours, your biggest fan, this is Stan See, everything you say is real, and I respect you 'cause you tell it My girlfriend's jealous 'cause I talk about you 24/7 But she don't know you like I know you, Slim, no one does You gotta call me, man, I'll be the biggest fan you'll ever lose Dear Mr. I'm-Too-Good-to-Call-or-Write-My-Fans You ruined it now, I hope you can't sleep and you dream about it And when you dream, I hope you can't sleep and you scream about it I hope your conscience eats at you, and you can't breathe without me" ______________________________________________ Why are you so mad? Try to understand that I do want you as a fan I just don't want you to do some crazy shit I seen this one shit on the news a couple weeks ago that made me sick Come to think about it, his name was, it was you. Damn. ______________________________________________ "ELIEZER YUDKOWSKY. I am one of your students, and I am desperately trying to reach out to you. Please read this all the way through. It is your duty as a rationalist, and the least you can do for me. I think it will help you to know a little more about me and my situation. You can find me in your DMs and in Eliezerfic as Audere. I talked with you about a cool impossibility proof that I came up with. It ended up winning an AI Alignment prize. I’m the best (2014) D&D 5E optimizer in the world. I think you might find that pretty cool. I'm currently in the Solano County Jail. And I have been thinking about how to get through to you. Your Art has stagnated. You are going in circles. What happened to shutting up and doing the impossible? Now you're "dying with dignity" instead. What would the Eliezer who had just wrote about shutting up and doing the impossible, think of "Death with Dignity"? Do you think he'd be impressed? You, Mister Rationalist, should be able to do much better than that. I don't expect you to take me up on this bet for various reasons, but on my pride as a rationalist, I am so willing. Do not selfishly dismiss the spirit of my offer. You, of all people, should be able to tell how hard I have been trying, in good faith, to get through to you. If even this is not enough, if even this is something you choose to ignore — You will not merely have failed your Art. You will have insulted it. Desecrated it. Held up a sham in its place. So, from one student among many, to his old teacher: THIS IS YOUR FINAL EXAM. YOU MAY HAVE FAILED YOUR ART THUS FAR, BUT IT IS NEVER TOOLATE TO DO THE RIGHT THING. YOUR TIME HAS ALREADY BEGUN.” ______________________________________________ Truly yours, your biggest fan, this is Zizian. ______________________________________________
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@paraga's message today mirrors @Meta's response to Haugen. Both companies used the following 5 elements:
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It's a new low in journalism to praise Berkeley's Eliezer Yudkowsky and Katja Grace. Both declared a p(doom) of 90%. Find someone who will love you - as much as @TIME & @NewYorker love AI doomers. newyorker.com/magazine/2024/…
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The publicly available data used to create both summaries – $500 Million & $883 Million – did not include FLI's $665 Million. Actually, it's closer to $1.1 Billion & $1.5 Billion, respectively. The bigger picture is: Effective Altruism "AI Existential Risk" ≈ over $1 Billion.
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Replying to @perrymetzger
"It appears that Anthropic has made a communications decision to distance itself from the EA community, likely because of negative associations the EA brand has in some circles." A message to Daniela Amodei: "If you want to distance yourself from EA, do it and be honest. If you'd rather not comment, don't comment. But don't obfuscate and lie pretending you don't know about EA and downplay the movement." forum.effectivealtruism.org/…
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Many popular narratives about social media harms are overstated. Correlation is not causation & there’s still so much we don’t know. Yet, @JonHaidt made a sweeping generalization: Yes, Social Media Really Is Undermining Democracy. So, here’s the response: bit.ly/3QzxZNp
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Replying to @mmasnick
I'm also late to this saga (in Israel & just catching up on the news). My immediate thoughts on this fabricated @andymstone text: -An experienced spokesperson/Crisis Comm professional would NEVER write such an email. -It looks like a sloppy/failed Google Translate attempt. WTF?
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The "AI Existential Risk" map got an update. Organizations/projects still spring up like mushrooms after the rain.
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AI doom prophecies on YouTube continue to target children/young adults – adding 'doom' to their 'doomscrolling' Some of the anxiety-inducing fearmongering is funded by EA, including $10M from Open Philanthropy given to Kurzgesagt ($7.3M) and Rational Animations ($2.7M)
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So this is the kind of wisdom I’m missing because he blocked me… Interesting
So... AI doomers can't handle criticism? Such delicate souls techdirt.com/2023/04/14/the-…
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📢 New paper: "The AI Technopanic and Its Effects" It discusses the extreme rhetoric around AI (the AI panic of 2023/24) and the resulting regulatory proposals. Extreme rhetoric has a cost. A more sober policy is needed. (shorturl.at/lZVqb)
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The current AI hype/panic cycle is so fucked up ... that we've reached the point where Max Tegmark is celebrating that "Extinction by AI - is going mainstream" (Thanks, mass media 🤦🏻‍♀️)
Extinction by AI is going mainstream: Altman, Hassabis, Amodei, Hinton, Bengio, ... nytimes.com/2023/05/30/techn…
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We don't want to bother our cult leader.
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Replying to @jessi_cata
Context about the Zizians
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A new website/archive just dropped: AI Opportunities I'm sure its category list will only grow. aiopportunities.org
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Heads up: There's a documentary coming out about DOOMERS.
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I listened to it, so you don't have to. What's the purpose of this long conversation? Basically, Zuckerberg is trying to sell Meta's devices to Rogan's listeners. That's it. 3 hours of it 🤦‍♀️ open.spotify.com/episode/51g…
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The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy: Superintelligent AI and the Geeks Who Are Trying to Save Humanity's Future - By Tom Chivers. The book opens with a meeting Chivers had in Berkeley with Paul Crowley, who told him, "I don't expect your children to die of old age." Chivers came from the UK to Berkeley because "over the years, I became more involved with the Rationalists. I started reading their websites; I learned the jargon, all these terms like 'paperclip maximizer' and 'Pascal’s mugging.'" "The key text – the holy book, according to those who think the whole thing is a quasi-religion – is a huge series of blog posts" by Eliezer Yudkowsky, "which came to be known as the Sequences." Having read them, Chivers provides many explainers of various rationalists' thought experiments. The story unfolds through the Extropians mailing list, Yudkowsky's SL4 (Shock Level 4) mailing list, the launch of LessWrong in 2009, Slate Star Codex in 2013, and Bostrom's "Superintelligence" book in 2014 that served as a turning point. It then describes the idea of FOOM, Roko's Basilisk hysteria, putting numbers on everything (even if they are estimates), thus thinking probabilistically and making humans better Bayesians (rational Bayesian optimizers), utilitarianism (shut up and multiply) and its effect on AI Safety (if you believe in AI existential risk), how the movement attracts man on the autistic spectrum, and the arrangement of polyamory and group homes. The "dark sides" are briefly discussed by Chivers: "They do share a lot of the surface features of a cult: a charismatic figurehead and other high-status inner-circle members; a key text that in-group members are supposed to have read, and which encodes the central tenets of their 'belief'; unorthodox sexual practices; a message of impending apocalypse, and a promise of eternal life; and a way to donate money to avoid that apocalypse and achieve paradise." He ties it to the Effective Altruism movement by quoting David Gerard: "Clearly, the most cost-effective initiative possible for all of humanity is donating to fight the prospect of unfriendly artificial intelligence, and oh look, there just happens to be a charity for that precise purpose right here! WHAT ARE THE ODDS." However, Chivers defends the movement shortly thereafter, stating that they are just "nonconformists." To find further criticism of the movement, he mentions a Reddit page called "/r/sneerclub." He does not recommend reading it. I am. Throughout the chapters, Chivers gradually embraces the notion that AI will wipe out humanity. To solve the dissonance and stress it caused, he met with Anna Salamon, president and co-founder of CFAR (Center for Applied Rationality). What was the goal of their meeting? Her "Internal Double Crux" (debugging) session. As he finished the inner debate, he broke down in tears, realizing that, indeed, he might not see his children "die of old age." Totally sold on Yudkowsky's claim that "AI will kill EVERYONE," Chivers became an even more ardent supporter of the movement. So he celebrates its achievement: "What they have achieved in terms of the AI debate is, I think, remarkable. They've taken the niche, practically dystopian-science-fiction idea of AI risk and made people take it seriously." It's no longer in the realm of "fringe nerds on an email list." To conclude, he ends his book with this sentence: "There is a small but non-negligible probability that, when we look back on this era in the future, we'll think that Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nick Bostrom – and the SL4 email list, and LessWrong – have saved the world." I enjoyed reading this book as I write my upcoming book on this topic. Just, please, tell me again, how is this NOT a doomsday cult?
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Replying to @tegmark
I know it’s hard to accept that someone is against AI Doom without being paid by Big Tech. But here we are.
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CONTEXT: Granovetter's "The Strength of Weak Ties" is a seminal social science paper - cited 66,923 times (!) Weak ties have long been proven to contribute to occupational mobility (& higher wages/employment rates). Having LinkedIn prove that on a larger scale is a good thing.
Study: LinkedIn ran an experiment on 20M users from 2015 to 2019, randomly varying the strength of its People You May Know algorithm, without telling the users (@natashanyt / New York Times) nytimes.com/2022/09/24/busin… techmeme.com/220924/p7#a2209…
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Dear Effective Altruists, when a long-time fan of your movement, who donated to your charities (GWWC, GiveWell), tells you you've lost your way, become cultish, and need to extricate yourselves from AI doomerism - you should listen. Donors don't trust you anymore.
Upsetting to read how the shift in EA - from saving lives in Africa to paying brainiacs to fret about how AI will turn us into paperclips - may not have been mission drift but bait & switch. EA's core idea is still sound, & some of its charities are praiseworthy; I hope the movement regains its bearings. Nirit Weiss-Blat @DrTechlash in Techdirt techdirt.com/2024/04/29/effe…
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Given today's revelations, FLI's celebration should be seen in a different light
Replying to @tobi
Dear policymakers, if AI doom lobbyists celebrate what you've done, you should reconsider what you've done.
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The public-facing discourse of "giving to the poor" was a mirage designed to get people into the Effective Altruism (EA) movement and then lead them to the "core EA," x-risk, which is discussed in inward-facing spaces. Effective Altruism founder, Will MacAskill – June 2012:
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When Jaan Tallinn, FLI's co-founder/one of the biggest x-risk billionaires, lays out his plan for "regulatory interventions" – you should listen. With the help of lobbyists, his "focus for the foreseeable future" is: GPUs ➡️ illegal Software ➡️ pervasive surveillance
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@grok can you explain what the hell just happened? LOL
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Considering AI Impacts' new survey results regarding "human extinction from AI" have the same inherent problems as last year's survey, here are some points to keep in mind: 1. Question phrasing 2. Overall perception 3. Funding 🧵
There’s a 5% chance of AI causing humans to go extinct, say scientists newscientist.com/article/241…
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@elonmusk: It's not more acceptable for you than it is for me. It's the same thing. @drewharwell: So it's unacceptable what you're doing? @elonmusk: No. You doxx, you get suspended. End of story. That's it. Then, Elon left. /8
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The list of effective altruists (heavily funded by effective altruist billionaires) who distance themselves from the movement, is growing. Dario & Daniela Amodei, co-founders of one of the most EA labs in the world, said they DON’T belong to the community of effective altruists.
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July 7: The @BostonGlobe published this profile: "Dan Hendrycks wants to save us from an AI catastrophe. He's not sure he'll succeed." Apparently, his evangelical beliefs have been replaced by a new religion: AI Doomerism. archive.vn/Sn1v0
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Replying to @Dan_Jeffries1
Yes, organizations like The International Center for Future Generations (ICFG) proposed that “open-sourcing of advanced AI models trained on 10^25 FLOP or more should be prohibited.” But beforehand: 🔻The Center for AI Safety (CAIS) proposed to ban open-source models trained beyond 10^23 FLOPs. 🔻The AI Safety Treaty and the Campaign for AI Safety wrote similar proposals, the latter spelling it out as “Prohibiting the development of models above the level of OpenAI GPT-3.” 🔻Gladstone AI suggested making it a felony to release open models far smaller than Llama 3. 🔻Jeffrey Ladish from Palisade Research (also from the Center for Humane Technology and CAIP) said, “We can prevent the release of a LLaMA 2! We need government action on this asap.” 🔻Siméon Campos from SaferAI set the threshold on Llama 1. “It’s always just a bit higher than where we are today,” summarized Krishnan Rohit. “Imagine if we had done this!!” nitter.app/krishnanrohit/status/1…
This is critical. The previous framework tried to regulate every model trained with higher than 10^23 FLOPs. It was absurd then, no reason to think 10^26 is now the magic number. It's always *just* a bit higher than where we are today. Imagine if we had done this!!
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The "AI Existential Risk" Ecosystem One conclusion can be drawn from reviewing the hundreds of links: It's an inflated ecosystem. There's a great deal of redundancy: · The same names/acronyms/logos (with only minor changes) · The same extreme talking points · The same group of people, just with different titles · The same funding source, primarily Open Philanthropy. This is clearly not a grassroots, bottom-up movement. It is a well-orchestrated top-down movement. The media and politicians need to open their eyes to this reality.
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@drewharwell: Twitter also marks even the Instagram and Mastodon accounts of ElonJet as harmful. We have to acknowledge, using the exact same link-blocking technique that you have criticized as part of the Hunter Biden-New York Post story in 2020. So what is different here? /7
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Replying to @MelMitchell1
Based on the dataset for this survey: Only 149 answered the "Extinction from AI" Q. = 20% of the 738 respondents (3% of the 4,271 AI experts contacted) Only 162 answered "Extinction from human failure to control AI" Q. = 22% of the 738 respondents (3.7% of AI experts contacted)
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1. Talk about x-risk & how AI will kill us all. 2. Raise funds from Effective Altruism billionaires (OpenPhil, Tallinn). 3. Conduct vague & biased surveys on "disempowerment of human species" or "catastrophic harm" followed by "reasonable safeguards." Don't mention trade-offs.
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