Can’t believe me and the Almanac are both turning 60 this year. 🤯

Big Election Year Q1s Dip April-May Before Gains Last 7 Months. 2024 3rd best Election Q1 since 1950 tracking. Chop continues up ~2.5% April-Oct. Only 2 losses in the last 7 months of election years since 1950, 2000 & 2008 (2024 Almanac page 80).

Bitcoin $BTC tracking seasonal trend since full year after CME futures began trading. Set up for Feb-May bull run. Picked up my $IBIT position 10/31.

Christmas In July: $QQQ Weakness Setting Up NASDAQ’s Midyear Rally. 12-day run up 30 of 39 years. Average gain of 2.5%. Look for this rally to begin around June 26 and run until about July 12. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Thanksgiving to Santa Claus Rally trade starts on Tuesday. S&P 500 up 79.45% of the time since 1950. Avg performance: +2.57%. Trade combines the best consecutive 3-month span, Santa Claus Rally and January Effect. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

3rd Times a Charm – Early “January Effect” Likely to Push Russell 2000 to New ATH. It's been over 3 years! This seasonal pattern chart suggests once tax-loss selling abates, will finally break out & close at a new ATH. small-cap outperformance could persist into March. $IWM jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Small Caps Heat Up 3 weeks ago we told you Open Season for Small Caps was coming. $RUT $IWM rallied off new multi-year lows at the end of Oct. Though they still lagged big caps. Small caps are leading again today. Still some chop before small cap season officially opens mid-Dec.

Late October Low Lines Up I’ve been banging my seasonal weakness drum through Q3 warning of Octoberphobia, volatility, late-October lows and turnarounds. Today’s negative action aligns with that narrative. Best Six Months start next week. Rising 10-year yields, some notable earnings season misses and turmoil in the Mideast have conspired with seasonal weakness to knock the market down. But at least we now have a Speaker of the House.

Beware the Ides of March this year also coincides with the seasonal decline during presidential election years where the sitting president is running. Support Levels to Watch S&P 500: 4800 old ATH and 4600 near summer 2023 highs.

Wall Street Legend Yale Hirsch 100th! Santa Claus Rally, January Barometer, Best Six Months Strategy: all invented by Yale! On what would be his 100th birthday market seasonality & the 4-year presidential election stock market cycle are alive &well.

Christmas in July? NASDAQ’s 12 trading day midyear rally could push it to new all-time highs. Rally begins around June 26 and runs until about July 14. NASDAQ up 31 of last 40 w/ avg gain of 2.5%. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

It has been over three years since the Russell 2000 last closed at an all-time high. This sad streak could be coming to an end soon. Seasonally speaking, small caps are set up for their annual yearend rally into Q1…jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Best Six Months Ends in April After 5 months of solid gains, are markets ready for a pause? Bullish Presidential Cycle Sitting President Pattern flattens out the mid-February to late-March seasonal retreat considerably without 2020 in the average. April is the final month of the “Best Six Months” for DJIA and the S&P 500. From our Seasonal MACD Buy Signal on October 9, 2023, through (March 21, 2024), DJIA is up 18.4% and S&P 500 is up 20.9%. Fueled by interest rate cut expectations and AI speculation, these gains are approximately double the historical average already and could continue to increase before the “Best Months” come to an end. This AI-fueled bull market has enjoyed solid gains since last October and will likely continue to push higher in the near-term, but momentum does appear to be waning with the pace of gains slowing. With April and the end of DJIA’s and S&P 500’s “Best Six Months” quickly approaching we are going to begin shifting to a more cautious stance. We maintain our bullish stance for 2024, but that does not preclude the possibility of some weakness during spring and summer.

NASDAQ’s Yearend Rally Since 1971, there has always been a NASDAQ Yearend Rally and its average advance has been 14.7%. We define the Yearend Rally as the gain from NASDAQ’s September or October closing low through its high in November or December. NASDAQ’s best Yearend rally was an amazing 54.5% in 1998. And even when we review NASDAQ’s performance from the same September or October low through the last day of the year, NASDAQ has been nearly as strong, advancing 94.2% of the time with an average gain of 11.1%. And none of the three losses occurred in a pre-election year like 2023!

February Weak Seasonality & Frothy Market Selloff Sets Up Next Bull Leg Hotter-than-expected CPI suggests further weakness. Not out of the ordinary. February is the weak link of the Best Six Months. Expect pullback. Good opp Free Webinar tmrw. attendee.gotowebinar.com/reg…

Ides of March market bounce has room to run. March’s recent 21-year trend points to possibly more gains through month’s end

November historically starts strong, trades choppy thru middle before strong rally to finish. In pre-election years, pattern is similar, but returns softer. Tech & small caps typically lead. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Bullish 2025 on Track. As January Goes, So Goes The Year. S&P up 3.2% despite DeepSeek deep fake. February notoriously weak & worst month post-election years. 8-12% forecast w/chop & weakness Q1/Q3 on target. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

S&P 500 has declined 4% or more in a single day 53 times before today since 1950. Next trading day S&P was higher 35 times and lower 18. Average gain of 1.08% on all days. Based upon historical performance, the odds of a gain tomorrow are 66.04%. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/6…

NASDAQ Hot Julys & Later Buys. Every NASDAQ “Hot July” since 1971, except 1980 was followed by a retreat that averaged 5.8% from July’s close to a subsequent low in the second half of the year. Expecting pullback over next 2-3 months. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Official Santa Claus Rally Starts Tomorrow! It's not a trading strategy; it is an indicator. To wit: “If Santa Claus should fail to call, bears may come to Broad and Wall.” Devised by Yale Hirsch in 1972 SCR is the last 5 trading days of the year plus the first 2 of New Year.

Beware The Ides Of March. Rather turbulent in recent years with wild fluctuations and large gains and losses, March has been taking some mean end-of-quarter hits. Post-election years open strong then fade midmonth. Recent years trend lower early then rally after the ides. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

September quarterly options expiration treacherous, week after awful. SP500 down 10 of last 11 September quarterly OPEX Fridays and down 26 of last 33 weeks after. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Ex-2020 S&P 500 Flatter Election Year March But after 4 months of solid gains the market is poised for a modest pullback of maybe 3-6%. S&P 500 Support: 4800 old ATH.

S&P 500 logged first 9-day winning streak since November 2004. S&P 500 has gained 10.25% during the current streak. Largest gain of any 9-day or longer streak since 1930. Performance after past streaks mixed. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

5-Month Streak Looks Like A Secular Bull Market Not only is it bullish for April & rest of year. When Nov, Dec, Jan, Feb & March are up stocks have been in a secular bull market that extended to at least the next year. Note a touch of weakness in Q2-Q3 in Worst 6 Months & some huge Q4 rallies. Last 9 months of year up all 11 times, avg gain 11.9%

Presidential Cycle Year 1 Best Since 1985 Bullish For 2025. Stock Trader’s Almanac p132 shows post-election notorious history as worst. Much improved since WWII & best since 1985 averaging 17.2%. Bull continues in 2025 up 8-12%, but bumpier ride than past 2 years. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Market’s Summer Retreat has started around mid-July. Since 1990, DJIA, S&P 500, and NASDAQ all negative from mid-July through the end of September. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Post-Election Years Plague Republicans. Fear on The Street is palpable. I’ve warned all year volatility expected esp. Q1. New rep admins get down brass tacks creating uncertainty. Trump 2.0 faster than ever. More on members webinar tmrw…jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

First Five Days Negative, Trifecta 0 for 2 S&P 500 was down 0.1% for our First Five Day (FFD) early warning system is negative. Since 1950, the previous 26 down FFD were followed by 14 up years and 12 down with an average gain in all years of just 0.3%. The last negative FFD was in 2022 when S&P 500 declined 1.9%. In 2022, S&P 500 went on to decline 5.3% in January and thus our January Barometer (JB) was negative. For 2022, S&P 500 was down 19.4%. Last week the Santa Claus Rally (SCR) was negative, and today the FFD was negative. At this juncture there are two possible outcomes remaining for our January Indicator Trifecta. Our JB can either be positive or negative. The historical results of both are visible in the following tables. A positive JB would certainly boost prospects for full-year 2024 even after down FFD and negative SCR. Following the previous three occurrences when the SCR and FFD were negative and the January Barometer was positive, S&P 500 advanced three times over the remaining eleven months and for the full year with average gains of 15.1% and 19.9% respectively. The December Low Indicator (2024 STA, page 36) should also be watched with the line in the sand at the Dow’s December Closing Low of 36054.43 on 12/6/2023.

Last trading day of the year often lacks holiday cheer. NASDAQ and Russell 2000 weakest over last 24 years, both down 18 times with average losses of 0.37% and 0.34% respectively. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Glorious day in the woods. Almost like a fall day. But maybe the market is not out of the woods yet. Sold my $SPY yesterday at the close at 560 – 30% gain. Watch out for end of August weakness, September worst month of the year and then there’s Octoberphobia. Have a good day.

Typical Octoberphobia! Brace Yourself High interest rates have spooked the market in the very scary market month of October. But as we’ve told you: October is a bear-killer, bargain month and turnaround month. It looks like the anticipated correction is now upon us. As of today’s close, from the recent summer highs DJIA is –8.0%, S&P -8.5% and NASDAQ -9.9% respectively.

1968 Analog Resonates Not 1987. The mid-July pullback and 2024’s steep trajectory brings up the unsettling parallel to 1987 but 2024 is now closely tracking the 1968 trend. Both election years have a plethora of other comparisons. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

August is the worst month in post-election years for DJIA and Russell 1000, 2nd worst for S&P 500, NASDAQ and Russell 2000. Average declines in post-election year Augusts range from –0.5% to –1.5% Each index has seen more declining post-election year Augusts than positive. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Remember this. Midyear rally got under way a day or so early. Could run a little longer. Be ready for pullback after mid-July.

Welcome to August.

When past S&P 500 streaks of 100 or more trading days without a 1.5% daily loss ended, S&P 500 was down 92.9% of the time 1 week later. Average loss of 2.09%. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Most Bullish Day of Year! 1st Day July S&P 500 Up 14 Straight, up 90.5% of the time since 2004, avg gain +0.44%. DJIA & NASDAQ are nearly as strong, up 81.0% and 85.7% respectively. Most consistently bullish day of the year! jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

S&P 500 Election Year 2024 vs.1968 & 2012 War protests brings up 1968 comps. 2024’s Big Election Q1 put 2012 in my sights. Both election years w/correlated yet diff narratives. Chart from members webinar yesterday. $SPY $DIA $QQQ $IWM Full post: jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

July First Day Most Bullish Day of Year. $SPY Up 13 Straight $QQQ $DIA. Full post here jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Overbought Markets Pullback During Typical Early December Weakness ✅ Choppy First Half Before Yearend Santa Claus Rally ✅ Small Caps Surge in Election Years ✅“January Effect” Small Cap Outperformance Starting Mid-December jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

S&P 500 average election year drawdown is 13.07% since 1952. In 11 of 18 last election years the drawdown was less than 10%

DJIA’s longest losing streak since 1978 not likely to cancel Santa Claus Rally. Following the end of the previous 11 streaks, DJIA was higher 72.7% of the time 1-week, 2-weeks, and 1-month later. By the 3-month-after mark DJIA was higher 81.8% of the time. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

First Half December Weak Ahead of Mid-Month Pop Then watch for our “Santa Claus Rally,” the 7 trading days from Dec 22 to Jan 3. Remember Yale Hirsch’s now famous line: “If Santa Claus should fail to call, bears may come to Broad and Wall.” jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Feast On Small Caps. Thanksgiving/Santa Claus Rally trade starts next Tuesday. S&P 500 up 79.73% of times since 1950 Avg 2.58%. Russell 2K up 77.78% of times since 1979, avg 3.34%. Trade combo best 3-months, SCR & Jan Effect. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

SP500 extends daily winning streak to 8 days, up 6.4%. When the daily winning streak ends, more gains likely over next 60 trading days. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Santa Fails to Call, But Trifecta 2 Out of 3 Ain’t Bad Santa a no show. Watch for up 1st 5 Days & January Barometer, 2nd & 3rd legs of Jan Indicator Trifecta. 3x since 1950 SCR was down & FFD & JB up. 2 out of 3 years up + 20%, 1994 -1.5%, 14.8% avg gain on all 3. With only 3 down SCR years with up FFDs and JBs we present to you the other years with one of the Trifecta components down and the other two up. Of these 18 years 14 years were up and 4 were down with an average gain of 7.9%. 2 out of 3 ain’t bad for our January Indicator Trifecta. Profit taking in January has become more commonplace in the last 25 years or so and January is notably softer in election years like 2024. But the selling over the past few days is notable and a warning sign. Don’t forget Yale Hirsch’s famous line, “If Santa Claus should fail to call, bears may come to Broad and Wall.” Click here for more stocktradersalmanac.com/Aler…

First 8 trading days of August weak over last 21 years. In post-election years, beginning of August better, but still negative by the end. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Last 3 Days of Year Weak Link in Santa Claus Rally Last trading day of the year NASDAQ has been down in 17 of the last 23 years. And it’s the weakest performing day, on average, of the Santa Claus Rally as noted on page 118 of the Stock Trader’s Almanac 2024.

When Stocks Are Up Big YTD Before Thanksgiving… gains continued into yearend for an average gain of 2.4%. S&P 500 is having another banner year up an impressive 25.5%. I expect more new all-time highs before yearend. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

March Madness Sets Up Ides of March Washout Bounce Stormy March markets battered stocks 1st half of the month in recent years. 5300-5400 support in Sep low & last March highs area in play. Catalyst Trump, Fed, Congress, rates, inflation or geopolitics to trigger it. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Wednesday is the best day before Labor Day weekend. S&P 500 and NASDAQ up 17 of last 21 years on Wednesday. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Sell Rosh Hashanah Buy Yom Kippur Sets Up Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur is aligning well this year w/ late September seasonal weakness & notoriously treacherous week after quarterly options expiration, AKA Triple Witching. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Zweig’s 4% Model Indicator Buy Signal - Actually, developed by Ned Davis based on the Value Line Composite Index. Using $VALUG weekly low of 484.41 from 10/13, this week’s close of 514.90 is 6.3% higher, so this confirms our 10/4 MACD Seasonal Buy signal.

Tough September Off to Rough Start. The Bull Market Is Still Intact but Wait for a Fatter Pitch. Ramped of election uncertainty, extended valuations, some big earning misses & a few troubling economic data points helped the worst month of the year deliver an opening blow. 1/5

All Election Years Up When January Barometer Up S&P 500 gained 1.6% in January and thus our January Barometer is positive for 2024. Full years followed January’s direction in 12 of the last 18 presidential election years. But 9 Election Years since 1950 with an up January Barometer are up 100% of the time with an average 15.6% S&P 500 gain. JB is not a stand-alone indicator. Use in conjunction with other data and indicators to confirm or question your assessment of the market. Since 1938 when JB was positive, full year was positive 86.5% of the time & when it's down the year was up 44.1% of the time. Every down January since 1950 was followed by a new or continuing bear market, a 10% correction or a flat year. Down Januarys were followed by substantial declines averaging -13.3%. See page 24 in the 2024 Stock Trader’s Almanac.

Typical February Performance: Weakness After Mid-Month Peak - After a strong opening day, strength has tended to fade until around the seventh trading day. From there until around the 12-trading day all five indexes have historically enjoyed gains. But those gains have not held until the end of February with a peak occurring around mid-month. By the end of February, only NASDAQ and Russell 2000 have remained slightly positive while DJIA, S&P 500, and Russell 1000 turn negative.

More Bears End in October Than Any Other Month - Not all indices have bottomed on the same day for all bear markets, but the lion’s share, or bear’s share I should say, bottomed in October.

S&P 500 nearly perfect after positive January and February. Since 1938, only a single, fractional loss (2011) in 32 years. Following 10-months only two declines. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Earlier this month we noted that election-year Januarys have historically been soft and that since around the year 2000, January’s prowess has faded. As of today’s close, DJIA, S&P 500, NASDAQ, Russell 1000, and Russell 2000 are all negative year-to-date. Except for Russell 2000, down 5.62% thus far in January, losses have been relatively mild ranging from 0.64% from S&P 500 to 1.12% by DJIA. In the chart the recent 21-year seasonal pattern for January has been plotted and uses the left vertical axis. Year-to-date 2024 is using the right vertical axis. Comparing this year to the averages over the last 21 years, this year has been slightly weaker than average while generally tracking the overall pattern with early weakness followed by some strength. From around now until the end of the month, the historical pattern suggests more choppy trading is likely.

Seasonality Works! Remember this? Dow 38820 published in 2011. When Yale Hirsch published the 1st Almanac in 1968 who would’ve thought these patterns & trends would still be working today? Get the 2024 & 2025 STAs for free! stocktradersalmanac.com/Land…

Tech Selloff Sets Up NASDAQ’s 12-Day Midyear Rally Week after June Triple Witching expected weakness sets it up to a T. Up 29 of 38 years avg gain 2.4%. Buy the close on Tuesday June 27 and sell July 14 or take profits on any sizable gain in between.jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

February historically worst month for S&P 500 and NASDAQ in post-election years with average losses of –1.3% and –3.0% respectively. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Setting the Record Straight: Best 6 Months, Halloween Indicator, Sell in May | It’s that time of year again. Best 6 Months Nov-Apr begin next week. Better in midterm years. Here’s proof. Chart from new 2023 Almanac led to of this pattern and strategy. stocktradersalmanac.com/Land…

Market Visionary Yale Hirsch 102nd Today would have been my legendary father’s 102ndbirthday. His pioneering vision in 1966 to create a market history and calendar guide to seasonality, cycles, trends, patterns and wisdom has endured over seven decades. A legacy I proudly carry on. So today, I remember what he has done for Wall Street and celebrate the recent release of the 59thannual edition of the Stock Trader’s Almanac. Santa Claus Rally, January Barometer, Best Six Months Strategy: all invented by Yale! Fifty-nine consecutive annual editions is a testament to the fact that market seasonality and the 4-year presidential election stock market cycle are alive and well. When he created the first 1968 edition he was ahead of his time. His iconic thinking and detailed analysis of historical stock market behavior and cycles in different political and economic environments was unmatched. He could probably have told you, within reason, what the stock market was likely to do any hour, on any day, in any future year. He put behavioral finance, market cycles and seasonality at the fingertips of traders, investors, and advisors and it has remained on the desks of top fund managers to this day. We lost Yale four years ago at 98, but his legacy lives on. We are reminded of him every day when we track market cycles, patterns, and trends. Back in the 1969 Almanac he first warned us about October volatility and that October is the best time of the year to buy stocks. This couldn’t be truer right now! Check out our latest Almanac Investor Newsletter research, outlook and trades at stocktradersalmanac.com/. The 2026 Almanac is a testament to the original iconic work founder Yale Hirsch created in the first 1968 edition and the seven decades of behavioral finance thought leadership it has provided since. The Almanac remains the most valuable trader’s desk reference on Wall Street and this year’s Almanacis packed with seasonal and historic investing insights for the year ahead including: · Jeff’s 2026 Outlook – page 10 · Market Charts of Midterm Election Years – page 26 · Midterm Election Years: Where Bottom Picker’s Find Paradise – page 28 · Prosperity More Than Peace Determines the Outcome of Midterm Congressional Races – page 32 · Why a 50% Gain in the Dow is Possible from Its 2026 Low to Its 2027 High – page 34 · Welcome to the Sweet Spot of the 4-Year Cycle: Q4 Midterm Year to Q2 Pre-Election Year – page 46 · Best Investment Books of the Year – page 86 · Midterm Election Time Unusually Bullish – page 102 · Traders Feast on Small Stocks Thanksgiving Through Santa Claus Rally – page 104 · The Incredible January Barometer (Devised 1972): Only 12 Significant Errors in 75 Years – page 18 · Best Six Months: Still An Eye-Popping Strategy – page 54 · Get More out of NASDAQ’s Best Eight Months with MACD Timing – page 62

Down Q1 Can Lead to More Trouble. No joke. Q2 & Q3 weak overall Q3 esp in post-elect. If bear usually near low, if not more trouble. Weak Rep post-elect p28 of 2025 Almanac 1953, 1957, 1969, 1973, 1981, Carter 1977 & 2022 standout. Bear turns in 1980, 1982, 2003, 2009 & 2020. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Releasing 1st ever $BTC seasonality review Tues 9/26. Teamed w/CMT @crypto_birb. Honoring my late father Yale Hirsch’s iconic thinking & 57-year legacy. The Seasonality of Bitcoin. Stay tuned for the release of this free article.

The longer a historical low volatility streak persisted, generally the weaker S&P 500 was during the 3 months after the streak ended. Past streaks that lasted between 26 to 30 trading days, or longer than 40 trading days, were noticeably weaker.

December Opens Bearish in Midst of Most Bullish Season S&P 500 leans bearish on 1st day of Dec last 22 years, down 14 times, avg loss of -0.21%. As stocks take a breather after the big rip off the Oct lows, early Dec weakness is likely.

October is the worst month in election years ranking dead last for DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ. Eliminating gruesome 2008 from the calculation provides a little relief, as rankings improve at most two steps (DJIA). jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Usual February Weak Trading Stocks are suffering from typical midwinter struggles. The market tends to rally the first half of February, but gains tend to fade after mid-month, and even sooner in post-election years.

Best Six Months Up 18-0 Midterm Years - Going back to 1950 the Best Six Months has is best performance from November of the Midterm year to April of the Pre-Election year, by a factor of three. And none of the other years of the 4-year cycle had zero losses.

Vix Low In? Volatility historically rises to an October peak. S&P 500 daily swings also expand in size and frequency going into October. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

July Best $SPY & $QQQ Month Last 21 Years, but nearly all gains occurred the 1st 13 trading days… jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

NASDAQ & Russell 2000 Up 71.4% Of Time Day After Christmas jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Best October Ever! Dow up 14.3% right now so far in October 2022, it is on pace to record its best October performance ever going back to 1901. $DIA

When Bullish April Is Down Stocks Often Struggle Until Q4 April is a notoriously bullish market month. A negative April is cause for concern. After down Aprils since 1950 there is a plethora of red in May and through Q2 and Q3. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Midterm uncertainty ending soon. Historically bullish for S&P 500. 6-months after last 18 midterm elections, SP higher 100% of the time, average gain 14.52%. 1-year after, SP also higher 100% of the time, average gain +15.33. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

September quarterly options expiration dodgy, week after Dreadful. SP500 down 11 of last 12 September quarterly OPEX Fridays and down 27 of last 34 weeks after. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Open Field Election Year Pattern Rears Its Head. Looks like we’re getting that mean reversion we’ve been talking about. This is the volatility we warned of. Expect it to continue for the next few months. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Yale called October the “bear-killer” back in the 1969 Almanac.

In honor of the End of the Best Six Months November-April I paid a visit to the creator of the Best Six Months Switching Strategy Yale Hirsch. 97 and counting.

Octoberphobia Intensifies in Election Years. Uncertainty ahead of Election Day can intensify Octoberphobia into a self-fulfilling prophecy, which can produce heightened volatility and market setbacks October is infamous for. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Wednesday is the best day before Labor Day weekend. S&P 500 and NASDAQ up 16 of last 21 years on Wednesday with average gains of 0.54% and 0.67% respectively. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Get Ready for the Real Santa Claus Rally Headed down to Wall Street yesterday to pave the way for Santa. “If Santa Claus should fail to call, bears may come to Broad and Wall.” Devised by Yale Hirsch in 1972. Last 5 trading days of the year + 1st 2 of New Year. 1st leg of my January Indicator Trifecta jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

#Bitcoin Seasonality Update: 2024 $BTC Tracking My 9/26/23 groundbreaking seasonal #BTC study w/@crypto_birb predicted Q4 rally. $BTC delivered. ETF approval classic sell the news. 2024 tracking seasonals. Rally to mid-late-Feb then dip to Ides of March ahead April 2024 halving.

NASDAQ down 7 straight during July monthly options expiration week. NASDAQ also bearish on monthly options expiration day, down 23 of last 35, avg loss 0.46%. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

July 4th Bullish Pre-Holiday Trade, Bearish After $DIA $SPY $QQQ $IWM jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Thanksgiving bullishness fading. From 1952-1986, Wednesday before combined with Friday after, S&P 500 up 34 of 35 years. Since publishing in 1987 Almanac, 10 declines and 26 advances. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

$BTC Weakness Tracking Seasonality. September Bullseye Buy Again? H/T @crypto_birb. Read the rest… jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Five weeks ago, we released a groundbreaking study on crypto seasonality with our “Remember to ₿uy in September” alert of the Bitcoin One-Year Seasonal Pattern. $BTC is up 35% since. Hat tip @crypto_birb. Those who understand market history are bound to profit from it.

Yale Hirsch invented our Santa Claus Rally in 1972 – last 5 days of year + 1st 2 of New Year. We expect SCR this year. Inflation easing. Fed likely done Q1. Supply chain constraints fading China loosening. If Santa Claus Should Fail To Call…jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

A Time For Market Patience Turn Turn Turn Buying the dip? Feels like correx in the works. Feb & Post-elect yr Q1 weakness in charts. S&P ATH last wk on poor breadth. @realDonaldTrump shaking things up like never b4. Not down 5% yet x R2K retest of elect gap only 6% $SPX drop

Tom Lee @fundstrat “Just look at the Stock Trader’s Almanac!” Expects S&P up 20% in 2023. Powell vs Volcker. 1982 bottom vs 2022 bottom. @RealMikeLarson @MoneyShow

After Bear Market January Indicator Trifecta Amazing | When there has been a bear market in the prior year and our January Indicator Trifecta is 3-for-3 positive it’s super bullish for the year. stocktradersalmanac.com/NL_A…

Santa Claus Rally begins with gains. Day after Christmas – NASDAQ & Russell 2000 Up 72.2% of time with average gains of 0.38% and 0.40% respectively. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

S&P 500 down 24 of 30 during week after September options expiration, average loss 0.95% - The week after September options expiration week, next week, has a dreadful history of declines most notably since 1990. The week after September options e... tmblr.co/Z8nF6qYyt17La

Portfolio rebalancing can pressure the market on last day trading day of Q3. S&P 500 has the weakest record, positive just 38.7% of the time with an average loss of –0.07%. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…

Good morning everybody. Happy mid-August Rally. Just remember that the middle of August is stronger than the beginning and end. There’s likely some volatility ahead and we’ve got September looming. Good day.

Top turn-of-the-month trade begins next week. S&P 500 and NASDAQ up 25 of last 30 with average gains of 1.96% and 2.43% respectively during the 7-trading day span starting next Monday. jeffhirsch.tumblr.com/post/7…